It has immediately put the selection in a difficult spot, but it is becoming doubly irritating the amount of times the said pick comes back to win in relatively routine fashion.
Putting these together suggests the actual identification of Tennis Picks is still working, but the little bit of luck that is always needed seems to have deserted me so far this season. Seeing a selection lose the one of the first two sets isn't the issue, but seeing a selection continually lose more games than they win in those two sets despite turning matches around is baffling.
It is frustrating, but you have to stick with the process and believe that it is impossible for that kind of situation to keep getting the better of you. Last week I found so many players winning matches by a game or two below the handicap mark because of the early setbacks and it has been more of the same so far this week.
At the end of the tournaments being played this week I will have a look back and see how I could have made the adjustments needed, but I don't want to move away from a method that has found the right winner far more often than not. Those inches going against me is just part of the deal in a long season, but the key is to not lose early faith unless it becomes a trend that travels through a number of weeks.
Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - 4.5 games v Lukas Klein: In the last few seasons Diego Sebastian Schwartzman has proven to be a solid clay court player rather than a spectacular one and his early defeat in Cordoba would have hurt. He will be looking to show a lot more about the kind of level he can produce on the surface when taking part in a second home tournament, this time in Buenos Aires, and the top Seed is a big favourite to win this Second Round match.
You can understand why Schwartzman is the favourite when he takes on Lukas Klein who is Ranked closer to 300 than 200 in the World Rankings. The 22 year old has come through three Qualifying Rounds and upset the World Number 103 in the First Round, but this is the first time Klein will have taken on someone ranked inside the top 100 and his clay court numbers do not leap off the page.
That is not to say he is not having a strong week, but this is a considerable step up for someone who has average numbers on the surface despite operating at a lower level than this ATP event is being played at. All credit has to be given to Lukas Klein for the level he is showing this week, but the serve is one that can be attacked and his going up against an opponent who has shown he is a solid returner at a much higher level than Klein is used to playing at.
The key to the match and how 'comfortable' it is for the home top Seed is how well Diego Sebastian Schwartzman can manage his own serve. That has largely been a weakness for the top Seed on the clay courts, but Lukas Klein may not have the consistency to stay with Schwartzman for long periods of this match and that is where I do think the Argentinian can take control of this match.
I am a little concerned with Schwartzman's serving which can lead to him dropping sets by wide margins if he is slightly off his game, but being at home should motivate a better performance than the one put together in Cordoba last week. Any Qualifier can be dangerous and the Golden Swing tournaments have a habit of producing players that come alive and then disappear for the rest of the season, but it would be a massive surprise if Lukas Klein is able to win this match.
Unless he serves at a level that has not been seen from him in his career, Lukas Klein is likely to be put under pressure by Diego Sebastian Schwartzman and it could lead to a relatively straight-forward win for the favourite.
Pablo Andujar - 2.5 games v Gianluca Mager: A battling display was enough for Gianluca Magr to make it through to the Second Round in Buenos Aires, but he was a little fortunate to get by compatriot Salvatore Caruso in the First Round. He faced three more points than Caruso, but Gianluca Mager was able to play the big points a little better and that was enough to secure a straight sets win, although it could have easily gone another way.
Make no mistake that Gianluca Mager will have to be a lot better if he is going to reach the Quarter Final here and I think it will be a challenge for the Italian.
Pablo Andujar was a strong winner in the First Round, but he is a player that has consistently played his best tennis on the clay courts. The level he can reach is certainly higher than Gianluca Mager's and I think their head to head shows that Pablo Andujar is pretty comfortable in this match up and especially on the red dirt.
The Spaniard has won both previous clay court matches between the players and he has dominated the return of serve in those matches which has proven to be the key for Andujar. The return of serve has been an important part of the game for Pablo Andujar in the last couple of seasons on the clay courts and I think that is going to be the deciding factor in this Second Round match on the Golden Swing.
Neither player has had a lot of competitive time on the red dirt so far this season, but I think Pablo Andujar is the superior player on the surface and I think he will be able to show that over a couple of hours on the courts.
MY PICKS: Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - 4.5 Games @ 1.72 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Pablo Andujar - 2.5 Games @ 1.83 Bet365 (2 Units)
David Goffin - 3.5 Games @ 1.72 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Stefanos Tsitsipas - 4.5 Games @ 2.20 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Marton Fucsovics - 2.5 Games @ 1.91 Coral (2 Units)
Petra Kvitova - 1.5 Games @ 1.91 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Weekly Update: 10-13, - 8.48 Units (46 Units Staked, - 18.43% Yield)
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