After eighty-two games are played by each of the NBA teams, only ten of the thirty teams in the League are eliminated with four more to follow after the Play In Tournament.
Fans are a little frustrated, but the players are also concerned about the length of the regular season.
An introduction of the NBA Cup was designed to create more meaningful games in the regular season, but that has worked to a point and the Commissioner has significant work to do in order to prevent teams from tanking. That has become the focus considering the ten eliminated teams were a long way away from even earning a spot in the Play In Tournament with positioning in the Draft Lottery the priority and the NBA has suffered for that.
However, we are now moving into the First Round of the NBA Playoffs and there is little doubt that there is a marked difference between the intensity and the quality that fans get to enjoy at this time of the season and for the two months ahead.
The Eastern Conference in particular looks incredibly top-sided.
You could make a case for the Atlanta Hawks to have a genuine shot at a First Round upset, but the likes of Detroit Pistons, Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to progress without too many issues.
Injuries can change the outlook of any team and that has been the case in the Eastern Conference over the last few post-seasons, but going into the Playoffs, this looks like a Bracket that is going to be heating up considerably once the Second Round and Conference Finals Series are played.
The Western Conference has tended to be deeper in recent years, but you can comfortably take the top three Seeds over the field going into the Playoffs.
Oklahoma City are the defending Champions and they will take a lot of happiness out of being on the other side of the Western Conference bracket than the Denver Nuggets and San Antonio Spurs. That makes them favourites to reach the NBA Finals again, especially if the Nuggets and Spurs take chunks out of one another in the Seeded Second Round Series, but the Thunder did not have things all of their own way last year and will not need to be reminded of that, despite finishing with the best record in the regular season.
It is the San Antonio Spurs that stand out as the biggest threat in the West, but the Denver Nuggets have rounded into nice form of their own.
There are also going to be plenty of eyes on every Los Angeles Lakers game to be played with some suggesting that LeBron James could call time on his career at the conclusion of the run. Many hoped he could have a storybook ending with a strong run in the Playoffs, but injuries to Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves have severely weakened the Lakers and 41 year old LeBron James may not have the energy to carry his team as he could at his best.
A tough opening Series with the Houston Rockets could see the Lakers season ending prematurely and James will then have some big decisions to make with his Free Agency impending and a number of options on the table.
2023 and 2024 produced positive returns at + 10.49 Units (+ 14.98% Yield) and + 4.06 Units (+ 5.34% Yield), but 2025 was rough.
The final numbers stood at - 9.42 Units (- 11.08% Yield).
It was a really poor run through the Second Round of the Playoffs that proved to be costly in that post-season, but 2026 is an opportunity to bounce back.
As has been the case in previous years, the opening Rounds of the Playoffs are split into the first 'half' of the Series and those selections being in one thread and the remainder of the Series in another.
The reason is to avoid the very long threads developing, although having all of the First Round Series Game 1-4 Picks in one thread cannot avoid lengthy posts regardless with eight Series played.
NBA Playoffs 2026- First Round Picks Game 1-4 (April 18th-27th)
Saturday 18th April
Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers Game 1 Pick: There was an opportunity for the Cleveland Cavaliers to put in a big effort to try and move up to the Number 3 Seed in the Eastern Conference, but ultimately a decision was made to make sure key contributors were available at full health when the First Round Series were to begin.
They showed little concern as to who they would be facing in the First Round and Cleveland were perhaps most focused on making sure they did not run into the Boston Celtics in the Second Round of the Playoffs.
In saying that, the Cavaliers had to be anticipating facing the toughest of the likely First Round opponents in the Atlanta Hawks, but a late slip in the regular season allowed the Toronto Raptors to move into the Number 5 Seed.
There won't be too many Cavaliers upset at this First Round Series instead of the one that could have been against the Atlanta Hawks.
However, that will be bulletin board material for the Toronto Raptors who may have struggled against the best teams in the NBA, but who did win all three regular season games played against the Cleveland Cavaliers. The quirk of the schedule means all of those games were played before December and there has been a significant roster change for the Cavaliers since then, but Toronto fans can take some real encouragement out of that record.
In the last couple of road games in the regular season, the Raptors were blown out by both the Boston Celtics and New York Knicks and they will need some of the leaders to step up on the return to the Playoffs. This is a team that is still transitioning into one that can challenge at the top of the Eastern Conference with regularity, but the key to this Series is bringing a real Defensive intensity into every game played.
The Raptors struggled with some of that down the stretch in the regular season and will be having their first look at the Cavaliers with James Harden in the lineup.
However, the opening games of the post-season will be something of a learning curve for the Cleveland Cavaliers- they may have traded for Harden before the deadline, but injuries have hurt the roster and that has meant limited time spent on the court with what Cleveland will feel is the strongest lineup. While they have had some minutes, you do have to wonder if that is going to be an early factor in the Playoffs with the Cavaliers looking to make a fast start and avoid giving Toronto too much encouragement.
Cleveland do look like a team that will have considerable success Offensively, but the questions have long been about whether that is going to cover the obvious downgrade Defensively of bringing in James Harden for Darius Garland. They showed something in the last few regular season games, but the three point Defensive performances were worrying, even if there is a feeling that this current Raptors team are not best suited to exploit those concerns.
The battle on the boards is going to be key, but the Game 1 of First Round NBA Playoff Series have tended to be dominated by the home team in recent years.
Pressure can be created by this Cleveland Offensive unit and they should be stronger on the other side of the court with the likes of Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen on the floor.
The head to head is largely irrelevant considering how long ago the last of those meetings were and the Cleveland Cavaliers should have the qualities needed to move into a 1-0 lead.
Home teams are 12-4 against the spread in the last two Playoff seasons in Game 1 of the First Round and big favourites are still thriving in this Round.
Toronto will have the shooting power to stay competitive for a while, but the Cavaliers should have enough to pull clear in the second half and they can open this Playoff run with a solid win and a cover.
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Game 1 Pick: The last two seasons have ended in Western Conference Finals defeats, but it feels like the Minnesota Timberwolves are going to slip back a little this time around.
For the second season in a row they have earned the Number 6 Seed in the Western Conference, but a Series with the Denver Nuggets looks very challenging for the Timberwolves. In 2024, Minnesota did upset the then defending Champions 4-3 in the Western Conference Second Round Series, but it may surprise Nuggets fans if they are extended beyond a Game 6 in 2026.
That sounds disrespectful to a team that have reached back to back Conference Finals, but Minnesota have slipped from the level they produced twelve months ago, even slightly. In a competitive Conference, that slight slippage is enough to change the narrative all around a team, while Anthony Edwards has been banged up down the stretch.
The Timberwolves are going to need Edwards at close to full health if they are going to upset the odds in this Series, but they may take encouragement from the fact that the Denver Nuggets have had key role players missing significant time. Aaron Gordon and Peyton Watson provide a really strong support to Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray and both are going to be very important for the Nuggets if they are to have a deep run in the post-season.
Denver fans thought the team were about to embark on their own legacy creating run when winning the NBA Championship in 2023, but have suffered heartbreaking defeats in each of the last two seasons. Both have ended in the Western Conference Second Round with a Game 7 defeat, but the Nuggets enter the post-season with a twelve game winning run under their belts, which helped Denver secure the Number 3 Seed.
Doing so means avoiding the Oklahoma City Thunder until the Conference Finals, but the Nuggets are experienced enough to avoid looking beyond this First Round Series.
After winning that Western Conference Second Round Series in 2024, Minnesota had a very good record against the Denver Nuggets, but that has changed in the 2025/26 regular season. They have played four times in this regular season and while the Timberwolves won the last of those, Denver won the first three of those games and it will give a veteran group that much more belief in the match up.
In the last couple of weeks of the regular season, Minnesota were not playing with the same consistency as the Denver Nuggets and they will need their own experienced group to really step up on the Defensive side of the court. Recent games have seen the Timberwolves struggling Defensively and allowing opponents to have plenty of success from the field, although Minnesota will pride themselves of being able to get out and make things difficult for the three point shooters.
The real test not only in Game 1, but throughout this First Round Series is for the Minnesota Timberwolves to be able to impose themselves Offensively- they have been shooting the ball pretty well, but the Denver Nuggets have the size to dominate the boards and have been stopping opponents from picking up some momentum. The difference is that the Nuggets can be attacked from the three point range and so the Timberwolves have to find their rhythm quickly in this one.
A strong end to the regular season means the momentum is behind the Denver Nuggets and they can become the latest home team to open Game 1 of the First Round Series with a very good win.
You cannot ignore the recent match up between these teams, but Denver may have things figured out right now and the health of the roster gives them an opportunity to win and cover the spread in this opening game.
Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks Game 1 Pick: After reaching the Eastern Conference Finals and feeling like they could have gone further, all of the pressure is on the New York Knicks to find way back into the NBA Finals and perhaps end a long wait for a Championship.
They won the NBA Cup, but the New York Knicks finished with the Number 3 Seed in the Conference.
There was a real hope that this Seed would result in a First Round Series with the Toronto Raptors, who have lost all five games against the Knicks in the regular season. Instead the Knicks have been 'rewarded' with a First Round Series against the Atlanta Hawks who were one of the hottest teams in the NBA after the All Star Break and who can play with the freedom of having 'nothing to lose'.
In pre-season, many believed the Hawks would be much improved by pairing Trae Young with Kristaps Porzingis.
Injury and poor form meant that failed to really operate as hoped and both players have since been moved on and that has opened the door for younger players to burst through and show their worth. Jalen Johnson has really raised his level and looks like he is ready to take the next step in his development, but the Hawks have a number of younger, hungrier players that have proven their own worth.
Add to that roster the likes of CJ McCollum, Jonathan Kuminga and Nickeil Alexander-Walker and you have a number of players not only with Playoff experience, but with Conference Finals experience.
Together, it makes the Atlanta Hawks dangerous and perhaps the most out of all four of the lower Seeds in the Eastern Conference.
The New York Knicks will appreciate the threat posed by the opponent and that is clear despite winning two of the three regular season games.
However, those two wins have come by a combined 6 points and the one game played at Madison Square Garden ended in a blowout win for the road team.
New York have been very good Offensively all season, but the real challenge for them is producing stronger Defensive efforts, which had been a feature of the Tom Thibodeau reign before he was fired as Head Coach at the conclusion of last season. The Knicks will score, but this is a dangerous Atlanta team to go shot for shot with and that will allow the Hawks an opportunity to make this a very competitive Series.
The Hawks were beaten by both New York and the Cleveland Cavaliers in the final few days of the regular season, but the Knicks have struggled when facing teams with winning records. That victory came by a three point margin and this feels like one of those opening games in the First Round of the Playoffs where the road team can push forward and make use of the points being given to them.
The experience edge is with the New York Knicks in terms of how the current rotation have fitted together in the Playoffs previously, but the Hawks are playing very well and have been for some time.
Over the next few days, Atlanta will be chasing a split of the opening two games to be played at Madison Square Garden and this opening game may offer the best route to achieving the split at a minimum.
Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Game 1 Pick: If the NBA Playoffs begun at the beginning of April, the Los Angeles Lakers would have been a trendy pick to come out of the Western Conference.
The blowout loss alone to the Oklahoma City Thunder would not have changed the narrative, but losing both Austin Reaves and Luka Doncic to significant injuries changes the entire outlook of this team. Both players are struggling to make it back for any potential Second Round Series and the Lakers are set as the underdog in the First Round, despite finishing with the higher Seed.
LeBron James is still here and he has inspired the Lakers to three wins in a row that have secured home court in the First Round Series.
However, the veteran has plenty of experience and will fully understand the kind of challenge that awaits the Los Angeles Lakers in this Series with the Houston Rockets, even if the Number 5 Seed have not lived up to the expectations of pre-season.
Bringing in Kevin Durant was supposed to take Houston to the next level, but this is another veteran NBA Champion whose best days are behind him and that leaves the Rockets short. They allowed some very important players to leave to bring in Durant, which was costly for the Phoenix Suns when they were developing into a team that were expecting to challenge at the very top of the Western Conference, and Houston are going to find it tough beyond the First Round.
In the First Round Series, the Rockets are right to be set as favourites and they are looking to continue the recent trend of big road favourites being able to win and cover when set as such in the First Round of the Playoffs.
The Rockets were firing at the end of the season and will have confidence even if they lost three of the four regular season games against the Los Angeles Lakers, including both played last month. Those were played with both Reaves and Doncic in the lineup, but this Lakers team is not nearly as efficient without them and LeBron James is 41 years old and it is asking a lot of him to carry those around him.
Houston cannot afford to take anything for granted in this Series and they are going to be looking for the opening split of the first two games of the road. Taking away home court as soon as possible is the ambition for this team and it just feels like the Houston Rockets have been peaking at a good time at the end of the regular season.
Respect has to be given to this Lakers team that have won three in a row and twice as the underdog, but this is a considerably tougher test.
There will be pressure on the Lakers Defensively when it comes to dealing with Kevin Durant and the match up he has on the court and this is another of those games where it feels like the home team can be opposed, even if Game 1s of recent NBA First Round Series have heavily leaned in the favour of the hosts.
Road favourites of more than 4.5 points have a very strong 40-21-1 record against the spread in the First Round of the Playoffs, and that can balance out home advantage with the Houston Rockets looking like the stronger team and with enough late season momentum to do enough to snatch home court away from the Los Angeles Lakers at the first opportunity.
Sunday 19th April
Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Game 1 Pick: Winning the opening Play In Tournament game has pushed the Philadelphia 76ers into the NBA Playoffs as the Number 7 Seed and that means a First Round Series against the Boston Celtics.
They came into the season knowing there would be a huge reliance on the 'big three' of Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey and Paul George, but injuries have seen all three miss significant time on the court. Joel Embiid was not available for the Play In Tournament win over the Orlando Magic and the team have announced that he is not going to suit up for Game 1 of the First Round Series either.
Credit has to be given to VJ Edgecombe for stepping up to the plate- he arrived as a high Draft Pick, but Edgecombe may have been expected to ease into his professional career, but has not been overawed by the opportunities that have come up.
He had 19 Points and 11 Rebounds in the win over the Magic and the Philadelphia 76ers will have gained some confidence from having won three games in a row.
Despite that, the 76ers enter Game 1 as a big underdog and that has plenty to do with the fact they are facing a Boston Celtics team that have overachieved all season without Jayson Tatum. The expectation was that the Celtics would largely coast through this campaign and then look to bounce back when Tatum would be fully healthy in the 2026/27 season, but things changed thanks to the performances of those who have been operating in the Celtics uniform all season.
Jaylen Brown has thrived as the leader, and that has encouraged the Boston Celtics to give Jayson Tatum the freedom to decide how healthy he feels before returning.
Unsurprisingly Tatum has shown his own leadership by returning from his devastating injury sooner than anticipated and he has fitted back in seamlessly with the team.
With that in mind, it is no surprise to see the Boston Celtics move into one of the favourites spots in the Eastern Conference, but they will not be taking anything for granted and will need Jayson Tatum at close to his best. There is a depth on the roster that does make the Celtics dangerous and they can come out and make a big early statement in this First Round Series by covering the very big line set.
Big favourites have tended to perform very well in the First Round of the NBA Playoffs, while the Number 2 Seed in this Round have been very good at covering in the first two games of the Series and when set as a favourite of more than 4.5 points.
Respect has to be given to the Philadelphia 76ers for the Defensive efforts they have continued to produce even without Joel Embiid in the lineup and that could help them keep this one close.
However, the Celtics are very strong on the Defensive side of the court themselves and Boston can perhaps match the 16 point victory over the 76ers recorded in early March.
Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder Game 1 Pick: Knocking off the Golden State Warriors in the final Play In Tournament game means the Phoenix Suns avoided becoming the first team to lose two homes games at that stage of the post-season and be eliminated from the First Round of the Playoffs.
There was some tension at the end of that victory, but the Suns won't care as the young squad enter the Playoffs with a chance to build some experience that will help in the development of the team.
As you can tell, expectations before the season were pretty limited and the Phoenix Suns will have already overachieved by earning the Number 8 Seed.
At the same time, the Phoenix Suns will want to show what they are all about when they face the defending Champions and Number 1 Seed in the Western Conference. The Oklahoma City Thunder remain favourites to win the NBA Championship again and they will be pretty happy with this match up, rather than facing the veteran Golden State Warriors who could have used their Playoff experiences to make things awkward.
Encouragement for the Phoenix Suns is that they split a four game regular season series with the Oklahoma City Thunder, including a win on this court on the last day of the regular season. However, that was a victory over a second string Oklahoma City team and two of the other three regular season meetings ended in blowout losses.
Phoenix fans have to believe that they can show enough youthful exuberance and Defensive intensity to at least give the top Seed something to think about, but this opening game feels like a tough spot on limited rest.
The road team may hope that the relatively long layoff for the Oklahoma City starters could perhaps slow the early rhythm and that could give the Suns an opportunity- however, the Thunder are an experienced group now and the home crowd should give them all of the motivation to find their shooting very quickly.
It is the three point shooting that makes the Thunder very dangerous in this match up with the Phoenix Suns and that has shown up in a couple of blowout wins over this opponent in the regular season.
Twelve months ago, the Oklahoma City Thunder won Game 1 against the Memphis Grizzlies by 51 points and they can certainly overpower this spread set.
Another home team being set as a very big favourite is the play in this First Round Series.
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons Game 1 Pick: The last couple of years have seen the Detroit Pistons improving and developing, but they still surprised most by finishing with the best record in the Eastern Conference. Despite that, the consensus seems to be picking the Boston Celtics, New York Knicks and Cleveland Cavaliers as more likely winners of the Conference and that can only mean this Pistons teams is a Number 1 Seed who are going to be playing with a chip on their shoulder.
Out of the four hosts on Sunday who are all facing in Play In Tournament teams, the Detroit Pistons have been set with the lowest point spread, although they remain a big favourite.
They are facing the Orlando Magic in the First Round after the Number 8 Seed crushed the Charlotte Hornets to take their place in the NBA Playoffs- they had been beaten at the Philadelphia 76ers earlier in the week, but the performance against the Hornets will have given the Magic a huge boost in confidence.
Taking that performance into this First Round Series is the key for the Orlando Magic and they will not need reminding that they won the last time they faced the Detroit Pistons, albeit at home. That was in a game that was played earlier this month and the Orlando Magic have a group of players who have Playoff experience and will certainly believe they can offer some real resistance to the top Seed.
However, the victory was against a Detroit team without Cade Cunningham, but the star player has returned and put some valuable late season minutes into the legs. The Pistons have shown they can be very good without Cunningham, but no one will be surprised to hear the importance of having in the lineup and keeping him healthy is key to any significant run that can be put together over the next couple of months.
Both home games played against the Orlando Magic ended in strong Pistons wins earlier this season and they will be keen to make an early statement in this First Round Series.
Credit has to be given to the Magic for the Defensive intensity they have shown down the stretch, but this is a tough challenge for them against a confident Detroit Offensive team that knows how to get the best out of the whole roster.
It is the other side of the court where Detroit can really take control of this First Round Series and they will believe they can largely contain what the Orlando Magic will be bringing onto the court. The Pistons are gritty and tough and will battle on the boards, while showing that intensity to get out to shooters and Detroit can make a strong start to this First Round Series.
Orlando are on a relatively short rest with just a day between games and after putting in an emotional effort to make sure they did not slip out of the NBA Playoffs before it really gets underway.
Last year the Magic had a big more preparation time for Game 1 of the First Round in the Playoffs when coming into the bracket as the Number 7 Seed- they were still blown out by the Boston Celtics and this Detroit Pistons team can come out with a big win to open the 2026 post-season.
Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Game 1 Pick: Gregg Popovich had considerable successes during his long tenure as Head Coach of the San Antonio Spurs, but he stepped down from the role at the end of last season. That came after the sixth consecutive year of missing the NBA Playoffs, but the Spurs look like they are not only back, but capable of winning a NBA Championship as soon as June 2026.
It has been a remarkable leap in performance from the Spurs who have been able to bring in Victor Wembanyama to become the face of the franchise.
One of the only concerns around Wembanyama is his durability with the last couple of years seeing him miss plenty of regular season games, but the All-Star has improved his numbers in each of the last two seasons since his rookie season.
Wemby is looking healthy going into his first Playoffs and the San Antonio Spurs have to be credited for the manner in which they have built the roster around him. They have come on leaps and bounds this season and San Antonio fans will only have to listen to their best player to know how well the Number 2 Seed have competed with the defending Champions Oklahoma City Thunder throughout this season.
Looking too far ahead would be a mistake considering the Spurs have landed in the tougher side of the Western Conference bracket, but they will be largely happy with the First Round Series against the Portland Trail Blazers.
Much like the Spurs, the Trail Blazers are developing the roster in the right way and that means needing some patience and allowing players to build up their experience- beating the Phoenix Suns earned the Portland Trail Blazers the Number 7 Seed through the Play In Tournament and this First Round Series will certainly help in the development of the roster going forward.
It is a tough match up against the San Antonio Spurs.
The Trail Blazers lost two of the three regular season games and that was without San Antonio being at full strength and it may be tough for this young group to compete with the qualities of the Number 2 Seed.
The challenge for Portland is to try and pick up the Defensive intensity and see if they can at least create nerves within this Series, but there are two games to open on the road and Portland will have to steal away Home Court if they are going threaten an upset. It is a big ask for the Trail Blazers considering the form in which the San Antonio Spurs finished the regular season, especially as the Spurs have been a real powerhouse on the Defensive side of the court.
There is a lot to like about some of the younger players on the Portland roster, but finding a consistent scorer in this Series may be the obstacle between them and an upset.
San Antonio are another double digit favourite, but this is a game in which the lean is with the 'under' of the total points line set.
Both teams could be focusing on making sure they scheme up on the Defensive side of the court and all three regular season meetings finished below the total that was set on the night. The double digit spread is right on an awkward mark when you think the Spurs won by 13 points and 11 points in those two regular season victories.
The Spurs are more likely to cover seeing as Victor Wembanyama had limited time on the court against the Portland Trail Blazers and is a difference maker, but backing the under looks the play in Game 1.
Over the last six seasons, the under has been the play in Game 1 of the First Round Series and that looks the right play here.
MY PICKS: 18/04 Cleveland Cavaliers - 7.5 Points @ 1.80 Bet365 (1 Unit)
18/04 Denver Nuggets - 6.5 Points @ 1.91 William Hill (1 Unit)
18/04 Atlanta Hawks + 5.5 Points @ 1.91 William Hill (1 Unit)
18/04 Houston Rockets - 5.5 Points @ 2.00 Bet365 (1 Unit)
19/04 Boston Celtics - 12.5 Points @ 1.91 Bet365 (1 Unit)
19/04 Oklahoma City Thunder - 13.5 Points @ 1.95 Bet365 (1 Unit)
19/04 Detroit Pistons - 8.5 Points @ 1.91 William Hill (1 Unit)
19/04 San Antonio Spurs-Portland Trail Blazers Under 221.5 Points @ 2.00 Bet365 (1 Unit)
First Round Update:

