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World Cup Final 2018 Pick- France vs Croatia (July 15th)

I can't believe a month at the World Cup is about o come to a close on Sunday and I have to say the tournament has been about as good as...

Tuesday, 17 July 2018

Tennis Picks 2018 (July 17th)

I've got a few things going on at the moment in my personal life which means I will simply put down my Tennis Picks from the host of Tuesday matches that have been scheduled.

MY PICKS: Simone Bolelli - 2.5 Games @ 1.83 Boyle Sports (2 Units)
John Millman - 1.5 Games @ 1.91 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Ivo Karlovic @ 2.00 Ladbrokes (2 Units)

Weekly Update: 2-2, - 0.52 Units (8 Units Staked, - 6.50% Yield)

Monday, 16 July 2018

Tennis Picks 2018 (July 16th)

And just like that the World Cup and Wimbledon come to an end on the same day and sports fans must be feeling the void.

However the Tennis Tour doesn't stop until November and that means on Monday five new tournaments get underway across Europe and North America.

Clay events in Bastad and Umag are available for the ATP players, while there are a couple of clay court events in Bucharest and Gstaad for the WTA players. We also have the official end of the grass court season in Newport.

The next couple of weeks are a good time for the clay court players out there, but for many others the start of the hard court season is fast approaching as the build towards the final Grand Slam of the season at the US Open gets going. At the end of July we will have events in California, Atlanta and Washington before we get into the two back to back Masters events in Canada and Cincinnati.

The men's US Open looks like it will be a lot of fun now Novak Djokovic has joined Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal, the defending Champion, as a Slam holder in 2018. And the women's tournament doesn't look any less exciting although I imagine Serena Williams will be going in as the favourite at Flushing Meadows.

Wimbledon wasn't a great tournament for the Tennis Picks, but adding more positive numbers to the season can't be complained about and I am now hoping to keep the momentum going.

This week may be a little more difficult to find consistent picks with the majority of the big names out of action, but on this Monday I do have a couple of Tennis Picks.

However I haven't had the time to write out a full analysis of the matches and instead you can read them in the 'MY PICKS' section.

MY PICKS: Guido Pella - 3.5 Games @ 2.00 Boyle Sports (2 Units)
Pablo Cuevas - 2.5 Games @ 1.83 Paddy Power (2 Units)
Denis Kudla - 2.5 Games @ 1.91 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Tim Smyczek @ 1.83 Betfair Sportsbook (2 Units)

Season 2018 Update+ 33.36 Units (1165 Units Staked, + 2.86% Yield)

Saturday, 14 July 2018

Wimbledon Tennis Day 13 Picks 2018- Men's Final (July 15th)

The World Cup Final may be taking centre stage this Sunday, but the men's Wimbledon Final will also be played and is set to begin a couple of hours before the match between France and Croatia kicks off in Moscow.

Whether we have enough time to see both matches is another question, but for the majority of fans it will feel the Wimbledon Final was completed on Saturday when Novak Djokovic was able to see off Rafael Nadal in five long sets.

You shouldn't disregard Kevin Anderson completely, but he has to be feeling the tennis he has played over the last few days and I am not sure one full day of rest will be good enough.

Men's Wimbledon Final 2018- Men's Final
This is not the Final most would have picked at the start of the tournament, but the lesser of the surprises is clearly Novak Djokovic who showed enough at Queens to think he could go close.

On the other hand Kevin Anderson has reached a second Grand Slam Final in eleven months, but he has had to do that the hard way. The Fourth Round saw him beat Gael Monfils in four very long sets, but it has only become even harder for Anderson who needed twenty-four games in a marathon fifth set to see off defending Champion Roger Federer.

You would have been forgiven for thinking that is as tough as it would get for Anderson, but he then needed FIFTY games in the fifth set to see off John Isner and it would be a major surprise if Anderson hasn't got a lot left in the tank. He did have a full day to recover while Novak Djokovic needed eighteen games in a long fifth set of his own to beat Rafael Nadal in a delayed Semi Final, but Djokovic has not played nearly as much tennis as the big South African.

Three years ago these two met in an epic match at Wimbledon which had the grounds buzzing on 'Manic Monday' as Anderson took a two set lead before being undone in five sets by Djokovic. It looks a big ask for Anderson to even make this match that competitive even though the big serve will be dangerous throughout this match as the last weapon that will weaken.

Djokovic is one of the best returners out there though and I think he will put Anderson under enough pressure to break him down. I was a little critical of Djokovic's poor play on the returning points at break point against Rafael Nadal, but I think the pressure contributed to that as he knows how good Nadal can be and how important the match was to him.

While this match is bigger with a Wimbledon title on the line, I think Djokovic will know a deep return will help him get into rallies he would expect to win more often than not and I think that will help him improve the return. There is a little way to go before we see Djokovic returning to the level he showed in 2015 when beating Anderson in five sets at Wimbledon, but I think he will do enough to find a break in every set.

The Djokovic serve has been in good shape over the last month on the grass courts and Anderson is a pretty limited returner. I expect Djokovic to get the big man moving plenty in this match and I think it may be a situation where Anderson just cannot do enough to keep this competitive and so backing the former World Number 1 to return to the top 10 of the World Rankings with a Grand Slam title to add to his collection looks the way to go.

I have nothing but respect for Anderson maximising his talent over the last couple of years as he has begun to find some big Grand Slam results. However he was beaten handily by Rafael Nadal in the US Open Final and I think Djokovic will come through some nervy moments to produce a routine win of his own on Sunday.

MY PICKS: Novak Djokovic - 4.5 Games @ 1.72 Ladbrokes (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 44-41, + 1.36 Units (170 Units Staked, + 1% Yield)

World Cup Final 2018 Pick- France vs Croatia (July 15th)

I can't believe a month at the World Cup is about o come to a close on Sunday and I have to say the tournament has been about as good as any going back to Italia 90.

The England run was magnificent and united a country at a difficult time, while there have been a couple of truly memorable World Cup matches notably Portugal vs Spain and Brazil vs Belgium.

Hopefully there are two more quality matches to come with the unwanted Third/Fourth Play Off coming on Saturday before the Final between France and Croatia kicks off on Sunday.

And then it will be all eyes turned to Qatar in four and a half years time.

Belgium vs England
Some would consider this the most meaningless game in international football as the two losing Semi Finalists at the World Cup Finals meet for the right to say they finished third at the event. No player is going to be that interested about parading a bronze medal around, but there is an edge to Belgium versus England which could mean another high-scoring game.

High-scoring games is what the Third/Fourth Play Off has become known for as teams are perhaps using changed line ups and there isn't anything to lose so attacking football comes to the fore.

Both Belgium and England will feel they can get at what can be considered vulnerable defences and the attacking players will have their chances in this one.

The edge between the teams comes from the fact that so many of them will be familiar with one another with a huge amount of the Belgium players currently plying their trade in the English Premier League. While the likes of Kevin De Bruyne, Eden Hazard and Romelu Lukaku were not featured in the Group Stage win over England, I imagine they will be urging Roberto Martinez to allow them to play this game.

Martinez himself has insisted Belgium are looking for their best ever World Cup Finals and they can do that by winning this game and surpassing the efforts made by the 1986 squad. It is also important to Martinez to give the team some momentum for the UEFA Nations League and moving through to Euro 2020 in two years time after an improved Belgium performance at this World Cup.

Gareth Southgate has suggested the same for England, but injuries are adding up and England have had less time to get over their disappointment of missing out on a World Cup Finals place. They have also had to play an additional thirty minutes before going out of the tournament and I think a fresher Belgium with arguably a stronger starting eleven will be too good for England.

This may not be the game that either team wanted to be playing this weekend but I think the players will be keen to get one over on club team-mates and that makes for a good looking game of football.

I have to give the edge to Belgium who have the stronger attacking approach and what looks like a defence with a few less mistakes in them than their England counterparts. Having an extra day to recover for this game will help and I think Belgium are worth backing on the Asian Handicap to earn the win.

France vs Croatia
This may not be a World Cup Final that a lot of people would have predicted at the start of the tournament but it could be argued the two best teams have made it through to contest the biggest prize in football.

Teams like Belgium may argue against that, and some have even suggested the Semi Final between France and Belgium was effectively the 'real Final', but France will need to be reminded of how things can go wrong if you overlook an opponent.

Just look back two years- France beat World Cup Champions Germany 2-0 in the Euro 2016 Semi Final and most expected them to get past Portugal and even more so when Cristiano Ronaldo had to leave very early with an injury. Even then things did not work out as they would have expected as they were beaten 0-1 in their home Final and I think Didier Deschamps will make sure the players are reminded of needing to be focused.

I do think the players would have learned from those mistakes though and I don't think France will make those again.

That isn't underestimating Croatia, but there has to be an accumulated fatigue building up to the levels which will make it tough for them to perform at their best. For forty-five minutes against England Croatia were clearly second best and it was only a couple of big missed opportunities that prevented England from taking complete control of that Semi Final.

France may be a cautious side by nature under Deschamps, but they have been looking pretty tight defensively and they have the midfield to disrupt the power of the Croatian side in the middle of the park. That is key for France and doing that should mean they can expose what has looked a vulnerable Croatia defence and I very much think France win this Final.

They are the fresher team who have had longer to prepare for the Final and the experience of Euro 2016 should really help the players focus for this one. France have enough quality in the final third to create chances and are a threat at set pieces, while the last couple of games have seen them defend very well.

It all adds up to a simple selection for me and that is backing France to win this game. If they score first, as they have in their three Knock Out ties and Croatia have conceded first in all three Knock Out ties, I think France will be very tough to peg back and have the counter attack to finish off what will be tired opponents.

All credit to Croatia for making the Final, but all the additional football needed will have added up physically and emotionally and I will back France to win a second World Cup title twenty years after the first.

MY PICKS: Belgium - 0.25 Asian Handicap @ 2.00 Bet365 (2 Units)
France @ 1.95 Bet Fred (2 Units)

Semi Final Final1-1, + 0.20 Units (4 Units Staked, + 5% Yield)
Quarter Final Final2-2, + 2.70 Units (8 Units, + 33.75% Yield)
Last 16 Final2-6, - 7.20 Units (16 Units Staked, - 45% Yield)
Group Stage Round Robin Three Final8-8, + 3.53 Units (27.50 Units Staked, + 12.84% Yield)
Group Stage Round Robin Two Final8-7-1, + 1.09 Units (31 Units Staked, + 3.52% Yield)

Group Stage Round Robin One Final8-8, + 5.24 Units (28 Units Staked, + 18.71% Yield)

Thursday, 12 July 2018

Wimbledon Tennis Day 11 Picks 2018 (July 13th)

Wimbledon 2018 has been a tournament of upsets, especially on the women's side of the event, but the biggest was reserved for the men's Quarter Final as Roger Federer blew a 2-0 lead in sets and a match point in the third set to eventually go down to a five set defeat to Kevin Anderson.

For a long time it looked like Roger Federer was peaking to win another Wimbledon title, but now the favourite has to be the winner of what could be a classic Semi Final between Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal.

Another big serving match looks likely to develop when Anderson takes on John Isner on Friday as we get down to the last couple of days of this tournament as well as the 2018 World Cup Finals which are concluded on the same day as Wimbledon comes to a close.

It has been a mixed tournament for the Tennis Picks but one that will be decided in the next three days. A strong end to the Wimbledon tournament would mean putting some more positive numbers in the season totals.

The next month will then bring in a couple of the hard court events as attention turns to the fourth Grand Slam of the season which begins in six weeks time, but we also have a final European clay court swing in the weeks ahead.

For now the concentration is trying to find four more winners from the remaining Wimbledon matches at the 2018 tournament.

John Isner v Kevin Anderson: Both of the men's Semi Finals are considered highly competitive matches and the layers are finding it very difficult to separate the four players involved.

The first match I am looking at is what is expected to be the big serving contest between John Isner and Kevin Anderson with both players in a bit of a difficult spot mentally.

John Isner has had some strong runs at Grand Slams in the past but a limited return game has held him back from having a really big impact before this Wimbledon event. It has been strange to see him going so deep into the draw when you think of the poor record he has at Wimbledon despite having a monster of a serve and that is down to being forced to dig deep to win matches which can tire out the big American.

Isner had only previously reached just one Quarter Final at Grand Slam level which is remarkable when you think of the serve alone. It has been a long time since that Quarter Final from the 2011 US Open, but Isner is playing with some freedom and will have enjoyed the fact he has dropped just a single set in the last three Rounds while also seeing off another big server in Milos Raonic in the Quarter Final.

A lack of success at the Grand Slam level had been Kevin Anderson's issue despite becoming a regular in the second week of these big events. However he made his breakthrough by reaching the US Open Final last September and that will hold Anderson in good stead in this one.

However he is coming off a huge emotional and physical effort to beat Wimbledon legend Roger Federer in the Quarter Final and having to play twenty-four games in the fifth set will have taken something away from Anderson. He can fall back on a huge serve of his own to try and get through games quickly, but Anderson will find it tough to bring the same intensity into this one after such a huge career win.

These two have not played one another since 2015, but it is Isner who has dominated the head to head. That didn't matter for Roger Federer against a much improved Kevin Anderson, but factoring in that win may mean Anderson has just left something on the court after back to back long, tough matches.

Both players have produced some very good tennis to reach this Semi Final, but the feeling I have is that Isner may have a little more pop on his serve for a little longer than Anderson. That could be the small percentage which helps Isner get past the South African and reach a maiden Grand Slam Final of his own this time around.

Novak Djokovic v Rafael Nadal: There are going to be plenty of people out there who will consider this the 'real' Wimbledon Final when Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal step onto Centre Court to play one another for the first time since the 2011 Wimbledon Final.

Both players have looked really strong going through the draw although it is Nadal who was forced into an epic Quarter Final match against Juan Martin Del Potro which has to be factored into this one. He spent well over four hours on the court in the Quarter Final and had to come from 2-1 down in sets to win that match and it is a big ask for Nadal to recover and be ready to face someone who is arguably superior on this surface.

For Novak Djokovic the big challenge is to hold the emotions together as he has already produced his best performance at a Grand Slam since losing in the 2016 US Open Final. It is funny to think the last time he won a Grand Slam was the 2016 French Open to complete his set and it was clear the emotional effort to win that tournament took something out of the tank for the former World Number 1.

It has been a long road back for Djokovic with an injury curtailing his 2017 season and there have been some ups and downs in 2018. However I have been mentioning for a while that I feel Djokovic is approaching his best and the last month on the grass courts have shown there is a player here who is feeling much better about his overall game.

The numbers have backed that up with strong serving backed up by the kind of returning that Djokovic was producing between 2014 and June 2016 when he won six of the ten Grand Slams in which he competed. Those numbers are going to be put to the test by the current World Number 1 Rafael Nadal who has been in fantastic form at Wimbledon after winning yet another Grand Slam title at the French Open six weeks ago.

Nadal's numbers have also been very strong and there is no doubt this is going to be a very good match to watch and a very close one to call.

The length of the Quarter Final win over Del Potro can't be ignored, but I also know Nadal is one of the fittest players on the Tour and it hasn't been a really taxing tournament before that match. That means I am expecting Nadal at his best, but Djokovic was able to give him something to think about in their recent clay court encounter in Rome and this surface may suit the Serb more than the Spaniard.

I won't be surprised if this match needs four and potentially five sets to separate them, but I am going to back Djokovic to get the better of Nadal and I think it will be Djokovic playing in his first Grand Slam Final in almost two years.

MY PICKS: John Isner @ 1.91 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Novak Djokovic @ 1.91 Bet Fred (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 43-40, + 1.54 Units (166 Units Staked, + 1% Yield)

Wednesday, 11 July 2018

Wimbledon Tennis Day 10 Picks 2018 (July 12th)

The England World Cup Semi Final is being played on Wednesday evening which means I am covering the Women's Semi Finals at Wimbledon merely hours after the Semi Final line up was completed.

I think it looks a fascinating day for the ladies who will be playing on Centre Court and I think there will be some fun tennis for the fans to enjoy as the nation wakes up from either seeing England reach their first World Cup Final in 52 years or recovering from another Semi Final disappointment.

Football fever has no doubt reached the players at Wimbledon this year too, but the focus of the four ladies playing on Thursday will be in making sure they are playing again this Saturday.

Angelique Kerber - 2.5 games v Jelena Ostapenko: A lot of people have been criticising the women's tournament at Wimbledon this summer after all of the top ten Seeds were beaten before the Quarter Finals. Yet here we have a Semi Final featuring two players who have won Grand Slam titles before albeit still looking for the first Wimbledon crown.

Jelena Ostapenko continues her rise in the women's game having won the French Open in 2017 and followed that up with her first Wimbledon Quarter Final twelve months ago. A dominant win over Dominika Cibulkova has helped her surpass that achievement to make the Semi Final here and there is a lot to admire about her game.

The Latvian is capable of getting very hot on a tennis court which means hitting winner after winner and even a defensive master like Angelique Kerber would struggle to keep Ostapenko at bay if the latter is feeling her game. She can crack winners straight off the return of serve and is able to hit down the line and cross-court without losing any pace on the ball.

Ostapenko is yet to drop a set at Wimbledon and she has an underrated serve when she is getting the first serve rhythm down. That makes her a massive danger to anyone she plays on any given day, but the all or nothing approach can also see Ostapenko produce a tonne of unforced errors.

Unforced errors is not the business in which Angelique Kerber operates and she has the experience of being a multiple time Slam winner as well as a former Wimbledon Finalist. There were still nerves towards the end of the Quarter Final win over Daria Kasatkina as Kerber has had a difficult eighteen months or so during which time she has struggled to always find her best tennis after a career best 2016.

However Kerber has been approaching her best for a number of months and coming out of a clay court season that doesn't suit her should have given the German confidence. The way she has handled her nerves towards the end of the last two matches will also stand her in good stead and I think Kerber's superior grass court tennis history will help her in those difficult moments against a free hitting spirit like Ostapenko.

This match is going to be close and much will depend on the racquet of the Latvian which makes it tough to go against her. The recent loss to Agnieszka Radwanska on the grass courts has to be the blueprint for Kerber to follow as Ostapenko struggled to get enough out of her serve to challenge the former top ten player.

My feeling is that Kerber's defensive skills will do enough to frustrate Ostapenko into going for a little more and that should see her unforced errors creep upwards. We did see how Ostapenko was tough to stop at the French Open in 2017 when she got hot like she is looking at Wimbledon, but the grass courts should give Kerber the edge and I like the German to extract enough errors to win this match and cover the number.

Serena Williams - 4.5 games v Julie Goerges: After all the questions about Serena Williams should have been Seeded or not at the Wimbledon tournament, some have now wondered why she wasn't Seeded much higher than her current 25 number.

Once again Serena Williams looks to be the player to beat on the grass of SW19 after coming through some difficult moments against Camila Giorgi in the Quarter Final. She will be facing another big hitting player on Thursday in the Semi Final, but Giorgi really is someone who is one of a kind and Serena Williams has been serving very well for the majority of the last ten days.

That makes it a big ask for Julia Goerges to find a way to get closer to her having lost all three previous matches against Serena Williams including on the clay courts of the French Open six weeks ago. On that day Goerges did break the Williams serve for the first time, but her limited returning game on the grass courts doesn't offer a lot of encouragement for me in this one.

Goerges has also spent a lot more time on the court than Serena Williams at Wimbledon having needed eighteen games in a deciding set to see off Barbora Strycova and then needing three sets to beat Kiki Bertens in the Quarter Final. That is a big emotional effort for a player who had a surprisingly poor record at Wimbledon and on the grass in general before this run.

With a big serve and heavy forehand you would have thought Goerges would be happy on this surface, but that has not been the case for the majority of her career. Early losses at Wimbledon became the norm for her and I think the first Grand Slam Semi Final is also going to be playing on the nerves and that is before she thinks of the opponent she is up against.

If Goerges is able to serve up to the standards she has set she will be dangerous, but I have a feeling she is going to be a little tight especially if Williams is able to get a couple of big hits off early. Serena's return game has not been up to the level she would have liked, but she is serving so well that players are going to feel the pressure to stay with her and I think that will contribute to Goerges cracking here.

The German has not had the best returning numbers on the grass courts in her career and now faces the best serve in the women's game. I think that builds the scoreboard pressure and Serena Williams will be able to find a similar win to the one she produced against Goerges at the French Open and that will be good enough to cover this number for the American.

MY PICKS: Angelique Kerber - 2.5 Games @ 1.91 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Serena Williams - 4.5 Games @ 2.00 Paddy Power (2 Units)

Wimbledon Tennis Day 9 Picks 2018 (July 11th)

On Tuesday the four women's Semi Finalists were decided and on Wednesday it is the turn of the men who will contest their four Quarter Finals across Centre Court and Court One.

The four Ladies Semi Finalists look like they could produce some fun tennis, but the Men's tournament could be absolutely fantastic in the days ahead.

With a couple more winners on Tuesday, the week has been turned back into a positive position and I am hoping to build on that on Wednesday with the following picks.

Novak Djokovic - 5.5 games v Kei Nishikori: The women's event at Wimbledon may have seen many of the top names exit the tournament far earlier than anyone would have imagined, but the big names have all made it through to the Quarter Finals in the men's event.

That means there are some big matches to come on Wednesday and I am expecting plenty of entertainment when Novak Djokovic takes on Kei Nishikori. These two players have matched up well in the past and produced some very impressive tennis when they have come up against one another, although Djokovic has a serious edge having won twelve matches in a row against Nishikori since the latter upset the Serb in the US Open Semi Final in 2014.

Two of those wins came on the clay courts in preparing for the French Open a couple of months ago and both of those were competitive affairs. That could be the case here in this Quarter Final with the chance of seeing both players having their moments before Djokovic is able to just put enough solid tennis together to see off Nishikori.

It is the former World Number 1 who has looked in better form than Nishikori during the tournament and I think there have been serious signs that Djokovic is getting someway close to his very best tennis. You have to be concerned that there are still one or two moments in matches where Djokovic loses the intensity, but for the most part he has been playing some very strong tennis for a couple of months and his performances on the grass have been very encouraging.

The same can't be said of Nishikori who has had to battle past a couple of awkward players to take his place in the Quarter Final at Wimbledon for the first time. I am a little surprised he has not made it this far before with some solid grass court numbers in his career, but Nishikori is going to have to step up his game to get the better of Novak Djokovic in this one.

Nishikori has had to spend significantly longer on the court than Djokovic and ultimately this is a match up that the latter has found good enough to his liking to edge past the Japanese player a number of times in a row. With the numbers Djokovic has been producing on the grass courts over the last month, I favour him to get past Nishikori in three or four sets and I think that will be good enough for Djokovic to cover this number.

Roger Federer - 6.5 games v Kevin Anderson: At the start of the tournament Roger Federer was a strong favourite to win the title at Wimbledon and not a lot has happened to think he is not the player to beat in SW19. He has comfortably made his way through the draw without dropping a set and Federer has a strong head to head against Kevin Anderson which should give him the mental edge in this match.

It is Federer who has won all four previous matches against Anderson and half of those wins have come in very strong fashion. You can't ignore the fact that the last of those matches came in August 2015 and Anderson is a much improved player since then, but it will need a big effort from the South African to get the better of Federer here.

Over the last twelve months Anderson has become a regular name at the business end of Grand Slam tournaments and making a maiden Quarter Final at Wimbledon will underline the improvements he has made since he last played Federer.

However this is a huge mental challenge for Anderson despite entering the top ten of the World Rankings and much will depend on how much joy he can get out of the big serve. If Anderson can serve at his best and force Federer to struggle with the return he will have half a chance, but Federer is a star at making a run against a big server at the right time and he has enjoyed plenty of success against these types of players over the last fifteen years in this tournament.

The Federer return has not been as effective as he would have liked in the build up to Wimbledon, but he has been returning well in the tournament. He will look to bunt a number of returns back in play and force Anderson to beat him in the longer rallies and that is not something I am sure the South African can do for long enough to stay with Federer.

Roger Federer's serve has been a huge weapon for him in this tournament and he has yet to be broken. It is unlikely that Anderson will have a lot of joy against the Federer serve in this Quarter Final and only the unfamiliar surroundings of playing on Court One could put Federer off.

That's a long shot as far as I am concerned and I think he can cover what is a very big number at odds against.

Rafael Nadal - 4.5 games v Juan Martin Del Potro: The task in front of Juan Martin Del Potro to win this match could have been all the tougher if he had not fought back and beaten Gilles Simon in four sets on Tuesday. There isn't a lot of time for Del Potro to recover in time for this Quarter Final but he does have the power to trouble Rafael Nadal.

For the first time since 2011 Rafael Nadal is back in the Quarter Final at Wimbledon and he has won all four matches so far this week without dropping a set. This is arguably as good as Nadal has played at any time on the grass since 2011 and I don't think he will be too concerned about the tennis that Del Potro will produce.

Of course Nadal will respect that tennis and will accept that the Argentinian is capable of producing some huge strokes off the ground and through his serve which can take the racquet out of the hands of Nadal. However it has to be a concern to Del Potro fans that their man might be short of some energy having been asked to spend well over four hours on the court to see off Simon who will play in a similar manner to Nadal.

There is also a big difference in the way Nadal is able to hit through the court compared with Simon and I think the Spaniard will beat Del Potro for the third time at a Grand Slam in the last ten months. Nadal crushed Del Potro at the US Open and the French Open in the Semi Final of both of those tournaments and he has won seven of the last nine matches between them.

The two previous matches between these players on the grass have also been won by Nadal and I think his performances this week have been very encouraging. I do worry that Del Potro will be able to produce the kind of big hitting tennis which has taken Nadal out of the Wimbledon tournaments in recent years, but I think the lack of energy could end up being the difference maker in this match.

Nadal is not someone who will go away in matches and I think he will start to break down Del Potro the longer they spend on the court. The first set could be very competitive as it has been in their last two matches in New York and Paris, but after that it was Nadal's superior conditioning which saw him pull away for comfortable wins and something similar may happen here.

I'm a big fan of Del Potro, but Nadal is a top player and he can work through this match and cover the number as he makes his way to the Semi Final.

Milos Raonic-John Isner over 46.5 games: I was very close to backing John Isner to win this match as the underdog as I feel he has been in better form than Milos Raonic at Wimbledon, but ultimately I have settled with the total games market.

A straight sets win for either player will end any hope of the total games line being surpassed as it has been set at a very high mark, but these two players are so reliant on the serve that it wouldn't be a big surprise to see at least four tight sets to be played.

The serve is a big weapon for both Raonic and Isner and both have been very dominant behind that shot. Facing each other means they are not expected to see the return of serve suddenly coming to the fore in this one and Raonic's stronger grass court pedigree may aid him in the match.

I expect to see at least three tie-breakers to be played if this goes four sets and breaks of serve will be at a premium barring one of the two players suddenly falling off the cliff when it comes to their fitness levels. With that in mind it does look like a big line can be surpassed and I will expect the big serving to be the dominant shot in the match.

We will need at least four sets to be played to get the chance to see the line covered, but seven of their nine previous matches have needed tie-breakers and as long as they split at least two of those we should see the total line covered.

MY PICKS: Novak Djokovic - 5.5 Games @ 1.80 Boyle Sports (2 Units)
Roger Federer - 6.5 Games @ 2.37 Ladbrokes (2 Units)
Rafael Nadal - 4.5 Games @ 2.00 Paddy Power (2 Units)
Milos Raonic-John Isner Over 46.5 Games @ 1.83 Paddy Power (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 40-37, + 2.12 Units (154 Units Staked, + 1.38% Yield)