Tuesday proved to be a positive day, but I am looking for some consistency from the Tennis Picks through the remainder of this first Masters of the season. The tournament will come to a conclusion this weekend before the Tour moves onto Miami next week and we have reached the business end of the tournament.
Hopefully the wins continue on Wednesday with the selections below.
Hubert Hurkacz + 2.5 games v Andrey Rublev: Over the last twelve months you have to give the edge to Andrey Rublev over Hubert Hurkacz when it comes to the hard court numbers produced, although both are very strong on the surface. The slower conditions in Indian Wells may give Andrey Rublev a slight advantage in this match too and I am not surprised he is the favourite, but this is a match up that has been very tough for him and I certainly think the lower Ranked player can make a real impact on this Fourth Round encounter.
Andrey Rublev is having a strong 2022 and he is certainly one of the top players on the ATP Tour, especially when it comes to hard court tennis. His numbers over the first two matches at Indian Wells has seen the Russian player produce some consistency behind his serve, but it is the return game that has really propelled him into comfortable back to back wins.
The win over Frances Tiafoe on Tuesday evening showed the confidence that Andrey Rublev has on the surface, but I do think he is going to be tested by the Hubert Hurkacz serve.
The Polish player has held 90% of service games played on the hard courts in 2022 and he has slightly improved that number in his two wins in this tournament. Hubert Hurkacz has faced a couple of tough servers and has not been returning as well as his overall season numbers, and that is going to be a challenge on his side of the court in this match too.
In their sole meeting in 2022, Andrey Rublev got the better of Hubert Hurkacz for the first time on a quicker court in Dubai, but it is the latter who had won the previous two matches.
The win in Dubai came in three sets and was a very competitive match, although it should be noted that Andrey Rublev was deserving of the win. However, their previous two hard court matches has seen Hubert Hurkacz have a slight edge when it comes to protecting the serve and I certainly think he is capable of keeping this one close with the games being given to the underdog.
A single break of serve may be enough to steal a set for Hubert Hurkacz and that may be all it takes for him to cover as the underdog and I think the games can be kept onside in this Fourth Round match.
MY PICKS: Hubert Hurkacz + 2.5 Games @ 1.91 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Nick Kyrgios @ 2.00 Bet365 (2 Units)
Alex De Minaur @ 2.00 Bet365 (2 Units)
Grigor Dimitrov @ 1.91 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Madison Keys + 4.5 Games @ 1.91 Bet365 (2 Units)
Indian Wells Update: 19-17, - 3.50 Units (72 Units Staked, - 4.86% Yield)
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