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Thursday 16 September 2021

NFL Week 2 Picks 2021 (September 16-20)

The first week of the NFL season is in the books and Week 2 is very much upon us with Thursday Night Football getting things going with a big NFC East game to be played.

You can't read too much into Week 1, but there were still some eye-opening results and performances that you may want to keep tabs on.

The main story might have been the blow out suffered by the Green Bay Packers, although I am not going to join the conspiracy theorists who believe Aaron Rodgers has turned up to tank their season. Ultimately it would make little sense for Rodgers to waste a season of his career in this manner, while giving Green Bay a high Pick in the next Draft is not exactly hurting the franchise more than his own reputation.

I don't think Rodgers is someone who cares what people think about him, but he does have respect for the Green Bay fans and I am putting the dud down to the fact that he has always struggled in Florida in his career. The New Orleans Saints picked Jacksonville for a reason and they made that pay for them, but I expect Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers to bounce back and produce something big on Monday Night Football.

Of course if the Packers were to lose on Monday, I would begin to question my own feelings about the intentions of Aaron Rodgers and his team may be one that self-implodes really quickly.


Other teams also laid a dud in Week 1 and I would expect better from them- the Indianapolis Colts need injuries to clear up, but they are better than what they showed, and I also think the Tennessee Titans will never be as bad as they were in Week 1 again this season.

Teams like the New Orleans Saints and Houston Texans looked really good in Week 1, but you don't want to get carried away about their chances with seventeen more weeks of the season to go.


Both the AFC and NFC West Divisions earned clean sweeps of Week 1, but only the NFC North returned four losers. Those Divisions will believe they have the quality to find multiple teams entering the PlayOffs at the end of the regular season, but there is every chance these teams can feast on one another with little to separate them.

The Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers will certainly expect to make the post-season, but the likes of the Los Angeles Chargers, Arizona Cardinals, and Las Vegas Raiders will look to back up big wins in Week 1 and begin to build momentum into the season.


It was not a great start for the NFL Picks, but it could have been a lot worse if not getting the early number on the 49ers who blew a massive lead against the Detroit Lions. Vegas backers waiting until the 1pm kick offs begun will have been stung by the comeback with the margin ending at 8 points and it is considered the baddest of bad beats in Week 1 if the 49ers let you down.

To be honest I made some poor Picks in Week 1 and there is work to do to turn things around in Week 2.

I will begin with the Thursday Night Football Pick and will add selections from the rest of Week 2 to this thread in the days ahead.


New York Giants @ Washington Football Team Pick: Only one of the four teams in the NFC East won on the opening week of the NFL season and two of the 0-1 teams will be meeting on Thursday Night Football. Even the expanded PlayOffs in the NFL will be difficult to reach if you fall into a 0-2 hole and that puts the pressure on the New York Giants and the Washington Football Team.

Both teams would have entered the season with some serious expectations and the Coaching Staff at the New York Giants are especially under pressure to end what has been the lowest period of time in the history of this franchise. The Giants did 'improve' to 6-10 in 2020, but the team has been a slow rebuild and another losing season will surely mean the franchise is moving in a different direction in the General Manager office as well as in the Coaching area.

The Washington Football team also finished with a losing record in 2020, but Ron Rivera is considered a top Head Coach and he will be given ample time considering that record was good enough to win the Division last season. There is a lot to like about this Washington team, but an injury to Ryan Fitzpatrick in Week 1 means they are going to have to turn to back up Quarter Back Taylor Heinicke for the foreseeable future.

There will be some encouragement about the new Quarter Back and mainly because of the way he performed in the PlayOff loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Wild Card Round last season. However, it also should be noted that the Quarter Back position is one that has to be more consistent if the Football Team are going to become the first NFC East team in sixteen seasons to retain the Divisional crown.

Taylor Heinicke is expected to be given plenty of support from the skill positions on the Offensive side of the ball, while the Offensive Line showed what they can do when it comes to running the ball. The Football Team had a lot of success on the ground in the defeat to the Los Angeles Chargers and I expect Antonio Gibson to have a bounce back performance after arguably costing the team a victory with a fumble near his own goal-line in the second half of the defeat to the Chargers.

The New York Giants Defensive Line struggled against the run in Week 1 and that has to be encouragement for the Washington Football Team who will not want to put a lot of pressure on their back up taking over from Ryan Fitzpatrick. Last season the Giants showed they could be stout against the run and they may double down on the focus of shutting down Antonio Gibson and the expectation is that the Giants Secondary should be stronger despite the poor performance against the Denver Broncos.

Teddy Bridgewater is a solid Quarter Back, but Taylor Heinicke may not be quite as good if the Giants can clamp down on the run and force him to beat them through the air. Instead the Washington Football Team have to look to the Defensive unit to contain the Giants and at least give their Quarter Back a chance to win this game by limiting the points being given to their Divisional rivals.

New York are looking for a huge improvement from Daniel Jones at Quarter Back, but they struggled in Week 1 against a strong Denver Defensive unit and now have to face another in the Washington Football Team. Daniel Jones didn't give up a turnover through the air, but he did Fumble the ball which proved to be costly for New York as they were eventually blown away by the Broncos at home.

Fumbles have been a huge problem for Daniel Jones since being Drafted by the New York Giants and he may have to rely on a banged up Saquon Barkley who has admitted this short week is not ideal for him as he recovers from a major injury. It is going to be difficult for any Running Back to get something going against this Football Team Defensive Line though and I think Barkley is going to have a tough evening which is only going to increase the pressure on his Quarter Back.

The Washington Defensive Line is the strength of this unit and they were able to contain Los Angeles last week to 3.1 yards per carry and I do think they will be able to get the better of the New York Offensive Line too. That is all important for the Football Team with a strong pass rush likely to cause havoc for Daniel Jones behind Center and give Washington an opportunity to win the game.

However, Daniel Jones will have an opportunity for success if he is given a little bit of time to make his throws- the Washington Secondary struggled to stop Justin Herbert last week and, although Herbert is better than Jones, the New York Giants have some very good skill players that can step up for their Quarter Back.

Kenny Golladay was the big signing made to offer Daniel Jones another big time pass catching threat and I do think he can make some plays to move this Offensive unit down the field.

It does feel like it is going to be a low-scoring game with both Defensive units likely able to step up and make some big plays for both New York and Washington.

Both teams are coming off losses and will want to bounce back on the short week, but you can't ignore the fact that New York have won the last five against Washington and the Giants are 4-0 with Daniel Jones as their starter. New York are 3-1 against the spread in those four games, while they are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games in Washington.

The Giants are also 9-2 against the spread as the road underdog with Daniel Jones Quarter Backing the team and having the hook with the points looks hard to ignore.

I like Ron Rivera as a Head Coach and he has a very good record when facing a team with revenge on his mind, but the Giants managed to get the better of him twice last season. It feels like they match up pretty well with the Football Team and I think New York can be backed to make it two out of two for the underdog on Thursday Night Football in the 2021 season.

Washington are 1-5 against the spread in their last six as the home favourite, while New York are 9-1 against the spread when facing a Divisional opponent after scoring less than 14 points as they did against the Denver Broncos. The Giants were 5-1 against the spread in their six Divisional games in 2020 under Joe Judge and I think having more than a Field Goal start is very appealing in what is projected to be a low-scoring game.


Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins Pick: The AFC East was supposed to be dominated by the Buffalo Bills (0-1) with the rest of the three teams fighting it out for a potential Wild Card spot in the PlayOffs. You don't want to walk too far from the path of expectation by taking Week 1 results into account, but the Bills will be looking to show how good they can be when they try and bounce back from a tough afternoon against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

They are facing the only team in the Division who walked away with a win in Week 1 after the Miami Dolphins (1-0) barely held on to win on the road against the New England Patriots. There were some positives out of that win, but Miami also still need to show some huge improvements and the main focus for that has to be on the Quarter Back.

Tua Tagovailoa had some positive moments which underlined why Head Coach Brian Flores and the organisation have remained behind him despite being linked with a move for a Quarter Back via trades. For now they will give Tua Tagovailoa as much time as he needs, but this season there is no Ryan Fitzpatrick to bail Miami out if they begin to lose faith in their young signal-caller and that is going to mean pressure on Tagovailoa's shoulders.

He dealt with it pretty well in Week 1, but it was an ugly Interception thrown in the Fourth Quarter which may have cost Miami the victory. The Defensive unit stepped up, but Tua Tagovailoa can ill-afford to continue to make those mistakes in his second season with the team and especially not if Miami wish to earn their place in the post-season having only just missed out in 2020.

It will be a revenge mission in Week 2 as it was the blow out loss to the Buffalo Bills which cost Miami in Week 17 last season, but the Dolphins have lost five in a row to this Divisional rival.

Last week they were outgained by over 130 yards by the New England Patriots and that is unsustainable over a long period so Miami will be looking to utilise their solid Receiving corps in Week 2. Will Fuller will be absent again as he continues to deal with personal issues, but Tua Tagovailoa has plenty of players who can step up and try and make plays for the team.

That is going to be far from easy against this Buffalo Defensive unit which mostly contained Pittsburgh in Week 1 despite the loss on the day. It was Special Teams and a costly Offensive turnover which ultimately did for Buffalo who only gave up 177 passing yards in the loss and will feel they can create the pressure up front to force Tagovailoa into bad throws.

The Bills Defensive Line was very strong at clamping down on the run in Week 1 and they were solid up front last season too. Buffalo should not be overly concerned by the Running Backs used by the Miami Dolphins, while the Offensive Line is still coming together and struggled to make holes in the opening win over the Patriots.

With pressure coming up front as they force Miami into third and long spots, I think the Bills Defensive unit will be able to produce another top performance and this time they are likely to be well backed by the Offense which struggled for consistency in Week 1.

You cannot ignore the almost 400 yards Buffalo produced against what looks to be another strong Pittsburgh Defense, but Josh Allen and company were not able to finish drives in the manner they would have liked. Despite those yardage numbers, Buffalo only managed 16 points in Week 1 and that means and Offense that averaged over 31 points per game last season has not managed to reach 30 points in any of their last four games.

Josh Allen will have been disappointed with his own performance, but I expect the Quarter Back and the Bills to bounce back against the Miami Dolphins. Brian Flores has built a strong Defense in South Florida, but it is a team that will take chances and they are not as stout against the run as the Steelers.

Buffalo were able to produce some decent numbers on the ground last week and I think they will have more success in this game which will give the Offensive unit a massive boost. The biggest factor with running the ball effectively is that Josh Allen should get more time to throw the ball, while the Offensive Line will likely be able to protect him much better against this Miami Dolphins pass rush compared with the defeat to the Steelers in Week 1.

The Dolphins allowed Mac Jones to have a productive debut for the Patriots and there is no doubt that Josh Allen is considerably further in his development. I expect Miami to try and use their ball-hawking to swing the momentum towards them, but an angry Buffalo team is coming to town and I think Josh Allen and his Offensive skill players have a big day.

I like Buffalo to bounce back, as much as it pains me to say it, and their recent record against Miami is hard to ignore. Even playing in South Florida has not been a big problem for a traditionally cold weather team and Buffalo have won on three of their last four visits and have gone 2-1-1 against the spread in that time.

Miami have played really well as the underdog in recent times under Brian Flores and that has to be respected as does any home team being given the points. They are getting the hook which is a slight concern, but in recent years Miami are also 1-8 against the spread when playing off a straight up win against a team that failed to cover in Week 1 during the opening quarter of the season.

During this same early part of the season, Buffalo have gone 9-1 against the spread against unbeaten opponents, while Sean McDermott is a very strong Head Coach who has guided the Bills to a 9-1 record against the spread when facing an opponent that won the previous game as the underdog.

The Bills are 5-2-1 against the spread as the road favourite across the last two seasons and I think they can beat Miami again to keep the Indian sign over their heads.


Los Angeles Rams @ Indianapolis Colts Pick: You have to feel a little square backing a road favourite coming from the West Coast and playing in the 1pm slot in Week 2.

However, teams in that spot have been massively improved over the last couple of seasons and the Los Angeles Rams (1-0) looked every bit the Super Bowl contender in their comfortable win over the Chicago Bears in Week 1. They are looking much healthier than their opponent and the biggest factor going against the Rams may be the fact they are playing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers next up.

It would be easy to overlook the Indianapolis Colts (0-1) after they laid a dud in their home loss to the Seattle Seahawks, but this is a team that has much higher expectations than they showed in that performance. However, the Colts are suffering some significant injuries on either side of the ball which may make it very difficult to compete with the Rams if the visitors are even slightly focused on this game.

There is a big Divisional game on deck which could easily see the Colts looking ahead to Week 3, although a defeat in the opening game should mean they are relatively more focused and desperate to avoid falling into the 0-2 start.

Carson Wentz and the Offense only produced 16 points in Week 1 though and they are going to have a tough time scoring a lot more than that if the Offensive Line is banged up this week. Eric Fisher is Questionable, which would mean Wentz is not as protected on his blind side as he would, while any issues on any Offensive Line are going to lead to problems facing this Los Angeles pass rush.

The Rams Defensive Line did have a few problems stopping the run last week, but the Colts struggled to get going on the ground and had to move away from that avenue when they fell behind Seattle. Despite that, Los Angeles got after Andy Dalton and they successfully penetrated the backfield consistently, which is going to be a problem for the Indianapolis Colts Offensive Line that struggled to protect their Quarter Back against a Defensive Line that is not as strong as the one they will be seeing this week.

Los Angeles have a tough Secondary which is benefited by the pressure the Defensive Line get up front and I do think that will make it difficult for the Colts to move the ball with any consistency.

And if they are not moving the ball, Los Angeles will have Matthew Stafford looking to back up his impressive performance in Week 1 as the move from Detroit to Los Angeles went every bit as good as the Rams would have hoped for.

Sean McVay will know there is room for improvement as the Rams look to find the balance Offensively which will only make life easier for the best Quarter Back the Head Coach has had in his time with this team. Last week Los Angeles only produced 3.2 yards per carry, but the Colts may be looking to sell out to protect their Secondary and their Defensive Line did struggle against the Seahawks.

Any time the Rams get into third and manageable spots, you would have to like Matthew Stafford's chances of moving the chains with his experience and the talent Los Angeles have around him. The new Quarter Back had some huge plays last week, but he was aided by some massive break downs in the Chicago Secondary and I think Matthew Stafford will be encouraged by what he would have seen on tape from Russell Wilson and the Seahawks exposing the Indianapolis Secondary.

The Offensive Line were protective, but Stafford is also someone who will be capable of making quick reads and getting the ball out of his hand quickly. This should see the Rams moving the ball with success and I do think they are capable of producing another strong Offensive outing.

The favourite is 4-1 against the spread in the last five games in the series between these NFC opponents.

Los Angeles are 15-10 against the spread as the road favourite since Sean McVay took over and they are 4-1 against the spread in their last five overall as the favourite.

I do have respect for Frank Reich who is a brilliant Head Coach, but his Colts team are 0-3 against the spread as the home underdog over the last three seasons. He has made sure his team are able to bounce back from losses very well, but the Los Angeles Rams look much stronger than the Indianapolis Colts with injuries not helping the latter.

As long as Sean McVay can make sure his team ignore the big game with Tampa Bay coming up, I do think they can cover as the road favourite.


New England Patriots @ New York Jets Pick: Fumbles are a part of American Football, but four in a game is unforgivable. The worst of those came from Damien Harris in the Fourth Quarter and ultimately landed the New England Patriots (0-1) with a Week 1 loss to Divisional rivals Miami when it looked like they were moving into a position to win that game.

The Running Back has accepted responsibility for the mistake which proved to be a decisive one, but the Patriots have to move forward and they have 16 games left on the schedule to make amends. However, most New England fans will be worried about the course of the 2021 season if they are to lose to AFC East rivals, the New York Jets (0-1), who are also coming in off a defeat.

A new era has begun in this part of New York with Robert Saleh taking over as Head Coach and the decision to select Zach Wilson as the Quarter Back in the last NFL Draft. That meant Sam Darnold was traded away and it was their former Quarter Back who led the Carolina Panthers to a narrow win over the Jets in Week 1.

No one should be expecting miracles from this New York Jets team in 2021 and I do think they are one of the weaker teams in the NFL. Zach Wilson did not play badly in Week 1, but that was against another team that may be expected to win less than 50% of their games to come this season and there are going to be plenty of big challenges ahead.

Zach Wilson was given little support by his Offensive Line- they did very little in getting a rushing attack over, and New York gave up six Sacks last week. The Quarter Back produced some positive numbers despite that, but the Jets are going to have issues moving the ball again this week and especially going up against Bill Belichick and the strong Defensive mind he brings to the table.

They largely played well against Miami last week and this New York Offense is not as strong as the one that the Dolphins can take to the field. The Patriots should be able to bamboozle Zach Wilson just enough to force one or two mistakes, and I am not sure the Jets will give their rookie Quarter Back enough support to produce a lot more than they did in the loss at Carolina.

A rookie Quarter Back will also be playing on the other side and Mac Jones will be confident with the start he made as he debuted for the Patriots in Week 1 and forced Cam Newton to look for a new team. The team in general did not do enough Offensively, but Mac Jones might have had a win behind him if not for the Harris fumble in the Fourth Quarter last week and I do think the Patriots will largely be happy with what they have seen.

Mac Jones should have plenty of time behind this Offensive Line and especially against a New York Jets team that may struggle to generate a consistent pass rush this season. His Running Backs should be able to at least get the Patriots in front of the chains, but it will come down to Mac Jones against this Secondary and there are enough skill players on the Offensive unit to believe the Quarter Back can back up the performance he had against Miami.

The Jets Secondary gave up some big plays to the Carolina Panthers and I do think the Patriots are better than that team in most aspects.

Playing as a road favourite of this size is still a big ask for a rookie Quarter Back despite the edge New England have over the Jets. That reduces some of the enthusiasm for this pick, but the Patriots are 5-2 against the spread in the last seven between these Divisional rivals and they should be desperate to make amends for the opening weekend loss to an opponent from the AFC East.

The Patriots have covered in two of their last three visits to the New York Jets, while the Jets are now 5-14 against the spread in their last nineteen against Divisional opponents.

Last season New England did not perform as expected coming in off a loss, but in general they have been a team that can bounce back from a defeat under Bill Belichick and I think they have too much for the Jets and win by around a Touchdown.


Denver Broncos @ Jacksonville Jaguars Pick: There has been much excitement and belief in what may happen in Jacksonville over the coming seasons with a new, franchise Quarter Back and a Head Coach who has had considerable success at the College Football level. However, this is not going to be a short journey for the Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1) and the defeat to the Houston Texans in Week 1 suggests it is going to be a season with a massive learning curve in front of them

Despite the short time Urban Meyer has spent as Head Coach of the Jaguars, reports have emerged this past week that he is not entirely happy with his position as Head Coach. Players have spoken about frustration with a Head Coach that is used to winning, while others have linked Meyer with the vacant role that has just emerged with the USC Trojans back at a level he may feel most comfortable.

Other College Football Head Coaches have struggled with the mentality it takes to deal with professional football players and there is a suggestion that Urban Meyer is learning the hard way about what it takes. Trevor Lawrence is gong to be the centre piece of the rebuild, but the Jaguars have plenty of holes and all this uncertainty makes them vulnerable in their first home game of the season.

Playing in Jacksonville is not the most intimidating experience for opposition Quarter Backs and I have little doubt that Teddy Bridgewater will be comfortable in the environment created. He has become the latest Quarter Back to try and replicate the achievements of Peyton Manning with the Denver Broncos (1-0), but Teddy Bridgewater is different and happy to avoid mistakes and lean on the entire team to win games.

We saw that last week as they blew out the New York Giants on the road and I do think the Denver Broncos have a good schedule to make a fast start to the 2021 season. There is a real balance to the way the Broncos will look to play Offensively which will only aid Teddy Bridgewater and I do think Melvin Gordon will be better in the second season with the team operating this system.

He is going to be used in a tandem at Running Back and the Offensive Line showed how good they can be last week in helping the Broncos produce 5.9 yards per carry on the ground. They also largely protected Teddy Bridgewater and I am not sure the Jaguars have the pass rush pressure to rattle the Denver Quarter Back.

There are some gaping holes in the Jacksonville Secondary which can be exploited by Bridgewater even though Jerry Jeudy has gone down with an injury. The Broncos have some talent in the Receiving corps though and Denver can also lean on the strong Defensive unit to shut down the Jaguars and help them move into a 2-0 spot in the standings.

Trevor Lawrence showed what he can bring to the Jacksonville Jaguars in the years to come, but he also faced a poor Defensive unit being run by the Houston Texans. This week he will be tested in a different way by a much stronger Denver Defense and I do think the rookie Quarter Back is going to have some problems.

Vic Fangio remains the Head Coach for the Denver Broncos and he will be looking for a much improved Denver Defensive unit compared with last season when they allowed almost 28 points per game. They showed early promise against the New York Giants and it all begins with the Denver Defensive Line that showed they can shut down rushing attacks against them.

Making Jacksonville over-reliant on a rookie Quarter Back who is playing behind a shaky Offensive Line will give the Denver Broncos a real advantage in this game and I think that plays out in Week 2.

The rookie could make a couple of mistakes and I think Teddy Bridgewater will avoid doing the same and ultimately that will make the difference in this game.

It is not easy backing Denver as a favourite and especially not on the road, but they are playing a Jacksonville team that is looking like they may struggle to compete. With the uncertainty surrounding their Head Coach and with sources suggesting all is not well with Urban Meyer and the fit with the Jaguars, I will back the Denver Broncos to win and cover on the road as they did in Week 1 at the New York Giants.


Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers Pick: It has been a tumultuous off-season for the Green Bay Packers (0-1) and their stand off with their star Quarter Back off an MVP season was one that was hard to watch. The Packers fans would have been disappointed with the stance of both the team and the player, but something has been resolved and Aaron Rodgers will be playing here for at least one more season.

More than likely it is the final season here for Aaron Rodgers, but I am not buying into the conspiracy theory that he has merely returned to cause havoc for the Packers... At least not yet.

It doesn't make much sense when you put it together- Aaron Rodgers is at an age where he can't really throw a season away while taking big hits, while the Packers would surely move onto Jordan Love very quickly if they felt their Quarter Back was not doing his best for the team. His team-mates wouldn't allow this from Rodgers either and it all comes down to what was a horrific Week 1 performance.

I am just going to put it down to being a bad game and the only way has to be up for the Packers who were blown out by the New Orleans Saints in Florida. Aaron Rodgers has never really played well in that State and the Saints were pumped to perform, while the game quickly got away from Green Bay who have sixteen more games to put things right.

They are playing in a Division where none of the other three NFC North teams won on Week 1 either and none of them looked too clever. The Detroit Lions (0-1) were well on their way to a blow out of their own as a new era begins in Mo-Town, but a late rally and some lucky breaks saw them get much closer to the San Francisco 49ers than they deserved.

Jared Goff played well enough in his first game for his new team, but the Lions are lacking star-power on both sides of the ball and they may be one of the weaker teams in the NFL. He is going to be challenged by this Green Bay Defensive unit which played much better than the points allowed may suggest in Week 1, although the Packers have some work of their own to do.

Detroit should have looked at the New Orleans game plan and it should mean they are going to look the ball down the Green Bay Packers throats after seeing the Packers Defensive Line gashed on the ground. The Lions best players are in the Running Back corps so they can at least keep this one competitive and control the tempo of the game by looking to establish the run and try and ease the pressure on their Quarter Back.

If they can do that, Detroit have a chance of keeping this close- Jared Goff may find himself having more time to throw the ball if the Lions are able to run the ball with any sort of consistency, although the Packers Secondary largely contained the Saints through the air. I do think the Packers Defensive Line will be stronger than they showed in Week 1 and that should see them have a chance to pin back their ears and get after Jared Goff when he steps back to throw the ball.

The former Los Angeles Rams Quarter Back had a good start to the season, but didn't get going until the second half when his new team were in a major hole. It may be asking too much for Jared Goff to win another shoot out and I think the Packers are an angry team looking to show they are much more than what they offered in the defeat to New Orleans.

The same can be said for the Offensive side of the ball for the Green Bay Packers and they will be returning home to take on a Detroit Defense that is going to be transitioning in 2021.

Aaron Rodgers won't have as bad a game as he did in Week 1 again in his career in all likelihood, but this is a 'prove it' moment for the Quarter Back. I have no doubt he wants a big season for the Packers and he is facing a Secondary that allowed over 300 passing yards to Jimmy Garoppolo and the 49ers last week.

It will only benefit Aaron Rodgers if the Packers can run the ball better than they did in Week 1 and I do think they will be able to lean on Aaron Jones more than they did against the Saints. That should open the field up for Rodgers and the passing game, especially as the Lions may struggle to generate the pressure New Orleans did and this looks the perfect chance for the Packers to bounce back after the dud last time out.

Matt LaFleur is a perfect 6-0 against the spread coming off a loss with the Green Bay Packers and this is a team that are 8-4 against the spread against NFC North teams under this Head Coach.

The Packers are 7-3 against the spread in their last ten games off a blow out loss of 14 points or more, while the home team is 5-2 against the spread in the last seven between these Divisional rivals.

I have to credit Detroit for the fight and the effort they made when in a deep hole last week, but that was at home and I also think they got all the breaks they needed to rally. Barring something like that happening again, I think even a backdoor cover may be beyond them and I will look for the Green Bay Packers to win and cover in this one.

MY PICKS: New York Giants + 3.5 Points @ 1.85 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Buffalo Bills - 3.5 Points @ 2.00 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Los Angeles Rams - 3.5 Points @ 1.91 Bet365 (2 Units)
New England Patriots - 5.5 Points @ 1.91 Paddy Power (2 Units)
Denver Broncos - 6 Points @ 1.91 Bet365 (2 Units)
Cleveland Browns - 13.5 Points @ 1.95 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Pittsburgh Steelers - 6 Points @ 1.91 Bet365 (2 Units)
Tennessee Titans + 6.5 Points @ 1.91 Paddy Power (2 Units)
Los Angeles Chargers - 3 Points @ 1.91 Bet365 (2 Units)
Kansas City Chiefs - 3.5 Points @ 1.91 William Hill (2 Units)
Green Bay Packers - 11.5 Points @ 1.91 William Hill (2 Units)

Week 1: 3-6, - 6.46 Units (18 Units Staked, - 35.89% Yield)

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