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Monday 8 July 2024

Wimbledon Tennis Day 8 Picks 2024 (Monday 8th July)

The tournament is moving into the second week and we will have the Quarter Final line up completed by the end of Day 8 at The Championships.

Rain has been an issue, but it has also been at a time when the Singles tournament is still in a position to be right on schedule.

Weather issues should not be a problem at all on Monday, although the rest of the Wimbledon event may need to be completed under the roofs of Centre Court and Court One.


Alexander Zverev - 1.5 games v Taylor Fritz: The Ladies draw has been decimated with upsets littered around the tournament, but the top names are still going strong in the Fourth Round at Wimbledon on Day 8 of The Championships.

Quarter Final spots have already been secured by Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner, but it is an opportunity for other members of the top four places in the World Rankings to earn their own places in the last eight.

First up on Centre Court as far as the Men's tournament is concerned is Alexander Zverev, and the current World Number 4 could yet improve his World Ranking at the end of the tournament. In previous years it has been a tough Grand Slam for Alexander Zverev, but he is playing with the confidence of a player that has reached the French Open Final and who has had success on the surface before, albeit outside of SW19.

One issue that may still be a potential thorn in the side of the German is the left knee issue having slipped with a serious looking impact in the Third Round win over Cameron Norrie. Having a day of rest between matches will help Alexander Zverev in what is expected to be a very tough Fourth Round match against a confident opponent.

Taylor Fritz has played well on the grass before and he is riding a seven match winning run on the surface having won the title in Eastbourne just before Wimbledon began. There will still be some real regret at failing to beat Rafael Nadal in the Wimbledon Quarter Final two years ago, but Fritz did not have the best grass court season in 2023 and has suffered a defeat to Jordan Thompson at Queen's Club.

The win over Alejandro Tabilo in the Third Round was impressive and Taylor Fritz is continuing to get plenty out of his serving, although he will be facing a tough challenge on the return against this Alexander Zverev serve.

In the previous eight matches between Fritz and Zverev, it is the latter who has had a big advantage when it comes to the serving numbers and that has helped the German win five of those matches. They met at Wimbledon in 2021 and Alexander Zverev was able to recover from a set down to beat Taylor Fritz in four sets in the Third Round, although it should be noted that the American player is much improved now.

Five sets were needed when these two met at Wimbledon back in 2018, and Alexander Zverev was able to get the better of that match too.

There is little doubt that this is another match that could go pretty deep with both players capable of serving at a very high level. The total line is in a good spot, but there is also a reason to believe that Alexander Zverev might have a bit more quality over Taylor Fritz and ultimately back up the slight edge that the layers believe he has over this opponent.

With both serving at a high level, the feeling is that Alexander Zverev can find a way to get a few more returns into play and find a way to neutralise some of the rallies. That will be key to the outcome of the match and Zverev can earn a maiden Quarter Final spot at Wimbledon as he reaches that stage at all Grand Slam events in his career.


Novak Djokovic - 4.5 games v Holger Rune: The seven time Wimbledon Champion has not been at his top level during the first week at this Grand Slam tournament, but Novak Djokovic has found a way through the draw.

Despite the injury that forced a withdrawal at the French Open, Novak Djokovic has looked like he is playing with enough freedom to have a real tilt at winning the Wimbledon title for an eighth time.

He is perhaps changing his style to ensure that he is not having to play long, drawn out points and aggravate any lingering issue, but Novak Djokovic has been effective. Dropping two sets over the first three matches is perhaps not what we have always come to expect from the former World Number 1, but he has found a way to keep control of matches against overmatched opponents.

That will not be the case in the Fourth Round when Novak Djokovic faces Holger Rune, a young opponent who has two pro wins over Djokovic.

Novak Djokovic has won the other three matches between himself and Holger Rune, but he will be aware that this is a player that can be very tough to beat at his best. The Dane did have come from two sets down in the Third Round, while Holger Rune was beaten in his first match at Queen's Club, but he will still believe that he has the tennis to at least test the favourite.

Holger Rune did reach the Wimbledon Quarter Final last year so clearly is capable of performing at a good level on the grass courts, while he may feel he can offer more of a threat against the Novak Djokovic serve than he did in that defeat against Carlos Alcaraz.

However, there is also a feeling that Novak Djokovic is rounding into form to have a real go at trying to win this title again, and he is playing with an aggression that may give him an edge.

In previous matches between Djokovic and Holger Rune, the former has held 83% of the service games played compared with 75% for Rune. On a grass court, you would still have to give the Number 2 Seed a bit more of an advantage and he can get the better of Holger Rune with a solid victory in this Fourth Round match.


Elena Rybakina-Anna Kalinskaya over 20.5 games: The 2022 Wimbledon Champion is still playing in the 2024 tournament and Elena Rybakina is a strong favourite to win a second Grand Slam title here.

She has been considered a part of the big four on the WTA Tour, but the other three players in that group have all exited the Wimbledon draw before the Quarter Final. Dangerous players like Ons Jabeur and Madison Keys are also out and Elena Rybakina's experience may give her a real edge over the rest of the draw.

In saying that, this Fourth Round match has the potential to be really awkward for Elena Rybakina as she prepares to face Anna Kalinskaya.

The latter might be making some headlines through her relationship with Jannik Sinner, but that will not do Anna Kalinskaya any justice to her own level. The World Number 18 is ready to make another move in the World Rankings having reached the Fourth Round here and Anna Kalinskaya reached the Final on the grass courts of Berlin before losing a tight match against Jessica Pegula.

She was playing pretty well in Berlin, while Anna Kalinskaya's confidence won't have been dented with three wins in the draw in Wimbledon and all without dropping a set. The serve has been working well and that is going to be key for Kalinskaya if she is going to find a way to upset the odds in this Fourth Round match that opens Centre Court.

We know that strong serving and powerful groundstrokes are going to be flying from the Elena Rybakina side of the net.

That will be important for the former Champion if she is going to regain her crown on the grass courts of Wimbledon and this could be a competitive match and one that surpasses the total games line set.

Previous matches between Elena Rybakina and Anna Kalinskaya have been very competitive and there is every chance that this one will be the same. The layers are anticipating a potentially comfortable win for the 2022 Champion, but Anna Kalinskaya can play her part in front of a big crowd and this might be a match that features at least two very competitive sets.


Elina Svitolina - 3.5 games v Xin Yu Wang: She reached the Wimbledon Semi Final in 2019, but Elina Svitolina had different priorities to deal with off the court which meant her World Ranking had dropped and a Wild Card was needed last year.

In a stunning run, Elina Svitolina was able to reach the Semi Final again and she was firmly a crowd favourite. This is still the case in 2024 and many will be hoping that Svitolina can win a maiden Grand Slam title now that the British representatives are all eliminated.

One of those players was eliminated by Xin Yu Wang in the Third Round- she came from a set down to beat Harriet Dart.

At this stage of her career, Xin Yu Wang has been known for her Doubles play rather than her Singles performances, but reaching the Fourth Round at Wimbledon means another jump in her World Ranking is expected at the conclusion of the tournament. Another victory will give Wang an opportunity to move into the World's top 32 and that would mean a potential Seeding when the US Open begins at the end of August.

Winning this Fourth Round match will be challenging for Xin Yu Wang when you think of the amount of tennis already played in the tournament. She has needed three sets in all three wins at Wimbledon and there were signs that Wang was struggling in her eventual win over Harriet Dart, who will feel she missed her chances to earn the victory in the Third Round.

Elina Svitolina should have the confidence to take the opportunities after consecutive straight sets win with the latter against Ons Jabeur looking like strong form. It was the eventual Wimbledon Champion who beat Elina Svitolina last year in the Semi Final, but she has been able to fly a little more under the radar in 2024 and that has only been a benefit for the World Number 21.

There was not a lot of positive form ahead of the Wimbledon tournament, but that was the case last year and Elina Svitolina can find a way to break down an opponent who has already invested a lot at this event.

MY PICKS: Alexander Zverev - 1.5 Games @ 1.72 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Novak Djokovic - 4.5 Games @ 1.95 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Elena Rybakina-Anna Kalinskaya Over 20.5 Games @ 1.72 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Elina Svitolina - 3.5 Games @ 1.95 Bet Victor (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 14-14, - 3.56 Units (56 Units Staked, - 6.36% Yield)

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