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Tuesday 2 July 2024

Wimbledon Tennis Day 2 Picks 2024 (Tuesday 2nd July)

We are moving into Day 2 and another day of tennis friendly conditions, although wetter weather could hit London in the Second Round.

Before that, the top half of the Ladies draw and the bottom half of the Men's draw will both be completed with the selections below.


Jessica Pegula - 5.5 games v Ashlyn Krueger: The top four players on the WTA Tour have separated themselves from the rest of the field, but they have not dominated the winner's circle at Wimbledon. That will give others hope in the third Grand Slam of the season, although the draw does have a very lopsided feel to it after events outside of the control of the organisers.

Aryna Sabalenka's late withdrawal has really opened the bottom half of the draw for Coco Gauff, but it is the top half that will be playing on Day 2 and there are plenty of obstacles around.

The World Number 5 may feel she deserves higher billing than being a potential 'spoiler', but Jessica Pegula has only recently returned from injury and she has regularly fallen short when in strong positions within Grand Slam tournaments. The American has reached the Quarter Final at every Grand Slam, including at Wimbledon twelve months ago, but Pegula has never reached a Semi Final at a major and that makes it hard to believe in her ability to come through a loaded half of the draw.

Playing on the grass is a positive for Jessica Pegula who returned to the Tour and won a big event in Berlin last month. A relatively early defeat in Eastbourne will not be a massive concern and Jessica Pegula is expected to get the better of her compatriot in this First Round match at SW19.

Ashlyn Krueger should be respected as a player that has won a grass court title in 2023, although she will have been massively disappointed to have lost in Wimbledon Qualifiers. She has moved into the top 100 of the World Rankings since then, but this last month has been tougher for Krueger on the grass courts and this is a significant step up for her.

The only time these players have met on the Tour ended with Jessica Pegula securing a solid win and the feeling is that the higher Ranked player is still going to have an edge. It will not be easy if Ashlyn Krueger comes out and plays her absolute best tennis, but Jessica Pegula has all of the know-how on a grass court to secure her place in the Second Round with a win and a cover.


Andrey Rublev - 8.5 games v Francisco Comesana: The last couple of months have been very difficult for Andrey Rublev and he has perhaps been struggling mentally more than physically.

Getting down on himself, Andrey Rublev has capitulated at times and this has to be a real concern for his supporters ahead of the next Grand Slam. He was extremely upset with his Third Round defeat in Paris at the French Open and Andrey Rublev has only played one match on grass in the build up to Wimbledon.

That was another losing effort against Marcos Giron, but Andrey Rublev did reach the Quarter Final at Wimbledon last year and this opening match looks a very good one for him to work his way into the tournament.

Francisco Comesana had moved into the top 100 of the World Rankings when the Wimbledon cutoff point came around, but he has fallen back down to World Number 127. That alone is not the issue for Francisco Comesana, but this is a player who has never played a professional grass court match and that is going to be tough to overcome against a top 10 Ranked opponent.

The Argentine also missed a month of the Tour in May and his sole match since returning has been a defeat on a clay court in Perugia in a Challenger event. With further clay court events likely to be on the mind of Francisco Comesana in the weeks ahead, it is very tough to believe he will be putting in the kind of effort to stay in the tournament at Wimbledon if things begin to get out of control.

Over the last twelve months, all but six of the matches played by Comesana have been on a clay court and Andrey Rublev should have the knowledge of playing on a grass court that he can exert on this match.

This is a very big spread when you think of how quickly service games can be dominated on a grass court, but the Francisco Comesana serve may not be as effective as Rublev's and that should show up on Day 2.


Alejandro Tabilo - 1.5 sets v Daniel Evans: Previous form on the grass courts had not indicated that Alejandro Tabilo was ready to win a title on the surface, but the Chilean managed that on Saturday in Mallorca.

It underlines the kind of confidence that Alejandro Tabilo has put together on the Tour and he is playing at a career high World Ranking with perhaps more to come.

Last year Alejandro Tabilo was beaten in the First Round of Qualifying at Wimbledon, but he is now one of two players who have reached the Final in a tournament played on hard courts, clay courts and grass courts. His performances in Mallorca will have really boosted the confidence of the player, while the loss at Queen's Club to Tommy Paul does not look too bad when considering the American went on to win the tournament.

The biggest challenge in this First Round contest may be facing the home crowd who will be firmly behind Daniel Evans, even on a day when the Wimbledon headlines may be focusing on Andy Murray.

Daniel Evans has been struggling for form and had to withdraw mid-match at Queen's Club and has not played since then. He has dropped down to World Number 61, but the Evans form over the last twelve months is highlighted by the fact he was World Number 21 in August last year.

He was not playing too badly before the injury issue at Queen's Club, but the overall Daniel Evans performances on the grass over the last month have been disappointing. There is little doubt that Evans has lost some confidence and the defeats to players Ranked at 123 and 283 is a real concern for the British player.

In his last appearance at Wimbledon, Daniel Evans was beaten in four sets in the First Round and there is every chance Alejandro Tabilo will have too much for him in 2024.

This would actually be his third straight First Round loss at Wimbledon and Alejandro Tabilo's confidence can see him work his way through in three or four sets on Tuesday.

MY PICKS: Jessica Pegula - 5.5 Games @ 2.10 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Andrey Rublev - 8.5 Games @ 1.91 Paddy Power (2 Units)
Alejandro Tabilo - 1.5 Sets @ 1.83 Paddy Power (2 Units)
Ricky Hijikata @ 1.80 Bet Fred (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 3-2, + 1.50 Units (10 Units Staked, + 15% Yield)

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