A couple of early winners got the day off to a solid start, but the Jordan Thompson pick was a really poor one, although that is mainly down to the final result than the actual identification of a selection.
The Australian just had a really tough day in the office and these things can happen on a tennis court.
Overall it was at least another positive step forward after a really bad start to the week, but there is still more room for improvement with the tournaments entering the Quarter Final Round on Friday.
Yannick Hanfmann - 2.5 games v Hamad Medjedovic: A couple of days ago I was tempted to back Hamad Medjedovic to get the better of Dominic Thiem in the Second Round in Gstaad, but ultimately thought the odds were just about right and the value might not have been there.
That did prove to be a wrong decision on the day, although the young Serb, who had celebrated his 20th birthday the day before, battled back after dropping the second set to beat the former Grand Slam Champion.
It is a result that has been part of a big week for Hamad Medjedovic, although this is going to be another tough test for him in the Quarter Final. You might not think that after beating Dominic Thiem, who has reached the French Open Final at his best, but you also have to accept that the Austrian is still finding his way back on the Tour after injury.
This is not going to be the case for Yannick Hanfmann, who also needed three sets to win his Second Round match. The World Number 46 could seen reach a new career best World Ranking and a win in this Quarter Final will go a long way in doing that for Hanfmann, who has been a comfortable clay courter in his time on the Tour.
Beating those he has been expected to has been key to the rise up the World Rankings for Yannick Hanfmann who has a 16-3 record on the clay courts when playing opponents outside of the top 100 in the World Rankings. The numbers produced in those nineteen matches have been very impressive with Hanfmann holding 85% of service games and breaking in 38% of return games, although one of those losses came in the final Qualifying Round at Roland Garros before Yannick Hanfmann was given a Lucky Loser spot.
Yannick Hanfmann obviously would not have covered this line in those three defeats against players outside of the top 100, but he has overcome the line in the sixteen wins. He has lost just two sets in the victories and Hamad Medjedovic has already played a lot of tennis in Gstaad this week after coming through the Qualifiers to take his place in the main draw.
Hamad Medjedovic has two top 100 wins on the clay this week, but he was just 1-4 in those matches on the red dirt in 2023 prior to the run to the Quarter Final here. The numbers have made for tough reading with the Medjedovic serve being attacked and the pick here is that Yannick Hanfmann has enough to win and cover this line set.
MY PICKS: Yannick Hanfmann - 2.5 Games @ 1.83 Bet365 (2 Units)
Juan Pablo Varillas - 2.5 Games @ 1.91 Paddy Power (2 Units)
Jaume Munar - 0.5 Games @ 1.87 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Lorenzo Musetti - 5.5 Games @ 2.10 Paddy Power (2 Units)
Casper Ruud - 4.5 Games @ 1.85 Coral (2 Units)
Daria Kasatkina - 4.5 Games @ 1.87 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Weekly Update: 9-10, - 3.26 Units (38 Units Staked, - 8.58% Yield)
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