A 5-0 Friday has moved this week back in a position to record another winning run on the clay courts and I have to hope that the momentum is now behind the selections.
After a difficult couple of days, it was nice to be on the right side of some of the fortune and the tournaments are all back on track with the Semi Final matches set to be played in the four events on Saturday and the conclusion of the events to come on Sunday.
There are quite a few matches scheduled to be played on Saturday with Semi Final matches at all four events, but I think it is reasonable to suggest a watching brief should be taken with the majority of them.
However, I do have a single Tennis Pick can be read below:
Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - 1.5 games v Pablo Carreno Busta: Players who have reached the Semi Final at the ATP Barcelona tournament have had to go through double duty on Friday and it does make those matches a little tougher to break down.
All credit has to be given to the four players remaining, but I do wonder how much Pablo Carreno Busta has left in the tank having needed the full six sets on Friday. His wins over Lorenzo Sonego and Casper Ruud are solid and will give Pablo Carreno Busta a lot of confidence, but going the distance in both matches means the Spaniard has spent just shy of six hours on court in a single day.
It has to have taken something out of the tank, while Pablo Carreno Busta also allowed his two opponents to combine for more break point chances than he managed himself. I am expecting not just the physical side of things to be a concern for Pablo Carreno Busta, but those were emotional wins and he is going to need the full support of the Spanish fans.
I do think he will have success against Diego Sebastian Schwartzman who can have a very vulnerable serve on the clay courts. However, the diminutive Argentinian earned his place in the Semi Final with much more conviction than Pablo Carreno Busta and Diego Sebastian Schwartzman also spent a little over four hours on the court on Friday.
This should be important considering the kind of rallies we are expecting to see from the two players in Barcelona, but Diego Sebastian Schwartzman has the edge when it comes to the return of serve.
Both players have struggled to hold serve in previous matches between them, while Pablo Carreno Busta beat Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in a tight three setter here in Barcelona in 2021. This time I expect the fresher Schwartzman to have the advantage as he looks to reach the Final, and he has also had the stronger numbers here this season.
Pablo Carreno Busta has been serving well in terms of the holds he has put together, but the break point chances have been there for his opponents and someone like Diego Sebastian Schwartzman can do enough to win this match.
I expect plenty of swings in momentum with both players likely to find breaks of serve, but Diego Sebastian Schwartzman being fresher has to be a huge key to the outcome of this Semi Final.
MY PICKS: Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - 1.5 Games @ 1.91 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Weekly Update: 11-10, - 0.54 Units (42 Units Staked, - 1.29% Yield)
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