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Saturday 10 March 2018

Boxing Picks 2018- Sergey Lipinets vs Mikey Garcia (March 10th)

Last weekend was fantastic.

The Heavyweight fight between Luis Ortiz and Deontay Wilder was brilliant and I have to say that Wilder has shown something that many didn't think he had.

The heart and ability to take a punch was evident in the Seventh Round, although you do have to wonder if Ortiz would have won that fight if he had been a younger fighter.

It was very similar to the dangerous waters Anthony Joshua negotiated in his win over Wladimir Klitschko in 2017 and I would be extremely disappointed if the Wilder and Joshua fight did not materialise soon.

But I won't be holding my breath.

I think Eddie Hearn will look for Joshua to take on Jarrell Miller, assuming both win their upcoming fights, and I think Alexander Povetkin is another he will be looking to line up which would push any Wilder fight back to 2019.

With Wilder there are other options out there too, but he wants the main fight and I think he will be 'chasing' it more than the Joshua team who may want to just build the fight up even more, despite what you hear from Eddie Hearn.


Oscar Valdez vs Scott Quigg
First things first, I am disappointed Scott Quigg has failed to make weight for what would have been a chance to become a two weight World Champion.

It doesn't show the best professionalism, but I am willing to give Quigg a pass and will have a small interest in him beating the unbeaten Mexican Oscar Valdez.

Earning a win away from home is tough for anyone and I do think Valdez will command the lion's share of the support on Saturday evening in California. That makes it tough to get a Decision here, but Quigg is the toughest challenge that Valdez would have faced and I think it is a telling fight as to what kind of potential the Mexican has.

Quigg is still a very good fighter with his sole loss coming against Carl Frampton and I hope the weight issues don't mean he makes the slow start that he has become known for.

I think the motivation is high for Quigg to earn that rematch with Frampton, although there was a hope it would be a Unification rather than the Bury man coming in without a belt. He is a very good boxer and as long as he can ride out the early storm, I think he can get the better of Valdez.

The Mexican is a World Champion so has to be respected, but I think this is a step up for him and I will have a small interest on the Englishman coming back home with a win.

However I will keep it to a small interest after the weight issues which could see the judges punish him in close Rounds and leave Quigg with a controversial loss on the cards.

Sergey Lipinets vs Mikey Garcia
Two fighters put their unbeaten records on the line on Saturday evening in a fight that was postponed for a month thanks to a hand injury for the Champion.

Sergey Lipinets is the Champion, but the headline in this one is Mikey Garcia who is looking to move up in weight and win another World Title.

It is interesting Garcia has done that despite saying he still has some unfinished business at 135, but winning a title in the Light-Welterweight Division will just keep the hype going before those potential big fights with Jorge Linares or Vasyl Lomachenko.

Garcia is a superb boxer with some considerable power, although facing the tough Lipinets will show us whether he can carry that power up another Division.

Lipinets should realise the size of the task in front of him but also what he can do for himself if he can upset Garcia. I do think the Champion will give it a good go, but Garcia should be able to box through the early Rounds and then start to pick him off in the second half of the fight.

I expect Garcia to wear down an opponent who will try his best to close the distance and punish the smaller man coming up the weights. However Garcia can frustrate first and then finish this fight in the second half with either the corner or referee pulling out Lipinets once he begins to ship too much punishment.

MY PICKS: Scott Quigg to Win @ 4.00 Bet365 (1 Unit)
Mikey Garcia to Win Between 7-12 @ 3.00 Sky Bet (2 Units)

Boxing 2018: 10-8, + 20.28 Units (30 Units Staked, + 67.60% Yield)

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