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Sunday, 13 September 2015

US Open Day 14 Picks 2015- Men's Final (September 13th)

The US Open comes to a close on Sunday as the Men's Final between Roger Federer and Novak Djokovic closes the show.

It has been a difficult tournament for the organisers with a lot of retirements, while top players have perhaps fallen a little too quickly for their liking. However, they have got the perfect Men's Final after the slight anti-climax in the Women's event and it looks like as a potential classic.

Novak Djokovic-Roger Federer Over 42.5 Games: I can make a pretty solid argument for both players to win this Final and that should mean it is has the potential for it to go deep and long.

Novak Djokovic has won just one US Open trophy, and he has fallen short in the Final too many times to have some doubts about his chance to win this one. However, he has beaten Roger Federer in the last two big Grand Slam Finals between them at Wimbledon in 2014 and 2015, and Djokovic also beat him in the last two US Open meetings between them in Semi Finals in 2010 and 2011.

Djokovic is also 6-2 in the last eight Grand Slam meetings between these two players, but arguably Roger Federer is playing at a higher level than at Wimbledon earlier this season. He is full of confidence having not lost a set since that Wimbledon Final defeat and Federer beat Djokovic at the Cincinnati Masters, but winning a big match like this in a best of five sets has been a little beyond Federer in the last couple of years.

I can't wait for the match though.

Both players produced some stunning tennis in the Semi Finals and look to be in peak form for this Final and it really would be a big surprise if this doesn't go at least four and possibly five sets.

Tie-breakers have been a feature of recent matches between the pair and I think the court will aid Roger Federer in keeping a stunning returner at bay. It was the return of serve that hurt Federer in the Final at Wimbledon and so the key is to use the speed and conditions to keep Djokovic off balance, while Federer will try and employ the SABR tactics if only to wind up Djokovic and get under his skin.

Djokovic has the return to really put pressure on Federer, but I am liking the latter to make this even more competitive than the Wimbledon Final. The run of straight sets wins are likely to end and this match should surpass the games total as I look for a classic Final.

MY PICKS: Novak Djokovic-Roger Federer Over 42.5 Games @ 1.80 Sky Bet (2 Units)

US Open Update: 37-38, - 6.93 Units (149 Units Staked, - 4.65% Yield)

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