It has been a fun two weeks though, although there isn't much change in my own Play Off Ranking thanks to the teams in those positions having the kind of cupcakes that they were expected to dominate in Week 2.
However, it might be all change at the end of Week 3 with the likes of the Alabama Crimson Tide and USC Trojans taking on live Conference opponents this week and this is when College Football really gets going.
So the Play Off Ranking before I get on with the Week 3 Picks:
1) Ohio State Buckeyes- the Buckeyes took some criticism for the way they played in Week 2, but I think this is a team that will raise their level when opponents level picks up. Still some questions about the starting Quarter Back rotation to answer though.
2) Alabama Crimson Tide- Nick Saban will be looking for revenge for the one SEC loss last season when they host Ole Miss in a very big SEC West game in Tuscaloosa.
3) USC Trojans- like Alabama, the USC Trojans are in for a big test against a Conference foe in Stanford this week as they look to prove they are for real.
4) TCU Horned Frogs- the powder puff non-Conference schedule doesn't help some of the Big 12 teams and TCU play SMU this week after beating Stephen F Austin last week.
Looking In: Michigan State Spartans, UCLA Bruins, Georgia Bulldogs, LSU Tigers, Florida State Seminoles, Baylor Bears.
Stanford Cardinal @ USC Trojans Pick: The talent looks to be on the USC side of the field as the Trojans host the Stanford Cardinal in a big Pac-12 game, one that could have some big National Championship implications come the end of the season.
The loss to the Northwestern Wildcats was really unexpected from Stanford, but the Defense continues to play well and they are good enough to slow down this Offense.
There have been plenty of positives about the way USC have carried themselves with the ball in their hands, but Stanford haven't given much away at all in their first two games. That Defense has been the reason Stanford have gone 3-1-1 against the spread as the road underdog with David Shaw as Head Coach, while the Cardinal are 3-1 against the spread when set as an underdog of 7 points or more.
That does make me second guess this number, but I do believe USC Trojans might be the best team in the Pac-12 after the first couple of games played.
USC have improved to 6-2 against the spread as the home favourite and Stanford has a huge game on deck against the Oregon Ducks which could decide the Pac-12 North.
Stanford have struggled to run the ball and could see their own Offense kept in third and long, but I am looking for Kevin Hogan to have a strong game at Quarter Back. If Hogan can make the big plays, I think Stanford can stay within this number and I will back them to do so even if everyone seems to be on the USC Trojans to win this one handily.
BYU Cougars @ UCLA Bruins Pick: The BYU Cougars beat UCLA in a blow out the last time they met one another in 2008, but it has to be remembered the Cougars were favoured in that game. That means 4 of the last 5 games in the series have been covered by the favourite and the UCLA Bruins come into the game with plenty of confidence behind them.
No one should be dismissing the BYU Cougars easily having seen them win on back to back weeks with Hail Mary passes that have been completed, but the UCLA Bruins are easily the toughest test they would have faced.
Josh Rosen has been a revelation for the Bruins and I expect he is going to have a lot of success against a pass Defense that has allowed over 300 yards per game. Paul Perkins is a huge weapon running the ball out of the backfield if BYU try to drop more men into coverage to prevent Rosen from hurting them through the air, and the Bruins should be able to move the ball effectively.
UCLA have improved to 9-6 against the spread as the home favourite under Jim Mora while they are 10-4 against the spread against non-Conference opponents under the Head Coach.
It is a big test for Tanner Mangum who is starting his first true road start, although the new BYU Cougar Quarter Back led the team to a come from behind win over the Nebraska Cornhuskers with a Hail Mary on the road to end a long home winning run on opening day for the Cornhuskers.
Mangum is going up against an experienced UCLA Defense that has limited Virginia and UNLV in their first two games. I do think the BYU Cougars Offense is the best they would have faced and UCLA begin Conference play next week which might have taken away some of the focus, but I expect the Bruins to be too good in front of their own fans.
If the Defense can just continue to tighten up as they have in games, the UCLA Bruins shouldn't let the BYU Cougars hang around as Nebraska and Boise State did and I like UCLA to win this big.
Mississippi Rebels @ Alabama Crimson Tide Pick: The first couple of weeks of the season have made the Mississippi Rebels a dark horse to win the SEC West, but blowing out two overmatched foes isn't enough to prepare Ole Miss for a trip to Tuscaloosa.
The revenge element for the Alabama Crimson Tide has to play a part as Ole Miss were the only team to beat the Crimson Tide in the regular season. They have shown they are going to have a strong Defense after an impressive win over the Wisconsin Badgers and I like what Jake Coker has done so far, although this is easily his toughest test of the season so far.
Chad Kelly has shown he is capable of replacing Bo Wallace, but this is his first road test and playing in front of this passionate crowd has made many Quarter Backs a nervous wreck.
Alabama have won 23 straight home openers in the SEC and they have won their last three at home against Mississippi by at least 13 points per game. Playing with that revenge factor from last year will help keep the Crimson Tide completely focused in the game and the side are now 8-1 against the spread in their last 9 home games in SEC play.
I have to respect Ole Miss as a road underdog under Hugh Freeze where they are 5-2 against the spread, while that record reads 4-2 against SEC teams in that time. However, I think the Rebels are being over-rated by blowing out two overmatched teams and I like the Alabama Crimson Tide to cover in one of the big games of the week.
Air Force Falcons @ Michigan State Spartans Pick: It can be dangerous taking a weaker team to take on one of the true powerhouses in College Football, but this looks a very good spot for the Air Force Falcons to try and keep this close against the Michigan State Spartans.
The Spartans are coming off a huge win over the Oregon Ducks and mentally they have to suffer a bit of a letdown in this one. They are also playing a team that doesn't play 'conventional' football as the triple option Air Force run can be a problem for any team in the country, especially one that might be coming off a high as the Michigan State Spartans.
Air Force have won their two games this season convincingly, but not against a team as talented as Michigan State, and they can give the game their full attention with a bye week to come.
Let's face it, Michigan State win this game, but I am not sure they cover what is a lot of points, especially if they are not focused completely on the game. The Spartans win, but I like Air Force in this spot to cover.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish Pick: The starting Quarter Back is out, the starting Running Back is out, there are injuries on the Defensive Line and Notre Dame Fighting Irish are set as the home underdog against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
They do look a live underdog though, and Brian Kelly is well versed in defending the triple option so Notre Dame are going to know what to expect in this one. The Defense is amongst the best in College Football and the Fighting Irish might just circle the wagons for this game as they try and prove the oddsmakers wrong.
The fans will be expecting revenge having been humiliated by Georgia Tech the last time they faced them at home in 2007 when the Yellow Jackets arrived in South Bend as the favourites.
Eventually the injuries will likely catch up with Notre Dame, but it might not be in Week 3 and I think they rally together as I mentioned above. It's not a lot of points but I will back the Fighting Irish who the public are fading badly.
Stanford Cardinal + 9.5 Points @ 1.95 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
UCLA Bruins - 16.5 Points @ 1.95 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)
Alabama Crimson Tide - 7 Points @ 1.95 Coral (1 Unit)
Air Force Falcons - 24.5 Points @ 1.91 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish + 2.5 Points @ 2.00 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
Week 1: 7-6, + 0.48 Units (13 Units Staked, + 3.69% Yield
Season 2015: 12-10-1, + 1.16 Units (23 Units Staked, + 5.04% Yield)
Season 2014: 75-82-2, - 13.39 Units (172 Units Staked, - 7.78% Yield)