After some tough stretches, this has been a good week for the tennis picks regardless of how the last one of the week goes, although I am hoping for the week to end with one more positive result of course.
That pick will come from the Final in Metz as the tournaments this week draw to a close and those in Kuala Lumpur, Shenzhen and Wuhan begin.
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga - 2.5 games v Gilles Simon: Both Jo-Wilfried Tsonga and Gilles Simon have both the title in Metz on two occasions so the winner this week will become the first three time former winner here. They are both comfortable playing on the indoor courts in France, although Simon has had the better path through the draw.
Simon has won all three matches without dropping a set, while Tsonga had to battle through in three sets in the first two matches before beating Philipp Kohlschreiber in the Semi Final.
It is Tsonga who has dominated the head to head with seven wins to two, and Tsonga has never lost to Simon off a clay court. Tsonga has a couple of indoor hard court wins over Simon too and while they haven't played for a couple of years, there are still aspects of their games that gives Tsonga the edge.
He has the bigger serve which sets up the cheaper points and Tsonga's shots also will get more penetration through the court on the faster surfaces. I think Tsonga will know that he is going to have time to get his shots going because Simon will naturally play a more defensive game and giving Tsonga the momentum is only going to end the same way as previous matches between the two.
I can see Simon giving Tsonga some problems with his defensive skills and movement, but Tsonga should still create the most break point opportunities and can win the title after a 64, 75 win.
MY PICKS: Jo-Wilfried Tsonga - 2.5 Games @ 1.91 Sporting Bet (2 Units)
Weekly Update: 10-3, + 12.22 Units (26 Units Staked, + 47% Yield)
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