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Showing posts with label Wimbledon Picks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Wimbledon Picks. Show all posts

Sunday, 12 July 2026

Wimbledon Tennis Day 14 Pick- Mens Final 2026 (Sunday 12th July)

The Ladies Final looked like it was going to follow the Wimbledon Final of 2025 which ended in very one-sided fashion.

Linda Noskova had so many opportunities to win in the second set, but she just failed to get over the line and all credit has to be given to her for rallying and winning the Championship in the deciding set.

The big question for Noskova is whether she can push on from this success and, at 21 years old, there is every chance she can do that, but the recent Women's Champions have not always been able to do that. This continues to mean that there is every opportunity available for every player that enters a Grand Slam draw on this side and the US Open is going to be another big chance for so many to pick up a Major.


It is over to the Men on Sunday and the top of this side of the sport is very healthy- Carlos Alcaraz holds two Grand Slam titles, but there are serious doubts about when he will be able to return to action having missed the French Open and Wimbledon and also withdrawn from the Canadian Masters.

Alexander Zverev holds the French Open and Jannik Sinner will be heading into this Final as the defending Champion here at Wimbledon.

Opportunities outside of these three players are much tougher to find, although Novak Djokovic will have something to say about that, and it can sometimes make the early Rounds less dramatic compared with the Women's events. Some of the top ATP players will be able to hold their head up amongst the historical giants of the sport, especially if they can continue to churn out the Majors like the Big Three before them, but that is perhaps not the case with the very best WTA players who feel like they are very strong, but lacking the kind of consistency that was last displayed by Serena Williams at her best.

Can Linda Noskova move through and join the elite players on the Tour and kick on from there? That is to be seen over the next twelve months before she opens Centre Court on Day 2 of the 2027 Wimbledon, but the most immediate concern of the sport is finding out who will be opening the main show Court at SW19 on Day 1 next year.


Wimbledon was a really tough tournament for the Tennis Picks, but the last few days have proven to be a really strong bounce back effort and the tournament can be concluded with a profit with a Day 14 winner, or a very narrow loss with a losing selection.

At one stage it felt like all of the work from the opening six months of the season would be wasted and so a slight loss would still feel like a positive from where the Picks were earlier this week, although of course any selection being made is with the belief it can return a winner.

Over the remainder of the month, the European clay court swing and some of the early hard court tournaments will be played before moving into the two Masters events ahead of the US Open.

Sunday will be exactly seven weeks until the final Grand Slam of the 2026 season is to begin and there is plenty of tennis to get through before the US Open gets going in New York City.


Jannik Sinner - 5.5 games v Alexander Zverev: The defending Champion has perhaps not looked at his very best through the run back to the Final here at Wimbledon, but Jannik Sinner will have taken plenty of confidence from the way he was able to beat seven time former Winner Novak Djokovic in the Semi Final.

2026 has not been the season that the World Number One may have anticipated having yet to reach a Grand Slam Final and losing very early at the French Open, but Jannik Sinner is very comfortable on the grass. He has shown that again with another strong run at Wimbledon and Jannik Sinner has an opportunity to win a first Grand Slam since doing that right here twelve months ago, while perhaps underlining his status as the top player in the world.

A real argument could be made that Alexander Zverev is the current best player in the world if he is to back up the French Open success by winning a Grand Slam on his worst surface.

He has previously won titles on the grass, but Alexander Zverev had never reached the Quarter Final at Wimbledon before this season and the French Open success last month has clearly given the Number 2 Seed a real sense of belonging with the very best. You could say Alexander Zverev felt that before Paris, but this is a player who played within himself at key moments in the biggest matches and winning the French Open will have freed the mind.

Jannik Sinner had to come through in five sets in the First Round, while Alexander Zverev dropped a set in the opening Round too, but in the main both players have been pretty comfortable. There will be no excuses about fitness concerns after straight set Semi Final wins and the tennis being played by Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev has been at a level that makes them more than deserving Finalists.

The serve is going to be a big weapon for both Sinner and Zverev and they will need to maintain the levels that has seen them win at least 70% of service points in every match at the tournament. It can be argued that they have not faced someone who can return the ball as effectively as the other standing across the net, but these two players have to focus on themselves and that delivery will set them up to get through plenty of games without too much pressure being applied on them.

Out of the two players, Jannik Sinner has been the more consistent returner, but the Zverev serve can be a huge shot for the Number 2 Seed.

The raw numbers at this tournament have been really similar, but the mental advantage is clearly with Jannik Sinner who has dominated Alexander Zverev since the early meetings on the Tour.

Alexander Zverev had led 4-2 on the head to head, but they have played eight times since January 2025 and it is Jannik Sinner who has won all eight of those, beginning with a straight sets win in the Australian Open Final. That is the sole meeting in the last nineteen months in a Grand Slam event, but they have played in big Masters tournaments and Jannik Sinner will know that he has won all but a single set in the eight matches won by the Italian since the start of the 2025 season.

This simply cannot be ignored- four matches in 2026 have all ended in straight sets wins for Jannik Sinner which includes two on the hard court and two on the clay courts.

None of those meetings have been on grass, but this is a surface on which Jannik Sinner has had a lot more success than Alexander Zverev and the serve has been dominated by the top Seed during the last nineteen months.

In those eight matches played in that time, Jannik Sinner has held 99% of his service games with a single break given away and just 14 Break Points faced. Compare that to Alexander Zverev who has held 71% of service games played and been broken twenty-four times, while facing 49 Break Points and it is very tough to make a case for the French Open Champion being able to follow the likes of Bjorn Borg and Rafael Nadal in completing the Channel Grand Slam Double.

Alexander Zverev has proven he is going to be a threat to win Grand Slams going forward by becoming the first player to back up his maiden Major success by reaching the Final of the next Slam played, but Jannik Sinner should be the stronger grass court player. He can maintain his dominance of this opponent with another strong showing and Jannik Sinner can win his second Wimbledon title in succession on Sunday afternoon.

MY PICK: Jannik Sinner - 5.5 Games @ 2.10 William Hill (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 41-34, + 0.26 Units (148 Units Staked, + 0% Yield)

Saturday, 11 July 2026

Wimbledon Tennis Day 13 Pick- Women's Final 2026 (Saturday 11th July)

It is never easy seeing a great Champion lose that half a step, but that looks to be the situation for Novak Djokovic and Father Time looks to have caught up with him.

This leaves Alexander Zverev and Jannik Sinner as the last two Men standing at Wimbledon in 2026, but on Saturday the focus is on the Ladies title which will be won by a Czech player yet again.

Both players should be full of confidence ahead of the Final and the anticipation is that we are going to have another close battle between two players who have already won a title on the grass this season.


Karolina Muchova-Linda Noskova over 22.5 games: Wimbledon has always had some brilliant Czech Champions and they are going to be crowning another in the Ladies tournament on Saturday.

We are guaranteed to have a third different Czech Ladies Champion in four years after Marketa Vondrousova and Barbora Krejcikova won in 2023 and 2024, while the likes of Jana Novotna and Petra Kvitova are other former Champions without mentioning Martina Navratilova (who was born in Czechoslovakia before switching nationality to the United States).

Both Karolina Muchova and Linda Noskova are top ten Seeds in the tournament and they have managed to avoid the pitfalls that saw the draw open up as the top players went tumbling out of the event. The numbers produced by the two players will give them plenty of belief that they can become the latest Grand Slam Champion on the Tour, while Karolina Muchova and Linda Noskova both won warm up tournaments on the grass to underline their ability to play on the surface.

One previous match between these two friends was played at the US Open last year when Karolina Muchova won in three sets and this match is going to feel like it is being played in line with a hard court considering the heat that has been in London over the last fortnight. Some of the grip on the grass is still different, but first strike tennis is going to be important and both Muchova and Noskova will know that.

They visited Centre Court together in the hours before each won Semi Final matches and you have to feel that the fact they are close off the court should help the pair settle on the court.

It is a Grand Slam Final though and so nerves have to be expected.

Karolina Muchova fans will have some concern about the way she was holding her stomach at the end of her Semi Final win over Coco Gauff, although it did feel like nerves were getting on top of her rather than an injury that will affect her in the Final. However, it is something to consider, especially as Muchova will not want to be hindered when it comes to the serve.

She will have to serve well to just stay with Linda Noskova, who has been serving really well throughout the tournament and who overpowered Marta Kostyuk in her own Semi Final.

The superior variation is going to come from Karolina Muchova, but Linda Noskova is capable of ripping big shots and that is going to be her approach to try and get on top of rallies as soon as she can.

The Covid pandemic meant Wimbledon was not played in 2020 and three of the last five Ladies Finals since then have all gone the distance- it would be a stunning turn of events if it ends 6-0, 6-0 as this Final did twelve months ago and instead this looks like a Final that will have some real swings in momentum.

Each player winning a set would not be a surprise, but a closely fought two set match may still see this total games mark overcome, as it was when Karolina Muchova beat Naomi Osaka in straight sets in the Quarter Final.

Picking a winner is tough, but perhaps the experience of Karolina Muchova will eventually tell, although Linda Noskova has played well throughout this grass court season and the 21 year old is unlikely to go away very quickly.

MY PICK: Karolina Muchova-Linda Noskova Over 22.5 Games @ 1.80 Bet365 (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 40-34, - 1.34 Units (146 Units Staked, - 1% Yield)

Thursday, 9 July 2026

Wimbledon Tennis Day 12 Picks 2026 (Friday 10th July)

The opening Ladies Semi Final was something pretty special, but Karolina Muchova's opponent is yet to be determined at the time of writing.

Once the second Semi Final is completed, I will update the Wimbledon numbers from the tournament, but this thread is focusing on the two Semi Finals to be played on Friday.

It was something of a surprise to read that the bottom half Semi Final will be played first, especially as they were on court on Wednesday and not Tuesday, but it is a positive for Novak Djokovic to have that slightly longer time to prepare for another big match on Centre Court.

Both favourites look very likely to come through, but matches are played on grass and not screens/paper, while dismissing Novak Djokovic to win any tennis match would be very foolish indeed.


Jannik Sinner - 5.5 games v Novak Djokovic: As soon as the Wimbledon draw was made two weeks ago, most fans would have been hoping for the latest battle between Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic with the winner expecting to be favourite to win the title on Sunday.

Over the last couple of years, it has felt like Jannik Sinner has gotten on top of Novak Djokovic and the World Number One had beaten the Serb in five straight matches.

That alone would not have been an issue for someone like Novak Djokovic, but three of those wins had been earned at Grand Slams, including beating Djokovic at the Australian Open in 2024 and Wimbledon in 2025. Those are two tournaments that Novak Djokovic has loved throughout his career and to be beaten in the manner he had been would have certainly had some wondering if Djokovic would ever win another Grand Slam.

He admitted himself that beating both Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz at the same tournament would be a considerable challenge, but the latter has been absent from the last couple of Grand Slam events. That means Novak Djokovic 'only' has to beat Jannik Sinner and he will have taken a great amount of confidence from the Australian Open Semi Final win over the Italian back in January.

Not only did it snap the losing run to Jannik Sinner, but Novak Djokovic will have taken great heart from outlasting the Italian in that Semi Final that lasted over four hours and needed to go the distance to determine a winner.

Novak Djokovic needed over five hours to win his Quarter Final, but the match was played on Tuesday and that means this is a situation where the former seven time Wimbledon Champion has had two days of recovery, rather than the usual one day between matches that would be the case at Grand Slam events. Beating Felix Auger Aliassime in the manner he did is a reminder that Novak Djokovic still has something in the tank, but he will be aware that he needs to find another level to beat the defending Champion on Centre Court.

Serving well has been the key for Novak Djokovic, but he is not the same returner as he was at his peak and that will offer plenty of encouragement to Jannik Sinner who has not won any of the last three Grand Slam tournaments played. He is the World Number One, but Sinner has yet to make a Grand Slam Final in 2026 and there is pressure on his shoulders, which perhaps contributed to a tougher than expected Quarter Final win.

Jannik Sinner has spent considerably less time on the court than 39 year old Novak Djokovic and that is going to be a potential factor, while the top Seed has been serving at a consistently high level.

He would like to show a bit more on the return of serve to really feel like his rhythm is in a good place, but Jannik Sinner should be happy enough with the match up and beat Novak Djokovic in straight sets in the 2025 Wimbledon Semi Final.

This one should be a bit more competitive, but Jannik Sinner should still have the qualities needed to find the breaks of serve at key times and eventually win with room to spare in this last four meeting on Centre Court.


Alexander Zverev - 6.5 games v Arthur Fery: An incredible performance in the Quarter Final has helped Arthur Fery into the Wimbledon Semi Final and he will be sitting alongside three Grand Slam Champions as the youngster looks to prevent the clock hitting midnight on his Cinderella run.

A straight sets win in the Quarter Final would have been just what the doctor ordered if Arthur Fery wants to put his best foot forward in this Semi Final.

Earlier in the tournament, Arthur Fery has invested so much time and energy on the court as he has battled out of very difficult spots to continue to make this unexpected run. The fans are firmly behind him and the British player is going to be moving just outside the top 32 positions in the World Rankings even if he is beaten on Friday.

The World Rankings will look after themselves and all Arthur Fery and his supporters will be thinking about is this Semi Final against the French Open Champion.

Alexander Zverev has never been able to put it all together at Wimbledon, but there was an immediate feeling that winning the French Open could see this player kick on and add Grand Slam titles to his collection really quickly. He knows he can get over the line on the biggest stage and Zverev has moved through the Wimbledon draw with a lot of confidence, although he did beat a Taylor Fritz suffering with an injury in the Quarter Final.

It may have been a factor, but Alexander Zverev will also believe he has been playing well enough to deserve his spot in the Semi Final and the serve has been a huge weapon for him. Serving well is going to be key in this one to offer the crowd little to get behind, while also reminding Fery of the kind of level he is facing, and it is no surprise that the Number 2 Seed is the big favourite.

Arthur Fery served well in the Quarter Final, but he had been put under pressure on that shot in the previous two wins and Alexander Zverev can do the same to him here.

Centre Court is going to be firmly behind the 24 year old who has come out of nowhere to put this run together at Wimbledon, but it would be a big surprise if it is a run that can continue onto the Final on Sunday.

You would have to say that Alexander Zverev is going to have to show improvement on the return of serve if he is going to complete the French Open-Wimbledon double that has proven to be so difficult for players down the years. Considering Zverev had never made the Quarter Final in SW19 before this tournament, a title here would really be a big surprise, but the German could not have hoped for a better Semi Final opponent and Alexander Zverev can wear down the upstart.

On current form, Arthur Fery can make a set or two competitive, but you would have to imagine that all of the emotions and physical exertions of the last two weeks will eventually get on top of the British player. He is playing with little to lose, but Fery does have something to aim at here and Alexander Zverev can use a big serve to keep him under pressure and ultimately come through with a solid scoreboard victory that sees him cover this handicap mark laid out.

MY PICKS: Jannik Sinner - 5.5 Games @ 2.00 William Hill (2 Units)
Alexander Zverev - 6.5 Games @ 2.10 William Hill (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 38-34, - 5.54 Units (142 Units Staked, - 3.90% Yield)

Wednesday, 8 July 2026

Wimbledon Tennis Day 11 Picks 2026 (Thursday 9th July)

The 2026 Wimbledon has been a tournament filled with upsets throughout the first ten days of action and that all continued on Wednesday when Arthur Fery made it through to the Semi Final.

He has a day to rest before the biggest match of his young career, but the focus on Thursday will be on the Ladies Semi Finals with all four players remaining in the draw looking like they could win the title on Saturday.

The opening Semi Final looks the more likely to provide a Champion, but it is all to play for before the Men take over on Friday.


Karolina Muchova-Coco Gauff over 22.5 games: The winner of this Ladies Semi Final is likely going to be set as the favourite to win the Wimbledon title and that is going to be something that both Karolina Muchova and Coco Gauff will be thinking about in the day between the Quarter Final and this final four match.

Both players came through tough Quarter Final matches in impressive style and the layers are finding it tough to separate them.

The head to head clearly favours Coco Gauff, but this is the first time they are facing one another on the grass courts and it should be noted that Karolina Muchova ended her six match losing run to the American by finally edging past her in Stuttgart. One of those wins was earned by Coco Gauff at the Australian Open back in January, which will give her confidence, but Karolina Muchova has been playing really well on the grass courts and overcame a poor head to head with Naomi Osaka to get the better of her in the last Round.

If you take away the names and look at the numbers produced on the grass courts in 2026 and the Wimbledon runs alone, you would likely have Karolina Muchova down as a stronger favourite than she is right now.

However, the head to head and the much stronger Grand Slam experience is in favour of Coco Gauff and that likely means she enters the court with more confidence to turn things back in her favour even if it begins to go wrong. The performances have not been poor in her run to the Semi Final, but Coco Gauff has had to spend a lot more time on the court and has had to come through some mental battles, which can accumulate fatigue.

Experience of these kind of stages is important though and Coco Gauff has plenty of that in her locker, which could help significantly.

Karolina Muchova has been the more effective server in this tournament, and that has allowed her to take some chances on the return. However, Coco Gauff's match up with Muchova means she will believe she can impose her return on this Semi Final and that may ultimately give her the slight edge.

Both players are very capable though, and it would not be a surprise if this is another Ladies match that ends up being very competitive and possibly surpassing the total games line in just two sets. There is every chance that this will swing back and forth as it did when Karolina Muchova and Coco Gauff met in Melbourne earlier in the year and so backing this to be a match that finishes above the line set from the total games market is the plan.


Linda Noskova v Marta Kostyuk: A top ten place in the World Rankings will be secured by the winner of this Semi Final and there is a chance for Marta Kostyuk and Linda Noskova to make the kind of breakthrough on the Tour that could spark the young careers.

Last month Marta Kostyuk reached the French Open Semi Final, but struggled with the weight of expectation as she was beaten by Mirra Andreeva in straight sets. The World Number 13 will have taken a great deal of confidence from that run, even if it ended disappointingly, but Marta Kostyuk has used the experience to fuel this performance at Wimbledon.

It has been something of a surprising run when you think Marta Kostyuk decided to skip warm up tournaments and had a career 16-19 record on the surface and had lost all three matches played on grass in 2025. The draw has opened up, as it has for many, but Marta Kostyuk will take confidence from the wins over Emma Navarro and Jasmine Paolini who have both had successes on the grass.

She has only dropped a couple of sets in the five wins in the tournament, while Marta Kostyuk has used her serve to build up scoreboard pressure throughout the run. This has allowed the Ukrainian to play with aggression on the return of serve and Marta Kostyuk has put together a really strong Wimbledon, which is perhaps a reason she has been set as favourite.

Marta Kostyuk beat Linda Noskova in Madrid on the clay, but the latter has been playing with a lot more belief in her tennis on the grass courts.

Last month Linda Noskova won a title in Berlin, which included beating the likes of Alexandra Eala and Jessica Pegula, while the Czech player had runs to the Quarter Final in Nottingham, Semi Final in Bad Homburg and the Fourth Round at Wimbledon last year. Like many players that have been produced by Czechia, Linda Noskova has taken to the grass with real confidence and she has beaten Sorana Cirstea, Madison Keys and Elise Mertens in the last three Rounds.

Linda Noskova has also been serving well in this tournament and she has proven to be a consistent return player.

This is going to be a really tough match for Linda Noskova against a confident Marta Kostyuk that will have used that experience at the French Open to just help her settle ahead of this one.

Both players have served well enough to believe they can put the other under immense pressure, but the younger player has proved to be the superior grass court player beyond this tournament. Marta Kostyuk has played well enough to think she can win this one, but Linda Noskova looks a solid underdog to get behind in a Grand Slam that has been filled with upsets throughout the last two weeks and the World Number 12 may edge through this good looking Semi Final.

MY PICKS: Karolina Muchova-Coco Gauff Over 22.5 Games @ 1.87 Bet Victor (2 Units)
L:inda Noskova @ 2.20 William Hill (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 36-34, - 9.68 Units (138 Units Staked, - 7.01% Yield)

Wimbledon Tennis Day 10 Picks 2026 (Wednesday 8th July)

Day 10 of the 2026 Wimbledon Grand Slam tournament will complete the Semi Final lineup and it is quite a difficult one for the Tennis Picks.

Both selections come from the Men's Quarter Final matches to be played second on both show courts.

The two Ladies Quarter Finals are looking very tough to pick a winner and so will be left alone on Wednesday as the tournament continues at a pace.


Taylor Fritz-Alexander Zverev over 42.5 games: Two of the top six Seeds at the 2026 Wimbledon tournament will be facing one another in the Quarter Final and there is an added pressure of knowing that the winner is likely going to be a big favourite to reach the Final on Sunday. That can be very difficult for players to put aside, but there is no doubt that Taylor Fritz and Alexander Zverev will have a lot of respect for one another and that can keep them focused on the task at hand.

This is the sixteenth meeting on the pro Tour and it is Taylor Fritz who holds a significant edge with ten wins compared with Alexander Zverev's five, including the last seven in a row.

It is a run that began when Taylor Fritz came from 2-0 behind to beat Alexander Zverev in five sets at Wimbledon in 2024 and there have been two further grass court wins in that time. One of those grass court wins was earned as recently as last month when Taylor Fritz came from a set behind to beat Alexander Zverev in the Halle Semi Final and the layers are clearly finding it difficult to split the two players.

Alexander Zverev has to take confidence from the fact he has beaten Taylor Fritz at Wimbledon in 2018 and 2021, but both of those matches and the Fourth Round contest in 2024 have been very competitive and this one is expected to be the same.

The raw numbers in previous matches have underlined how competitive matches between these players have been and both Taylor Fritz and Alexander Zverev have to be playing with real confidence right now.

Taylor Fritz had two very strong runs on the grass courts last month, while Alexander Zverev will have grown after winning the French Open title to pick up a maiden Grand Slam. Both players have been serving really well in the tournament and this is likely to be the case when they head out onto the court on Wednesday, although Alexander Zverev will be frustrated that he had to complete his Fourth Round match on Tuesday and was pushed pretty hard in the one and a half sets that had to be played.

It is a potential issue, but Alexander Zverev has plenty of experience and cannot use that Fourth Round match being held over as an excuse for any defeat.

The match up has been a difficult one for him, but Alexander Zverev has been serving well enough to give himself a chance of snapping the run of defeats to Taylor Fritz. The American has also been finding a real rhythm on the serve and this looks like being the latest Wimbledon match that sees competitive sets being played when these two players head out onto the court.

The three previous Wimbledon matches have ended with 50, 45 and 55 games when Taylor Fritz and Alexander Zverev have faced one another.

Four Grand Slam matches have all ended with at least four sets shared out and that could be enough for this outing to end with the two combining to surpass this total games line.

MY PICKS: Taylor Fritz-Alexander Zverev Over 42.5 Games @ 1.80 William Hill (2 Units)
Flavio Cobolli-Arthur Fery Over 37.5 Games @ 1.85 William Hill (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 36-32, - 5.68 Units (134 Units Staked, - 4.24% Yield)

Tuesday, 7 July 2026

Wimbledon Tennis Day 9 Picks 2026 (Tuesday 7th July)

The Quarter Final was almost fully set as expected, but the two long matches on Centre Court prevented the full day of play being completed and Jiri Lehecka and Alexander Zverev will have to conclude their Fourth Round match on Tuesday.

That is a bonus for those who have tickets for the Centre Court Quarter Finals on Day 9, but both show courts have some excellent tennis to choose from.

Matches look like they are going to be very competitive in what is expected to be very hot conditions in London, although an overcast day should help the players and the fans.


Felix Auger Aliassime-Novak Djokovic over 40.5 games: If this was a Quarter Final played at Wimbledon two years ago, Novak Djokovic would have been a much stronger favourite than is the case in 2026.

The records continue to tumble as Novak Djokovic continues to compete at a decent level, but there is little doubt that this is a player on the slide and winning one more Grand Slam title may end up being an elusive target. Winning at Wimbledon may offer the best route to do that, but Novak Djokovic is in the tougher half of the draw and he is likely going to have to beat two players Ranked higher than himself to earn a spot in the Final on Sunday.

First up is this Quarter Final against Felix Auger Aliassime who just battled through an epic five setter to progress past Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and take his place in the last eight at another Grand Slam. The Canadian will be desperate to show what he can do at the highest level of the sport and there has been plenty to like about the way Auger Aliassime has gone about his business at Wimbledon this year.

The serve has been a huge weapon and Felix Auger Aliassime will need that to be firing to keep Novak Djokovic under pressure.

At his best, Djokovic was one of the greatest return players of all time, but he has struggled with his rhythm at this tournament and he has not won 40% or better of return points in any of the four wins produced. The Third Round win over Arthur Rinderknech will provide Felix Auger Aliassime with some kind of serving blueprint and the latter will certainly feel he has more about his serving than Rinderknech, which should mean having more joy.

Of course there will be plenty of respect for Novak Djokovic, but this is a player who does not have the same kind of movement as he did at his best and that should allow Felix Auger Aliassime to have success.

Novak Djokovic has gotten into the Quarter Final though and that is largely down to the way he has been serving and the match up against a return player like Felix Auger Aliassime should be one that the former World Number One is very comfortable. He will know the younger opponent has the power, but Djokovic has the experience and his serving will set up plenty of cheaper points to keep the scoreboard ticking.

These two players have not played one another in a competitive match since 2022, which will mean there is going to be some feeling out process.

The serving of both players will be important, and it feels like it would be a real surprise if either player is blown away in straight sets.

The underdog has every chance of earning the upset, but Novak Djokovic is always hard to dismiss and this looks like a Quarter Final that could need four, and possibly five sets to determine a winner, which is guiding the selection.


Jannik Sinner - 7.5 games v Jan-Lennard Struff: The defending Champion knows what it takes to win a title at Wimbledon, but Jannik Sinner also has plenty of successes at other Grand Slam events to build up his experience. He will not have been overly concerned about a slow start in this tournament, especially as the top Seed had not been seen since his upset defeat at the French Open, but there are real signs that Jannik Sinner is building up some momentum that could be very difficult to stop before Sunday evening.

The last two Rounds have been improved from the first two Rounds and Jannik Sinner will not be too concerned about facing an opponent he has beaten in all three previous matches on the Tour. One of those wins has been earned on the grass courts and Jannik Sinner is also vastly more experienced with these kind of big tournament matches.

Jan-Lennard Struff has forced his way into a maiden Grand Slam Quarter Final at 36 years old and this run has really come out of a surprising position when you consider warm up tournaments and performances in those.

Serving well has put pressure on his opponents, but Jan-Lennard Struff has also been on the right side of very fine margins and that is going to be difficult to replicate against someone like the World Number One.

In three of the four matches played at Wimbledon, Jan-Lennard Struff has split the first four sets and that will have been a situation where accumulated fatigue could be an issue.

The easiest win came against Daniil Medvedev in terms of it being a straight sets win, but the performance within that will give Jannik Sinner a huge amount of encouragement- Jan-Lennard Struff had been so far behind in each of the three sets played, but Medvedev crumbled in a situation that would be unexpected for the top Seed in the draw.

A bigger factor is the expected rise in heat in London- hot conditions have affected Jannik Sinner negatively in the past, including in Paris at the French Open earlier this year, and the underdog may be looking to keep him out on the court for as long as possible. The serve is one that can be frustrating for any player to deal with, but you have to believe that the inexperience at playing a match of this magnitude is going to be a factor against Struff.

The most likely outcome is that Jannik Sinner will be too good and he may be doubling down focus to avoid being dragged into a scrap in what is likely to be the hottest part of the day.

Jannik Sinner's own serve is one that should contain much of the threat on the other side of the court, while he will look back to the 18 Break Point chances created when facing Jan-Lennard Struff on the grass courts of Halle two years ago. The heat may aid Struff's serving, but Jannik Sinner is expected to have plenty of chances to get on top of him here and may ultimately wear down the lower Ranked player in a relatively comfortable victory.


Jessica Pegula-Coco Gauff over 22.5 games: The Ladies tournament has been decimated by upsets through the opening four Rounds of the 2026 Wimbledon, but there are still a couple of former Grand Slam Champions involved and they will be looking to use all of their experience to add this title to the collection.

One of those is Coco Gauff who made her first significant breakthrough on the Tour on these grounds back in 2019 when reaching the Fourth Round as a 15 year old.

Two Grand Slam titles have been won and Coco Gauff has reached the Semi Final at three of the Majors played, but it is a real surprise that the only event in which she had not played in a Quarter Final is right here at Wimbledon. That will change when she steps onto the court to face her compatriot on Tuesday, but Coco Gauff has been set as the underdog and that does not quite sit right.

Where Coco Gauff has shown she can win the biggest matches, Jessica Pegula has found her tennis stifled more often than not when the same opportunities have come up and at 32 years old, there will be a feeling that Pegula will not have a better chance to finally win a Grand Slam.

Jessica Pegula had lost the first six Quarter Final Grand Slam matches she played, although credit has to be given to the American for making it that far in every Grand Slam tournament. More recently things have begun to change and Pegula has won her last three Grand Slam Quarter Finals, but she has only made the single Final from all of those chances and finished Runner Up at the 2024 US Open.

Despite some of the performances in grass court tournaments ahead of Wimbledon, this has easily been the poorest of the Grand Slams for Jessica Pegula- she has reached the Quarter Final once before, but had only made the Third Round on one other occasion until the run to the last eight this year.

Both players have had to come through one tough match, which has to be respected, but Coco Gauff is the more battle-hardened.

Hot conditions will likely mean the extra tennis played could be a factor going against Gauff, but she will understand the match up considering the eight previous matches against one another.

Jessica Pegula is right to be favourite having won five of those matches, but also playing the superior tennis at this tournament, but pressure could ramp up the closer she gets to the winning line and that is where Coco Gauff can fight back. It feels like a match that will be won in either two very competitive sets or both players will be controlling a set apiece before a decider is needed.

With all that being said, this Quarter Final looks like one that will surpass the total games line that has been set.


Naomi Osaka-Karolina Muchova over 22.5 games: The Final at Bad Homburg last month ended prematurely when Naomi Osaka had to withdraw and allow Karolina Muchova to pick up the title, but they meet again at Wimbledon in a huge Quarter Final.

This is a tournament that feels wide open on the Ladies side of the event and the winner of this one is going to be full of belief that they can go all the way and pick up the title on Saturday afternoon.

Eight matches have been won between the players at Wimbledon and only a single set has been dropped- Naomi Osaka has the best win on the board as she crushed Aryna Sabalenka in the Fourth Round, but she had not been beyond the Third Round at this Grand Slam before, while Karolina Muchova is playing in the Quarter Final for the third time, but who had suffered four opening Round defeats in a row before her run to the last eight this season.

The raw numbers point to Naomi Osaka playing the superior tennis, but Karolina Muchova is playing at a consistently high level too and has been comfortable through the opening four Rounds.

It is very clear that the serve is going to be key for both players having been an important part of their tennis in the run to the Quarter Final and especially in the conditions expected in London. The higher temperatures are going to be a real challenge for the players to deal with, but Naomi Osaka and Karolina Muchova are scheduled to come out in the late afternoon and that may allow them to play their tennis with more authority as the heat begins to cool.

Regardless, it will be a hot day and both Osaka and Muchova are very well aware of what the other brings to the court.

They have faced off in big matches having played one another at the 2024 US Open, 2025 Australian Open and 2025 US Open and Naomi Osaka should take great encouragement from having won the last two of those matches. The most recent was in the US Open Quarter Final, but it was a very competitive match and another is expected when Karolina Muchova and Osaka meet again on Tuesday.

The layers have perhaps got it right by having Naomi Osaka down as a favourite, but Karolina Muchova is comfortable on the grass courts and can play her part in a Quarter Final that may end up needing a deciding set.

MY PICKS: Felix Auger Aliassime-Novak Djokovic Over 40.5 Games @ 1.83 Bet365 (2 Units)
Jannik Sinner - 7.5 Games @ 1.91 Bet365 (2 Units)
Jessica Pegula-Coco Gauff Over 22.5 Games @ 1.91 William Hill (2 Units)
Naomi Osaka-Karolina Muchova Over 22.5 Games @ 1.80 William Hill (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 33-31, - 8.76 Units (126 Units Staked, - 6.95% Yield)

Monday, 6 July 2026

Wimbledon Tennis Day 8 Picks 2026 (Monday 6th July)

The 2026 Wimbledon tournament will conclude Monday with the entire Quarter Final line up set.

The Ladies event is now wide open after Aryna Sabalenka exited the tournament and the remaining players in the draw all have a huge opportunity in front of them.

In the Mens event, the leading contenders continue to bully their way into the business end of the third Grand Slam of the season and there is still a hope that on these pages we can turn the Tennis Picks around with a strong conclusion to the event.


Taylor Fritz - 1.5 sets v Alexander Bublik: With the top two favourites in the Mens Tournament in the top half of the draw, the bottom half feels wide open and Taylor Fritz has shown enough over the last month to believe he could go one step further than last year.

In 2024 Taylor Fritz reached the Quarter Final here at Wimbledon and followed up with a Semi Final run twelve months ago, the second time the American has reached the final four of any Grand Slam. He was a Finalist at the US Open in 2024, but this has been a year when injuries have held Taylor Fritz back and a reason he is the World Number 7 having skipped the clay court season.

This may have worked for Taylor Fritz who reached the Final in two grass court tournaments before Wimbledon began and he has looked in solid form here in SW19 having reached the Fourth Round while dropping a single set. The confidence on a grass court cannot be ignored and Taylor Fritz will be very happy with the match up against Alexander Bublik in this Fourth Round contest.

Alexander Bublik has reached the Fourth Round here at Wimbledon before, and he does have a solid grass court career, but there has always been a feeling that the Third or Fourth Round of any Grand Slam might be the ceiling for him. He has talent, but Alexander Bublik can lose focus and can feel plenty of scoreboard pressure, although reaching the French Open Quarter Final last year felt like a potential breakthrough to take the next step in his career, even at then 28 years old.

That hasn't panned out quite as expected or hoped, while there had been little in the warm up matches that suggested Alexander Bublik would be ready to match his best performance at Wimbledon and perhaps even surpass it.

Over the last week, Alexander Bublik has twice needed five sets to get through in three matches played, while he spent over four hours on the court to finally down Frances Tiafoe late on Friday.

The match is likely going to be filled with plenty of Aces, but Taylor Fritz has won four of the last five matches between these players and that will give him confidence to come through the most pressurised moments.

Two of those wins have been on the grass courts and one of those was played last month in Stuttgart as Taylor Fritz won 41% of return points played and forced three breaks of serve in a straight sets victory. He may need to get through a slightly tighter contest in the Fourth Round here at Wimbledon, but Taylor Fritz will be pretty confident he can win this one in four sets to earn another Quarter Final appearance.


Grigor Dimitrov - 1.5 sets v Arthur Fery: Last year, Jannik Sinner won the Wimbledon Title, but the Italian would be the first to admit that he had one foot and four toes out of the tournament in the Fourth Round.

In July 2025, Jannik Sinner was two sets down and looking lost for ideas in the third set against Grigor Dimitrov before an awful injury forced the Bulgarian to withdraw from the match.

It is an injury that has cost Grigor Dimitrov several months of his career and that is highlighted by the fact that he entered Wimbledon as the World Number 146.

Matching the run from the 2025 Wimbledon tournament means Grigor Dimitrov has not really made a big impact in his overall Ranking, but there is no doubt that the player and his team feel like he is changing the narrative around this event from a personal level. Instead of being the tournament where an injury could have almost ended the career, Grigor Dimitrov has rediscovered some of his very best tennis and he will believe he is a threat to reach a maiden Grand Slam Final.

Grigor Dimitrov needed five sets to get the better of Matteo Berrettini in the Third Round, but he only spent a little over three and a half hours on the court and the opening two matches were won while dropping a single set. His confidence is growing on his return to the grass on the main courts here at Wimbledon and Dimitrov is beloved by the fans.

However, that may not be completely the case on Monday when the Bulgarian takes on the last British player left in the Singles draw and Arthur Fery has made a run that has come out of left field, which is going to really boost the fans behind him.

At 23 years old, Arthur Fery was given an opportunity with Wild Cards into a couple of warm up events and he made use of those by reaching the Quarter Final at Queen's Club and then winning one match in Eastbourne. A Semi Final run at a Challenger event earlier in the summer gave Arthur Fery some real confidence and belief, and that has been used to help him overcome opponents, and nosebleeds, on the way through to the Fourth Round.

He is another player that needed five sets to get through the Third Round, but Arthur Fery has settled onto the courts here having previously had a 1-3 record in the main draw at Wimbledon before the 2026 tournament began.

Arthur Fery has nothing to lose, but he is heading onto Centre Court and that is another challenge for an inexperienced player.

Serving well is key, but Grigor Dimitrov has also been serving very well and his added experience is expected to be a factor in favour of the the veteran.

It should be a really vibrant atmosphere on Centre Court on Monday and it should be a fun match to watch, but Grigor Dimitrov is expected to come through in three or four sets as Arthur Fery enjoys his moment in the limelight and with a real chance to build going forward.


Alexandra Eala - 2.5 games v Jasmine Paolini: After upsetting the defending Champion in the previous Round, the challenge for Alexandra Eala is backing it up and she does have every chance of doing that in this Fourth Round contest.

However, the challenge for any player earning an upset is making sure they remain focused on the court and not become too distracted by those off the court.

Alexandra Eala would have had to speak to more media than usual after beating Iga Swiatek, while she will also be walking around the grounds with a lot more attention from the fans. This can be really tough for players who are not used to having that attention, but Alexandra Eala has been popular since breaking onto the Tour and that will help.

She will also be helped by the fact that she has beaten Jasmine Paolini in the only previous meeting on the Tour, but the Italian has to be respected.

She is a former Wimbledon Finalist from just two years ago, but Jasmine Paolini has had a difficult twelve months and that is perhaps why she is set as the underdog. The last two runs during the grass court season have been disappointing and Jasmine Paolini had lost her only match on the grass in 2026 before Wimbledon began.

After dropping the opening set of the tournament without winning a game, Jasmine Paolini has won six sets in a row and that has given her momentum and confidence that could be difficult for Alexandra Eala to contain.

However, Alexandra Eala has only dropped a single set in three wins and she has won a Challenger title on the grass, while also reaching the Berlin Semi Final to underline her comfort on the surface. There is still room for improvement if the World Number 32 is going to earn the win, but Alexandra Eala will take some confidence from the win over Jasmine Paolini in Dubai and she may do enough to edge past the Italian and the handicap mark set.

MY PICKS: Taylor Fritz - 1.5 Sets @ 1.85 William Hill (2 Units)
Grigor Dimitrov - 1.5 Sets @ 1.85 William Hill (2 Units)
Alexandra Eala - 2.5 Games @ 1.83 Bet365 (2 Units)
Ashlyn Krueger + 3.5 Games @ 1.91 Bet365 (2 Units)
Madison Keys - 1.5 Games @ 1.83 Bet365 (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 32-27, - 2.46 Units (116 Units Staked, - 2.12% Yield)

Sunday, 5 July 2026

Wimbledon Tennis Day 7 Picks 2026 (Sunday 5th July)

Day 6 proved to be a day of upsets in the Ladies Tournament at Wimbledon as the top two Seeds in the bottom half of the draw were both eliminated, including defending Champion Iga Swiatek.

A surprising Finalist at another Grand Slam looks set to emerge, but Day 7 is the beginning of the second week and there is plenty more tennis to be played.

The top half of the Ladies Tournament looks highly competitive and the different combinations for the Quarter Final matches on Day 9 all look potentially very attractive.

It is a tough day to make Picks from the four matches to be played in the Ladies Fourth Round and it would not be a surprise if two favourites and two underdogs are able to fight through.

We do have two big favourites in the Mens Tournament with Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic remaining on collision course, but there are others still performing at Wimbledon who will believe they can find a way to earn the title. The Day 7 Fourth Round matches should be fun to watch and the fans in attendance on what was formerly Middle Sunday should be in for a treat.


Jannik Sinner - 9.5 games v Shintaro Mochizuki: He has already made history at Wimbledon before when Shintaro Mochizuki became the first Japanese player to win a Boys Single Title and so there is some comfort on the grass court. However, the move onto the main Tour has been hugely challenging for the 23 year old who is the World Number 151, but Grand Slam events have a tendency to throw up those storylines that will capture the imagination of Tennis fans.

This is one of those stories- despite winning that Boys Title here in 2019, Shintaro Mochizuki has struggled to impose himself on the main Tour, even on the grass. Strong runs at Challenger events suggested Mochizuki had found his level, while prior to the Wimbledon Qualifiers beginning, Shintaro Mochizuki had been beaten in matches by players Ranked Number 103, 196 and 806.

Three Qualifying wins earned Shintaro Mochizuki the right to take part in the main draw at Wimbledon for the second year in a row, but those wins were against players Ranked closer to 200 than the top 100, while he needed five sets to earn the way past the final opponent.

Shintaro Mochizuki was given a kind First Round draw, but he has grown in his time on the court and the wins over Ethan Quinn and Rafael Jodar are much more respectable. Naomi Osaka has been watching on from the player's box and Mochizuki is playing with a freedom that could make him dangerous.

The layers certainly do not feel that is the case with this line set for this Fourth Round match as Shintaro Mochizuki prepares to take on the World Number 1, and defending Champion, Jannik Sinner.

It has not been the most convincing tournament as far as Jannik Sinner has been concerned, but he will be pleased to have gotten through the first week without too many more dramas after needing five sets to win the opening match. Back to back straight sets wins will have eased the concerns around the World Number 1, while the numbers have improved Round to Round and that suggests this is a player peaking towards next weekend.

He will be massively encouraged by the serving numbers that Shintaro Mochizuki put on the board in the win over Rafael Jodar and that was against an opponent who is not nearly as accomplished on the grass as Jannik Sinner.

Covering will be a test, but this feels like a match that Jannik Sinner could control more and more the longer the players are out there and it could end up being reflected on the final scoreboard. After a competitive opening, Jannik Sinner could roll through the gears and keep his opponent under pressure on the return and it may end up leading to a 7-5, 6-3, 6-1 kind of victory and so backing the World Number 1 to cover this big line is the play.


Hubert Hurkacz-Jan-Lennard Struff over 40.5 games: Since reaching the Wimbledon Semi Final in 2021, Hubert Hurkacz had failed to make the Third Round twice in three visits and reached the Fourth Round once.

He is back in that spot on Day 7 of the 2026 tournament and Hubert Hurkacz has a big opportunity to get back into the last eight of this Grand Slam and reverse what has been a worrying trend regarding the slipping of the World Ranking over the last couple of years. Some of that has been down to injury, but Hubert Hurkacz has struggled to get back to the kind of level that had taken him into the top six of the World Rankings just two years ago.

A 14-15 overall record over the last twelve months ahead of this Grand Slam meant there was little expectation on Hubert Hurkacz, but he has made short work of the competition. Beating Casper Ruud in four sets is not the upset the Seeding would suggest, not on a grass court, but Hurkacz has a straight sets win over Sebastian Ofner and most impressive is the four set win over Tommy Paul to reach the second week.

Standing across the net is Jan-Lennard Struff, who looked to be coming to the back end of his career, and who at 36 years old will not have a better chance to get back into a main event spot.

Jan-Lennard Struff has been playing main draw Grand Slam events since 2013, but he has yet to reach the Quarter Final of any of those and this will be just the fifth time that the German has reached the second week of any Slam.

His run here at Wimbledon means this Slam has joined the French Open as the one that Jan-Lennard Struff has had the most success and he has battled and clawed throughout the first week. The upset over Daniil Medvedev in the Third Round caught the attention, although the straight sets win does not tell the tale of the story as Jan-Lennard Struff recovered from breaks of serve in each of the sets played.

Serving well is going to be huge for both players and the edge here is with Hubert Hurkacz who should be fresher and able to deliver the big serves more often and for longer than Jan-Lennard Struff. However, the latter can push through to tie-breakers and there is every chance that this is going to be a match that needs at least four sets with both players sensing the opportunity, which means also dealing with the pressure that comes with a sense of expectation.

Previous matches between the players have tended to be very competitive and that looks like being the case on Sunday in this Fourth Round contest.


Felix Auger Aliassime-Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Pick: There are a couple of Boys Champions out on the courts at the start of the second week at the 2026 Wimbledon and both are looking to make a big statement in the main draw.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has been in really good form in the warm up events, but this is a player who has regularly come up short at big moments in Grand Slam tournaments. He has won seven matches in a row on the grass and the Spaniard has yet to drop a set at Wimbledon, which will have given Alejandro Davidovich Fokina a huge boost in confidence as he looks to push through to just his second Quarter Final at Grand Slam level.

Next up is the toughest test Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will have faced at Wimbledon when taking on Felix Auger Aliassime who is the World Number 4 and someone who is looking to remind himself that he is capable of having a big impact at a Grand Slam.

After losing at the French Open in the Quarter Final, Felix Auger Aliassime was very critical of his own level and wondered aloud whether he was getting the best out of himself.

With that in mind, credit has to be given to the Canadian for digging in and putting in another strong Grand Slam showing, while Felix Auger Aliassime reached the Quarter Final in Halle before winning all three matches here in straight sets. The serve is working well, but Felix Auger Aliassime has found a confidence in his return and that makes him a really dangerous player on this surface, even if he is behind the likes of Jannik Sinner, Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic in any favourite list.

Felix Auger Aliassime had won the first four pro matches between these players, but the most recent was played at the Australian Open in 2025 and it was Alejandro Davidovich Fokina who came from 2-0 behind to win in five. One other Grand Slam meeting also took place at Melbourne Park, but that time it was Auger Aliassime who came through in four incredibly competitive sets.

Both players have shown the kind of form that it would be a real disappointment for themselves, and the team, if this match is not competitive enough to see both players win a set. With the kind of serving that can be displayed, there is every chance that four sets could be all that is needed for the players to surpass this total games line, but there is a feeling that both Felix Auger Aliassime and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina are playing with the kind of confidence and belief that forces a fifth set to be required to produce a 2026 Wimbledon Quarter Finalist.


Novak Djokovic - 5.5 games v Roman Safiullon: In January 2024, then 26 year old Roman Safiullon entered the top 40 of the World Rankings and looked like he had finally worked out how best to deal with the strain of the ATP Tour.

Later that year Roman Safiullon was beaten twice by Novak Djokovic and that served as a reminder of how far the former still had to go if he was going to take the next step in his career.

Several months before reaching his career best World Ranking mark, Roman Safiullon had reached the Quarter Final at Wimbledon, but that is by far and away his best Grand Slam run and it has been a struggle since then at this level. In fact this is only the second time he has reached the second week of any Grand Slam, while Roman Safiullon entered this tournament outside of the top 100 of the World Rankings as injuries took their toll on his career.

The World Number 132 admitted that he thought about packing in the career as those injuries failed to dissipate, but Roman Safiullon worked his way through three Qualifying Rounds before winning three matches in the main draw that includes upsetting Seeds Andrey Rublev and Joao Fonseca.

Those will have given him confidence, but it was notable that Roman Safiullon admitted that Novak Djokovic had given him many problems in previous matches when talking about a potential opponent.

Thanks to a four set win, Novak Djokovic is the official Fourth Round opponent and this is a player that is now leaning on his experience much more than he ever did. Novak Djokovic is not operating at the level he once did, but aura is one of the last things to fade and this is a player who is very comfortable on the grass courts and much more than the majority of players on the Tour.

Of course he will respect the results Roman Safiullon has had here in the past, and the fact that the grass is not a surface that intimidates the lower Ranked player.

However, Novak Djokovic has enjoyed this match up previously and he may feel he can make more of an impact on the return than he did in the Third Round, which is going to be important to make the former seven time Champion just feel he can get his rhythm into the match.

In the previous Quarter Final appearance here in 2023, Roman Safiullon did take a set from Jannik Sinner before going down to a four set loss, and something similar in this Fourth Round match could allow Novak Djokovic to eventually pull clear of this handicap mark set. 

MY PICKS: Jannik Sinner - 9.5 Games @ 1.91 William Hill (2 Units)
Hubert Hurkacz-Jan-Lennard Struff Over 40.5 Games @ 1.83 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Felix Auger Aliassime-Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Over 41.5 Games @ 1.91 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Novak Djokovic - 5.5 Games @ 1.80 William Hill (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 30-25, - 1.94 Units (108 Units Staked, - 1.79% Yield)

Friday, 3 July 2026

Wimbledon Tennis Day 6 Picks 2026 (Saturday 4th July)

The second week of the 2026 Wimbledon tournament will be put together by the end of play on Saturday and once again there are some decent matches heading out onto the courts.

However, it has also been noted by those paying the big entry prices for Centre Court that there is an element of disappointment with the matches scheduled and there will always be frustration when you consider the pricing structure at this Grand Slam event.

Despite those criticisms, it should be a good day of action as the Third Round is concluded.


Alex De Minaur - 6.5 games v Zachary Svajda: Seven times Alex De Minaur has played in a Grand Slam Quarter Final and he is yet to breakthrough and reach a maiden Semi Final, but he may not have a better chance than at Wimbledon in 2026.

Like many players out of Australia, Alex De Minaur is comfortable on the grass courts and his Quarter of the 2026 draw has already lost the one and only player Ranked higher than himself. Of course that does increase the pressure on a player, especially one that has been desperate to make that breakthrough at Grand Slam level, but Alex De Minaur has strolled through the opening two matches at the tournament and will be earning plenty of support from those in the crowd who will be aware of his connections with British player Katie Boulter.

The first set of the tournament was a tough one, but the scheduling may be to blame after Alex De Minaur entered the court moments after Boulter had been beaten.

However, he has not looked back since that moment and all six sets that have been played in this Grand Slam have been won, while the last five of those have been in largely controlled manner.

Next up is the World Number 66 in Zachary Svajda who reached a career best World Ranking mark after the French Open was completed, but who is still learning his trade on the grass. The American had played five grass court matches in warm up tournaments before Wimbledon begun, but Zachary Svajda had lost three of those in straight sets and there would have not been a huge amount of expectation on his shoulders.

That being said, credit has to be given to Zachary Svajda who upset Kamil Majchrzak in the Second Round having rallied from 2-1 behind in sets to win. It will certainly help that the Second Round win did not hit three hours on the clock so there is no concern about the fitness levels after playing all five sets in this format, but this is another step up in level and that is the bigger test for the lower Ranked player.

Zachary Svajda did win the ATP title in Newport, which is played on the grass in the week after Wimbledon, and he had success at Challenger level last year on this surface, but he did not beat anyone Ranked higher than Number 96 in 2025.

His wins in this tournament are more impressive, but it should be noted that Zachary Svajda has struggled in the step up and that could be the case against a confident grass court player in Alex De Minaur.

The form ahead of this Grand Slam was strong enough to retain confidence in the World Number 6 and Alex De Minaur may be able to extend enough rallies to wear down Zachary Svajda over the course of a couple of hours, which should lead to a cover of this Handicap mark set.


Grigor Dimitrov-Matteo Berrettini over 41.5 games: Two veterans of the Tour are looking for one more big run at Wimbledon and time is perhaps running out for both Grigor Dimitrov and Matteo Berrettini.

Injuries have been a big factor in closing the window, but both are prying it open in 2026 and these two are a former Semi Finalist (Dimitrov) and former Finalist (Berrettini) at Wimbledon and that has to be respected. Grass remains one of the outliers in terms of surface compared with the hard courts and clay courts and this is a Grand Slam that always feels like a limited number of potential winners when the tournament begins.

Both Grigor Dimitrov and Matteo Berrettini will believe they are potential winners, even if there are a few names that will be higher on the list. They have both eliminated top 20 Seeds in the Second Round to open up this section and there is no doubt that Grigor Dimitrov and Matteo Berrettini have the confident serving that could take them very deep into this event, especially from the open looking bottom half of the draw.

Serving well is key to the outcome of this good looking Third Round match.

Neither player is the most convincing returner on the Tour, but that does place extra pressure on making sure the serving deliveries are up to full standard and it was the key when Matteo Berrettini last played, and beat, Grigor Dimitrov on the Tour on the hard courts of Vienna back in 2019.

Plenty has changed for both players since then, but the serve remains a key element to the tennis being played and that is expected to be the case on Saturday.

Grigor Dimitrov has only dropped one set in the tournament, while Matteo Berrettini has needed four sets in both the First and Second Round wins.

The expectation here is that we will need tie-breakers to separate them in at least two of the sets that will be needed to be played, while the two players are operating at a level where they will believe they can edge past the other. If there was a gun to the head to pick a winner, the lean would have to be with Matteo Berrettini and that serve, but Grigor Dimitrov is more than capable of rolling through the service games too and any four set match would likely give them enough room to surpass this total games line, while a fifth set should see the total fly past the number that has been set.


Alexander Zverev - 6.5 games v Marcos Giron: After battling through the First Round, Alexander Zverev made much more comfortable work of the Second Round victory over Valentin Royer and the confidence is clearly soaring. Winning his first Grand Slam title will have done Alexander Zverev the world of good and he stated that there is a possibility for him to win Wimbledon, which should not be a surprise for the Number 2 Seed and a player on the other side of the draw to main rivals Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic.

Overlooking any opponent and thinking about the Final would be a mistake, but Alexander Zverev is going to be pretty happy with this Third Round match.

His opponent is 32 year old American Marcos Giron who was once the World Number 37, but who has dropped down to World Number 92 right now. The two wins in this draw will have just reversed that trend, but there is no doubt that Marcos Giron may have seen that his best tennis behind him, while he has lost all four previous matches against Alexander Zverev, including a big loss in Halle on the grass courts just thirteen months ago.

These two have also met at Wimbledon two years ago in the Second Round and Alexander Zverev won very convincingly in that one too and so he will be feeling pretty confident about his chances of progressing.

Marcos Giron had a 3-5 record on the grass courts before Wimbledon began, but he has placed two solid victories on the board and that has to be respected. He also held 84% of service games played in those warm up tournaments, but there is a pressure on the 32 year old to not only serve well, but find a way to threaten the Alexander Zverev serve which has been operating at a high level in recent weeks.

In Halle last month, Alexander Zverev was winning 76% of his service points played, although he is another player that has not always gotten to grips with the return of serve on this surface. That was evident in the win over Alexander Blockx in the First Round, but the Number 2 Seed looked much more comfortable in the Second Round and the head to head with Marcos Giron simply cannot be ignored.

Not only has Alexander Zverev broken in 38% of return games against Marcos Giron overall, but that number is stunningly up at 50% in the two grass court matches, which underlines the one sided nature of the final scoreboard.

While it is unlikely to be as easy as that again, Alexander Zverev does have all of the qualities needed to make sure he makes serene progress into the second week at this Grand Slam and he can cover this Handicap that has been set for the Third Round match.

MY PICKS: Alex De Minaur - 6.5 Games @ 1.95 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Grigor Dimitrov-Matteo Berrettini Over 41.5 Games @ 1.87 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Alexander Zverev - 6.5 Games @ 2.00 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Zizou Bergs-Arthur Fery Over 39.5 Games @ 2.00 William Hill (2 Units)
Emma Navarro @ 2.10 William Hill (2 Units)
Elena Rybakina - 4.5 Games @ 1.83 Bet Victor (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 26-23, - 5.58 Units (96 Units Staked, - 5.81% Yield)

Wimbledon Tennis Day 5 Picks 2026 (Friday 3rd July)

The opening three days of the 2026 Wimbledon tournament were difficult for the Picks, but the Day 4 selections provided something of a bounce back, although with plenty of work still to do.

Two Rounds have been completed and the test for the players is going to increase significantly over the coming days as the heat begins to pick up in London and that means those who have been involved in tough opening matches could be lacking some energy.

Focus is going to be key as the tournament concludes the first week of the tournament over the next two days- Middle Sunday is no longer a tradition here so the Fourth Round will begin on that day rather than the Manic Monday that used to be arguably the best day in the sport.

Most of the top names have managed to work their way through the opening couple of matches, but the level of competition will ramp up from the Third Round.

There are some good matches scheduled on Friday when the Third Round begins, but we are now down to using four courts as the number of Singles matches are reduced across both Men's and Women's tournaments.

Hopefully that also means the momentum from Day 4 can kick the Tennis Picks forward on Day 5 when it all goes again.


Joao Fonseca - 1.5 sets v Roman Safiullon: The first big breakthrough at Grand Slam level was made at the last Major when Joao Fonseca reached the French Open Quarter Final and he is one win away from reaching the second week at Wimbledon for the first time. The teenager has a big reputation, but it should be remembered he is relatively inexperienced, despite being high enough in the World Rankings to earn a Seed, and Joao Fonseca is continuing to learn a little more with each tournament played.

He does not have an extensive resume on the grass courts, but Joao Fonseca has made casual work of the first two opponents in the draw and has yet to drop a set. The wins over Roberto Bautista Agut and Jesper de Jong both deserve respect for the manner in which they were put together, while Joao Fonseca has already matched the run to the Third Round here that was achieved last year.

Taking advantage of the draw was key for Joao Fonseca was beaten in the Third Round by a Qualifier Ranked outside of the top 100, but one who had been much higher in the Rankings previously before injuries saw Nicolas Jarry drop down.

A similar challenge has cropped up for Joao Fonseca in 2026 as he takes on a Qualifier in Roman Safiullon who is the World Number 132, but who had been inside the top 40 in January 2024.

Five sets had been needed for Roman Safiullon to come through the Third Qualifying Round and he has needed four hours in each of the opening two wins in the main draw, which have both ended in final set tie-breakers. One of those was an upset over Andrey Rublev, but it should be noted the amount of work that Roman Safiullon has had to put into the tournament already and you do have to wonder if he will have the energy required to see off a talent like Fonseca.

Roman Safiullon has always served pretty well on the grass, but the return game has held him back and that is going to be an issue in a match like this one.

The heat is picking up in London, which brings another challenge for the lower Ranked player to face having invested so much to reach the Third Round of this Grand Slam.

Joao Fonseca should have plenty of respect for the upset that Roman Safiullon has already had in the draw to knock out one Seed, but the former should be much fitter when this Third Round match gets underway and that should see the teenager find a way to get through without the need for Roman Safiullon to be involved in another final set decider.


Hubert Hurkacz-Tommy Paul over 40.5 games: Barring a change in mind regarding his retirement, the answer to who beat Roger Federer in his final Grand Slam match will be Hubert Hurkacz, who upset the dominant Wimbledon Champion in a match right here in SW19 in 2021.

Hubert Hurkacz reached the Semi Final that year where he was beaten by Matteo Berrettini, but he was surprisingly beaten early in 2022 and 2024 and the best run the Pole has had at Wimbledon since 2021 is a single appearance in the Fourth Round. For a player with the serve that he possesses, Hubert Hurkacz will feel he should have had more success at Wimbledon and he remains dangerous.

Injuries have meant Hubert Hurkacz entered the main draw as the World Number 96 and so the two wins on the board feel important to just reverse a trend that saw him slipping out of the top 100. That would have meant having to go through Qualifiers for the biggest events on the Tour and it may have been a challenge for a 29 year old to want to dig in and go again.

Hubert Hurkacz has beaten both Casper Ruud and Sebastian Ofner without dropping a set, but he will be the first to admit that this Third Round match represents a significant step up in class.

In warm up events, Hubert Hurkacz was beaten in the First Round in Hertogenbosch and Second Round in Halle and now has to take on the Queen's Club Runner Up in Tommy Paul.

The American comes into the Wimbledon tournament as the Number 21 Seed, but Tommy Paul has not really ripped things up in SW19 as you may have thought. He does have one Quarter Final under his belt, but Paul won Queen's Club last year and was beaten in the Second Round at Wimbledon a couple of weeks later and so there will be a feeling that he has not achieved as much as he perhaps should have in this Grand Slam.

Tommy Paul is another player who has yet to drop a set in the tournament and he is a win or two away from cracking back into the top 20 of the World Rankings and having a real lift ahead of the US Open, which begins in late August. Much like Hubert Hurkacz, the Tommy Paul numbers show a player who has long been comfortable on the grass courts and so this has the makings of a competitive match.

Whoever serves closest to their best will win and conditions in London should see both rolling through those service games against largely limited returners.

Out of the two, the clear edge is with Tommy Paul as far as the returning goes, but Hubert Hurkacz will feel he can get into tie-breakers and then it just takes one or two good returns to win a set.

In the previous matches on the Tour against one another, Tommy Paul has shown that superior returning to hold a 3-1 advantage, although the two hard court matches have been split (the other two have been on clay). They are meeting for the first time on the grass, but the feeling is that Tommy Paul is playing at a higher level and should eventually come through.

However, Hubert Hurkacz can use the hotter conditions to make sure he is serving with effectiveness to at least win a set and there is every chance the players can combine for enough service games to eventually surpass this total line set.


Daniil Medvedev - 5.5 games v Jan-Lennard Struff: Playing back to back five setters with the last of those carrying into another day is far from ideal for 36 year old Jan-Lennard Struff and he is going to have to find some serious energy ahead of this Third Round match. The only positive is that he will not have been taxed in many long rallies in a Second Round match that featured well over 80 Aces between himself and Brandon Nakashima, but that does mean having to battle through some tough moments that can both tax a player mentally and physically.

Jan-Lennard Struff will use all of his experience to try and prepare for this Third Round match as well as he can, while he is well aware of the qualities of Daniil Medvedev, which should mean plenty of clarity as to what he must do to make this competitive.

Serving well is the absolute key and it has been the Struff serve that has helped him move through the opening two Rounds in the main draw. It is a weapon that can make things that much easier for the German, but Jan-Lennard Struff has twice tried to take down Daniil Medvedev at Wimbledon before and lost in very similar fashions both times.

In 2021, Jan-Lennard Struff had beaten Daniil Medvedev on the grass courts of Halle, but lost in the First Round at Wimbledon to the same opponent after being outplayed in the first two sets, rallied to win the third set 6-4 and then losing in a fourth set tie-breaker.

That players met at Wimbledon again in 2024, but this time in the Third Round, and Daniil Medvedev outplayed Jan-Lennard Struff in the opening two sets, dropped the third 6-4, and then came through in a fourth set tie-breaker.

Daniil Medvedev recorded two wins over Jan-Lennard Struff on the hard courts in 2025 and in the career meetings, it has been the former who has tended to get a much better read on the return of serve and that has ultimately led to a lot more wins than defeats.

In this tournament, Daniil Medvedev has played one sloppy set, but largely been in control of both matches and he is quietly going about his business. A couple of decent, if unspectacular, runs in warm up events will have just reminded Daniil Medvedev of his ability to compete on the grass courts and he should have much more energy for much longer compared with the World Number 74.

Serving well will just keep the pressure on Jan-Lennard Struff and Daniil Medvedev may do enough to cover this handicap mark as he would have done with the scoreline produced in the two wins over this opponent at this Grand Slam event. It may take a bit of time to really take control if Jan-Lennard Struff is able to come out with some energy, but Daniil Medvedev looks to be playing at a level that can continue his dominance of this opponent.


Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - 5.5 games v Marton Fucsovics: Winning the Boys Title at Wimbledon does not always mean that those names will go onto the senior Tour and have the same success at this Grand Slam in the Men's event.

For every Pat Cash, Stefan Edberg and Roger Federer, there are a host of names who have won the Boys Title without having a big impact at the main Wimbledon tournament.

Two of those former Boys Champions are facing one another in the Third Round in 2026 and it is a big match for both Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Marton Fucsovics- between these players, there has only been one previous appearance in the second week at Wimbledon and that was in 2021 when Marton Fucsovics went on to reach the Quarter Final.

The record here will disappointment both players, but it does feel like Fucsovics has missed his opportunities to better that Quarter Final run, while Alejandro Davidovich Fokina arrived at Wimbledon as a grass court title winner in Mallorca. It is a reminder of his ability on the surface and the Spaniard has made easy work of the first two matches as he has pushed through without dropping a set.

Marton Fucsovics had little success in warm up tournaments for Wimbledon, but he has benefited form injury issues for his previous two opponents to reach the Third Round again. His First Round match only made it through four games of the second set, while Learner Tien was having a host of issues in the Second Round as he fell in four sets and that does mean there is a bit more uncertainty surrounding the current level being produced by Marton Fucsovics.

He is going to need to find another level to beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina who will feel that the Marton Fucsovics serve is vulnerable having allowed 18 Break Point chances in the win over Learner Tien. A healthier Tien might have won that match and Davidovich Fokina is unlikely to let Marton Fucsovics off the hook in this Third Round match.

Pressure can do a funny thing to players and there is pressure on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina who has only reached the Quarter Final at Grand Slam level once before and who has not made the second week in 17 of the last 19 Majors he has competed in. The World Number 23 will expect to win this match and so will have to deal with the emotions around it, but Davidovich Fokina can do what is required to eventually pull through and cover this potentially awkward looking line on the way into the Fourth Round.

MY PICKS: Joao Fonseca - 1.5 Sets @ 1.70 William Hill (2 Units)
Hubert Hurkacz-Tommy Paul Over 40.5 Games @ 1.85 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Daniil Medvedev - 5.5 Games @ 1.72 Bet365 (2 Units)
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - 5.5 Games @ 1.95 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Jessica Pegula - 5.5 Games @ 1.87 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Naomi Osaka - 4.5 Games @ 1.70 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Coco Gauff - 5.5 Games @ 1.80 Bet365 (2 Units)
Karolina Muchova - 5.5 Games @ 1.72 Bet365 (2 Units)
Aryna Sabalenka - 4.5 Games @ 1.91 William Hill (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 21-19, - 5.92 Units (78 Units Staked, - 7.59% Yield)