The 2026 Wimbledon has been a tournament filled with upsets throughout the first ten days of action and that all continued on Wednesday when Arthur Fery made it through to the Semi Final.
He has a day to rest before the biggest match of his young career, but the focus on Thursday will be on the Ladies Semi Finals with all four players remaining in the draw looking like they could win the title on Saturday.
The opening Semi Final looks the more likely to provide a Champion, but it is all to play for before the Men take over on Friday.
Karolina Muchova-Coco Gauff over 22.5 games: The winner of this Ladies Semi Final is likely going to be set as the favourite to win the Wimbledon title and that is going to be something that both Karolina Muchova and Coco Gauff will be thinking about in the day between the Quarter Final and this final four match.
Both players came through tough Quarter Final matches in impressive style and the layers are finding it tough to separate them.
The head to head clearly favours Coco Gauff, but this is the first time they are facing one another on the grass courts and it should be noted that Karolina Muchova ended her six match losing run to the American by finally edging past her in Stuttgart. One of those wins was earned by Coco Gauff at the Australian Open back in January, which will give her confidence, but Karolina Muchova has been playing really well on the grass courts and overcame a poor head to head with Naomi Osaka to get the better of her in the last Round.
If you take away the names and look at the numbers produced on the grass courts in 2026 and the Wimbledon runs alone, you would likely have Karolina Muchova down as a stronger favourite than she is right now.
However, the head to head and the much stronger Grand Slam experience is in favour of Coco Gauff and that likely means she enters the court with more confidence to turn things back in her favour even if it begins to go wrong. The performances have not been poor in her run to the Semi Final, but Coco Gauff has had to spend a lot more time on the court and has had to come through some mental battles, which can accumulate fatigue.
Experience of these kind of stages is important though and Coco Gauff has plenty of that in her locker, which could help significantly.
Karolina Muchova has been the more effective server in this tournament, and that has allowed her to take some chances on the return. However, Coco Gauff's match up with Muchova means she will believe she can impose her return on this Semi Final and that may ultimately give her the slight edge.
Both players are very capable though, and it would not be a surprise if this is another Ladies match that ends up being very competitive and possibly surpassing the total games line in just two sets. There is every chance that this will swing back and forth as it did when Karolina Muchova and Coco Gauff met in Melbourne earlier in the year and so backing this to be a match that finishes above the line set from the total games market is the plan.
Linda Noskova v Marta Kostyuk: A top ten place in the World Rankings will be secured by the winner of this Semi Final and there is a chance for Marta Kostyuk and Linda Noskova to make the kind of breakthrough on the Tour that could spark the young careers.
Last month Marta Kostyuk reached the French Open Semi Final, but struggled with the weight of expectation as she was beaten by Mirra Andreeva in straight sets. The World Number 13 will have taken a great deal of confidence from that run, even if it ended disappointingly, but Marta Kostyuk has used the experience to fuel this performance at Wimbledon.
It has been something of a surprising run when you think Marta Kostyuk decided to skip warm up tournaments and had a career 16-19 record on the surface and had lost all three matches played on grass in 2025. The draw has opened up, as it has for many, but Marta Kostyuk will take confidence from the wins over Emma Navarro and Jasmine Paolini who have both had successes on the grass.
She has only dropped a couple of sets in the five wins in the tournament, while Marta Kostyuk has used her serve to build up scoreboard pressure throughout the run. This has allowed the Ukrainian to play with aggression on the return of serve and Marta Kostyuk has put together a really strong Wimbledon, which is perhaps a reason she has been set as favourite.
Marta Kostyuk beat Linda Noskova in Madrid on the clay, but the latter has been playing with a lot more belief in her tennis on the grass courts.
Last month Linda Noskova won a title in Berlin, which included beating the likes of Alexandra Eala and Jessica Pegula, while the Czech player had runs to the Quarter Final in Nottingham, Semi Final in Bad Homburg and the Fourth Round at Wimbledon last year. Like many players that have been produced by Czechia, Linda Noskova has taken to the grass with real confidence and she has beaten Sorana Cirstea, Madison Keys and Elise Mertens in the last three Rounds.
Linda Noskova has also been serving well in this tournament and she has proven to be a consistent return player.
This is going to be a really tough match for Linda Noskova against a confident Marta Kostyuk that will have used that experience at the French Open to just help her settle ahead of this one.
Both players have served well enough to believe they can put the other under immense pressure, but the younger player has proved to be the superior grass court player beyond this tournament. Marta Kostyuk has played well enough to think she can win this one, but Linda Noskova looks a solid underdog to get behind in a Grand Slam that has been filled with upsets throughout the last two weeks and the World Number 12 may edge through this good looking Semi Final.
MY PICKS: Karolina Muchova-Coco Gauff Over 22.5 Games @ 1.87 Bet Victor (2 Units)
L:inda Noskova @ 2.20 William Hill (2 Units)
Wimbledon Update: 36-34, - 9.68 Units (138 Units Staked, - 7.01% Yield)
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