The 2026 World Cup has seen the run up filled with controversy over ticket prices and immigration policies, while some of the teams and referees have had to change plans after having their visas rejected.
Instead of being the World Cup that most football fans would have targeted after Russia and Qatar hosted the last two Finals, this has been a summer tournament that has done its best to put fans off from travelling.
Pricing in the way that FIFA put together was seriously flawed- there is a big interest in football/soccer in North America where the games are being hosted, but it is those travelling into the countries that are hosting that really create the party atmosphere.
After spending a few days in New York City, it is clear that the NBA Finals is the big interest... That alone is not a surprise with the Knicks chasing a first Championship in fifty-three years, but the lack of coverage of a World Cup tournament that is beginning on Thursday was a real surprise.
Perhaps things will change in the United States, but locals seem to be disinterested with the politics around the event clouding all.
Things should be plenty different in Mexico where two previous Finals have been hosted and that is where the tournament will begin on Thursday before Canada and then the United States get to open up.
Fans of some of the stronger looking nations will have to wait a couple of days until they get going, but this may be an event that becomes largely forgettable if the heat and the likely delays caused by thunderstorms make it more of a marathon for supporters to get through.
Tournament Football brings its own drama though and over the next month the plan is to make a few selections from the 2026 World Cup Finals and hopefully return a positive number.
The threads will be split up for ease of navigating for readers- that should mean separate threads for each of the three Match Days of the Group Stage before further threads for the Last 32, Last 16, Quarter Final, Semi Final and then the showpiece Final that takes place in July.
Over the days, selections will be added to the threads and the tournament numbers will be updated after each day.
World Cup 2026- Match Day 1 Group Stage Picks
Thursday 11th June
Mexico vs South Africa Pick: These two nations opened up the 2010 World Cup hosted by South Africa and had to settle for a 1-1 draw, but this time it is Mexico who have the honour to open up the 2026 Finals co-hosted by three nations.
There is a huge amount of pressure on this Mexico team who will be well aware that the last two times they have hosted the World Cup Finals have ended in Quarter Final defeats. Between 1994 and 2018, Mexico competed at every tournament and all ended in defeat in the first Knock Out Rounds, but 2022 was a big disappointment as Mexico finished behind Argentina and Poland and were eliminated in the Group Stage.
Winning Group A will mean not having to leave the host nation until the latter stages of the competition and would also mean having a few more days of rest before the Last 32 tie and Mexico are favourites to do that.
They are unbeaten in 8 games and have won 6 of those and hosting should be a big advantage.
South Africa return for a World Cup Finals via the Qualifiers for the first time in over twenty years and there is a bit of inexperience around this squad that suggests the Group Stage is about as far as they can go.
Edging out Nigeria to earn a spot in North America deserves plenty of credit, but South Africa lost 2 of 4 games played at the African Cup of Nations and the recent form in friendly matches is not going to be inspiring a lot of confidence.
Opening fixtures in recent World Cup tournaments have featured plenty of goals and Mexico may have enough to secure a victory in a fixture providing at least two in their own favour. The conditions look like they will be decent enough for the players and Mexico can begin this 2026 World Cup Finals with a solid victory against what looks to be the weakest team in Group A.
South Korea vs Czechia Pick: The mathematicians suggest three points could be enough to earn a spot in the Last 32 of the World Cup as long as you have a neutral goal difference.
Four points will almost certainly be enough and that should mean South Korea and Czechia play with some trepidation believing they could earn the win against South Africa to move through.
With that said, both teams will be looking for a positive start, but a draw could be considered that and so a low-scoring contest is expected.
Czechia came through a couple of World Cup Play Off matches on Penalties in March, but they are usually a pretty compact team and that will make them dangerous. They will not want to give much away, but can be a threat from set pieces, while this South Korea team is not of vintage stock.
Coming through a weak Qualifying Group ahead of Jordan and Iraq suggests South Korea could be undercooked, while the friendly performances have been erratic since booking a spot in the Finals.
Whoever can best impose their style on the other will win- South Korea are likely to be a bit more fluent in the attacking area, but Czechia are a big, strong team that will exploit set pieces.
The draw looks a real runner, but the edge here may slightly fall in favour of the European underdogs when all is said and done and the first goal will likely be crucial to the final outcome.
Friday 12th June
Canada vs Bosnia-Herzegovina Pick: Two previous appearances in World Cup Finals have resulted in six games played and six games lost, including four years ago in Qatar when expectations were perhaps greater than they should have been.
However, in 2026, Canada are one of the co-hosts and they should be able pick up their first World Cup points during this Group considering the opposition that they have been placed with.
That is not to say they deserve to be short favourites to win any game, even if Canada are at home.
Over the last several months, Canada have won just 3 of 9 matches played and only one of those has been against a team that will be competing at the 2026 World Cup Finals. Quarter Final defeats at the last two Gold Cups and a Semi Final defeat in the last Nations League suggests Canada still have room for improvement, even with a squad that has some talent littered amongst it.
The home fans will give Canada a push, but they look short to beat a Bosnia-Herzegovina team that are plenty experienced and one that beat Wales and Italy on Penalties to earn a spot at the World Cup Finals.
Bosnia-Herzegovina have missed out on major tournaments since Qualifying for the 2014 World Cup Finals in Brazil where they were beaten in the Group Stage, although after picking up a single win. They will approach this opening fixture feeling like any positive result would give them a very good chance of progressing with a fixture against Qatar to round out the section, while Bosnia-Herzegovina are resilient at the back and that will be important throughout the Group Stage.
A couple of lacklustre performances in friendly games over the last few weeks will be a concern, but Bosnia-Herzegovina certainly look capable of avoiding a defeat against a host who are carrying bigger expectations.
USA vs Paraguay Pick: Back in 1994, the United States hosted the World Cup with the belief it could start an explosion of interest in the sport.
Competing against the MLB, NBA and NFL established sports has proven too difficult, although there is a bigger football fanbase in 2026 compared with 1994.
The United States made it out of the Group Stage in 1994, but 1990 and 1998 ended in early exits- it was in 2002 when the USA reached the Quarter Final that it felt like a real progress had been made, but they missed out entirely in 2018.
Three of the last four World Cup appearances have ended with Second Round defeats, but the United States are under a different kind of pressure in 2026 and they have been placed in what could be an awkward section if unable to make a positive start.
Mauricio Pochettino will know that this opening fixture is going to be a difficult one against a Paraguay team that Qualified thanks to a resilient defensive formation.
Paraguay are back in the World Cup since reaching the Quarter Final in 2010, but a Group Stage exit in the Copa America hosted by the United States in 2024 will have been a big disappointment. They were the last of the South American teams to earn a direct spot in the World Cup Finals and the lack of threat in the final third could end up proving to be too difficult to overcome.
3 wins in the last 4 friendly games will give Paraguay confidence, but the likelihood is that they will sit back and try and frustrate the host before countering. That makes them dangerous, but the United States should be able to use the home crowd to push them forward and edge to an important three points to just give the nation a lift around these World Cup Finals.
Saturday 13th June
Qatar vs Switzerland Pick: A little under four years ago, Qatar hosted the World Cup and there were some genuine thoughts that the nation could compete and avoid joining South Africa as a host failing to make it out of the Group Stage.
Instead it was a really difficult experience for Qatar who lost all three games and looked way below the quality that would be needed at this level.
Credit has to be given to Qatar for making it back to the World Cup Finals, but they are once again expected to struggle.
Qatar finished way below Iran and Uzbekistan in the Third Round of Qualifiers, but edged out the UAE in the Fourth Round, and this is a team that looks like it may struggle for goals.
Opening up against Switzerland is going to be challenging with this squad looking like it has the potential to produce the best performance at a World Cup Finals since hosting in 1954 which ended in a Quarter Final defeat. More recent times has seen Switzerland beaten in three consecutive Second Round ties, but Switzerland reached the last eight in each of the last two runnings of the European Championship.
Switzerland have only won 1 of the last 5 games in all competitions, but this is a team that does not concede a lot of goals and they can open up with a victory behind another solid defensive performance.
Brazil vs Morocco Pick: The decision to appoint Carlo Ancelotti as the national manager will have been controversial and Brazil's Football Association will only be able to justify it if the team can win the World Cup for the first time in twenty-four years.
Despite the history of this national team, Brazil have only reached the Semi Final once since last lifting the World Cup in 2002 and that was when hosting the tournament in 2014, although one that will only be remembered for the manner of their Semi Final capitulation against Germany.
Quarter Final defeats in 2018 and 2022 will have stung, while Brazil were beaten in the Quarter Final at the last Copa America hosted in the United States in 2024.
Brazil finished 10 points behind Argentina in Qualifying and this is a squad that has some strengths, but may struggle to retain the ball in what are going to be testing conditions.
Making a fast start will be important to just build up some confidence and momentum and Brazil have won the last 3 friendly games against nations that will be competing here this summer.
However, first up in this Group Stage is a match against Morocco, who became the first African team to reach the World Cup Semi Final in 2022.
A quality team won the African Cup of Nations earlier this year, although Morocco were awarded the title when Senegal were controversially adjudged to have forfeited days after the Final had been completed. Despite that, Morocco will be happy with what they produced in a tournament hosted in their own nation, while they also made short work of Qualifying.
Morocco are enjoying a long unbeaten run, which deserves respect, and they have plenty of experience which should see them progress to the Knock Out Rounds again.
They will certainly test Brazil, but the expectation is that the South American giants will find a way with the attacking quality to come through what may be the most competitive fixture to date.
Haiti vs Scotland Pick: Steve Clarke has guided Scotland back to the World Cup Finals for the first time in almost thirty years, but this is a nation that has yet to find a way through the Group Stages of any major international tournament.
Two years ago, Scotland finished bottom of the Euro 2024 Group containing Hungary, Germany and Switzerland and they failed to earn a win, but the extra places on offer at this World Cup to find a way into the Knock Out Rounds gives the Scots a real opportunity.
There will be pressure though- failing to win this opener would mean having to likely beat one of the top two teams in the Group and so Scotland have to come out with intensity, even if Scott McTominay is not fit to begin.
Two very good international friendly wins will give them confidence and Scotland do benefit from opening the tournament against one of the weaker teams involved.
Haiti crushed New Zealand 4-0 in the build up to the Finals starting, but a 2-1 loss to Peru and a 1-0 defeat to Tunisia since Qualifying suggests just being here is a big achievement.
Having nothing to lose could make Haiti dangerous, especially for a Scotland team who will know the importance of winning this fixture. Some players have decided they are willing to represent Haiti in the World Cup Finals who have enough experience and quality to hurt Scotland, but the latter may do just enough to edge this one in what is going to be late night viewing for those tuning in back home.
Australia vs Turkiye Pick: The last time Turkiye Qualified for the World Cup Finals became a memorable time for supporters of the national team as they reached the Semi Final in Japan/South Korea in 2002.
A Quarter Final run at the last European Championships raised expectations around the current Turkiye team and they beat Romania and Kosovo in World Cup Play Off matches in March to earn their return. Turkiye were forced into that route after finishing behind Spain in the World Cup Qualifying Group, but they were beaten just once in that section against the current European Champions.
Turkiye are unbeaten in 8 games in all competitions and have won 7 of those since losing to Spain at home and that includes a 2-2 draw when visiting the latter later in that World Cup Qualifying Group.
Quality in the final third makes Turkiye dangerous and they have all they need to make it out of this section as Group Winners as long as they don't make self-inflicted mistakes at the back.
Opening up against Australia gives Turkiye a strong opportunity to get on track in this section with a victory.
After three consecutive Group Stage exits, Australia did manage to climb out of the Group Stage in Qatar, but the current squad are going to have to battle to do the same, even if with the extra eight places afforded to those finishing third in their section.
Australia did comfortably finish above Saudi Arabia in Qualifying, but they look like a team that is going to be more functional than fluid and strong defensive performances will be key in helping them out of this Group. A bit more quality will need to be found in the final third, but Australia's game plan in the opener has to be to frustrate Turkiye and try and exploit set pieces.
This could be successful, but Turkiye are expected to show their quality and the experience that was picked up through Qualifying and recent performances at Euro 2024 and the Nations League.
Sunday 14th June
Germany vs Curacao Pick: There have been some serious signs that the Germany national team is improving over the last couple of years, but some have criticised the decisions made to put together this squad ahead of the World Cup Finals.
There is pressure on this squad- Germany have failed to make it out of the Group Stage in either of the last two World Cup Finals since winning the tournament in 2014 in Brazil.
Germany have been in solid form in the build up to the tournament and it would be a huge surprise if they are not able to make a strong start against a surprising Qualifier in Curacao.
The latter are still a developing nation and this could be a bit of a lesson as to how far they have to travel to become a regular in the World Cup Finals when taking on some of the quality nations in this Group.
Big defeats in recent international friendly games is a real concern, while Germany will want to put a strong result on the board to open to ensure they are not suffering another very disappointing Group Stage exit on the biggest stage.
Netherlands vs Japan Pick: When Japan picked up a deserved international friendly win at Wembley Stadium in March, many would have circled the team and placed them on the 'Dark Horse' list ahead of the World Cup Finals.
Credit has to be given to this nation for the regularity in which they have forced their way out of the Group Stage and four years ago they helped eliminate Germany by Qualifying alongside Spain.
However, Japan have not had a lot of fortune in the injury department and the likes of Kaoru Mitoma and Takumi Minamino were ruled out before the squad was finalised. Wataru Endo is the latest to pick up an injury that has meant leaving the squad too and those hurt Japan and their hopes of finally reaching the latter stages of the World Cup.
There is still pace and tenacity about this team, which will make them dangerous, and Japan are expecting to still have the quality to find a way out of this Group.
Getting the toughest team out of the way in the opener will help, but Japan may be playing catch up if the Netherlands can put together a performance that will remind everyone why so many are pretty high on their chances over the next month.
The reasoning for that is the Netherlands losing on Penalties to Argentina in the World Cup Quarter Final in 2022 and then conceding in the last minute to lose to England in the Euro 2024 Semi Final.
Ronald Koeman's team have a decent defensive unit and a midfield that can keep the ball in the conditions, but much will depend on whether Netherlands can score enough goals against the elite competition in the business end of the tournament.
The opener against Japan will tell us plenty about the Netherlands and it feels like they may have just enough about them to get off to a winning start. Nothing will come easy against Japan, but some key players missing out has shifted the edge to the Group favourites and Netherlands may just edge it behind a set piece.
Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Pick: There is plenty to like about these two nations at this 2026 World Cup and neither Ivory Coast nor Ecuador are going to be an easy out.
Both are pretty resilient at the back, but it is Ivory Coast who perhaps have the edge in the attacking third, although breaking down this Ecuador back line is going to be incredibly challenging.
The South American nation finished second in Qualifying behind Argentina and that was largely thanks to a very good defensive unit, although they are perhaps still needing to find a bit more in the final third.
At the last World Cup, Ecuador were beaten by Senegal in the Group Stage and that saw them eliminated, but they earned 4 points and reaching that tally should be enough for a spot in the Last 32.
Both teams will have that in mind and a point here may not feel like a bad result with a fixture against Curacao to come.
Impressive results in the lead up to the World Cup Finals means there will be a lot of confidence in both camps and it would not be a big surprise if they end up cancelling one another out.
The layers feel the same with an incredibly short price on under 2.5 goals and even backing one of the teams to fail to score is a very short price.
You could perhaps play the 'No Goalscorer', but that is the 'favourite' in the First Goalscorer market and it is a fixture that feels like a draw will end up being the outcome, which would suit Ivory Coast and Ecuador in terms of Qualification.
Goals are likely to be at a premium and it could come down to one piece of magic to decide the outcome of this opening fixture for these two nations.
Sweden vs Tunisia Pick: The European nation are going to feel a little fortunate to be playing at the World Cup considering how poorly they performed in the Qualifying Group, while the African Qualifiers are trying to find a way into the Knock Out Rounds for the first time.
Sweden earned a reprieve having won a Nations League Group and that meant an automatic spot in the World Cup Play Offs, even after finishing with 2 points from a possible 18 from the World Cup Qualifying Group.
Graham Potter was tasked with helping Sweden and wins over Ukraine and Poland have helped them return to the World Cup having reached the Quarter Final in 2018. Avoiding missing out for a fourth time in five Finals will have been a boost for Sweden, but they are under pressure to make a strong start in their bid to progress into the Knock Out Rounds.
Qualifying was much more impressive from Tunisia, but they are being guided by a new manager and have suffered a disappointing early exit in the African Cup of Nations. International friendly performances have been really disappointing and Tunisia are a team that struggle to create quality chances.
The defensive shape will give them a chance, but Sweden have two strong strikers in Viktor Gyokeres and Alexander Isak who will be the key to any successes this team can have.
That firepower looks like it could be the difference between these two teams and Sweden look capable of finding at least one goal, which is all it make take for the important three points to be placed on the board.
MY PICKS: Mexico to Win & Over 1 Total Goal @ 1.75 Bet365 (1 Unit)
Czechia Draw No Bet @ 2.00 Sky Bet (1 Unit)
Bosnia-Herzegovina + 0.5 Asian Handicap @ 2.00 Bet365 (1 Unit)
USA @ 1.95 Bet Fred (1 Unit)
Switzerland Win to Nil @ 1.75 William Hill (1 Unit)
Brazil to Win & Over 1 Total Goal @ 2.00 Bet365 (1 Unit)
Scotland to Win & Over 1 Total Goal @ 1.86 Bet365 (1 Unit)
Turkiye to Win & Under 5 Total Goals @ 1.91 Bet365 (1 Unit)
Germany - 3 English Handicap @ 1.95 William Hill (1 Unit)
Netherlands @ 2.00 Bet365 (1 Unit)
Ivory Coast-Ecuador Under 1.5 Goals @ 2.30 William Hill (1 Unit)
Sweden @ 1.85 Bet365 (1 Unit)
Group Stage: 3-1, + 1.70 Units (4 Units Staked, + 42.50% Yield)