The NFL continues surging towards the halfway mark of the 2026 season and that means we are firmly into the Bye portion of the season.
It also means there is beginning to be a separation between the contenders and those already looking forward to the NFL Draft and the 2027 season.
Divisional games are coming up thick and fast and there is also another International Series game in Week 7, although this time the NFL will be playing in Paris for the first time.
New Orleans Saints vs Pittsburgh Steelers Pick: The latest International Series game from the NFL is played at a new venue with the League hosting a game in Paris for the first time, even in the midst of some huge riots taking place in the French capital as well as the rest of the country. There were some suggestions this game could be moved, but the New Orleans Saints (2-4) and Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2) have arrived in Europe and will be looking to give those in attendance something to enjoy.
There are likely going to be outside factors that have an impact, but the Steelers and Saints are looking to build on Week 6 wins.
New Orleans play in a weak Division and they are still firmly in contention even with a losing record, while the Pittsburgh Steelers are well aware of how tough the AFC North can be with three teams sharing the same 4-2 record. Two wins in a row have given Pittsburgh some momentum and they do look to be playing well enough on both sides of the ball to believe they can win this game before returning home with the momentum needed when facing the Cleveland Browns in Week 8.
The focus has to be on this game for now having arrived later in the week, while the Saints flew over to Paris after the Week 6 win over the New York Giants. As the 'host', there are more responsibilities for the Saints to be over in Paris and help fans see their presence, but New Orleans need a good game plan if they are going upset the Steelers.
Running the ball has been really challenging for New Orleans and it is very difficult to imagine they have a lot of consistent success pounding the rock against this Steelers Defensive Line. It may not be as strong as some of those that Pittsburgh have run out in the past, but the Steelers have been stout up front early in the season and will be looking to force Tyler Shough to beat them through the air from third and long spots.
The Quarter Back has been given some protection when he has dropped back to throw, but Shough has been inconsistent in recent weeks.
Since the blowout loss to the Atlanta Falcons, Tyler Shough has just thrown 240 yards in the last two games and his 3 Touchdown passes and 2 Interceptions in that time highlights the issues. He did have a clean game against the New York Giants last week, but Tyler Shough is going to have a tough time finding much room against this Pittsburgh Defensive unit and will need his own Defense to step up to help.
A problem for the New Orleans Saints is that they have lost some balance Defensively in recent games and they are now facing Aaron Rodgers looking more like his old self at Quarter Back.
Things have been made easier by the fact that this Steelers Offensive Line have been run blocking very well and they are expected to open up some serious holes for Jaylen Warren and company to keep the team in third and manageable spots. In recent games, the Saints Defensive Line have allowed some big runs to get through and Aaron Rodgers is a much different player when throwing out of third and manageable spots with his ability to release the ball very quickly keeping Defensive Backs guessing.
Aaron Rodgers has not been protected as well as he may have liked, although that may be partly down to an older Quarter Back not having the same scrambling skills as previously, but that has not stopped him from throwing 8 Touchdown passes with 3 Interceptions in the last three games. This should be a more comfortable match up than most and Rodgers is set to have a big outing on the international stage to lead his team to an important third win in a row.
A big game is on deck for the Steelers, but they will know they cannot afford to drop winnable games like this one as it will come back to haunt them in a tough Division. It is a non-Conference outing, but the Steelers won on the road against a team from the NFC South last week and they can win this 'road' game in Week 7 of the season.
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets Pick: The Miami Dolphins (0-5) return from a Bye Week and will be hoping the two week gap between games has given them a chance to just reset.
They have suffered a couple of competitive losses before the Bye Week, but the Dolphins are lacking a bit of depth and injuries to the best players left on the roster and they are likely going to be the underdog in every game they play this season.
This is the case when returning to face the New York Jets (2-4), a Divisional rival hoping that they have been able to get healthier over the last week to try and build up some momentum. The next two weeks feel very important for the Jets who will then be facing the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills and getting back up to 0.500 for the season is the ambition.
Breece Hall could be returning this week, while Adonai Mitchell has been cleared and that will give the Jets a boost, but Geno Smith and company need to find some consistency on this side of the ball.
For all of the issues that Miami have had this season, the Dolphins Defensive Line have been pretty stout at the Line of Scrimmage and make teams work for everything they earn on the ground. The Dolphins will certainly feel they have a unit that can make things difficult for the New York Offensive Line, even with a potentially returning Hall, and that will give Miami a chance to try and stall drives.
One of the big issues that will need to have been resolved is generating a pass rush to back up the strong work at the Line of Scrimmage.
They are up against a Jets Offensive Line that has struggled to keep Geno Smith upright, although the veteran has been smart with his decision making and that has meant keeping Interceptions to a minimum in recent games. He did throw one last week, but Smith has been taking Sacks rather than throwing under pressure, and this may be a week in which he has a bit more time to try and attack this Dolphins Secondary.
Having Mitchell back should open up the passing game, but the Miami Dolphins may feel they can at least prevent the Jets from overpowering them on this side of the ball and that may set them up to have opportunities to earn the upset.
Much will depend on the Offensive unit, which has been led by Malik Willis who has struggled as the starting Quarter Back.
However, this is a game in which the Dolphins can lean on the Offensive Line who have opened up some strong running lanes, even in the absence of De'Von Achane. The likes of Ollie Gordon have made use of the opportunities handed to him and Willis is more capable moving the chains with his legs rather than his arm.
Both players should help the Dolphins establish the run as long as Miami are competitive in the contest and they can extend drives to control the clock. It will also be important to put Malik Willis in a position to make some short throws to the Receivers and see if the Dolphins can get into a position to earn an upset on the road.
Miami have won six of the last seven games in this Divisional rivalry, but that may be a run that is not extended this week.
Winning outright may not happen, but the Dolphins look to be receiving plenty of points in this one and the Bye Week work may see the road team make this a competitive loss at the very worst in Week 7 of the 2026 season.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers Pick: In recent seasons, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-5) had dominated the NFC South, but the Carolina Panthers (3-2) broke their hold on the Division in 2025. Once again it is Carolina leading the way through the early part of the 2026 season, but it has been a really disappointing opening for Tampa Bay who need this win to just give themselves a realistic hope of getting back into the mix.
This is the first Divisional game of the season for the Buccaneers, but they would not want to fall five games below 0.500 with over a third of the regular season schedule completed. They will also be aware that the Panthers are already 1-0 in NFC South games in 2026 and so the return of Baker Mayfield could not have come at a better time for the road team.
Baker Mayfield has missed three games in a row and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers need a spark on the Offensive side of the ball, but this may not be as comfortable a match up as it may have felt before his injury.
Over the last three games, the Carolina Defensive unit have toughened up and that has all begun at the Line of Scrimmage where they have looked to make things more difficult for teams trying to run the ball against them. This has been a problem for the Panthers earlier in the season, but they will feel they can at least slow down the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Bucky Irving and that will give the Panthers some real belief if they are able to do that.
Tampa Bay's Offensive Line have been strong when it comes to the run blocking, but they have not been as comfortable keeping a Quarter Back upright, even though Jalon Daniels has been able to use his legs to move the pocket around. The Buccaneers may feel the experience of Baker Mayfield is key though and he is going to be throwing into a Secondary that has given up some big plays, although injuries in the Receiving corps will make things that much more difficult.
The Buccaneers and Mayfield struggled in a road loss here last season and they are facing a Carolina Panthers team that have looked more confident in 2026 having played in the post-season at the end of 2025.
Everything has come down to the development of Bryce Young who is now an established starter at Quarter Back and who can pick up from where he left off in the win over the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 6.
Carolina will want to stay balanced and run the ball, although they are facing a Buccaneers Defensive Line that has been pretty strong at the Line of Scrimmage. That will not see the Panthers change the plan and Bryce Young is capable of tucking the ball and running for First Down markers himself, and it is important to give the Quarter Back the open playbook to attack this Tampa Bay Secondary.
If the Panthers can at least keep Tampa Bay thinking about the run, Bryce Young and company should be able to make some big plays against this Secondary and that should give them the edge in this contest. There has been some problems for Tampa Bay against the pass in recent weeks and Carolina should be able to exploit that in their bid to beat this Divisional rival.
Bryce Young may get a little longer in the pocket than he has been used to in recent outings, and that should allow the Panthers to move the ball with some consistency.
A returning Baker Mayfield will give the Buccaneers a boost, but they may also struggle to lift themselves after some recent disappointments and the Carolina Panthers are good enough to win and cover.
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions Pick: These two teams may be sitting in third and fourth place in the NFC North, but the Green Bay Packers (4-2) have won three in a row, while the Detroit Lions (3-2) are playing after a Bye Week as they moved above 0.500 for the season in Week 5.
This is looking like being another hugely competitive season in this Division and it would not be a surprise if at least three of the four teams playing in the NFC North are able to secure Playoff spots at the end of the season. Both the Minnesota Vikings and Chicago Bears have already produced five wins this season and so games between the Divisional rivals all have added meaning attached to them.
The Packers are 1-1 in the NFC North, while the Detroit Lions have yet to face one of those rivals within this Division.
Being at home after a Bye Week is an advantage, but the Lions will have had things to work on, especially on the Defensive side of the ball. They will have noted how well the Green Bay Packers have been playing and so this is going to be a test for Detroit inside the dome.
There have been areas in which the Lions will be feeling confident in what they can achieve and those are at the Line of Scrimmage on this side of the ball- the Detroit Defensive Line has been pretty stout up front and Green Bay have struggled to push the ball on the ground all season.
However, the Packers will be really pleased with the upturn in form produced by Jordan Love at Quarter Back and he will be throwing against a Detroit Secondary that have allowed huge amounts of passing yards... And that is despite the strength they have shown at the Line of Scrimmage.
There has been a consistent pass rush pressure produced by the Lions, but the Green Bay Offensive Line has been better at giving Jordan Love time to throw down the field and there are some big gaps to exploit. Green Bay will have a lot of belief in the Wide Receivers and their ability to get open to help the Quarter Back and the Packers can produce a big game on this side of the ball.
It has been a big reason for the Packers putting a three game winning run together, but the Defensive unit have also stepped up their level and they will feel they can give this Detroit Lions team some questions to answer.
Everything begins at the Line of Scrimmage and the Packers Defensive Line will be looking to win up front and force Jared Goff to have to beat them with his arm, although the Quarter Back is more than capable in doing that.
Jared Goff will be throwing into a Secondary that has allowed fewer than 185 passing yards per game in the last three wins, although the Lions have found confidence in the passing game and will be enjoying playing in the indoor conditions.
Turnovers could be key to the final outcome and credit has to be given to Jared Goff for avoiding big mistakes in the passing game, although that still does not necessarily mean the Lions can cover.
Having the hook over the key number 3 is important here and the Packers are capable of securing a backdoor cover at the very least. They are throwing the ball with enough authority to give the Defensive unit an opportunity to carry the team over the line and Green Bay can keep this close on the scoreboard, if not secure the outright upset.
MY PICKS: Pittsburgh Steelers - 3 Points @ 1.91 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
Miami Dolphins + 4.5 Points @ 2.00 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
Carolina Panthers - 2.5 Points @ 1.83 Bet Fred (1 Unit)
Green Bay Packers + 3.5 Points @ 1.91 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
Week 6: 2-4, - 1.95 Units (6 Units Staked, - 32.50% Yield)
Week 5: 2-2, - 0.14 Units (4 Units Staked, - 3.50% Yield)
Week 4: 4-4, - 0.52 Units (8 Units Staked, - 6.50% Yield)
Week 3: 2-5, - 3.09 Units (7 Units Staked, - 44.14% Yield)
Week 2: 3-4, - 1.31 Units (7 Units Staked, - 18.71% Yield)
Week 1: 2-4-1, - 2.23 Units (7 Units Staked, - 31.86% Yield)
