The NFL moves into Week 10 of the 2026 season and that means we are through the trade deadline and passing the halfway mark of the regular season schedule for the majority of teams in the League.
This is not like some of the other US Sports where there is a huge amount of business during the season and on the deadline day, but the NFL teams leading the way have been more active than previous years.
The standout trade looks to be the one that has seen Kirk Cousins return to the Minnesota Vikings, a team who have a Super Bowl ready Defensive unit, but a spluttering Offense in a powerful NFC North. They will be hoping Cousins can bring some veteran leadership and do enough from the Quarter Back position to have the Vikings make use of that Defensive unit and it looks a positive move on paper, especially if Kirk Cousins settles quickly.
He will need to when playing in the NFC North that has a Chicago Bears team that have put plenty of chips into the pot in their bid to win the Super Bowl, while the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers are both looking amongst the best in the entire NFL Some have already suggested this could be the strongest Division EVER seen in the NFL and there is a real case to make to suggest all four teams could make the post-season, although that is unlikely with teams having to face one another between now and early January.
Others like the Jacksonville Jaguars have made it clear they feel they have a Super Bowl ready roster and the NFL in general looks like it is going to be a much stronger competition than it felt it was twelve months ago.
Of course for all of the trades being made by contenders, it does mean some teams are already looking ahead to 2027 and right at the top of that list is the Philadelphia Eagles. The strong start to the season has been erased by the injuries that have popped up and they were clearly a selling team at the deadline, while one or two others may wish they had picked up more Draft capital to take into the New Year.
Unlike last season, it does feel some of the top teams in the NFL have already been rising to the top and that should make for a strong end to the season and the potential for some fireworks in the post-season.
Injuries can change the narrative at any time in each passing week, but there are ten teams in the NFL who are at least 4 games above 0.500, which does not include the likes of the New York Giants (5-2-1) and Green Bay Packers (6-3). Some of those teams really do have the kind of quality that felt like it was missing last time around, but there is still a long run to be had between now and the end of the regular season.
The opening six weeks of the NFL season had followed the poor ending to the 2025 season, but it was never a case of getting too down on a selection process that had put together a number of winning campaigns.
That patience has begun to pay off after another very strong performance in Week 9, although it has not quite been enough to wipe out the early disappointments.
Momentum is with the NFL Picks having had three winning weeks in succession, but there is still a lot of Football to be played.
Week 10 Picks begin with the NFC East battle on Thursday Night Football and other selections will be added to this thread in the days ahead.
And like we have added to other threads, you can sign up to join the selections using the line provided, which will mean the writer is given a small commission for new players. The line can be accessed here and the Week 10 Picks can be read below.
Washington Commanders @ New York Giants Pick: By the end of Thursday Night Football in Week 10 of the 2026 NFL season, both of these NFC East teams will have gotten past the halfway mark of the regular season schedule.
With the Philadelphia Eagles bottoming out, the Washington Commanders (2-5-1) should be well aware that they will soon find themselves following that Divisional rival out of contention if they cannot start turning things around immediately. They have won just one of the last five games, that being against the aforementioned Eagles who have turned their attention to 2027, and this is the second time that they are facing the New York Giants (5-2-1), which increases the importance of this Divisional game.
Losing would put the Commanders four games out of the Divisional lead, while also holding the tie-breaker disadvantage compared with the New York Giants, and that looks very difficult to overcome.
Two seasons ago, the Commanders made the Playoffs thanks to a 12-5 record and then made a run to the NFC Championship Game, but injuries prevented them from challenging in 2025. The expectation was that a healthier Jayden Daniels could spark the team and he has played in six games in 2026 compared with just seven overall last season.
However, Daniels is operating an Offensive unit playing with a first time Offensive Co-Ordinator and that has been a frustration to the team as well as the fans with Washington struggling.
In saying that, it was not David Blough's fault that Daniels failed to understand the clock management situation in the tie with the New York Giants last month and failing to win that game has made things that much more difficult for the Washington Commanders. For the main part, Jayden Daniels has done what has been asked, but just 7 Touchdown passes have been thrown this season and that is not good enough, even if he is yet to throw an Interception.
Last month, the Washington Offensive Line crushed New York up front and that led to the team piling up over 200 yards in just 30 carries- since then, the Commanders have not run the ball as well as they did in that game, while the Giants Defensive Line has tightened up, but you would still have to expect the Commanders to use the same game plan and control the clock and the down and distance when they have the ball.
Jayden Daniels is capable of moving the ball with his feet, but should also be successful making plays out of third and manageable spots on the field. The absence of Terry McLaurin is a big blow for the Quarter Back and Daniels has found the pocket collapsing around him when he has dropped back to throw, but he will not have to hold the ball for too long if the Commanders are in front of the chains and that should aid him on Thursday Night Football.
The New York Giants have been one of the overachievers through the first half of the season and they have won four of the last six games, including the last two in a row with a Bye Week thrown in-between. Many reports had the Giants actively looking to make trades that could see them capitalise in the surprisingly weak NFC East, but they failed to add as the fans or Head Coach may have hoped and that potentially leaves them short of the talent needed to have a really deep run in the posr-season.
First things first is getting to the post-season and the Giants have to be hoping Quarter Back JJ McCarthy is not too limited by a hip injury suffered in the win over the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 9. Playing on a short week is far from ideal and the Giants may not have the same kind of support for the Quarter Back as the Washington Commanders will expect to give to Jayden Daniels.
It was pretty clear that the Giants were looking to make a big impact by trading for a top Running Back, but moves for Bijan Robinson and Jonathan Taylor failed to materialise. The Offensive Line helped the Giants pick up just over 100 yards in 28 carries in the tie with the Commanders and they are not expected to have a lot of joy establishing the run with the kind of consistency that may be needed to give a banged up Quarter Back a bit of support.
Another similarity with the Commanders is that the New York Offensive Line has not offered the kind of time the Quarter Back would like with the pocket collapsing as they have failed to prevent pass rushers getting into the backfield.
However, unlike Washington, that task becomes all the tougher when stuck in third and long spots on the field and the Commanders will feel they have enough about them to break down this New York Offensive Line that has not blocked very well. There are one or two holes that JJ McCarthy can exploit in the Secondary, but that becomes so much harder to do when under immense pressure and the Quarter Back has to avoid picking up more damage to a vulnerable hip, while also avoiding the mistakes that can turn the momentum of a game.
New York will feel late mistakes in Overtime cost them the chance of beating Washington in the first meeting in 2026, but that tie did snap a four game losing run in the series. That may give the Giants some confidence, but they were beaten as a similar size favourite when hosting the Washington Commanders last season and the road team may be able to make the points count in a game where an extra possession or two can make all of the difference.
A feeling remains that the Giants record is built on a weak schedule rather than a massive improvement from a team that finished 4-13 last season. Head Coach John Harbaugh will have given them a boost, but perhaps not enough to warrant the record produced so far and the Washington Commanders could make the points count as a road underdog on Thursday Night Football.
Week 10 will see a desperate Washington arrive in Gotham and that could be enough to inspire the upset in a game where they do match up well with the favourite.
MY PICKS: Washington Commanders + 2.5 Points @ 1.83 Bet Fred (1 Unit)
Week 9: 4-0, + 3.80 Units (4 Units Staked, + 95% Yield)
Week 8: 4-2, + 1.72 Units (6 Units Staked, + 28.67% Yield)
Week 7: 4-1, + 2.73 Units (5 Units Staked, + 54.60% Yield)
Week 6: 2-4, - 1.95 Units (6 Units Staked, - 32.50% Yield)
Week 5: 2-2, - 0.14 Units (4 Units Staked, - 3.50% Yield)
Week 4: 4-4, - 0.52 Units (8 Units Staked, - 6.50% Yield)
Week 3: 2-5, - 3.09 Units (7 Units Staked, - 44.14% Yield)
Week 2: 3-4, - 1.31 Units (7 Units Staked, - 18.71% Yield)
Week 1: 2-4-1, - 2.23 Units (7 Units Staked, - 31.86% Yield)
