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Showing posts with label Day 9 Picks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Day 9 Picks. Show all posts

Monday, 7 September 2026

US Open Day 9 Tennis Picks 2026 (Monday 7th September)

There has been a lot of talk surrounding the tumbling of the Men's Seeds at the US Open, but it has felt like the top of the ATP Tour is dominated by three names right now and with everyone else playing catch up.

Even including Alexander Zverev alongside Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner may not be for everyone, but the German is a Grand Slam Champion in 2026 and that deserves respect.

However, below those three players, you could make an argument that very little separates Felix Auger Aliassime in the World Number 4 spot and Jiri Lehecka down in World Number 24.

That leaves those players vulnerable to upsets.

And while you do not want to single players out, Alex De Minaur is someone who has been a feature of the top ten for a while and who is looking to reach the ATP Finals for a third straight year, but who has never played in the Semi Final of any Grand Slam.

That kind of highlights the lack of high quality depth on the Men's Tour, although it does mean the tournaments will feel wide open to a surprise run or two even as the likes of Zverev, Sinner and Alcaraz continue to make their passage through the tournament.


Some may say that is being overcritical, but it has been a criticism aimed at the top of the WTA Tour for a long time.

This year the top names have been more consistent in Grand Slams, although a surprising winner continues to pop up as Linda Noskova showed at Wimbledon.

However, the young Czech player looks like someone who will be aiming to join the elite of the WTA Tour and she remains involved at the US Open having already earned her spot in the Quarter Final.

That means that while five of the top 20 of the Men's Rankings remain in the draw at the final Grand Slam of the season, the Women's tournament has seven of the top nine and nine of the top 20 still fighting it out for the title.

All of the top six in the current World Rankings are still in the tournament and the WTA looks in a good place when noting that five of those players are under 29 years old and it is a list that does not include Iga Swiatek who is 25 years old and the current World Number 9!


The middle of the US Open saw a dip in the early tournament form for the Tennis Picks, but the weekend has produced a recovery to get the number back into a very healthy position.

Nothing has been achieved yet with seven days remaining in New York City, but the momentum is back behind the selections and that is hopefully something that can be built upon as the Quarter Final lineup is confirmed at the end of Monday's play.


Alexander Zverev - 6.5 games v Luciano Darderi: If you were to look at the Luciano Darderi record on the hard courts over the last couple of years, you would expect this player to one of the more vulnerable Seeds in the early Rounds at the Australian Open and US Open. He is playing in New York City as the Number 21 Seed, but Luciano Darderi has perhaps surprisingly made the second week at the US Open, which surpasses the run to the Third Round from 2025.

It also comes in the same year in which Luciano Darderi reached the Fourth Round at the Australian Open, although there is a real difference in the level of opponent that the Italian has had to beat in Melbourne compared with this tournament.

As the draw has opened up around Luciano Darderi, it has also meant he has not had to beat anyone Ranked inside the top 100 in the opening three Rounds at the US Open. Unsurprisingly he has made pretty comfortable passage through those matches, but it also has to be questioned whether he has had the toughness of challenge to be ready to compete with some of the very best players on the Tour.

The top Seed and French Open Champion Alexander Zverev is next up and the World Number 2 will be very happy to have come through the Third Round match in straight sets. He has already played consecutive five set matches in the first couple of Rounds at the US Open and that accumulation of tennis is always a concern, but Alexander Zverev can make decent recovery if he can back up his Third Round win by putting another comfortable victory on the board.

He is certainly the superior hard court player of the two competing, although Luciano Darderi will take confidence from having beaten Alexander Zverev on the Rome clay courts in the lead up to the French Open.

Scheduling this Fourth Round match for the second of the Night Session matches on Arthur Ashe may actually suit Luciano Darderi with the court likely to play a little slower than it would do in the heat of the day.

That has to be a concern for those backing Alexander Zverev, but he should be the more comfortable in the match and the performance in the Third Round is encouraging. The serving numbers on the hard courts can be a big difference in favour of the top Seed in the Men's draw and there is an expectation that the German may end up finding the breaks of serve needed to cover this handicap.


Mirra Andreeva - 5.5 games v Anastasia Potapova: When these two compatriots met on the clay courts of Linz earlier this year, Anastasia Potapova made a very fast start and too the first set, but Mirra Andreeva recovered to win that match in three sets.

That was a tournament played in the build up to the French Open, which was eventually won by Mirra Andreeva, and the World Number 5 has yet to drop a set on her way to the Fourth Round of the US Open for the first time. The first five sets have all been won in dominant fashion, but Mirra Andreeva had to hold herself together to win a tie-breaker to avoid a third deciding set in the Third Round win.

No one can really complain about the numbers being produced by Mirra Andreeva on the hard courts, although she has struggled against the elite players. To win another Grand Slam, that will have to change, but Mirra Andreeva will take a lot of confidence into this Fourth Round match knowing she has an 18-3 record on the hard courts against opponents Ranked outside of the top 20.

The first serve has been really effective in those matches and Mirra Andreeva wins 50% of return points played, which will always give her a chance if producing that kind of form again.

Further confidence will be taken from the fact that Andreeva has beaten Anastasia Potapova twice in Grand Slam events at Wimbledon in 2023 and, more notably, here at the US Open last year. That was a match that ended 6-1, 6-3 in favour of Mirra Andreeva, although Anastasia Potapova has been able to move from World Number 53 twelve months ago into World Number 25 at the 2026 US Open.

Anastasia Potapova has not been at her consistent best on the hard courts this year and had a losing record on the surface before the US Open began, but three wins have turned that around. The opening two wins were against opponents Ranked outside of the top 100, but it is the Potapova win over Amanda Anisimova in the Third Round that will have provided a huge shot of confidence.

Before the win over Anisimova, Anastasia Potapova had lost all four matches against top 20 Ranked opponents and the last three defeats had seen her crumble away on the scoreboard.

Diana Shnaider beat Anastasia Potapova for the loss of three games in Washington, but Elina Svitolina was even more dominant having dropped two games in Toronto.

Serving well is going to be absolutely key for Anastasia Potapova, but she will do well to keep Mirra Andreeva at bay and that will mean pressure on the former to pick up her levels on the return.

It all looks unlikely though and Mirra Andreeva can win and cover this handicap mark.


Coco Gauff - 3.5 games v Iva Jovic: After coming through an intense Third Round match, Iva Jovic will be hoping the experience will be something that can aid the development of her career.

At 18 years old, Iva Jovic is already playing at a peak career World Ranking mark just outside of the top 10 and it has been a strong year for the teenager. Results at Grand Slams will stick out the most and Iva Jovic has reached the Quarter Final at the Australian Open, Third Round at the French Open and Fourth Round at Wimbledon before moving into the second week here at the US Open.

There is so much to like about the Iva Jovic game, but the exciting part of her future is that there are also clear areas to improve.

The serve will naturally develop as she continues to grow, while Jovic will be looking to show she can compete consistently with top 20 Ranked opponents on the hard courts. Iva Jovic does have a 2-3 record in those matches after beating Alexandra Eala in the Third Round, but those matches have been challenging for the youngster and there is also a question about whether she will have the time to recover from an exhausting win in the last Round.

Experience is something that Coco Gauff is not lacking and the World Number 4 cannot really ask to come into this Fourth Round match in much better form.

Not only has she won nine matches in a row, which includes winning the Cincinnati Masters, but Coco Gauff has won eighteen sets in succession. The three wins produced at the US Open have been comfortable enough, but Coco Gauff is also yet to have peaked and that makes her dangerous at a Grand Slam where she has had so much success previously.

Coco Gauff is a former Champion in New York City, although back to back Fourth Round defeats is something of a concern.

Playing to open up the Night Session on Arthur Ashe should suit Coco Gauff and there is a feeling she should be the fresher of the two players.

They have faced one another in Rome on the clay courts and Iva Jovic did give Coco Gauff as good as she got before fading in the final set decider.

As long as Coco Gauff is not overthinking her record at the US Open over the last two years, the higher Ranked of these two young compatriots can edge over Iva Jovic and do just enough to cover this handicap mark laid out. 

MY PICKS: Alexander Zverev - 6.5 Games @ 1.72 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Mirra Andreeva - 5.5 Games @ 1.91 Bet365 (2 Units)
Coco Gauff - 3.5 Games @ 1.72 Bet365 (2 Units)
Iga Swiatek - 5.5 Games @ 2.10 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Naomi Osaka-Elena Rybakina Over 22.5 Games @ 1.80 Bet Fred (2 Units)

US Open Update: 25-14, + 12.60 Units (78 Units Staked, + 16.15% Yield)

Tuesday, 7 July 2026

Wimbledon Tennis Day 9 Picks 2026 (Tuesday 7th July)

The Quarter Final was almost fully set as expected, but the two long matches on Centre Court prevented the full day of play being completed and Jiri Lehecka and Alexander Zverev will have to conclude their Fourth Round match on Tuesday.

That is a bonus for those who have tickets for the Centre Court Quarter Finals on Day 9, but both show courts have some excellent tennis to choose from.

Matches look like they are going to be very competitive in what is expected to be very hot conditions in London, although an overcast day should help the players and the fans.


Felix Auger Aliassime-Novak Djokovic over 40.5 games: If this was a Quarter Final played at Wimbledon two years ago, Novak Djokovic would have been a much stronger favourite than is the case in 2026.

The records continue to tumble as Novak Djokovic continues to compete at a decent level, but there is little doubt that this is a player on the slide and winning one more Grand Slam title may end up being an elusive target. Winning at Wimbledon may offer the best route to do that, but Novak Djokovic is in the tougher half of the draw and he is likely going to have to beat two players Ranked higher than himself to earn a spot in the Final on Sunday.

First up is this Quarter Final against Felix Auger Aliassime who just battled through an epic five setter to progress past Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and take his place in the last eight at another Grand Slam. The Canadian will be desperate to show what he can do at the highest level of the sport and there has been plenty to like about the way Auger Aliassime has gone about his business at Wimbledon this year.

The serve has been a huge weapon and Felix Auger Aliassime will need that to be firing to keep Novak Djokovic under pressure.

At his best, Djokovic was one of the greatest return players of all time, but he has struggled with his rhythm at this tournament and he has not won 40% or better of return points in any of the four wins produced. The Third Round win over Arthur Rinderknech will provide Felix Auger Aliassime with some kind of serving blueprint and the latter will certainly feel he has more about his serving than Rinderknech, which should mean having more joy.

Of course there will be plenty of respect for Novak Djokovic, but this is a player who does not have the same kind of movement as he did at his best and that should allow Felix Auger Aliassime to have success.

Novak Djokovic has gotten into the Quarter Final though and that is largely down to the way he has been serving and the match up against a return player like Felix Auger Aliassime should be one that the former World Number One is very comfortable. He will know the younger opponent has the power, but Djokovic has the experience and his serving will set up plenty of cheaper points to keep the scoreboard ticking.

These two players have not played one another in a competitive match since 2022, which will mean there is going to be some feeling out process.

The serving of both players will be important, and it feels like it would be a real surprise if either player is blown away in straight sets.

The underdog has every chance of earning the upset, but Novak Djokovic is always hard to dismiss and this looks like a Quarter Final that could need four, and possibly five sets to determine a winner, which is guiding the selection.


Jannik Sinner - 7.5 games v Jan-Lennard Struff: The defending Champion knows what it takes to win a title at Wimbledon, but Jannik Sinner also has plenty of successes at other Grand Slam events to build up his experience. He will not have been overly concerned about a slow start in this tournament, especially as the top Seed had not been seen since his upset defeat at the French Open, but there are real signs that Jannik Sinner is building up some momentum that could be very difficult to stop before Sunday evening.

The last two Rounds have been improved from the first two Rounds and Jannik Sinner will not be too concerned about facing an opponent he has beaten in all three previous matches on the Tour. One of those wins has been earned on the grass courts and Jannik Sinner is also vastly more experienced with these kind of big tournament matches.

Jan-Lennard Struff has forced his way into a maiden Grand Slam Quarter Final at 36 years old and this run has really come out of a surprising position when you consider warm up tournaments and performances in those.

Serving well has put pressure on his opponents, but Jan-Lennard Struff has also been on the right side of very fine margins and that is going to be difficult to replicate against someone like the World Number One.

In three of the four matches played at Wimbledon, Jan-Lennard Struff has split the first four sets and that will have been a situation where accumulated fatigue could be an issue.

The easiest win came against Daniil Medvedev in terms of it being a straight sets win, but the performance within that will give Jannik Sinner a huge amount of encouragement- Jan-Lennard Struff had been so far behind in each of the three sets played, but Medvedev crumbled in a situation that would be unexpected for the top Seed in the draw.

A bigger factor is the expected rise in heat in London- hot conditions have affected Jannik Sinner negatively in the past, including in Paris at the French Open earlier this year, and the underdog may be looking to keep him out on the court for as long as possible. The serve is one that can be frustrating for any player to deal with, but you have to believe that the inexperience at playing a match of this magnitude is going to be a factor against Struff.

The most likely outcome is that Jannik Sinner will be too good and he may be doubling down focus to avoid being dragged into a scrap in what is likely to be the hottest part of the day.

Jannik Sinner's own serve is one that should contain much of the threat on the other side of the court, while he will look back to the 18 Break Point chances created when facing Jan-Lennard Struff on the grass courts of Halle two years ago. The heat may aid Struff's serving, but Jannik Sinner is expected to have plenty of chances to get on top of him here and may ultimately wear down the lower Ranked player in a relatively comfortable victory.


Jessica Pegula-Coco Gauff over 22.5 games: The Ladies tournament has been decimated by upsets through the opening four Rounds of the 2026 Wimbledon, but there are still a couple of former Grand Slam Champions involved and they will be looking to use all of their experience to add this title to the collection.

One of those is Coco Gauff who made her first significant breakthrough on the Tour on these grounds back in 2019 when reaching the Fourth Round as a 15 year old.

Two Grand Slam titles have been won and Coco Gauff has reached the Semi Final at three of the Majors played, but it is a real surprise that the only event in which she had not played in a Quarter Final is right here at Wimbledon. That will change when she steps onto the court to face her compatriot on Tuesday, but Coco Gauff has been set as the underdog and that does not quite sit right.

Where Coco Gauff has shown she can win the biggest matches, Jessica Pegula has found her tennis stifled more often than not when the same opportunities have come up and at 32 years old, there will be a feeling that Pegula will not have a better chance to finally win a Grand Slam.

Jessica Pegula had lost the first six Quarter Final Grand Slam matches she played, although credit has to be given to the American for making it that far in every Grand Slam tournament. More recently things have begun to change and Pegula has won her last three Grand Slam Quarter Finals, but she has only made the single Final from all of those chances and finished Runner Up at the 2024 US Open.

Despite some of the performances in grass court tournaments ahead of Wimbledon, this has easily been the poorest of the Grand Slams for Jessica Pegula- she has reached the Quarter Final once before, but had only made the Third Round on one other occasion until the run to the last eight this year.

Both players have had to come through one tough match, which has to be respected, but Coco Gauff is the more battle-hardened.

Hot conditions will likely mean the extra tennis played could be a factor going against Gauff, but she will understand the match up considering the eight previous matches against one another.

Jessica Pegula is right to be favourite having won five of those matches, but also playing the superior tennis at this tournament, but pressure could ramp up the closer she gets to the winning line and that is where Coco Gauff can fight back. It feels like a match that will be won in either two very competitive sets or both players will be controlling a set apiece before a decider is needed.

With all that being said, this Quarter Final looks like one that will surpass the total games line that has been set.


Naomi Osaka-Karolina Muchova over 22.5 games: The Final at Bad Homburg last month ended prematurely when Naomi Osaka had to withdraw and allow Karolina Muchova to pick up the title, but they meet again at Wimbledon in a huge Quarter Final.

This is a tournament that feels wide open on the Ladies side of the event and the winner of this one is going to be full of belief that they can go all the way and pick up the title on Saturday afternoon.

Eight matches have been won between the players at Wimbledon and only a single set has been dropped- Naomi Osaka has the best win on the board as she crushed Aryna Sabalenka in the Fourth Round, but she had not been beyond the Third Round at this Grand Slam before, while Karolina Muchova is playing in the Quarter Final for the third time, but who had suffered four opening Round defeats in a row before her run to the last eight this season.

The raw numbers point to Naomi Osaka playing the superior tennis, but Karolina Muchova is playing at a consistently high level too and has been comfortable through the opening four Rounds.

It is very clear that the serve is going to be key for both players having been an important part of their tennis in the run to the Quarter Final and especially in the conditions expected in London. The higher temperatures are going to be a real challenge for the players to deal with, but Naomi Osaka and Karolina Muchova are scheduled to come out in the late afternoon and that may allow them to play their tennis with more authority as the heat begins to cool.

Regardless, it will be a hot day and both Osaka and Muchova are very well aware of what the other brings to the court.

They have faced off in big matches having played one another at the 2024 US Open, 2025 Australian Open and 2025 US Open and Naomi Osaka should take great encouragement from having won the last two of those matches. The most recent was in the US Open Quarter Final, but it was a very competitive match and another is expected when Karolina Muchova and Osaka meet again on Tuesday.

The layers have perhaps got it right by having Naomi Osaka down as a favourite, but Karolina Muchova is comfortable on the grass courts and can play her part in a Quarter Final that may end up needing a deciding set.

MY PICKS: Felix Auger Aliassime-Novak Djokovic Over 40.5 Games @ 1.83 Bet365 (2 Units)
Jannik Sinner - 7.5 Games @ 1.91 Bet365 (2 Units)
Jessica Pegula-Coco Gauff Over 22.5 Games @ 1.91 William Hill (2 Units)
Naomi Osaka-Karolina Muchova Over 22.5 Games @ 1.80 William Hill (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 33-31, - 8.76 Units (126 Units Staked, - 6.95% Yield)

Monday, 1 June 2026

French Open Tennis Day 9 Picks 2026 (Monday 1st June)

The upsets have continued to spring up over the last couple of days at the French Open and that left both Men's and Women's tournaments with a clear favourite, but with every other player likely to believe they can win the second Grand Slam of the 2026 season.

New Champions in both events will be crowned after Iga Swiatek was beaten on Sunday.

Pressure will begin to play its part, while the conditions in Paris are changing with cooler weather and rainy conditions likely replacing the heatwave that covered the first week of the tournament.

After a couple of difficult days for the Tennis Picks, there was something of a fightback on Sunday and the Day 9 Picks can be read below.


Flavio Cobolli - 7.5 games v Zachary Svajda: Ever since Jannik Sinner has been knocked out of the French Open, the Men's tournament has had a lopsided feel to the bracket and the top half is wide open.

Six of the eight players who reached the Fourth Round of the bottom half of the draw were Seeded players, but only three of the eight in the top half. That does build up some pressure with many players perhaps feeling they will not have a better chance to reach a Grand Slam Final and Flavio Cobolli should be credited for his performance in the Third Round.

Seeing his compatriot dumped out of the draw means Flavio Cobolli has to believe he is the favourite to reach the French Open Final from this half of the draw. That could have made him tense when facing Learner Tien in the Third Round, but Flavio Cobolli rolled past the American and now faces another opponent from that nation.

Learner Tien had shown some positive form prior to the French Open, which means the run from the Seeded player was not that surprising.

That is far from the case for Zachary Svajda, who had previously been beaten in Qualifiers in each of the last two seaosns at the French Open. The World Number 85 also had a 1-5 record on the red dirt in the build up to the second Grand Slam of the season, but Zachary Svajda has enjoyed his time in the main draw and earned a huge upset in the Third Round against Francisco Cerundolo.

After blowing a two set lead, all credit has to be given to Zachary Svajda for rallying in the fifth set decider and it is comfortably the best clay court win he has produced in Paris at this tournament. The previous two wins had been against players that prefer faster surfaces, but Cerundolo is a very effective clay courter and beating him will have given Zachary Svajda a huge amount of confidence.

The 23 year old American is going to be taking a big leap in the World Rankings and setting a new career high, no matter when the tournament ends, and so it is been a productive event for Zachary Svajda.

He will want that to continue, but this is a tough looking match up and Flavio Cobolli should be much fresher of the two players having moved through the opening three Rounds in straight sets.

The first serve is going to be key for Svajda, but you have to believe that Flavio Cobolli is going to have too much knowledge of clay court tennis for the underdog in this Fourth Round clash.

Flavio Cobolli is not the most convincing of return players on the clay courts, which is a potential issue when it comes to this spread, but Zachary Svajda was only holding 65% of service games prior to the unexpected successes he has had in Paris.

He may continue defying his previous form on the clay, but Flavio Cobolli feels the right player to end that run after the crushing win over Learner Tien, while the Italian has a win over Svajda on the hard courts and so should have enough experience to know what to expect from the underdog in this Fourth Round contest.


Frances Tiafoe - 0.5 games v Matteo Arnaldi: The top half of the Men's tournament has offered up big opportunities for every player involved and both Frances Tiafoe and Matteo Arnaldi came through tough five setters to earn their place in the Fourth Round.

That time spent on the court can be very difficult to overcome at the business end of any Grand Slam tournament, while both players also have to deal with much different conditions compared to what has been seen in the first week of the tournament. Heat makes it easier to hit through the clay, but the dampening conditions makes it tougher and that should favour Matteo Arnaldi.

The Italian beat Frances Tiafoe on a clay court in Madrid in April 2025, but that was a very competitive match and it is Tiafoe who had been producing a bit more consistency on the surface prior to the French Open beginning.

Back to back five setters cannot be a good thing for Frances Tiafoe, but he was able to largely cruise through the last two sets in the Third Round, unlike Matteo Arnaldi who had to win a final set Tie-Breaker to earn his place in the second week.

Out of the two players, Matteo Arnaldi can take some confidence from having won a Challenger title on the clay courts in the lead up to the French Open, while he earned a couple of solid wins at the Rome Masters before losing to Rafael Jodar. The three wins at the French Open will show a player in good form and one who is operating with plenty of belief in his own tennis, but the same can be said for Frances Tiafoe who had a 4-3 record on the clay prior to the French Open getting underway.

The two styles are quite different- Frances Tiafoe will be relying on the serve, while Matteo Arnaldi will believe he is the stronger return player. On a clay court, returning may be a big factor in the outcome, especially if the cooler and potentially wetter conditions make the court play slower than we have seen throughout the French Open.

In the two previous matches on the Tour, Frances Tiafoe has been winning more return points of the two players and that may give him the edge in this competitive Fourth Round match.


Aryna Sabalenka - 4.5 games v Naomi Osaka: For the first time in three years, the French Open organisers have scheduled a Women's match for the Night Session on Court Philippe-Chatrier. Plenty have criticised the organisers for failing to use a Women's match in a primetime spot, but the reason that has been given is that there is every chance that those matches will not provide value for money and so a best of five set Men's match has been preferred.

It will put some pressure on the shoulders of Aryna Sabalenka and Naomi Osaka to provide the right amount of entertainment for fans who are paying a premium to attend the Night Session.

However, you have to believe that two multiple time Grand Slam Champions are able to cope with that expectation and this feels like a big Fourth Round match after the Women's tournament saw the likes of Coco Gauff and Iga Swiatek join Elena Rybakina in being eliminated before the Quarter Final.

This has hardened Aryna Sabalenka into being favourite to win the title in Paris over the next few days after finishing 2025 as Runner Up at this event.

She has not played a lot of clay court tennis in preparation for the French Open, while an early defeat in Rome will have meant there were some questions for Aryna Sabalenka to answer when she arrived in the French capital. Three straight wins and all in straight sets will have been a good response to any doubters, but Aryna Sabalenka will be aware that this is the toughest test she will have faced at the French Open to this stage of the tournament.

Naomi Osaka has won four Grand Slam titles, but all on the hard courts and the last of those was at the Australian Open in 2021- she has struggled to return to the consistent level she once produced and the Fourth Round run here in Paris is only the second time Naomi Osaka has reached the second week of a Grand Slam tournament since her last Major in January 2021.

Last September, Naomi Osaka reached the US Open Semi Final, but the French Open and Wimbledon have been her poorest Grand Slam events and this is the first time she has reached the business end of either of those tournaments.

The win over Iva Jovic and the manner in which it was produced will have given Naomi Osaka confidence, but this is a tough test for the World Number 16 who has struggled for consistency on the clay courts.

Serving well will give Naomi Osaka a chance, although she will have to get plenty of first serves in play to put Aryna Sabalenka under pressure in what are expected to be warm conditions, but nothing like what has been seen in Paris over the last few days.

Improving the return against the elite players on the Tour is another challenge for Naomi Osaka and Aryna Sabalenka will be confident having beaten her pretty convincingly twice already this season.

One of those wins was on the clay courts of Madrid as Aryna Sabalenka recovered from losing an opening set Tie-Breaker to roll through the next couple of sets.

In the two matches played against one another this season, Aryna Sabalenka has been the much superior server and she is the better clay court player. There will be moments where Naomi Osaka will be able to get on top of the rallies, but the World Number 1 may not have many better chances to win a Grand Slam title in Paris and she can record a confident victory in this big Fourth Round match.

MY PICKS: Flavio Cobolli - 7.5 Games @ 1.91 William Hill (2 Units)
Frances Tiafoe - 0.5 Games @ 1.91 William Hill (2 Units)
Aryna Sabalenka - 4.5 Games @ 1.75 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Maja Chwalinska - 3.5 Games @ 1.95 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Anastasia Potapova - 3.5 Games @ 1.91 William Hill (2 Units)

French Open Update: 20-15, + 2.74 Units (66 Units Staked, + 4.15% Yield)

Wednesday, 25 March 2026

Miami Tennis Day 9 Picks 2026 (Wednesday 25th March)

Day 8 came down to Frances Tiafoe and he looked in a decent position when taking the first set 6-4 and quickly moving into a 0-40 position to take complete command of the Fourth Round match.

However, Tiafoe served a reminder as to why he is rarely selected as he not only failed to convert those Break opportunities, but wilted in the second set.

As stated, Frances Tiafoe is a battler though and he wins plenty of matches- he just doesn't tend to cover as a favourite and that was proved again as he dropped the second set 6-1, but won two 6-4 sets around it.


The last few days have been a little disappointing for the Tennis Picks and that has dented the totals that had been produced through the opening six days of the tournament.

Wednesday feels important to try and bounce back and there are two selections from the four Quarter Final matches that are scheduled to be played.


Elena Rybakina - 2.5 games v Jessica Pegula: If it wasn't for the WTA decision to remove Ranking Points from the 2022 Wimbledon event that was won by Elena Rybakina, the latter may have actually earned a top two World Ranking before last week.

It has felt like she has been playing as the second best player in the world for some time and winning the Australian Open title backed that up.

Elena Rybakina was not quite able to add the Indian Wells title to her collection, but the run to the Final was enough to move past Iga Swiatek and the Kazakhstan player may already be thinking about closing on the World Number 1 spot. Taking that away from Aryna Sabalenka is not going to be easy, but Elena Rybakina has little to defend at the next two very important WTA 1000 events on the clay and her run to the Quarter Final here in Miami has improved on the Second Round loss last year.

Thinking too far ahead would be a mistake, but this could be a special year for Elena Rybakina if she can stay healthy and she will certainly be amongst the favourites at Wimbledon and the US Open.

The current top two players in the world are setting the standard and Jessica Pegula is desperately trying to bridge the gap.

She may be the World Number 5 and put together some very strong results to open 2026, but Jessica Pegula has already suffered two important defeats to Elena Rybakina in Melbourne and Indian Wells.

A title was won in Dubai, but Jessica Pegula is desperate to win a Major and that would mean having to beat the likes of Rybakina and Aryna Sabalenka from her current World Ranking mark.

There is little wrong with the quality of tennis that Jessica Pegula is playing- she serves much more effectively than some may think and Pegula backs that up with solid returning, but this match up will test her mentally.

Two defeats suffered to Elena Rybakina this season can be added to the two hard court losses against this opponent after the US Open last year.

Three years ago she was beaten by Elena Rybakina in Miami and it is hard to ignore that the higher Ranked player has been the superior one in those head to heads with Jessica Pegula.

The American has not been overwhelmed, but Elena Rybakina has played the bigger points best and she has covered this handicap line in all of those wins.

Jessica Pegula is unlikely to roll over, but it is Rybakina who has the edge on the serve and that can be the difference maker in this Quarter Final.


Tommy Paul v Arthur Fils: This is going to be a close, competitive Quarter Final and the winner is going to be the favourite to progress to the Miami Final on Sunday.

They will have a Semi Final to play, but Tommy Paul and Arthur Fils look like they are clearly the best players left in the top half of the draw as we reach the last eight of this Masters event.

No one can argue about the level being produced by Arthur Fils right now, but Tommy Paul looks an interesting underdog to back, despite not having those big time results this year.

He has played well when going up against some of the stronger players on the Tour, but the Arthur Fils numbers have dipped when taking in his hard court matches against top 50 Ranked opponents.

That is not to say Fils cannot win this match, because he clearly can, but Tommy Paul is a very solid hard court player and the home crowd could push him over the line in the last match scheduled to be played on Day 9 at the tournament.

It is Tommy Paul who has won the sole previous meeting, but that was long enough go to be largely irrelevant.

What does remain important is that Paul has been serving well enough and may have the edge on the return, which ultimately could prove to be the difference between them in a match that may go all the way.

MY PICKS: Elena Rybakina - 2.5 Games @ 1.66 Bet Fred (1 Unit)
Tommy Paul @ 2.10 Bet365 (1 Unit)

Miami Update: 16-12, + 3.30 Units (27 Units Staked, + 12.22% Yield)

Thursday, 12 March 2026

Indian Wells Tennis Day 9 Picks 2026 (Thursday 12th March)

The tournament has been a difficult one for the Tennis Picks, but there may be some late momentum that can be carried through to the end of the weekend.

Both selections on Wednesday returned as winners and it may have been better if Katerina Siniakova had been able to complete her Fourth Round match, although she did look spent a couple of days earlier and perhaps did well to manage nine games before withdrawing.


The schedule for the rest of the tournament means all of the Quarter Final matches are set to be played on Thursday.

That will be followed by the WTA Semi Finals on Friday, the ATP Semi Finals on Saturday and both Singles Finals concluding the tournament on Sunday.

It is not the usual ending to these joint Masters events, but the organisers clearly feel that works best and that means an extremely busy Thursday with some of those Quarter Final matches only put together in the Evening Session on Wednesday in the Californian desert.

Four Picks have been made and those can be seen below, while the updated totals for the Indian Wells tournament have also been added.


Jannik Sinner - 5.5 games v Learner Tien: There will be plenty of support for young American Learner Tien in this Indian Wells Quarter Final and an upset in this Round will almost certainly mean cracking the top 20 of the World Rankings for the first time.

Regardless of the result, Learner Tien is set for a new career high World Ranking mark on Monday morning after coming through some very tight matches in each of the previous three Rounds. He has had to spend a considerable amount of court to come through in back to back three setters, but all of this will give the young player a lot of confidence to take into the rest of the season.

Learner Tien has already beaten two players Ranked inside the top 20 so this is not a match that should keep him up at night, although the American will be aware of the size of the task in front of him

Joao Fonseca and a heckler were not enough to put Jannik Sinner off in his own Fourth Round win and the World Number 2 will be very happy with his performance on the court.

He met a younger opponent playing close to his best, but Jannik Sinner was able to keep himself focused and ended up winning the match turning points.

In this Quarter Final, Sinner will know he is going to have more control of the rallies than he was awarded by Joao Fonseca and that always makes players feel more comfortable about what they can produce on the court. Big hitting was taking the racquet out of Sinner's hands in the last Round, but that is not expected to be the case in the Quarter Final, much like when the players met on the hard courts of Beijing in October in a Final that was dominated by the higher Ranked player.

You will expect Learner Tien to have used that match to make adjustments as to how he would prepare and challenge the best players on the court, but he will need to have replenished his energy levels.

The lefty serve can be a little awkward for opponent's to read and Learner Tien is going to have to serve well to try and put some scoreboard pressure on Jannik Sinner.

If he can do that, he can win a few more games than he managed in Beijing, but you still have to give the Italian a big edge in the contest.

Jannik Sinner has been quite considerably the stronger returner of the two players and he can have a bit more time to dictate things in the rallies to turn a few more points in his favour than he did in the Fourth Round.

Covering this number will not be easy, but Sinner looks the right play here and he may just have too much on both sides of the net for the improving Learner Tien.


Aryna Sabalenka - 4.5 games v Victoria Mboko: There are a couple of young players in the WTA Tour who look really close to having a serious breakthrough and not many would back against Victoria Mboko being the first of those to do that at Grand Slam level.

Her growth over the last twelve months has be monumental and the Canadian is stringing wins together.

She has won a big WTA 1000 event in Montreal, but this year Victoria Mboko has been able to back that up by reaching the Final in Doha and she is on another strong run in Indian Wells. She also reached the Fourth Round in the Australian Open and it has taken some of the biggest names on the Tour to stop her runs.

One of those was Aryna Sabalenka who beat Victoria Mboko in straight sets in Melbourne, although it was anything but a one-sided contest, especially after the teenager got to grips with what she was facing in the second set. A Tie-Breaker was needed by Sabalenka to get through on her way to another Final at that tournament, but she was the stronger player and would like to frank that victory.

Aryna Sabalenka is playing in her first tournament since losing the Australian Open Final and she has not been troubled here, although may be the first to admit that this looks like it could be the toughest test to date.

The serve continues to be an advantage for the World Number 1 and she is going to need to serve well to try and contain the obvious threat that Victoria Mboko brings onto the court.

The World Number 10 has been playing well and the dominant win over Amanda Anisimova will have gotten many sitting up and taking notice. She holds a win over Madison Keys and Elena Rybakina this year and so there is nothing in this match that will intimidate Mboko, but she will look to try and get on the front foot and dictate behind her own serve to see if she can rattle the best player on the Tour.

When they met in Melbourne, Aryna Sabalenka was the stronger return player and that is likely going to be the case again, which makes it right to believe she can eventually have a bit too much for the youngster standing across the net.

Covering is going to be challenging considering what we have seen from Victoria Mboko on the hard courts over the last nine months, but Aryna Sabalenka may just be playing at a high enough level to edge past this line set. It may be a Quarter Final with some swings in momentum, but eventually the Belarusian may have done enough to progress with a stylish looking win on the scoreboard.

MY PICKS: Jannik Sinner - 5.5 Games @ 1.91 Bet Victor (1 Unit)
Aryna Sabalenka - 4.5 Games @ 1.85 William Hill (1 Unit)
Daniil Medvedev - 2.5 Games @ 1.87 Bet Victor (1 Unit)
Iga Swiatek - 4.5 Games @ 1.91 Bet365 (1 Unit)

Indian Wells Update: 9-11, - 3.76 Units (20 Units Staked, - 18.80% Yield)

Sunday, 25 January 2026

Australian Open Tennis Day 9 Picks 2026 (Monday 26th January)


Day 8 at the Australian Open was clearly the worst one of the week, but a 2-4 return could have been a lot worse and the overall numbers remain in a very strong position.

However, things can unravel pretty quickly in the coming days and it is important to remain focused and make sure this opening Grand Slam of the 2026 season (and opening tournament covered) sets a solid foundation for the remainder of the year.

Giving away such a positive start would be a real disappointment.

On Day 9, the Quarter Final lineup for both Men's and Women's tournaments will be set and that means another busy day of action.

However, the matches look pretty competitive on Monday and so there are 'only' three selections from the play to come, which can be read below.


Taylor Fritz v Lorenzo Musetti: The 2024 Wimbledon Quarter Final between Lorenzo Musetti and Taylor Fritz was an entertaining five setter which was surprisingly won by the underdog Italian.

The odds are much tighter when they meet in the 2026 Australian Open with a place in the Quarter Final on the line.

We still have Taylor Fritz down as favourite in this Fourth Round match, which is not a surprise on the hard courts, but Lorenzo Musetti is being given a lot of respect. The World Number 5 actually is the higher Seed compared with Fritz, but there is little doubt that the latter is at his most comfortable on the hard courts.

Last year we did see Lorenzo Musetti pick up his level on this surface and that is backed up by the run to the US Open Quarter Final- his numbers were much improved on the hard courts and Musetti was able to compete at the Tour Finals for the first time in his career, which was another big achievement having broken through at Grand Slam level in Paris and New York City.

He has impressed here this week, but Musetti needed four and a half hours to get through his Third Round match and in very tough conditions- this has to have an impact on the gas tank, even with a day of rest between matches.

His opponent also needed to dig in to win his match, but Taylor Fritz did not need nearly as long out on the court and that is going to be important for him.

The American has also won both previous hard court matches against Lorenzo Musetti, including beating him a couple of months ago at the Tour Finals. That would have been a win in hostile surroundings, but Taylor Fritz is very experienced and his serve can be the big weapon in this match.

Over the first three matches here, Taylor Fritz has held 89% of his service games played compared with Musetti's 81% mark.

No one will be surprised that Lorenzo Musetti has produced the stronger returning numbers this week, but the conditions should be favourable to Taylor Fritz with the first strike very important here at Melbourne Park.

Taylor Fritz will take confidence from the win that was produced in Turin in November, albeit on an indoor hard court, although he will expect Lorenzo Musetti to offer plenty of resistance.

However, the longer this match goes, the more it should favour Taylor Fritz after the efforts Musetti made to get through his Third Round match, and the World Number 9 can reach his second Quarter Final at the Australian Open.


Jannik Sinner - 8.5 games v Luciano Darderi: The heat in Melbourne was intense enough on Saturday to have a rule in place that there would not be too much tennis played at the highest point of the day. Some matches were going to cross over and one of those involved Jannik Sinner, who was suffering very badly in the third set as he trailed by a break.

The upset at that point looked on course, but Jannik Sinner was perhaps fortunate to have the organisers decide that was the moment they would bring the players off the court and allow the organisers to put the roof in place to control conditions.

The World Number 2 was cramping and his team were highly concerned, but being able to head off the court and just take in the pickle juice and electrolytes to rebuild his strength proved to be crucial. While never being completely comfortable, Jannik Sinner was able to come through in four sets and the defending Champion will be hoping he can now really settle into the tournament.

It was the case when the won the title at Wimbledon back in July- he was trailing 2-0 in sets when Grigor Dimitrov picked up an injury that forced him to withdraw when looking the much stronger player and Jannik Sinner benefited by going on to win the event in SW19.

Jannik Sinner will feel there is room for improvement on the serve, which is going to be important in the second half of this tournament, but he is returning very well and that should give him the edge in this Fourth Round match. The fitness should not be an issue for Sinner after coming through some testing moments and he will have something of a mental edge against a compatriot.

An unexpected run to the Fourth Round will have given Luciano Darderi confidence, but it is still very difficult to ignore the overall record on the hard courts over the last couple of years.

Luciano Darderi has been serving well in Melbourne, but this is an opponent who will present a very difficult test for him.

It also means the World Number 25 will be under pressure to try and get into the Sinner service games if he is being put under the cosh on his own serve and this is a considerable increase in level of opponent compared with the players Luciano Darderi has beaten at the Australian Open.

When he played Carlos Alcaraz at the US Open in the Third Round, Luciano Darderi was not able to maintain a level to give the eventual Champion something to think about.

He was good enough to be competitive within a set, but Luciano Darderi may struggle to stick with Jannik Sinner much as he did against Alcaraz and the top Italian player on the ATP Tour can cover a big line.


Amanda Anisimova - 5.5 games v Xinyu Wang: This will be the fourth time Amanda Anisimova will be competing in the Fourth Round at the Australian Open, but the American has yet to make it through to the Quarter Final.

Despite reaching the last two Grand Slam Finals, Amanda Anisimova will be fairly comfortable that the attention of the sports writers for the women's tournament in Melbourne have focused on other names. The World Number 4 will be happy to continue her surge in the tournament without having to deal with additional pressure and Amanda Anisimova is playing at a decent level.

Peaking too early in a Grand Slam event is always a concern for players, but it does feel like Amanda Anisimova has some gears to go through, although she may not necessarily need them in this Fourth Round clash.

At the end of this tournament, Xinyu Wang will be back inside the top 40 of the World Rankings and another upset in the Fourth Round would mean setting a new career best mark.

She beat the World Number 13 in the Third Round, but over the last twelve months, Xinyu Wang has come up short when facing top 20 Ranked opponents on the hard courts. To her credit, she did give Elina Svitolina something to think about in losing the Auckland Final before getting the better of Linda Noskova in the last Round at this tournament, but Wang had been pretty well beaten in other matches against top 20 Ranked opponents in the months prior to these last results.

Recent form cannot be dismissed and Xinyu Wang is dangerous playing with her current level of confidence, although the second serve is a vulnerability.

This has also been something of an issue for Amanda Anisimova in her three wins at the Australian Open, although the higher Ranked player has been very convincing when her first serve has landed. She has also been seeing the ball very well as proven by the strong returning numbers produced and that may give her the edge in this Fourth Round match and a chance to pull away and cover a big spread.

A competitive set will also be expected where Xinyu Wang is able to get enough from her own first serve, but the overall expectation is that Amanda Anisimova is able to exert her strengths on the Fourth Round match and she can find the breaks of serve that she will need to get over this line.

MY PICKS: Taylor Fritz @ 1.72 Bet365 (2 Units)
Jannik Sinner - 8.5 Games @ 1.72 Bet365 (2 Units)
Amanda Anisimova - 5.5 Games @ 1.95 Bet Vctor (2 Units)

Australian Open Update: 29-17, + 12 Units (94 Units Staked, + 12.77% Yield)

Monday, 1 September 2025

US Open Tennis Day 9 Picks 2025 (Monday 1st September)

It has been a busy day, but the focus is to get the Day 9 Picks out from the US Open.

The top players have continued to find their way into the business end of the tournament and that has to be exciting for all fans of the sport in the final Grand Slam of the year.

The drama will continue on Monday when the Quarter Final lineup is completed, but some of the matches have been priced up right on a tough margin and that leaves us with just two selections from the Day 9 schedule.


Jannik Sinner - 6.5 games v Alexander Bublik: There are not many players that can say they have given Jannik Sinner much to think about on a hard court, but Denis Shapovalov may have woken up with some regret having been moving into a position to secure an upset.

At 1-1 in sets, the Canadian moved into a 3-0 lead in the third set, but sparked Jannik Sinner into life and the World Number 1 won six straight games and continued the momentum into the fourth set.

In any Grand Slam run, even the very best players will have those matches that could easily derail them, but it is rare for those to have multiple lacklustre performances and expect to win a tournament.

With that in mind, Jannik Sinner should be a lot better in this Fourth Round match.

He will also be a little more focused knowing how awkward Alexander Bublik can be, especially as Jannik Sinner was beaten by the World Number 24 on the grass courts of Halle before the Italian won the Wimbledon title.

Alexander Bublik had an unexpected run at the French Open when reaching the Quarter Final and he will remember that it was Jannik Sinner who got the better of him on that day.

However, it should be noted that Alexander Bublik has used that run as motivation for plenty of successes in the last couple of months. Titles won on the clay courts over the last several weeks will have given him further confidence in the performances he is producing, and to the extent that Bublik has reached the Fourth Round at the US Open.

He has previously made it pretty clear that he does not enjoy the North American hard courts and Bublik skipped both Masters events in the build up to the US Open, but that has not slowed the momentum.

All five sets were needed for Alexander Bublik to finally get the better of Tommy Paul in the Third Round and that could be a potential problem. It wasn't a particularly long match, but it is the emotional back and forth that those five setters represent and the accumulation of fatigue that can see players struggle.

Prior to the US Open beginning, Alexander Bublik had a 7-10 record on the hard courts and his numbers will have to be far better than his usual level if he is going to push the top Seed and defending Champion.

The two wins that Alexander Bublik has over Jannik Sinner will give him some belief, but both were on grass courts that Sinner had not always been at his best before his own success at Wimbledon.

On this surface, Jannik Sinner should have too much for Alexander Bublik and he can cover what is a potentially awkward line.


Felix Auger-Aliassime-Andrey Rublev over 41.5 games: The upset of Alexander Zverev has just opened up a pathway to the US Open Semi Final and Felix Auger-Aliassime will be under the pressure of backing up that victory over the World Number 3.

There were signs of the confidence that Felix Auger-Aliassime is playing with in his run at Cincinnati, but even then, the manner of his loss to Jannik Sinner would have meant few people backing the Canadian to have a big impact in New York City.

He has dropped down the World Rankings, which means there are increased chances of having to face some of the top names earlier in the Grand Slam draw than would have been hoped. Credit has to be given to Felix Auger-Aliassime for playing with the intensity he did against Alexander Zverev with the match turning in the second set tie-breaker which was only just won by Auger-Aliassime.

The Fourth Round match is against an opponent who made hard work of his Third Round win, although Andrey Rublev did win.

In recent months the World Number 15 may not have had the mentality to battle through a match where things had not gone his way and so Andrey Rublev has to be ready to reach the Quarter Final at the US Open again.

Both players have very similar numbers on the hard courts, although the mental edge is clearly with Andrey Rublev who has won seven of the previous eight matches between the players. That includes two wins in 2025, one of those being on the hard courts, and so you can understand why the layers have made the Russian a slight favourite, despite similar levels of performance on the surface.

Felix Auger-Aliassime's sole win over Andrey Rublev has been on a hard court, while he will point out how competitive all of those matches have been.

Only one of the five hard courts matches between these two players has been won in straight sets and this has all of the makings of going at least four and potentially five.

Both are capable of rolling through the service games on the hard courts against the opponent they are facing and backing this Fourth Round match to surpass the total line looks the right approach.

Tie-breakers cannot be ruled out during this contest and just one of those would put the match on the way to a cover as long as each player takes a set, which looks pretty likely on current form.

MY PICKS: Jannik Sinner - 6.5 Games @ 1.72 William Hill (2 Units)
Felix Auger-Aliassime-Andrey Rublev Over 41.5 Games @ 1.91 William Hill (2 Units)

Monday, 7 July 2025

Wimbledon Tennis Day 9 Picks 2025 (Tuesday 8th July)

Personal time needed to be taken at the start of the tournament in Wimbledon and it feels like I've benefited from avoiding the carnage that took place through the first week of the third Grand Slam of the season.

In the main the top names in the men's draw have made it through to the last eight, although Jannik Sinner was very fortunate to come through his Fourth Round match with Grigor Dimitrov in the most unexpected of ways.

However, the WTA event is once again about as open as you can imagine and none of the remaining eight players should feel like this is not a huge opportunity for them to win a Grand Slam title. Unexpected Ladies Champions have become the norm at SW19 in recent years and, outside of Aryna Sabalenka, the same is likely to happen in 2025.

Iga Swiatek remains active in the draw, but her previous poor form on the grass means she remains vulnerable despite a strong run.


We are into the last eight of both draws and selections will be made from the final few days.

That begins with the Day 9 Picks from two of the four Quarter Final matches, which can be read below.


Taylor Fritz - 1.5 sets v Karen Khachanov: American tennis has seen plenty of those playing on the WTA Tour having success at the Majors, but over twenty years have passed since a male player has been able to pick up one of the big four titles.

One of the big hopes to break that run has been Taylor Fritz, but the Quarter Final Round had proven to be too much to handle with four exits at that stage being as good as it got. That was before the run to the US Open Final last year, but 2025 has been a real disappointment for Taylor Fritz having failed to reach the second week in Melbourne or Paris.

Two of the five Grand Slam Quarter Finals that have been reached by Taylor Fritz have been right here at Wimbledon and so it is no surprise to see him back in that Round. It backs up what has been a strong run on the grass over the last month with two titles picked up and Taylor Fritz will have plenty of belief in his tennis being good enough to win the title here on Sunday.

He has to be considered a strong favourite to beat Karen Khachanov, who has been slipping back in the World Rankings, but who deserves respect having been a former Quarter Finalist at Wimbledon in his own right. Decent runs had been produced in the build up to the 2025 tournament, but Karen Khachanov has also benefited from a number of upsets in his portion of the draw.

It has meant recording wins over players Ranked at Number 88, 147, 37 and 109 in his four wins at the tournament.

Karen Khachanov has perhaps made harder work than he should have to win his four matches at the tournament and he is going to have to serve better than he has at times if he is going to earn the upset.

Two previous wins over Taylor Fritz will give Karen Khachanov belief, but those were both recorded at a time when he would have been the higher Ranked player compared with the American. That has switched around ahead of this Quarter Final and you do feel the match will be won or lost on the racquet of the World Number 5.

Taylor Fritz has become one of the leading performers on the grass courts at this moment in time and that should see him find a way to come through in three or four sets. None of those will be easy to win, but Fritz can out-serve the World Number 20 and earn his first ever spot in the Wimbledon Semi Final.


Amanda Anisimova - 3.5 games v Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova: Back in 2019, a 17 year old Amanda Anisimova made a stunning run through to the Semi Final at the French Open and there were some huge expectations that would be heaped onto her shoulders.

At 20 years old, Amanda Anisimova made the Quarter Final at Wimbledon, but a year later she decided to take a break from tennis having mentioned potential burnout as a reason. Personal issues had taken a toll and the World Ranking slipped well outside the top 200, but the benefits can be seen in July 2025.

Just prior to Wimbledon, Amanda Anisimova reached her career best World Ranking just outside of the top 10 and at the end of this tournament she will be entering those positions for the first time. A run to the Queen's Club Final showed how comfortable her game translates onto the grass and Amanda Anisimova has battled through the draw where so many other Seeds have fallen.

This is going to be a tough Quarter Final against Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova who has reached the last eight at all four Grand Slams- her run to the Quarter Final here means the World Number 50 has reached the last eight at least twice in three of the four Grand Slams with an opportunity to complete the set at the US Open.

It is the eleventh time Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova has reached the Quarter Final at a Grand Slam event, although it should be noted that she has been beaten in nine of the last ten. Experience is one thing, but there will also be pressure on the 34 year old who may feel this open draw is the best opportunity she will have to win a maiden Grand Slam title.

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova has had to dig deep in the last two Rounds and this match up has proven to be a tough one for her in the past.

All three Tour matches between Pavlyuchenkova and Amanda Anisimova have ended in favour of the younger player, including both matches played in 2024. Those were both hard court matches, but the feeling is that the two players are going to want to challenge one another from the baseline in this one too.

Big serving is key to set things up for the heavy groundstrokes that both players can produce and the tournament numbers suggest Amanda Anisimova has been the more consistent on that front.

Amanda Anisimova will have to come through some tough moments, as she has in each of the last two Rounds, but the younger, fresher player may just out-hit Anastasia Pavyluchenkova again. In the two wins over this opponent last year, Amanda Anisimova was the superior server and her performances over the last month may just see her come through with a win and a cover.

MY PICKS: Taylor Fritz - 1.5 Sets @ 1.66 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Amanda Anisimova - 3.5 Games @ 1.87 Bet Victor (2 Units)

Sunday, 1 June 2025

French Open Tennis Day 9 Picks 2025 (Monday 2nd June)

The second Grand Slam of the season is pushing on towards crowning another Champion and the Quarter Final lineup is set to be confirmed at the end of Day 9.

There is every chance that the end of this tournament is going to be a lot of fun for the fans with some top names still chugging along nicely and some of the quality of the matches being seen has already begun to pick up.

It is another busy day in Paris, but the four women's Fourth Round matches look tough to call.

Alexander Zverev may be given a significant test by Tallon Griekspoor and Andrey Rublev is underrated by the layers- he is being given plenty of games and could cover in a losing effort against Jannik Sinner.

But the main leans that I would potentially target may feature the matches involving the last British interest in Paris and you can read my thoughts below.


Novak Djokovic - 7.5 games v Cameron Norrie: You have to say that very little form had been shown by Cameron Norrie and Novak Djokovic before both decided to head to Geneva for the final clay preparation ahead of the French Open. It was Novak Djokovic who won the title in Geneva, but Cameron Norrie also enjoyed a strong run and the confidence has seen both ease their way through to the second week in Paris.

This time a Quarter Final place at the French Open is on the line following the Semi Final match played between these players in Geneva.

On that occasion Novak Djokovic came through with a three set win and he went on to lift the title and the World Number 6 has backed that up with three wins at the French Open without dropping a set. Before the title win in Geneva, Novak Djokovic had been really struggling for his best level on the clay, but he has looked pretty comfortable back in Paris where the Serb won the Olympic Gold Medal last summer.

The draw has been a kind one to allow Novak Djokovic to ease his way into the tournament and the veteran will know that his own level will need to be raised if he is going to win another French Open title.

Credit has to be given to Cameron Norrie after coming through a tough opening match in five sets having looked like he was heading out of the tournament when down a break to Daniil Medvedev in the deciding set. He has not dropped a set in the last two Rounds and Norrie is playing with real confidence, although he will have to do the same as the First Round and beat this opponent for the first time.

At least he has won sets from Novak Djokovic previously, unlike against Daniil Medvedev, and that includes Cameron Norrie winning the first set in the 2022 Wimbledon Semi Final before losing in four.

However, Novak Djokovic has dominated the numbers in the previous meetings and that includes in both previous wins on the clay.

Last week he was able to break the Cameron Norrie serve four times and the former World Number 1 was under little pressure when it came to protecting his own serve. This will likely be competitive at times, but Djokovic can exert his qualities over the Fourth Round match and he may eventually pull clear of the British player as he progresses with a cover of the line set.


Jack Draper - 6.5 games v Alexander Bublik: The build up towards Wimbledon will begin this month and there are going to be plenty of expectations shouldered by Jack Draper when playing at his home Grand Slam.

Players like Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner may be leading the headlines on the ATP Tour, but World Number 5 Jack Draper is certainly capable of pushing those two and he has certainly developed well enough to look like a real contender here in Paris. Clay court tennis results over the last several weeks can only have given Jack Draper confidence and he should have enough to move past Alexander Bublik in this Fourth Round match.

Take nothing away from Alexander Bublik having already beaten a top player in Alex De Minaur and from 2-0 down in sets too. That will have given him plenty of confidence and it has only been twelve months since Bublik was right in amongst the top names on the Tour.

He used the momentum to cruise past Henrique Rocha in the Third Round and Alexander Bublik has a dangerous game when at his very best.

In reality that game is much more suited to other surfaces rather than the clay and so this has already been a very positive tournament for a player that had been sliding down the World Rankings. This is a step up compared with some of the players Alexander Bublik has beaten on the clay this year, Alex De Minaur aside, and even that Second Round match looked to have gotten away from him before the Australian's capitulation.

The last two matches between the players have been dominated by Jack Draper, although the Alexander Bublik serve has kept him in the match. However, they were also matches on grass courts and hard courts and those are much more likely to be aid the serve compared with the clay, which likely means Jack Draper can put Bublik under even more pressure.

This is a big line, but Jack Draper's Third Round win was impressive and he can back that up in his bid to reach the French Open Quarter Final for the first time.

MY PICKS: Novak Djokovic - 7.5 Games
Jack Draper - 6.5 Games

Sunday, 19 January 2025

Australian Open Tennis Day 9 Picks 2025 (Monday 20th January)

Since the beginning of this tournament, I have constantly looked back on the Australian Open 2024 as the low point of the Tennis Picks and the focus of making sure something that like that does not happen again.

The selection process has been a bit tighter in January 2025, but there were enough positives from the remaining three Grand Slam tournaments and the Tour Finals to believe that there was not a lot wrong with the processes taken before making the Picks.

I've always said you need some luck with the tight margins that represent any tennis match on the Tour.

In most cases it comes down to one or two points in a set to really dictate the final score- that may be taking a single Break Point or saving multiple Break Points, or as simple as a net cord changing the momentum within a match.

With that in mind, the Australian Open 2024 will long live in the memory as the absolute worst performance and it is something I will be looking to avoid happening again.


The New Year and the first Grand Slam of the season has really been the opposite of the tournament in 2024 and four winners from four selections on Day 8 has kept the total moving in a positive direction. The only pick that didn't return was when Jack Draper called it quits in his match with Carlos Alcaraz as the Spaniard was closing in on a win and a cover too, something that the British player is perhaps earning a reputation for doing when things are not going his way.

However, the win includes a couple of odds against prices, which can build the momentum and it would be a real disappointment if this is not a tournament that kicks off the 2025 Tennis Picks with a positive return.

In saying that, this is not the time to pat yourself on the back and instead the focus is to try and win every day.

On Day 9 the Fourth Round is completed as we reach the business end of the tournament with some top names and favourites still involved with real ambitions of winning this Grand Slam.

There are some tight, competitive matches that look too tight to call one way or the other, but the there are three selections which can be read below.


Jannik Sinner - 6.5 games v Holger Rune: Winning both Grand Slam tournaments played on the hard courts, the ATP Tour Finals and plenty of other Masters events on the surface means Jannik Sinner is the player to beat in the men's draw in Melbourne.

He benefits from being on the other side of the draw to the likes of Novak Djokovic, Carlos Alcaraz and Alexander Zverev, but there is still a cloud hanging over the World Number 1 due to a failed drugs test from last year which has yet to be completely cleared up.

The fact that Sinner is able to focus on his tennis is testament to his mental resiliency, especially as he was faced with plenty of criticism ahead of the US Open, which he ended up winning.

Three wins at the Australian Open have come in routine fashion and Jannik Sinner will go into this Fourth Round match as a considerable favourite.

Of course Jannik Sinner will have a real respect for Holger Rune, the World Number 13 who was as high as World Number 4 eighteen months ago and looks to be coming out of a difficult patch of form. The Dane is still only 21 years old and has massive potential for big successes on the Tour, but Rune perhaps hit an early wall in his career and early losses at both the Australian Open and US Open last year would have stung.

Winning this match would push Holger Rune back into the top ten of the World Rankings, but he has not been the most convincing player entering the Fourth Round. Putting three wins on the board will build some confidence, but Holger Rune has been edging some fine margins and he has played fourteen of fifteen potential sets to move through the draw.

The time spent on the court is not a massive concern, but the mental effort to get through a couple of five setters, including in the Third Round, has to take a toll.

This is also a big step up for Holger Rune, who will be motivated by the challenge, and Jannik Sinner has won their last two matches on the Tour. Neither has been comfortable, but the last match was in April 2024 and the World Number 1 continues to grow his aura on the court.

Both are serving well, although the edge is with the top Seed, but the big difference may be the ability on the return and that is where Jannik Sinner looks the stronger player.

Make no mistake, this is a big spread and Holger Rune is capable of testing Jannik Sinner.

However, the feeling is that Sinner is fresher and looks to be just increasing his level as we move into the second week of this Grand Slam and he may end up pulling away from Holger Rune over the course of a three or four set match. One of those sets could be won with a couple of breaks of serve, and that may be enough to push Jannik Sinner past the line set.


Daria Kasatkina v Emma Navarro: Only two places separated these two top ten Ranked players ahead of the tournament and the layers are finding it hard to put much more between them when it comes to the prices for this Fourth Round match.

It is Emma Navarro who is the higher Ranked of the two players, but the American has not really impressed in Melbourne.

The heart is not going to be criticised though and Emma Navarro has found a way through in matches where she has been struggling and that will give her plenty of confidence. We are moving into the second week at this Grand Slam, which means the competition is expected to increase, so there is some pressure on Navarro to lift her level.

Next up is Daria Kasatkina, the World Number 10 and a player who is going to hold onto one of those spots barring an upset and Madison Keys winning the event.

She has been a dominant winner in all three matches in Melbourne, but Daria Kasatkina has not played anyone inside the top 20 of the World Rankings and that has to be factored in. Take nothing away from the performances, but it should be pointed out that Daria Kasatkina has a 4-4 record against top 20 opponents over the last twelve months and is just 0-2 when it comes to facing fellow top ten opponents on this surface.

Emma Navarro has needed three sets in each of her victories in Melbourne, and it is the slightly better returning numbers compared to her overall numbers in that category which have helped her through to the Fourth Round.

It will certainly give the American hope, especially as she is facing an opponent in Daria Kasatkina who does not have the most intimidating of serves.

The World Number 10 is a very good return player though and Emma Navarro has not really been getting enough out of her serve to ever think she will be comfortable.

Expect plenty of rallies and breaks galore, but the feeling is that Daria Kasatkina's current level may just see her outlast an opponent who has already played a lot of tennis over the last week.


Iga Swiatek - 7.5 games v Eva Lys: She is only 23 years old, but Eva Lys would have arrived in Australia hoping to have an impact at a warm up event and then earn a place in the main draw at the Australian Open to earn some valuable Ranking points.

She would have admitted some disappointment having been beaten in Brisbane in the opening Qualifying Round before Eva Lys was able to make it through two matches in the Australian Open Qualifiers. It was not to be as the German was beaten in the Third Qualifying Round and Eva Lys admitted that she had booked a flight out of the country and back onto the slog of the Tour.

The World Number 128 was given a reprieve by earning a Lucky Loser spot in the main draw in Melbourne and Lys has taken full advantage.

Fortune has been on her side having faced a Qualifier in the First Round of the main draw and Eva Lys has won two more matches, but against opponents Ranked 69 or lower. She still had to win the matches though and Eva Lys will be entering the top 100 for the first time at the end of this tournament, which means direct entry into further Grand Slam tournaments and an opportunity to play bigger events than she has been fighting through.

It has been all positive for Eva Lys, but she is going to have to raise her level significantly in this Fourth Round match on Monday when taking on World Number 2 Iga Swiatek.

A flawless performance saw Iga Swiatek drop just a single game in her crushing win over former US Open Champion Emma Raducanu and the Polish player has admitted that she feels much stronger than when preparing at the United Cup.

Iga Swiatek has to be really happy with her level having beaten three opponents Ranked 61 or higher, and she has dominated behind serve. In the last two matches she has not even faced a Break Point, while Swiatek has won 53% of return points played in the Australian Open.

Her level is considerably higher than someone like Eva Lys and Iga Swiatek looks to be really focused right now.

As long as that continues to be the case, Iga Swiatek should dominate this match and there is every chance she can avoid giving too much away to her opponent. This is a massive line, one that is more along the lines that the men are asked to cover in a best of five set match, not a best of three, but Iga Swiatek is playing at such a standard that she may just have the capabilities of securing another one-sided victory in the tournament.

Their sole previous meeting was on Iga Swiatek's favoured clay courts in 2022 and Eva Lys was able to win just two games on the day- she may double that total here, but even that may not be enough to prevent the Number 2 Seed from easing through to the Quarter Final.

MY PICKS: Jannik Sinner - 6.5 Games @ 1.72 Bet365 (2 Units)
Daria Kasatkina @ 1.91 Paddy Power (2 Units)
Iga Swiatek - 7.5 Games @ 2.20 Paddy Power (2 Units)

Australian Open Update: 21-7, + 18.98 Units (53 Units Staked, + 35.81% Yield)