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Showing posts with label Ladies Final Pick. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ladies Final Pick. Show all posts

Saturday, 11 July 2026

Wimbledon Tennis Day 13 Pick- Women's Final 2026 (Saturday 11th July)

It is never easy seeing a great Champion lose that half a step, but that looks to be the situation for Novak Djokovic and Father Time looks to have caught up with him.

This leaves Alexander Zverev and Jannik Sinner as the last two Men standing at Wimbledon in 2026, but on Saturday the focus is on the Ladies title which will be won by a Czech player yet again.

Both players should be full of confidence ahead of the Final and the anticipation is that we are going to have another close battle between two players who have already won a title on the grass this season.


Karolina Muchova-Linda Noskova over 22.5 games: Wimbledon has always had some brilliant Czech Champions and they are going to be crowning another in the Ladies tournament on Saturday.

We are guaranteed to have a third different Czech Ladies Champion in four years after Marketa Vondrousova and Barbora Krejcikova won in 2023 and 2024, while the likes of Jana Novotna and Petra Kvitova are other former Champions without mentioning Martina Navratilova (who was born in Czechoslovakia before switching nationality to the United States).

Both Karolina Muchova and Linda Noskova are top ten Seeds in the tournament and they have managed to avoid the pitfalls that saw the draw open up as the top players went tumbling out of the event. The numbers produced by the two players will give them plenty of belief that they can become the latest Grand Slam Champion on the Tour, while Karolina Muchova and Linda Noskova both won warm up tournaments on the grass to underline their ability to play on the surface.

One previous match between these two friends was played at the US Open last year when Karolina Muchova won in three sets and this match is going to feel like it is being played in line with a hard court considering the heat that has been in London over the last fortnight. Some of the grip on the grass is still different, but first strike tennis is going to be important and both Muchova and Noskova will know that.

They visited Centre Court together in the hours before each won Semi Final matches and you have to feel that the fact they are close off the court should help the pair settle on the court.

It is a Grand Slam Final though and so nerves have to be expected.

Karolina Muchova fans will have some concern about the way she was holding her stomach at the end of her Semi Final win over Coco Gauff, although it did feel like nerves were getting on top of her rather than an injury that will affect her in the Final. However, it is something to consider, especially as Muchova will not want to be hindered when it comes to the serve.

She will have to serve well to just stay with Linda Noskova, who has been serving really well throughout the tournament and who overpowered Marta Kostyuk in her own Semi Final.

The superior variation is going to come from Karolina Muchova, but Linda Noskova is capable of ripping big shots and that is going to be her approach to try and get on top of rallies as soon as she can.

The Covid pandemic meant Wimbledon was not played in 2020 and three of the last five Ladies Finals since then have all gone the distance- it would be a stunning turn of events if it ends 6-0, 6-0 as this Final did twelve months ago and instead this looks like a Final that will have some real swings in momentum.

Each player winning a set would not be a surprise, but a closely fought two set match may still see this total games mark overcome, as it was when Karolina Muchova beat Naomi Osaka in straight sets in the Quarter Final.

Picking a winner is tough, but perhaps the experience of Karolina Muchova will eventually tell, although Linda Noskova has played well throughout this grass court season and the 21 year old is unlikely to go away very quickly.

MY PICK: Karolina Muchova-Linda Noskova Over 22.5 Games @ 1.80 Bet365 (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 40-34, - 1.34 Units (146 Units Staked, - 1% Yield)

Friday, 11 July 2025

Wimbledon Tennis Day 13 Pick 2025- Women's Final (Saturday 12th July)

At the time of writing, the Men's Semi Final matches have yet to be completed, but the Ladies Final is know and will take centre stage on Saturday, albeit at a later start time than usual.

That may help as the main heat of the day is avoided and it should be a decent Final between two players who may not have felt they were going to be involved on the final Saturday when the tournament began.


Iga Swiatek - 3.5 games v Amanda Anisimova: Anyone who picked this as the Ladies Final at the start of the Wimbledon tournament would deserve a lot of praise, but to most, it is a surprising match up to determine the Champion of the third Grand Slam of the season.

Out of the two players, there is no doubt that former World Number 1 Iga Swiatek has the experience having won multiple French Open titles and also the US Open. She would become the only active player on the Tour that has won Grand Slams on all three surfaces if she can pick up the title on Saturday, although the run has surprised considering how little success Iga Swiatek has previously enjoyed at Wimbledon.

Prior to this season, Iga Swiatek had only reached the Quarter Final once as her best effort, but she has looked completely at ease on the surface having played well at Bad Homburg in the last warm up event on the grass.

The only 'negative' to her run through to the Final is that Iga Swiatek has only beaten one player Ranked inside the top 20 and you do have to wonder if that is going to be a potential problem. Yes, she has not really been pushed by opponents and the quality behind the serve has been really impressive, but it could also mean Swiatek is not as well prepared to play the Final as she would have been by beating stronger players.

Being prepared to face some of the best feels more comfortable for Amanda Anisimova having already seen off the World Number 1 in the Semi Final.

Strong performances on the grass ahead of Wimbledon will have given the American a lot of confidence, and that has shone through at tough moments with the win over Sabalenka meaning Amanda Anisimova has needed three sets in half of the six victories put on the board. However, that also means she will not be too concerned if this match gets tight having shown her character throughout the last fortnight.

It should be noted that Amanda Anisimova had enjoyed a pretty comfortable draw before the win over Aryna Sabalenka, but had made harder work of her run compared with her opponent in this Final.

There is a lot to like about the Anisimova game- she has a decent serve and aggressive groundstrokes which makes her dangerous on the return. The margins have felt tighter in her wins though and it is going to be tougher for Amanda Anisimova if she is not able to get plenty of first serves in play and try and shift the pressure onto Iga Swiatek.

The latter has been serving really well and looks to be about as comfortable as she has ever looked on the grass.

With the superior experience of Grand Slam Finals, Iga Swiatek may not make the mistakes that Aryna Sabalenka felt she did in the Semi Final and that could see her get the better of the lower Ranked player.

MY PICK: Iga Swiatek - 3.5 Games @ 1.83 Bet365 (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 5-4, + 0.52 Units (18 Units Staked, + 2.87% Yield)

Saturday, 13 July 2024

Wimbledon Tennis Day 13 Pick- Ladies Final (Saturday 13th July)

We have gotten the Men's Final that most would have hoped for when the Wimbledon tournament began, but the unexpected Ladies Final is first up this weekend.

Once again it has been a wide open event and two players with Grand Slam Final experience will be meeting, even if picking both Finalists would have been a challenge beyond the vast majority of fans.

Going back to my Day 1 Picks, the players in the outright market that were highlighted outside of the obvious favourites included Lorenzo Musetti at 100-1 and Jasmine Paolini at 66-1.

While the Italian men's challenger came up short, those who did back the latter will be in a very strong position come Saturday.


Barbora Krejcikova - 1.5 games v Jasmine Paolini: The last time these two players met on the Tour, Barbora Krejcikova was the World Number 128 and Jasmine Paolini was the World Number 156. That match was in the First Qualifying Round at the 2018 Australian Open, but suffice to say this is a much bigger stage for the two players to be competing on in 2024.

When they play one another on Saturday in the Wimbledon Final, both players are guaranteed to be in the top 14 of the World Rankings when the new numbers are released on Monday. It is Jasmine Paolini, the new World Number 5, who is the higher Ranked, but Barbora Krejcikova has been given the edge in the Final by those putting the odds together.

You cannot argue with that as the two surprising former French Open Finalists meet- Barbora Krejcikova was able to win the title when reaching the Final, while Jasmine Paolini came up a little short against Iga Swiatek last month, but being a former Grand Slam Champion is certainly going to be a potential factor in favour of Krejcikova.

Winning the title would actually push Barbora Krejcikova back into the top 10 and she will certainly feel she has been playing strong tennis this week.

The tournament did start slowly and there were nerves early in the Semi Final, but the way the Czech player was able to turn things around against Elena Rybakina will serve her well. The match up in this one is very different with Jasmine Paolini not having the kind of power that the former Wimbledon Champion possesses, and certainly a stronger defender, but beating a former Champion will certainly make Barbora Krejcikova play with some confidence.

Both players are happy to play in the Ladies Doubles at Grand Slam level and so there is a feeling that this is going to be a fun match to watch.

A key for Barbora Krejcikova is to serve well and try and keep Jasmine Paolini under pressure, although the Italian has continued to play with the confidence and character to never be out of a match.

She has turned around some tough moments throughout this Wimbledon run and has become the first women's player to reach both the French Open and Wimbledon Final in the same season since Serena Williams eight years ago. Any time you are in a conversation with Williams, you know you are doing something right and Jasmine Paolini has shown her fortitude in her wins over Madison Keys and Donna Vekic when things looked to have moved beyond her.

In saying that, Paolini has perhaps benefited from both of those players picking up injuries during the match which changed the momentum of the contest. That was certainly the case against Madison Keys who led 5-2 in the deciding set and had two opportunities to serve out the match.

Jasmine Paolini is a fighter though and her movement around the court will extract errors- the serve can be a vulnerability and it is a Final that could really come down to the Barbora Krejcikova racquet and how much control she has on her unforced error count.

Keeping those as contained as possible is key and it does feel like the edge is with the former French Open Champion over the 2024 Finalist.

There are likely to be a number of breaks of serve and this might be the third Wimbledon Ladies Final in four years that needs a deciding set. The narrow edge has to be with Barbora Krejcikova who may be able to get through a couple of service games with a bit more ease and that may just build enough pressure on Jasmine Paolini to see the Italian come up slightly short in a second Grand Slam Final in a row.

MY PICKS: Barbora Krejcikova - 1.5 Games @ 1.87 Bet Victor (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 20-21, - 7.18 Units (82 Units Staked, - 8.76% Yield)