My reasonings are pretty simple and I will lay some of those down in this thread before updating the totals for the tournament after a 2-3 finish on Tuesday.
The Daniil Medvedev injury picked up in his win over Alexander Zverev will have had twenty-four hours to settle down and I just don't know what shape he will be in. He has a strong match up against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, but Medvedev has not enjoyed this time in Indian Wells and may well feel he can rest his ankle for a week before he is likely to be scheduled for a match at the Miami Masters.
If he does go, injuries do have a funny way of clearing up and I think there is too much uncertainty to make a pick either way.
In the first ATP Quarter Final, I really like the way both Cameron Norrie and Frances Tiafoe are playing and it has all of the makings of a titanic struggle. My narrow lean is with the American and the start on the handicap, but Norrie's dominant win over Andrey Rublev has maintained the momentum behind his strong start to 2023 and this could be really close, as the handicap line suggests.
With the two WTA Quarter Finals, the first one between Coco Gauff and Aryna Sabalenka could be fascinating to watch when you think of the 2023 form both have had on the hard courts. I am not surprised that Sabalenka is the favourite, but Gauff has won three of the previous four matches against her and is playing at a very high level herself.
Once again, the line is one that is right where it should be and I can see the match going either way, although, again, I would lean with the American as a narrow underdog.
Finally we will get down to Maria Sakkari and Petra Kvitova- both have spent a lot of time on the court to win Fourth Round matches, but Sakkari may hold the mental edge and did crush Kvitova here last season. This feels like a match that should favour the Greek player, but the two plus hours spent on court in each of her three wins here could have built up enough fatigue for Kvitova to take advantage.
I will hopefully have selections rom the remaining Quarter Finals to be played on Thursday, but I will sit on my hands on Wednesday.
Indian Wells Update: 21-13, + 9.97 Units (69 Units Staked, + 14.45% Yield)
No comments:
Post a Comment