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Saturday, 11 March 2023

Indian Wells Tennis Picks 2023 (March 11th)

The early start on Friday was pretty miserable for the Tennis Picks as we saw those selection go 0-2, although a retirement prevented falling into a 0-3 hole.

Thankfully the later Picks swept through with four straight winners and that means three winning days in a row and a very good start to the Indian Wells tournament.

On Saturday the Second Round continues in what should be warm and much drier conditions in Indian Wells as the remaining top Seeds get onto the court for the first time.


Andy Murray - 4.5 games v Radu Albot: Having a day of rest between matches will be important for Andy Murray and he has benefited from the withdrawal of a Seeded player in the Second Round. It means he will be facing a Lucky Loser in Radu Albot rather than Pablo Carreno Busta and this is important as Murray looks to rebuild his World Ranking with a much more winnable match in front of him.

We are still not seeing the consistency of old from Murray who dropped a set in the First Round, despite looking the stronger player, and he will want to try and make 'easier' work of this opponent.

Doing so won't be easy, but Radu Albot was beaten in the Qualifiers and his record is just 3-8 on the hard courts against top 100 Ranked opponents over the last twelve months. In fact he has lost eight of his last nine matches against top 100 Ranked opponents on this surface and Radu Albot does not have the best numbers in those matches either.

I mentioned in my thread a couple of days ago that Andy Murray has not always made life comfortable when playing those lower down the Rankings, although he does tend to wear them down and pull away in those matches.

He was pushed very hard by Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the opening set and the third set, but Andy Murray showed what he can do in the second set and I think his tennis is still going to be too strong for a pretty average Radu Albot.

This is a big enough spread, but I think Murray showed he can cover the line a couple of days ago and I think he can do that here.

MY PICKS: Andy Murray - 4.5 Games @ 2.10 Paddy Power (2 Units)
Tommy Paul - 3.5 Games @ 1.72 Bet365 (2 Units)
Taylor Fritz-Ben Shelton Over 22.5 Games @ 2.00 Paddy Power (2 Units)

Indian Wells Update: 11-6, + 6.39 Units (35 Units Staked, + 18.26% Yield)

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