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NFL Week 11 Picks 2024 (Thursday 14th November-Monday 18th November)

It was the week that I had been fearing for a while, but in each of the last few weeks I have mentioned that continuing to produce winning e...

Friday, 26 April 2019

Weekend Football Picks (April 26-28)

The Premier League is down to the last three weekends of the season and that means we are into the final stretch when it comes to the Premier League title race, the battle for the Champions League spots behind the top two teams and also the final relegation spot having seen Huddersfield Town and Fulham already demoted to the Championship.

This could also be the weekend when it is confirmed that Norwich City are going to be replacing one of those teams and Sheffield United will be virtually a Premier League club too if they can beat bottom team Ipswich Town at Bramall Lane on Saturday.


It is a big time of the season for clubs up and down the country, but it is also the final push for Fantasy players with three GameWeeks left before the season draws to a close. At this stage there really isn't a lot you can do if you are miles behind in your Leagues, but there is still time for late swings if you get it right.

My problem for the majority of people chasing is that your teams begin to have a similar feel to those around you in the League and finding the differentials is the key. With that in mind my Fantasy Advice this week is going to focus on those players I feel can make a difference and who are not heavily owned in the Fantasy game.

So it is unlikely you are going to see Raheem Sterling, Mohamed Salah, Sergio Aguero, Eden Hazard in the section below the thoughts about the Premier League games. Instead I will search out those I think could see points clawed back by those who are looking to get back into their Leagues over the next three weeks.


Liverpool v Huddersfield Town Pick: At half time in the Manchester derby on Wednesday Liverpool fans might have been very comfortable with the way things were going, but Manchester City's strong second half led to a 0-2 win and a place back at the top of the Premier League table with three League games remaining for both clubs.

Right now the only thing Liverpool can think about doing is winning their remaining three games and hoping Manchester City slip up when they face Burnley, Leicester City or Brighton. Over the next two weeks Liverpool get to play first so they can at least put some pressure on Manchester City by continuing to overtake them in the League table and I would be hugely surprised if they don't do that this week.

A home game with Huddersfield Town on a Friday night is the perfect spot for Liverpool to earn a comfortable win and then prepare for Barcelona in the Champions League Semi Final. Huddersfield Town will look to be tough to beat and try and dig in, but this is a team who have struggled at this level and anything other than a relatively straight-forward Liverpool win would be a massive surprise.

It does mean finding an angle for the pick is very difficult as Liverpool are being asked to cover a three goal Asian Handicap. They can very much do that, but I do think Liverpool could bring off key players once they go 2-0 up as they begin to focus on the Champions League and I think the mark set by the layers is right on the money.

The angle I recommended when Tottenham Hotspur hosted Huddersfield Town is not really an option either- where Spurs were odds against to win with a clean sheet, Liverpool are very short odds on to do the same.

My belief is that Liverpool are going to be looking to make a very fast start to this fixture and making sure they are in a position to win the game without expending too much mental and physical energy. At Anfield they have managed to get their noses in front in games pretty early over the last couple of months and they had scored inside twenty minutes in 4 in a row at Anfield before needing second half goals to beat Chelsea.

In 3 of those games Liverpool had been leading by the twenty minute mark and they can be backed to be doing the same on Friday at odds against. To be fair to Huddersfield Town they have been making solid enough starts in their recent away games despite eventually beginning to concede plenty of goals.

Even Tottenham Hotspur needed the 24th minute to score their opener against them in the 4-0 win earlier this month, but I think Liverpool will want to remind Manchester City that they haven't lost hope in the Premier League title race. That should see the players come out a bit quicker than Tottenham Hotspur's much changed team did and I will look for Liverpool to be leading by the twenty minute mark.

Fantasy Star: Roberto Firmino- was rested in the away Leg at Porto so I imagine he is one of the fresher of the Liverpool attackers. Missed a huge chance last week against Cardiff City, but scored home and away against Huddersfield Town last season.

Alternative: Virgil Van Dijk- a threat from set pieces and every chance of yet another clean sheet at Anfield.


Tottenham Hotspur v West Ham United Pick: Tuesday night was proving to be a very frustrating night for Tottenham Hotspur as they struggled to break down a disciplined Brighton team. Some poor composure in the final third and some misfortune looked to be leading to two more points being dropped by a team who were chasing the top four positions in the Premier League.

The late goal was a huge boost for Tottenham Hotspur as they continued their winning run in their new Stadium and they will feel this fixture is perhaps going to be an easier one to deal with.

There is a real rivalry between Tottenham Hotspur and West Ham United that may make a mockery of that statement, but I think Manuel Pellegrini's men won't be able to defend as well as Brighton did on Tuesday. West Ham United have been conceding plenty of goals in recent fixtures as the players have perhaps lost a touch of focus and The Hammers have conceded two or more goals in 7 of their last 9 away games in all competitions.

Last season they did earn a draw at Wembley Stadium in the Premier League and also beat Tottenham Hotspur in the League Cup, but the two games played this season at the London Stadium have been won by Spurs.

Mauricio Pochettino's team selection could give West Ham United a chance, but I think the importance of making sure a top four spot is all but secured before the Champions League Semi Final will mean a strong team is selected. With the spaces likely to be much more open in the final third than what was faced against Brighton, I think Tottenham Hotspur are going to create much better chances than they fashioned on Tuesday.

Slightly better finishing will give Tottenham Hotspur a chance to win this by a comfortable margin. West Ham United have lost 6 of their last 9 away games by two or more goal margins and while I do think they will be highly motivated by the rivalry, I also think this team are perhaps already thinking about what the future will hold for them and the focus may not be where it should be.

Backing Tottenham Hotspur to win and cover the Asian Handicap and go into their Champions League Semi Final with some momentum is my selection.

Fantasy Star: Hueng-Min Son- Tottenham Hotspur could make changes with the Champions League Semi Final in mind, but Son is suspended for the First Leg so very likely a starter on Saturday.

Alternative: Felipe Anderson- if West Ham United are going to become the first team to score at the new Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and then earn the upset, Felipe Anderson is going to have to be inspirational. 


Crystal Palace v Everton Pick: There is more on the line for Everton than there is for Crystal Palace in this Premier League fixture, but that may actually aid the game and help it produce some entertainment for the neutrals tuning in.

One of the big problems Crystal Palace have had at home all season is an inability to find the best way to break teams down, but that should not be an issue in this one. With Everton likely trying to get forward and score goals, The Eagles could have room to operate on the counter attack where they really are at their most dangerous.

Everton are chasing 7th place in the Premier League which could be rewarded with a place in the Europa League next season. That ambition will mean needing to get forward and create chances which will leave them vulnerable defensively as they have been for much of the season.

I do wonder if Crystal Palace have a mental block to overcome too with just 14 home goals scored heading towards the end of the season, but they have scored at least once in their last 9 at home in all competitions. Add in the issues Everton have had at the back and I do think the home team will have their chances.

However I would very much think Everton can continue to create chances as they have been in recent fixtures and they should be full of confidence after the result in the win over Manchester United. The loss of Richarlison is a blow, but Everton have enough in the final third to cause problems for a Crystal Palace team who have conceded two or more goals in 3 of their last 4 at home and who are missing significant defensive players.

In recent years Crystal Palace versus Everton fixtures have not really produced fireworks, but both teams can get on the scoreboard in this one. With nothing to lose for Crystal Palace, I would expect them to try and keep this game open while Everton will be chasing three points and so perhaps doing the same and a stretched game may produce three or more goals at a decent looking price.

Fantasy Star: Wilfried Zaha- could be playing one of his final home games for Crystal Palace and always a big threat for them.

Alternative: Gylfi Sigurdsson- Everton were surprisingly beaten by Fulham in their last away game, but the Icelandic midfielder continues to be a huge threat for them as shown when scoring in the win over Manchester United.


Fulham v Cardiff City Pick: There will be some disappointment in the home ranks that this match does not mean more to Fulham having had relegation confirmed, but Scott Parker's men come into this Premier League fixture in about as positive a frame of mind as at any time this season. Wins over Everton and Bournemouth without conceding a goal is a huge achievement for Fulham, although they have been riding their luck a little bit as far as the defensive clean sheets are concerned.

More positive is the attacking play that have led to chances being created and I think that makes Fulham a dangerous opponent with nothing to lose in this one.

Neil Warnock's team have much more on the line as they are looking to close the gap to Brighton in 17th place in the Premier League table and with games running out. Cardiff City will look at the next two fixtures against Fulham and Crystal Palace as the chance to earn six points and doing that may be good enough to keep them from the drop.

The inferior goal difference may cost Cardiff City at the end of the season, but for now they have to concentrate on trying to put some pressure on Brighton by winning at Craven Cottage before The Seagulls kick off their fixture with Newcastle United.

Cardiff City have to be confident of securing a result here considering they recently won 0-2 at Brighton and have also beaten another relegation rival Southampton away from home. They haven't been creating a lot of chances, but Cardiff City have been efficient and they will believe they can do the same against a Fulham team who have not defended that well.

However the bigger issue may be keeping Fulham from scoring and the amount of chances the home team have been creating in their last few games has to be respected. Both teams scoring will not be a surprise and recent history has shown that to be the case more often than not when these team have met each other.

The importance of the three points for Cardiff City could keep the game more open than it would have been on another day as Fulham will be looking to keep their run of wins going too. Fulham have nothing to lose so can take chances and I think both teams will hit the net and the situation should lead to opportunities to see three or more goals shared out between these teams on the day.

Fantasy Star: Victor Camarasa- Cardiff City will need the Spanish midfielder to be at his creative best as they look to escape the bottom three.

Alternative: Ryan Babel- has been in good form for a Fulham team who have won back to back Premier League games. Could punish Cardiff City with his pace if the visitors need to chase the game.


Southampton v Bournemouth Pick: There is still a little bit of work for Southampton to do to ensure they are playing in the Premier League again next season. After dropping two points thanks to a last minute equaliser conceded during the week at Vicarage Road, Southampton are still edging towards safety with one more win guaranteeing their place in the top flight.

They will believe they can earn that this weekend as they face injury hit Bournemouth who have been pretty terrible away from home since November. The Cherries have won 2 of their last 3 on their travels, but one was at Huddersfield Town and the other was a strange day at Brighton, but Bournemouth have been beaten in 11 of their last 13 away from home.

Now they have to face a Southampton team who have been much improved at St Mary’s under Ralph Hasenhuttl. The side have won 3 of their last 4 here and have found a way to score plenty of goals in front of their own fans and I do think that is going to make the difference for them here.

Creating chances has not been an issue under Hasenhuttl, but the finishing has perhaps let Southampton down. I expect they are going to have the chances to win this fixture, but it can be difficult to predict whether they are going to show the composure that has perhaps been lacking all through the season.

I believe that is going to be an issue they try and resolve in the summer and they can guarantee Premier League survival with a win on Saturday. Southampton are facing a Bournemouth team who are offering up plenty of chances and they have beaten their south coast rivals in 2 of the 3 Premier League games played here since Bournemouth were promoted to the top flight.

I do think Southampton will need to score at least twice when you think of the defensive issues they have had and Bournemouth are dangerous going forward. Backing the home team to win a fixture containing two or more goals is the selection here.

Fantasy Star: Nathan Redmond- I was going to select Shane Long here after he scored for the third game out of four, but he has a slight injury concern. Nathan Redmond has some strong underlying stats and scored twice in the last game at St Mary's.

Alternative: Callum Wilson- not really been the same player since an injury earlier in the season, but played well in Bournemouth's last away game with a goal and two assists. Should have chances against this Southampton defence.


Watford v Wolves Pick: They may have huffed and puffed without blowing down the Brighton house last weekend, but Wolves showed there is plenty left in the lungs with their destruction of Arsenal on Wednesday night. That has moved them back in control of 7th place in the Premier League which may yet come with a Europa League spot, but this weekend revenge may be on the mind of the players.

Wolves have been beaten twice by Watford this season, but it is the second of those in the FA Cup Semi Final which would have hurt the most. On that day Wolves led 2-0, but somehow managed to allow Watford to score twice in the final ten minutes and then go on and win in Extra Time to book their place in the Final in May.

It won't make up for that defeat earlier this month, but Wolves would love to get one over on Watford and move clear of their hosts who are a point behind in the League table.

Both teams will look to get the ball down and play their attacking football and I think this could pick up from where the FA Cup Semi Final left off. The attacking players on the pitch will want to get forward and score goals and I think the managers will encourage them to express themselves in a fixture that does have some importance attached to it with both clubs going for the highest finish in the League table as is possible.

Wolves have not been the same attacking threat away from home as they have been in front of their own fans. They have also struggled for results with 3 losses in their last 4 away Premier League games, but Watford have looked far from watertight at the back and I do think the visitors will have their opportunities in this one.

However I also believe Watford have shown enough of an attacking threat to earn the victory on the day and they will believe they can score the goals they need to do that. In the last couple of games at Vicarage Road they have created chances without showing the composure to finish them off, but I can see Watford being more focused with the memory of Raul Jimenez's celebration in the FA Cup Semi Final still something that will be getting under their skin.

Both teams can get on the scoreboard as they did in the FA Cup Semi Final and I am going to back three or more goals to be shared out at what looks a big price.

Fantasy Star: Gerard Deulofeu- his two goals in the FA Cup Semi Final helped Watford beat Wolves and he could haunt the visitors again.

Alternative: Raul Jimenez- hasn't scored since the FA Cup Semi Final and will be looking to break his duck. Needs to be an inspiration if Wolves are going to end their poor away run.


Brighton v Newcastle United Pick: The second live game from the Premier League on Saturday comes from the Amex Stadium and it would be a huge surprise if we are going to be offered up a goal-glut when Brighton host Newcastle United.

The visitors do get to come to the south coast and play with some freedom as back to back wins have made sure they are going to be playing Premier League Football again next season. Rafael Benitez may not be the manager for the long-term, but he is well supported by the fans and his teams have tended to be tough to beat with the tactics that are employed.

They are facing a Brighton team that has to be short of confidence having failed to score in all 7 games played in all competitions since the March international break. Defensively they have looked better in the last couple of games at Wolves and Tottenham Hotspur, but Brighton have lost 3 in a row at the Amex Stadium and have been beaten by Bournemouth and Cardiff City in their last two games here.

With that in mind Brighton look incredibly short when it comes to winning this fixture and I think it has much to do with the fact that the home team 'need' the win more than Newcastle United. However they are a team struggling for goals and struggling for clean sheets at home and this Newcastle United team have shown they can be dangerous getting forward, especially on the counter attack.

My feeling is that Brighton may not offer a lot of spaces and may feel a draw is putting them in a strong position in the Premier League table anyway, especially if Cardiff City have not won at Fulham earlier in the day. That is hard to predict prior to the kick off, but I have to respect the fact that Newcastle United have only lost 2 of their last 5 away Premier League games.

Brighton's home record against Newcastle United where they have won 3 of the last 4 against them puts me off from backing The Magpies with the start on the Asian Handicap though. Instead I think there is a real chance one, or both, of the teams fail to get on the scoreboard on Saturday as has been the case in 7 of their last 8 against each other including in all 3 Premier League fixtures played in the last two seasons.

The price on offer is slightly bigger than I thought it would be and is perhaps the best angle on this big game for Chris Hughton managing against his former club.

Fantasy Star: Shane Duffy- he really let me down in GW34 as Brighton conceded seven goals in two home games, but Shane Duffy is going to need to be at his best to help this club avoid the drop. A clean sheet is a possibility and remains a threat from set pieces.

Alternative: Salomon Rondon- Brighton's lack of goals is a concern and the amount they conceded in their last three games here could be exploited by Newcastle United's leading attacker.


Leicester City v Arsenal Pick: Early Sunday kick offs in the Premier League can sometimes produce sleepy performances from teams, but Leicester City and Arsenal have tended to match up well with each other and this could be a game filled with goals.

Both Brendan Rodgers and Unai Emery like their teams to get forward and they will have noted the defensive vulnerabilities the opposition have displayed in recent weeks. That is something that they will want their teams to exploit and there is enough motivation for both teams to try and get forward that could see a few goals shared out on the day.

Leicester City will be chasing 7th place in the Premier League, but Rodgers may be more keen to show the fans that his team is going to be one that can compete with the top teams in the Premier League. Finishing up the season with Arsenal, Manchester City and Chelsea gives the new manager a chance to impress the fans and Leicester City have been scoring plenty of goals under Rodgers' watch which is how the manager likes things.

Arsenal are likely to come onto Leicester City which will suit the home team too, although I would expect a reaction from the back to back losses suffered over the last eight days. In both games Arsenal conceded three goals and they do look a team that is going to have to out-score opponents to achieve their goals for the 2018/19 season.

This is a very tough test for The Gunners who were beaten 3-1 here last season, but I do think they will play their part. Backing at least four goals to be shared out would have been a winner in each of the last 3 Premier League games between these teams and I think they can wipe the sleep out of the eyes of the fans tuning in with a solid display of attacking football.

Fantasy Star: Jamie Vardy- has nine goals in his last ten appearances and can continue his fine end to the season against this Arsenal defence. Has scored three goals in the last three home games against The Gunners.

Alternative: Alexandre Lacazette- Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang may not be available and Lacazette has shown he scores goals at this level. The lack of Leicester City clean sheets should mean he has a couple of good sights of goals.


Burnley v Manchester City Pick: The tension is going to be ramped up in each passing game for Manchester City as they try and hold off Liverpool in the race for the Premier League title and this is another difficult looking away game for them to negotiate. After a tight first half at Old Trafford on Wednesday, Manchester City exerted their quality in the second half and were able to come away with a 0-2 win although Pep Guardiola will want his players to be a little more composed in the final third.

It was not a game in which Manchester City created a host of chances, although they were comfortably the deserved winners on the day. Now they have to face a Burnley team in good form and who have nothing to lose with survival potentially guaranteed by the time this game kicks off on Sunday afternoon.

Burnley have beaten Tottenham Hotspur here and earned a tough draw with Chelsea on Monday evening so they are a team that has to be respected. While Manchester City have beaten Burnley comfortably at home in their four fixtures at the Etihad Stadium over the last two seasons, Pep Guardiola will not have forgotten the 1-1 draw here in their last visit to Turf Moor.

Even in his first season Burnley took the lead before Manchester City were able to fight back and earn a 1-2 win at this ground so I do think this is potentially a difficult afternoon for the visitors who will likely be chasing Liverpool again. However Manchester United, Chelsea and Liverpool have all won by two or more goals here and I do think Burnley are a team that has been giving up some big chances in recent games and perhaps earned results better than they have deserved.

Manchester City have won 11 in a row in the Premier League and they have won 5 in a row away from home while conceding a single goal in that run. It is going to be a different challenge dealing with Burnley's two striker system and the home team are capable of ruffling the feathers of teams above them in the League table, but Manchester City are playing with some real confidence and they don't offer a lot of chances to teams.

Dutching Manchester City to win by either a two goal or three goal margin here looks the play with the odds against quotes on offer for it. I can see the visitors being tight at the back and the quality in the final third breaking down their opponents and Manchester City can match the margin of wins both Manchester United and Liverpool earned here.

Fantasy Star: Bernardo Silva- scored during the week and can make Manchester City fans forget about Kevin De Bruyne for one more week. A threat for goals and assists and a key player to Manchester City the rest of the way.

Alternative: Sergio Aguero- has eight goals in seven games against Burnley including scoring twice at Turf Moor in a 1-2 win two seasons ago.


Manchester United v Chelsea Pick: The final game of the Premier League weekend comes from Old Trafford and sees two of the top four chasing teams meeting when Manchester United host Chelsea.

The form of Manchester United has dipped away alarmingly and the run of 7 losses in 9 games in all competitions has hurt the team. That has seen them exit both the FA Cup and Champions League, while back to back defeats in the Premier League to Everton and Manchester City have dented top four ambitions.

With an inferior goal difference to the three teams above them, Manchester United have to really win this game if they are going to have a chance to earn a return to the Champions League next season. The feeling has to be that Arsenal won't win at Leicester City on Sunday afternoon so this fixture could really determine which of the two teams playing in it are able to make the top four.

A Manchester United win would leave them level on points with Chelsea, but with a more manageable fixture list than The Blues and Arsenal, although current form makes it had to trust the home team.

A lack of goals in big games at Old Trafford has to be a real concern as I pointed out ahead of the Manchester derby with that becoming the latest game where Manchester United have failed to find the net against the top teams that have visited the ground. Chances have been at a premium in those games too so you can see why Manchester United are such a price to win this fixture.

However Chelsea are not easy to trust either despite their more positive run in recent weeks. They are a team that have struggled away from home in the Premier League and Chelsea have also had their difficulties in front of goal when they have visited the top six clubs in the Premier League.

In fact Chelsea have only scored one goal in visits to Tottenham Hotspur, Arsenal, Manchester City and Liverpool in the Premier League. Add in the fact that they didn't score against Manchester United in the FA Cup Fifth Round at home and also failed to find the net at Tottenham Hotspur in the League Cup Semi Final and you can see the difficulties Maurizio Sarri has had in implementing 'Sarri Ball' at the club.

Games between Chelsea and Manchester United have also tended to feature at least one of the teams failing to score. Last season that was not the case at Old Trafford and neither did it happen at Stamford Bridge in the League earlier this season, but the trend may have returned in the FA Cup Fifth Round tie played two months ago.

8 of the last 11 between these teams have seen one fail to find the net and I don't think either team is really confident enough to fight back from behind in this fixture. We have seen heads drop for both Manchester United and Chelsea when they fall behind and my feeling is that the first goal will win on Sunday.

The stats for the home/away games respectively of Manchester United and Chelsea suggests that trend of at least one team failing to score may improve to 9 out of 12 and at odds against backing at least one team keeping a clean sheet looks a huge price.

Fantasy Star: Paul Pogba- there has been a lot of speculation surrounding his future and Paul Pogba needs to respond. Big chance to do that against a Chelsea team who can let their heads drop if things don't go right for them.

Alternative: Eden Hazard- everything good from Chelsea comes through the Belgian. If they are going to win at Old Trafford, Hazard is going to be the player who has dragged them to the three points.



Fantasy Football
The Official FPL game is now down to the final three weeks of the season and in this section I am going to try and find the players that can make the difference for your teams. For those chasing points I am going to find the players who could help make the difference in GW36, although it is a week where the likes of Liverpool, Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester City players should be popular considering the fixtures they have.

Last week my personal team produced 116 points, but I do think it could have been even better. It's still a week that has pushed me way above 2000 points for the season, although I still have some ambitions to achieve before the 2018/19 season comes to a close.


Goalkeeper 4.8 Million and Above
Martin Dubravka (Newcastle United- 5 Million, Owned by 0.5%): Brighton's severe lack of goals has seen them drop into a relegation battle. With the tactics served up by Rafael Benitez, Martin Dubravka could prove a cheaper alternative to the likes of Alisson and Ederson who should have a chance of a clean sheet this week too.


Goalkeeper 4.7 Million and Below
Mat Ryan (Brighton- 4.4 Million, Owned by 5.3%): Brighton looked back to their battling best defensively in their last two game and Mat Ryan played well in both. They will need their Goalkeeper at his best if Brighton are going to secure a positive result against Newcastle United this weekend.

Sergio Rico (Fulham- 4.4 Million, Owned by 0.4%): It is hard to trust Fulham considering what we have seen all season. However back to back clean sheets should have given the Goalkeeper some confidence and could free up funds elsewhere this week.

Angus Gunn (Southampton- 4.3 Million, Owned by 1%): Again this is an option for those who want to free up funds. Southampton are not a team who do a lot of clean sheets, but they have been in good form at home and face a Bournemouth team who are inconsistent and struggling with injuries.


Defender 5.1 Million and Above
Fabian Delph (Manchester City- 5.3 Million, Owned by 0.3%): With Fernandinho expecting to miss out and Ilkay Gundogan carrying a knock, could Fabian Delph come into the Manchester City midfield? Would mean having the clean sheet points and a chance of some attacking returns, but the risk is whether he is trusted enough to start in such pressurised situations.

Vincent Kompany (Manchester City- 5.2 Million, Owned by 1.1%): Pep Guardiola has tended to rotate Aymeric Laporte's partner, but Vincent Kompany has started last two away League games. I am wondering if his experience is something Guardiola is leaning on down the stretch this season.


Defender 5 Million and Below
Joel Matip (Liverpool- 4.9 Million, Owned by 1.2%): The big Champions League Semi Final with Barcelona is coming up, but Jurgen Klopp has insisted there is enough recovery time to select his best team for this game with Huddersfield Town. Cheapest and least owned way into the defence for what is likely to be a clean sheet is Joel Matip who has also been carrying the ball forward in recent games.

Sean Morrison (Cardiff City- 4.7 Million, Owned by 0.4%): Scored in the last away game at Brighton and missed a sitter against Liverpool. A threat from set pieces and could cause problems for Fulham on Saturday.

Lewis Dunk (Brighton- 4.4 Million, Owned by 3.8%): Will be key with partner Shane Duffy when it comes to keeping a clean sheet that is going to be invaluable to Brighton. Not as big a threat as Duffy from set pieces, but has got two goals this season too.

Jonny (Wolves- 4.3 Million, Owned by 3.2%): Hasn't been as popular a pick as opposite wing back Matt Doherty, but Jonny had two assists in the win over Arsenal during the week.


Midfielder 7.1 Million and Above
David Silva (Manchester City- 8.5 Million, Owned by 4.3%): Has been getting plenty of Premier League rest over the last few weeks and is going to be very important in the absence of Kevin De Bruyne. Can chip in with key goals too.

Naby Keita (Liverpool- 7.1 Million, Owned by 1.6%): Has started the last three Liverpool League games and chipped in with a goal. Plays in an advanced position and could have chances against this Huddersfield Town team.


Midfielder 7 Million and Below
Youri Tielemans (Leicester City- 6.1 Million, Owned by 1.7%): Two goals and five assists in his last eight games for Leicester City and should be able to have an impact against a vulnerable Arsenal defence.

Ryan Babel (Fulham- 5.5 Million, Owned by 0.9%): Three goals and an assist in his last five games for Fulham. A threat on the counter attack if Cardiff City need to chase the game on Saturday.

Harvey Barnes (Leicester City- 5.5 Million, Owned by 0.2%): Finally got the goal he has been threatening for weeks in the 2-2 draw with West Ham United last weekend. A different cheap option into the Leicester City midfield.


Forward 6.4 Million and Above
Jamie Vardy (Leicester City- 9 Million, Owned by 9.7%): As you can imagine, finding different options to others from the top strikers is problematic with most building their teams around these options. Jamie Vardy's record against Arsenal (three in three at the King Power Stadium) coupled with Arsenal's poor defensive record makes him a chasing option.


Forward 6.3 Million and Below
Andre Gray (Watford- 6 Million, Owned by 2.7%): Scored during the week and will lead the line against a Wolves team who have conceded goals for fun in recent away games.

Ashley Barnes (Burnley- 5.6 Million, Owned by 2.1%): Has been in great form to help Burnley climb away from relegation trouble and scored last week at Chelsea. The biggest threat to Manchester City's Premier League title bid this Sunday.

MY PICKS: Liverpool Leading at 20 Minutes @ 2.00 Betfair Sportsbook
Tottenham Hotspur - 1.25 Asian Handicap @ 1.95 Bet365
Crystal Palace-Everton Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.00 Bet Victor
Fulham-Cardiff City Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.77 Bet Victor
Southampton to Win & Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.25 Ladbrokes
Watford-Wolves Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.25 Bet Victor
Brighton-Newcastle United Both Teams to Score- NO @ 1.85 Bet Victor 
Leicester City-Arsenal Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.55 Bet Victor
Manchester City to Win by Two or Three Goals @ 2.27 Bet365
Manchester United-Chelsea Both Teams to Score- NO @ 2.30 Bet Victor

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