US Open Tennis Day 8 Picks 2024 (Monday 2nd September)

The Quarter Final lineup at the US Open will be set by the time Day 8 is concluded at the tournament and there are some big matches to be played.

More upsets have been seen in New York City with women's defending Champion Coco Gauff losing in the Fourth Round, meaning both defending Champions are eliminated. Overlooking any opponent is a mistake and that has to be the worry for any of the top names going out onto the court as the pressure and expectation begins to build.

Tomas Machac + 4.5 games v Jack Draper: The bottom half of the draw has become wide open following the exit of Novak Djokovic and that has placed additional pressure on all involved.

It is a different matter in the top half of the draw with the top Seed and World Number 1 still going strong in the men's tournament.

Despite that, the Carlos Alcaraz defeat in the Second Round has opened things up and Jack Draper has taken advantage by beating the man who beat the man. The British player has big ambitions on the Tour, but this feels like a much tougher match than the layers seem to think.

Tomas Machac has made his way through the draw behind some impressive performances and he will be a real threat if he continues to serve as well as he done through the first three Rounds. The serve had been an important shot for Jack Draper in his first two wins, but he will need to raise his level from the last performance if he is going to win this match as predicted.

Credit has to be given to Draper for the kind of returning performances he has put together, but this has not always been his strength. He is also facing an opponent in Tomas Machac who has really been able to put the pressure on with his own return of serve backing up the big serving and the World Number 39 can earn a spot in his first Grand Slam Quarter Final.

The mental edge has to be with Tomas Machac who has won all three previous matches against Jack Draper, including twice on the hard courts.

In those previous matches, Machac has been the stronger server of the two and he is certainly playing well enough to believe he can keep this match competitive, even if he is not able to get over the line for the upset.

Iga Swiatek - 5.5 games v Luidmila Samsonova: The World Number 1 produced a dominant win in the Third Round and Iga Swiatek looks to be on course to face Aryna Sabalenka in the US Open Final.

There is still work to do before we get to see the top two players going at it and Swiatek will want to make sure she remains focused on each match as it comes.

Overlooking Luidmila Samsonova would be a mistake, but this has proven to be a good match up for Iga Swiatek and the feeling is that we will see more of the same.

These two players met on the hard courts twice in 2023 and Iga Swiatek crushed Luidmila Samsonova for the loss of just five games. The Pole has been able to not only dominate behind serve, but she has more than half of the points played on the Samsonova serve and that is really unsustainable for the lower Ranked player.

It means Luidmila Samsonova is under pressure right from the off and in almost every service game and that is a mentality will be hard to shift. The wins in the US Open will help, but Samsonova will need to pick up the level produced and that is going to be tough to do against someone as good as Iga Swiatek.

Iga Swiatek has had some poor moments off the clay courts, but the serve is a big weapon for her and she looks to have found a positive rhythm behind this shot. Maintaining that will mean she is able to focus on using her aggressive return to keep her opponent under pressure and Swiatek may have the qualities to match her Third Round win with another comfortable looking final score on the board.

MY PICKS: Tomas Machac + 4.5 Games @ 1.91 Bet Fred (2 Units)

Iga Swiatek - 5.5 Games @ 1.80 Bet365 (2 Units)

Jannik Sinner - 6.5 Games @ 1.91 Bet365 (2 Units)
Alex De Minaur - 5.5 Games @ 1.83 Bet365 (2 Units)

Karolina Muchova - 1.5 Games @ 1.83 Bet Victor (2 Units)

US Open Update: 18-14, + 2.66 Units (64 Units Staked, + 4.16% Yield)