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Tuesday, 27 February 2024

Tennis Picks 2024 (Tuesday 27th February)

We won't know how the day has gone until the matches in Acapulco and Santiago have been completed, but it was a decent enough start in Dubai thanks to Andrey Rublev's fight from a set down to eventually comfortably progress into the Second Round.

The remainder of the First Round is going to be completed at the ATP 500 event in Dubai, while there will be full days at the other four tournaments being played this week.


Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - 2.5 games v Fabian Marozsan: He might be the World Number 24, but cracking the top 20 has proven to be a little too difficult for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.

He will give it another go this week with some big Ranking points available in Dubai, but it will depend on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina finding some consistency in his tennis. On occasions he can be very good, but he does let himself down at times without having a dominant aspect of his game meaning every match can become something of a chore to win.

Decent numbers have been produced on all surfaces, but they are only slightly above average and it does make it hard to win matches without having to put in a considerable effort each time.

Three losses in a row will have dented some of the confidence and the Spaniard has not really returned as well as he would have liked in those defeats.

It should be a more comfortable time on the return against someone like Fabian Marozsan who has held 74% of his service games played on the hard courts in 2024. The Hungarian enjoyed a decent run at the Australian Open, but his hold percentage drops to 72 when only considering matches against top 100 Ranked opponents this season.

This has put considerable pressure on the Fabian Marozsan return of serve and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina should be able to serve well enough to contain the threat from the other side of the court.

Nothing ever comes easy for the higher Ranked player, but he can do enough to cover this spread set in the First Round in Dubai, even when accounting for the faster conditions that have been evident at the tournament.

MY PICKS: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - 2.5 Games @ 1.85 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Stefanos Tsitsipas - 2.5 Games @ 1.75 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Jordan Thompson - 1.5 Games @ 1.72 Bet365 (2 Units)
Holger Rune - 3.5 Games @ 1.80 Bet Victor (2 Units)

Week Update: 2-1, + 2 Units (6 Units Staked, + 33.33% Yield)

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