It's just been one of those weeks where things have built up all around me and so this is another shorter post than I would have expected.
The Tennis Picks at Day 9 at Wimbledon shifts the focus to the Men's Quarter Finals and there are some good looking matches set to be played.
Novak Djokovic - 8.5 games v Marton Fucsovics: It is never easy to win a Grand Slam and there are always dangers lurking in a draw, but Novak Djokovic has to be a strong favourite having won the last two editions of Wimbledon. He has extended his winning streak to eighteen matches here after crushing Cristian Garin in the Fourth Round and Novak Djokovic is playing with a confidence and a belief that is going to be very hard to shake no matter who lines up across the other side of the net.
Novak Djokovic dropped his opening set at this year's Wimbledon, but he has won twelve sets in a row since then and has been largely untroubled.
Now he goes up against Marton Fucsovics who benefited from an early retirement in the Second Round, but has been forced to dig deep in matches all around that. It says something that he has spent considerably more time on the court than Novak Djokovic at Wimbledon already despite going through in the Second Round before the second set was completed, but the former Junior Champion in SW19 has been playing really well here again.
A couple of long four setters have been won by the Hungarian, but he needed to come from 2-1 down to take out Andrey Rublev in the Fourth Round, an impressive achievement considering the amount of times he has been beaten by the Russian already this season. That will inspire Marton Fucsovics, but he will also know he needs to be better if he is going to get his teeth into the World Number 1 who has become the dominant grass court player in the world in recent years.
The problem for Marton Fucsovics is that he may not be able to serve well enough to keep Novak Djokovic at bay- he has been broken at least three times in the three completed matches played this week. In this Quarter Final Fucsovics is taking on one of the strongest return players on the Tour and I do think that can make a difference for him as he builds the pressure on his tennis.
I expect Marton Fucsovics to cause problems for Novak Djokovic with his returning ability and the tennis translates very well on the grass courts, but the World Number 1 is playing at a very strong level. He has been serving so effectively in the tournament so far and I think Novak Djokovic will be able to wear down Marton Fucsovics.
They have met twice before and both times Marton Fucsovics was able to take a set from Novak Djokovic. However, I think the World Number 1 is playing at an extremely high level at the moment and may be too strong in this Quarter Final and especially when noting how much longer Marton Fucsovics has been out on the courts compared with Novak Djokovic.
A big spread is one that Fucsovics can cover at his best, but Novak Djokovic may be playing at a level that will be difficult for the Hungarian to reach and it may result in a fairly one-sided match when all is said and done.
MY PICKS: Novak Djokovic - 8.5 Games @ 1.72 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Denis Shapovalov - 1.5 Sets @ 1.66 Paddy Power (2 Units)
Matteo Berrettini - 4.5 Games @ 1.91 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Roger Federer - 1.5 Sets @ 1.72 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Wimbledon Update: 59-45, + 15.56 Units (208 Units Staked, + 7.48% Yield)
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