For the third day in a row, it looked like some of the fortune was going to be missing, which is always needed when making Picks from a long year on the Tour.
Gael Monfils looked to be completely comfortable in the final set decider as the underdog, but threw in one poor service game and ultimately that cost him in a match where he had won more points than Sebastian Korda.
Thankfully Novak Djokovic was a comfortable Fourth Round winner and then some of the luck changed with Aryna Sabalenka finding a way to recover in the second set and beat Qinwen Zheng in straight sets and cover the wide mark set.
It has pushed the Miami totals back in a positive direction, but Wednesday looks a difficult day and only one selection is made from the four Quarter Final matches scheduled to be played. Rain in Miami has forced one of the ATP Fourth Round matches to be played on the day too, which means having to play on back to back days for the winner of the Alexander Zverev-Arthur Fils match.
Four days remain at the tournament and the hope is that a strong finish can round out the first quarter of the season and attention can turn to the clay court season and the build into the French Open.
Jessica Pegula - 3.5 games v Emma Raducanu: Another Coach has lasted a short amount of time with Emma Raducanu and her team, but the British player has enjoyed a big week in Miami and will be chasing her biggest title since surprising the sport by winning the US Open.
These days Emma Raducanu is playing as the World Number 60, but she has little to defend in terms of Ranking Points over the next couple of months and could be in a much stronger position by the time Wimbledon rolls around in late June.
Before all of that, Emma Raducanu is hoping to keep the momentum going having secured four wins in Miami, which is more than her total number of wins in 2025 prior to the tournament. She has beaten two top 20 Ranked opponents, although Emma Raducanu may have benefited from the scheduling when crushing Amanda Anisimova in the Fourth Round.
This time both Raducanu and opponent Jessica Pegula have had a day of rest after their Fourth Round wins and the latter has been playing with more consistency over the course of the year.
Jessica Pegula has won a title on the hard courts, while the three wins in Miami have come in confident manner and that will give the World Number 4 a huge amount of belief in her tennis. She has been serving really well in Miami and that is going to be key against Emma Raducanu to try and put some pressure on the British player.
Both previous matches between the players have been competitive with both earning a win apiece.
Breaks of serve have to be expected considering the quality with which both Emma Radacanu and Jessica Pegula can return, but the slight edge has to be with the latter.
She has been serving with a bit more effectiveness not only in Miami, but on the hard courts in general in 2025 and it feels like Raducanu is playing at a level that may be more difficult for her to sustain. It also should be noted that Emma Raducanu was perhaps a little fortunate to beat Emma Navarro in the Second Round at this tournament and a similar level might not be good enough when facing the World Number 4 in her current form.
MY PICKS: Jessica Pegula - 3.5 Games @ 1.85 Bet Victor (1 Unit)
Miami Update: 11-7, + 2.39 Units (18 Units Staked, + 13.28% Yield)
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