The WTA Fourth Round has been scheduled to be played on Monday, but the layers look to be on top of the markets.
A couple of selections got close- Iga Swiatek to beat Elina Svitolina and the 5.5 game handicap mark as well as picking Emma Raducanu with a 2.5 game start against Amanda Anisimova, but ultimately there is enough about the opponents to just ease me away from those selections.
The same applied to the remaining ATP Third Round matches with some getting close, but not quite convincing me with enough strength to pull the trigger.
After a couple of mixed days with the Tennis Picks, the hope is that the one selection being made for Monday can just push the weekly totals back in a positive direction before moving into the business end of the last hard court tournament for several months.
Aryna Sabalenka - 4.5 games v Danielle Collins: Another defeat in the Final of a tournament will have stung the current World Number 1, but she has pushed that loss at Indian Wells to the back of the mind. Two solid wins have been recorded in Miami to take Aryna Sabalenka through to the Fourth Round and she has to be pretty happy with the faster conditions in this event in Florida compared with those in California.
She faces Danielle Collins in the Fourth Round and the American is expected to be backed from the stands, although perhaps is not as popular as some of her compatriots that are playing in Miami.
Whether she receives the backing of the crowd or not is something that is unlikely to bother Danielle Collins, who had a solid Second Round win and displayed all of her toughness to come through a difficult test in the Third Round. Those wins will have given Collins some confidence, but the World Number 15 will also be well aware that this is a considerable step upwards in level of opponent.
It will be a thought underlined by the fact that Aryna Sabalenka has won all six previous matches played against Danielle Collins and has beaten her three times at the US Open. Half of those six matches have been competitive enough to need a deciding set, although the other three have ended in pretty convincing fashion in favour of Aryna Sabalenka.
There has been a big difference between the serving numbers of the two players in the head to head- the feeling is that Danielle Collins has to find that much more from her serve to be competitive, never mind actually going on to beat Sabalenka for the first time.
Anything below her best and Danielle Collins will likely be under significant pressure throughout this Fourth Round match and Aryna Sabalenka may end up showing off her ability as a frontrunner. With two strong wins behind her already, the World Number 1 can secure another one here and progress to yet another hard court Quarter Final.
MY PICKS: Aryna Sabalenka - 4.5 Games @ 1.75 Bet Victor (1 Unit)
Miami Update: 9-5, + 2.59 Units (14 Units Staked, + 18.50% Yield)
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