Cincinnati Masters Tennis Picks 2025 (Monday 18th August)

You have to believe the organisers of the new look Mixed Doubles tournament at the US Open are just as frustrated with the scheduling of the Masters events this summer as the players and fans.

That tournament was designed to be played in the week leading up to the US Open and the theory behind it is that the top players can all be involved. Looking through the draw, the top names are scheduled to play, but the Cincinnati Final being played on a Monday may mean the likes of Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner are not able to join their partners in New York City and especially not with the Mixed Doubles set to begin on Tuesday.

They are young enough to play in what will feel like an exhibition setting, but a long Final on Monday may mean rest is more important ahead of the final Grand Slam of the season.

The top two ATP players meet on Monday and they are going to be clear favourites to face one another again at the US Open on the final Sunday of that tournament.

It would be the third straight Grand Slam Final between Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz and there would be no doubt that we have entered a new era of Men's tennis if that comes about.

Those two players go out first before the WTA Final featuring Iga Swiatek and Jasmine Paolini and then all eyes will be on the US Open with less than seven days to go before the last Grand Slam of 2025 gets underway.

Jannik Sinner - 2.5 games v Carlos Alcaraz: These two players are clearly the top two on the ATP Tour and it will take a brave person to oppose either winning the next Grand Slam at the US Open.

It was Carlos Alcaraz who beat Jannik Sinner at the French Open and that continued what had been an increasing dominance in the rivalry, but the Italian earned revenge with a very strong win in the Wimbledon Final to prevent Alcaraz from winning for a third straight year at SW19.

After losing five times in a row to Carlos Alcaraz, that win at Wimbledon feels very importsant for Jannik Sinner who has seemingly overwhelmed everyone else barring the Spaniard.

To back up that point, since the start of 2024, Jannik Sinner has lost just THREE hard court matches and he has won all three hard court Slams played in those twenty months. However, TWO of those losses have been against Carlos Alcaraz and the World Number 1 has not beaten him on this surface since October 2023 and so this is another opportunity for Sinner to lay down a marker to his fiercest rival ahead of the final Grand Slam of the season.

Despite the head to head record, Jannik Sinner's win at Wimbledon will be one that has helped him overcome the mental hurdle, especially considering he had Championship Points before losing to Carlos Alcaraz in the French Open Final.

The match up is clearly a tough one, but Sinner is playing at an incredible level right now and it may be one that is difficult for Carlos Alcaraz to reach on a consistent basis.

There is nothing wrong with the way that Carlos Alcaraz is playing here in Cincinnati and on the hard courts in general, but the match feels more about what Sinner is able to do.

If the World Number 1 serves as well as he has been, he should have the majority of the Break Point chances in this Final and that is key to winning the match. Last year Carlos Alcaraz was the superior return player in the two matches played on the hard courts against Jannik Sinner and the World Number 2 will be inspired to try and lay down a marker ahead of the US Open, but Jannik Sinner showed again in Melbourne how much he has improved and he may just have the momentum to back up the win at Wimbledon by snapping the hard court run of defeats against this opponent.

Iga Swiatek - 5.5 games v Jasmine Paolini: This is a big spread for the WTA Cincinnati Final, but Iga Swiatek has come out of the tougher half of the draw and has looked much more convincing overall compared with Jasmine Paolini.

They did play out a competitive match on the hard courts at the end of last season, although that was after Iga Swiatek had served a suspension and it perhaps meant her rhythm was not quite where she would have expected.

Despite that, Iga Swiatek did end up with the victory and she has since crushed Paolini on the grass courts in the build up to Wimbledon, which was surprisingly won by Iga Swiatek too.

After the early loss in Montreal, Jasmine Paolini may not have arrived with a huge burden of expectation to carry, but this is a player who is willing to dig in and fight for everything she achieves. 2025 has not been as memorable as 2024, at least not yet, but Paolini still entered this tournament as a top ten Ranked player and wins over the likes of Coco Gauff will give her plenty of confidence.

The 29 year old had not been showing a lot of positive form on the hard courts prior to the Cincinnati event beginning- the key this week has been the success behind theserve and Jasmine Paolini is going to have to serve well to keep Iga Swiatek at bay.

That is a huge challenge considering how well the soon to be World Number 2 is playing, although this is a different kind of test for Iga Swiatek. Previous matches have seen her get the better of bigger hitters than Jasmine Paolini, but it is the movement of the Italian that makes her tough to beat, even on a faster hard court.

Iga Swiatek is serving with more authority though and that can see her set up a few more 'easier' points and that can help ease the scoreboard pressure. Instead it may be Paolini who has to deal with that and it also will not be lost on the latter that she has struggled in the majority of matches against Swiatek.

Back to back matches of over two hours is another factor considering the ease in which Iga Swiatek has made her way through the draw and one of the real contenders to win the US Open can head to New York City with a big title in the bag. Covering will not be easy against this handicap mark, but the expectation is that Iga Swiatek will have enough Break Point chances to do that if she maintains current serving levels against an opponent that has struggled to deal with the Pole on the Tour.

MY PICKS: Jannik Sinner - 2.5 Games @ 1.87 Bet Victor (1 Unit)

Iga Swiatek - 5.5 Games @ 2.10 Bet365 (1 Unit)

Weekly Update: 6-8, - 2.63 Units (14 Units Staked, - 18.79% Yield)

Cincinnati Masters Tennis Picks 2025 (Sunday 17th August)

The scheduling at the end of this Cincinnati Masters is clearly a work in progress and it would not be a major surprise if the organisers listen to the players and change things for next year.

It is bizarre that both Men's Semi Final matches have been scheduled for Saturday and the two Women's last four matches on Sunday, especially as they are likely to have the WTA Final played first on Monday.

Things just haven't made much sense in the back to back Masters tournaments played in the build up to the US Open, and the players have voiced their criticisms, which is something that should really be taken into consideration.

The two Men's Semi Final matches look tough to call on Saturday, but there is one play from the WTA Semi Final matches to be played on Sunday.

Iga Swiatek - 1.5 games v Elena Rybakina: The defending Champion at the US Open is Aryna Sabalenka, but both Iga Swiatek and Elena Rybakina may be looking to lay down a marker about their intent by winning the Cincinnati Masters.

The winner of this Semi Final is going to be a big favourite to do that, but first they have to overcome a significant test.

Elena Rybakina has to also overcome a mental hurdle having suffered a number of Semi Final defeats this season, including last time out in Montreal. She has not played poorly in these matches, but ultimately it will play on the mind that she has suffered so many defeats at this stage of a tournament.

An impressive win over Aryna Sabalenka has to give Elena Rybakina a lot of confidence going into a match against the player who will be going into the US Open as the Number 2 Seed.

The one surprise about the 2025 season is how underwhelming the Iga Swiatek clay court season turned out to be, but she has been performing at a very good level on the hard courts. At the Australian Open, it took an inspired Madison Keys to win the Semi Final against Iga Swiatek, but the latter is a former US Open Champion and has been putting some fine tennis on display in Cincinnati.

Everyone will feel the power edge is with Elena Rybakina, but Iga Swiatek has an underrated serve and that can put plenty of pressure on the former.

Three straight wins on the hard courts against Elena Rybakina backs that statement up, and Iga Swiatek has dominated the number of Break Points created.

There is no doubting how well Elena Rybakina is playing, but the numbers produced by Iga Swiatek at this tournament are very impressive. A strength has been the consistency that Swiatek has found on her return of serve and that could be the key to the outcome of this match and help the Pole beat this opponent for the fourth time in a row.

If Elena Rybakina is able to bring her very best serving onto the court, she will cause problems, but Iga Swiatek has been playing well enough to win this Semi Final and cover the handicap mark set.

MY PICKS: Iga Swiatek - 1.5 Games @ 1.80 Bet365 (1 Unit)

Weekly Update: 5-8, - 3.43 Units (13 Units Staked, - 26.38% Yield)

Cincinnati Masters Tennis Picks 2025 (Friday 15th August)

The scheduling for the end of this tournament has been a little bizarre- the entire Fourth Round of the ATP event was played on Wednesday, but that was not the case for the WTA draw although Ben Shelton's match was carried over from the previous day. His Fourth Round match against Jiri Lehecka will be played on Thursday, while the tournament has once again scheduled a split that was in place earlier in the event and I am not entirely sure why the change for Wednesday?

We still have to become used to the midweek Finals that have been scheduled both here in Cincinnati and the previous Canadian Masters, but all attention will soon turn to the final Grand Slam of the season.

For the first time, the US Open will begin on Sunday, like two of the other three Majors, and that tournament in New York City is now a little over a week away from getting underway.

There were no selections from the tough Thursday schedule, but one of the Quarter Final matches scheduled to be played on Friday has some appeal.

Potentially one more selection will be added, depending on the outcome of the Ben Shelton vs Jiri Lehecka Fourth Round match, but for now this thread will be posted with the one match that has fallen within the parameters set for the season selections in 2025.

The tournament started as poorly as it could have for the Tennis Picks and the momentum from the Canadian Masters was not carried over, but three wins in four have just turned things around.

Keeping that going through the remainder of the tournament and then into the US Open is the ambition.

All four WTA Quarter Finals have ended up being scheduled for Friday, which again feels bizarre, so a couple of extra selections have been added to the day's Picks below.

Carlos Alcaraz - 3.5 games v Andrey Rublev: The conditions in Cincinnati have been particularly tough this year and that has perhaps contributed to what was a slow start to the event for Carlos Alcaraz. The World Number 2 feels much better about his game following the Fourth Round win over Luca Nardi and Carlos Alcaraz described that as his best performance of the tournament so far.

Nothing is wrong with the strong numbers that Carlos Alcaraz has built up on the hard courts and he skipped Toronto in a bid to be ready for this Masters event and then the US Open, which is now fast approaching.

However, the numbers should have led to more titles and the Spaniard has suffered some disappointing defeats in Melbourne, Indian Wells and Miami and he will enter the US Open as a significant second favourite compared with Jannik Sinner.

Winning the title in Cincinnati could change some of the narrative and Alcaraz will be very happy with his level considering he has not been in competitive action since the Wimbledon Final.

He beat Andrey Rublev on his way to another Final in SW19 and it is the World Number 11 who stands in his way here.

Andrey Rublev has to be happy with the wins he has produced at this tournament, but this is going to be a significant test for a player who has just slipped from the standards he has set in his career. The numbers remain pretty impressive, but Rublev has struggled for consistency when it comes to facing those players that are Ranked higher than himself.

He has served well enough in those matches on the hard courts, but over the last twelve months, Andrey Rublev has really had problems getting into the return games, and that has also been the case in consecutive losses to Carlos Alcaraz. Being able to serve well enough to contain the top players on the Tour, while failing to have an impact the other way, puts Rublev under too much pressure and ultimately that has shown up on the scoreboard.

Last week it was Taylor Fritz who was getting the better of Andrey Rublev and there is every chance that Carlos Alcaraz not only wins this match, but covers the line set.

Andrey Rublev does hold a surprising win over Carlos Alcaraz on the clay courts, but the three non-clay matches have all ended in defeat and the World Number 2 would have covered this line set in all of those victories. The higher Ranked player did have one or two issues against the Rublev serve at Wimbledon, but still created 11 Break Points across the four sets played and Carlos Alcaraz should have control of the scoreboard in this Quarter Final.

MY PICKS: Carlos Alcaraz - 3.5 Games @ 1.75 Bet Victor (1 Unit)

Veronika Kudermetova - 3.5 Games @ 1.85 William Hill (1 Unit)

Coco Gauff - 3.5 Games @ 1.87 Bet Victor (1 Unit)

Weekly Update: 4-6, - 2.28 Units (10 Units Staked, - 22.80% Yield)

Cincinnati Masters Tennis Picks 2025 (Wednesday 13th August)

The Tennis Gods must have read my complaints about the number of players retiring when about to bring in a winning selection for these pages after Jakub Mensik withdrew from his match when well on the way to losing on Tuesday.

The imbalance is still there, but it made a change after what has been happening over the last few days and Mensik was clearly not going to be able to compete any better than those who have decided to retire mid-match.

Conditions have been very tough in Cincinnati and that has impacted some of the quality of tennis- Tuesday night ended with a deluge of rain and Wednesday is supposed to be another potentially wet day, which will help, although it is still very hot in this part of the world and the temperatures will be very high over the weekend into the Monday scheduled Final.

We have seen players struggling with the North American heat at this event and at the US Open in the past and that obviously makes it tougher to make Picks- you just don't always know who will handle the heat the best and be able to put their best tennis on the court on any given day, especially when conditions have been as brutal as they have at this Masters event.

Wednesday was supposed to have all of the ATP Fourth Round matches played on one day, and so the winner of the Alexander Zverev-Brandon Nakashima match will have to play twice, rain permitting. They conclude the match earlier in the day with Zverev needing to serve out the match, but the break in play will have snapped the momentum he had picked up.

The total from the tournament will be added to the Thursday thread once the final two selections are completed- Zverev needs to serve out the match to ensure a profitable return from the day, while Jessica Pegula needs a 6-2 or better set to cover her own handicap mark having won the second set after losing an opening tie-breaker.

There is one selection from the matches that have been scheduled for the day and that is from the ATP Masters Fourth Round.

Felix Auger-Aliassime - 2.5 games v Benjamin Bonzi: There has not been much to write home about when it comes to the hard court tournaments played by Benjamin Bonzi this year, but that is not the case in Cincinnati.

After coming through a couple of tight matches and perhaps being on the right side of some fortune, Bonzi produced his best match against Stefanos Tsitsipas.

Backing that up is the challenge as he prepares to face Felix Auger-Aliassime, who has quietly moved through the draw and deserves to be set as a favourite in this Fourth Round match.

The Canadian was clearly the better player against Arthur Rinderknech in the last Round, even if the latter was struggling the conditions, and the Felix Auger-Aliassime serve should be the difference maker in this match up. He was wasteful when it came to converting the Break Point chances, as was Tsitsipas against Benjamin Bonzi in the last Round, but the sheer number of opportunities eventually was beginning to tell on the scoreboard.

Doing the same here should give the higher Ranked player the edge and his overall hard court performances through the course of the year suggest Felix Auger-Aliassime should be able to move through to the Quarter Final.

Benjamin Bonzi is playing with confidence, which will help, but he is likely to be put under pressure by the Auger-Aliassime serve and that could eventually see his own game snap at key times.

MY PICKS: Felix Auger-Aliassime - 2.5 Games @ 1.72 Bet365 (1 Unit)

Cincinnati Masters Tennis Picks 2025 (Tuesday 12th August)

You can only feel frustrated with some of the ways the selections have fallen this week, but that becomes all the harder to take when yet another retirement prevents one winner coming in.

It is the fourth one since the start of the Canadian Masters and all when the winning selection was literally a handful of games away from securing that return.

Making it worse is when the player you backed is clearly struggling, but soldiers on to lose (Cameron Norrie earlier this week)... It is a shame the likes of Marta Kostyuk, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Arthur Rinderknech have not had the same mentality, especially as the former two were both back in action this week just a few days after being unable to continue.

So it has been a tough week and Tuesday may be key to the remainder of the tournament- some fortune will be nice and a positive return to rebuild momentum is key.

Without that, the thoughts may already turn to the US Open, which begins a week on Sunday especially if there is the misfortune piles up on Tuesday... Losing selections isn't the only factor, but losing from a position of winning or having players refuse to take losses mid-match would not really be good enough.

One of the selections from Tuesday has full reasoning, but the others from the ATP tournament are added to the 'MY PICKS' section below with the post being put out later than usual.

Jessica Pegula - 5.5 games v Magda Linette: The two defeats in Washington and Montreal have to be considered disappointments for Jessica Pegula and especially as to how early she was eliminated from both tournaments.

This is a player that will still believe she can win a Major title and the upcoming US Open may represent the best opportunity to do that.

The World Number 4 is still playing at a good level on the hard courts and she was a Finalist at the Miami Masters earlier this year, while also winning a title in Austin. Playing in the United States should be a real motivation for Jessica Pegula who reached the Final in New York City last year before finding Aryna Sabalenka a little too good in each set of a straight sets defeat.

A strong win over Kimberley Birrell will have given Jessica Pegula belief to take further into the Cincinnati tournament and she has to be considered a strong favourite to beat Magda Linette in the Third Round.

The 33 year old is a declining force on the hard courts, although she is scrappy and that means that respect is owed to Magda Linette in this match.

Finding consistency on the hard courts has been challenging for Magda Linette and she is another player who has suffered early losses on the surface over the last month. The serve can sometimes get Linette out of trouble, but this has proven to be a tough match up for her and Jessica Pegula should be comfortable in what she needs to do in order to win.

She has been able to attack the Magda Linette second serve with a lot of success in those prior meetings and the World Number 40 has not been able to get into the Pegula service games as well as she has needed.

There will be moments when Magda Linette is having her way, but over the course of this match, Jessica Pegula should be keeping the pressure on the lower Ranked player and she may have the return game to help cover this big line.

MY PICKS: Jessica Pegula - 5.5 Games @ 2.05 William Hill (1 Unit)

Jakub Mensik - 3.5 Games @ 1.72 Bet365 (1 Unit)

Karen Khachanov - 2.5 Games @ 1.80 William Hill (1 Unit)

Alexander Zverev - 3.5 Games @ 2.00 Bet365 (1 Unit)

Weekly Update: 1-5, - 3.80 Units (6 Units Staked, - 63.33% Yield)

Cincinnati Masters Tennis Picks 2025 (Sunday 10th August)

It has to be considered a really disappointing start to the Cincinnati Masters with both selections barely threatening to return as winners.

The opening two Rounds at the tournament have plenty of matches scheduled, but it has not been easy to find selections that fit the criteria.

There have only been two selections so far at the tournament and there are two more on Sunday as the Second Round is concluded.

Cameron Norrie - 1.5 games v Roberto Bautista Agut: Two veteran players of the ATP Tour meet in the Second Round at the ATP Cincinnati Masters and both should have plenty of belief when it comes to beating the other.

Of course it is Cameron Norrie who has won all four previous Tour matches against Roberto Bautista Agut and so will be justified to have a bit more confidence and that includes a four set win at Wimbledon last month. However, that was a really competitive match and Bautista Agut may feel he was the better player on the day, although it was Cameron Norrie who was winning the bigger points.

Neither player has impressed on the hard courts in 2025- Roberto Bautista Agut had a 1-7 record on the surface prior to his First Round win and had just skipped the Canadian Masters, while an early loss in Toronto has seen Cameron Norrie's record slump to 9-11 after previously putting a couple of wins on the board in Washington.

Cameron Norrie may have done more winning on the surface this season,  but the numbers are pretty close between the players and so the expectation is that another closely fought encounter is in the making.

You would have to favour the Norrie lefty serve, but the Roberto Bautista Agut return game is clearly one of his strengths, even if he has not been at his best on that side of his tennis over the last several months.

There has also felt like a longer-term decline in the tennis being produced by the Spaniard and that may show up in this Second Round match. Mentally he has to deal with facing an opponent that has regularly found a way to win the big points to edge the matches in his own favour and all of that suggests it may be a bit too challenging for Roberto Bautista Agut to overcome.

In the tight moments, Cameron Norrie does have some wins behind him to build the confidence, while the two victories in Washington will help after a decent, unexpected showing at Wimbledon.

Nothing ever seemingly comes easy for the British player, but he can overcome this spread even if it takes three sets get the better of Roberto Bautista Agut.

Jakub Mensik - 3.5 games v Ethan Quinn: There are two young players making their way on the Tour who represent Czechia, but Jakub Mensik may have moved a step ahead of Tomas Machac as the player with the most potential. He has already won a Masters event on the hard courts when upsetting Novak Djokovic in Miami earlier this year and Jakub Mensik will be heading to New York City with some real expectations of making an impact at the final Grand Slam of the season.

He is pretty solid on all surfaces, but Jakub Mensik has perhaps struggled for consistency since that success in Miami.

At 19 years old, so much more is yet to come from him though and his record on the hard courts this year will give him confidence, despite the early loss in Toronto. It was a defeat to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, a player in a purple patch of form, and the Second Round match in Cincinnati should be more manageable.

However, overlooking Ethan Quinn would be a mistake.

This is something you would expect Jakub Mensik to avoid having been pushed by the American on the clay courts earlier this year, while Ethan Quinn has put a win on the board here in Cincinnati. It means he is happy enough with the conditions that will be faced and he has a game that can be dangerous if Ethan Quinn is at his best.

The real struggle for the World Number 82 has been on the return of serve when facing opponents Ranked in the top 100. That has built up some pressure on the serve, although Ethan Quinn will have the confidence of having a 5-5 record against top 100 Ranked opponents on the hard courts in 2025.

He had lost all four matches when the opponent has been Ranked in the top 50, but Ethan Quinn has managed to turn that around with the victory in the First Round. This is one that should aid the confidence ahead of another big test, and so Ethan Quinn deserves plenty of respect.

However, you do have to believe that Jakub Mensik can serve well enough to keep the home hope under some scoreboard pressure and ultimately that could pay off. It is key to his chances to serve well, but that has been a part of the Mensik game that has been pretty reliable and he may end up finding the breaks of serve to ultimately cover a line that perhaps would have felt more comfortable if set at 2.5 rather than 3.5 where it stands.

MY PICKS: Cameron Norrie - 1.5 Games @ 1.85 William Hill (1 Unit)

Jakub Mensik - 3.5 Games @ 2.20 William Hill (1 Unit)

Cincinnati Update: 0-2, - 2 Units (2 Units Staked, - 100% Yield)

Cincinnati Masters Tennis Picks 2025 (Saturday 9th August)

It may not have been the best end to the tournaments in Montreal and Toronto, but a strong Canadian Masters showing has pushed the season numbers back in a positive direction ahead of the last Masters event prior to the US Open.

The tournament started in Cincinnati on Thursday, while the Final will be played a week on Monday as the two hard court Masters tournaments prior to the US Open have been extended in terms of days and scheduling.

By then the US Open will be less than a week away from beginning and the players remain pretty unhappy with the change in the format, even if the majority of the biggest names are taking part at the Cincinnati Masters.

Tomas Machac - 2.5 games v Adrian Mannarino: The tennis Tour is constantly evolving and this feels like an opportunity for Tomas Machac to show how far he has come since losing to Adrian Mannarino at Indian Wells in March 2024.

While Tomas Machac has improved and is set for a Seeded spot at the US Open, Adrian Mannarino has slipped from close to the top 20 in the World Rankings eighteen months ago to now clinging onto a top 100 spot. Qualifying for both Masters events in Canada and Cincinnati will help reverse the decline, while the dominant First Round win should give Adrian Mannarino some confidence in what has been a tough year on the surface.

He is 37 years old now so the decline in the form has to be expected, and you always question how much desire will be left for any veteran if they were to fall back outside of the top 100.

With that in mind, Adrian Mannarino's couple of weeks in North America have been important.

In the first half of the year during the original hard court run, Adrian Mannarino had won just two matches on the surface and the losses had been piling up. This summer he has a 5-2 record on the hard courts in the build up to the US Open and one of those defeats came against Ben Shelton who went on to win the Canadian Masters in Toronto.

A couple of top 100 Ranked wins have been secured during this hard court run so Adrian Mannarino won't be lacking for confidence as he bids for the upset.

An early loss in Toronto means Tomas Machac has had time to rest and become accustomed to the conditions in Cincinnati, although the youngster has been struggling for form over the last couple of months. He is at his best and most comfortable on the hard courts, and won a big title in Acapulco earlier this season, although there is a concern with a lingering issue that has resulted in a number of walkover/mid-match retirements since then.

Since the last of those retirements at the French Open, Tomas Machac has a 3-3 record and he was upset by Reilly Opelka in Toronto.

However, this is a different sort of match compared with that one against a big serving player and it may allow Tomas Machac to settle into a better rhythm. He has to respect the career that Adrian Mannarino has had, but the Czechia player does get a lot more out of the serve and that can be crucial in what have been historically fast conditions in Cincinnati.

The 24 year old Tomas Machac has perhaps not reached the level of expectation that has been burdened by him, but this is an important month coming up and he can get off to a good start with a victory here.

Casper Ruud - 2.5 games v Arthur Rinderknech: Two wins in Toronto will have given Casper Ruud a boost in confidence having been out of action for a couple of months, while the defeat to Karen Khachanov does not look as poor considering he finished Runner Up at the Canadian Masters.

The US Open has been good to Casper Ruud and he will be keen to head to New York City with a bit more confidence and that can be built up with more victories out in Cincinnati.

His last three appearances at this Masters event have all ended very early since Casper Ruud reached the Quarter Final, but he may benefit from the Second Round draw. The opponent may have already placed a win in the record books in the First Round, but it has been a tough season for Arthur Rinderknech on the hard courts, while the head to head with Casper Ruud will offer very little encouragement.

All four previous Tour matches played between these players have been won by the Norwegian and Casper Ruud has yet to drop a set in any of those. Two of the wins have been earned this season with one of those on the hard courts and one on the clay courts and the match up should give Ruud the confidence to find a way past the World Number 64.

Prior to the tournament, Arthur Rinderknech had lost six straight hard court matches and he had been beaten in eleven of thirteen matches played on the surface. The Frenchman will be disappointed with his service numbers this season and that has placed additional pressure on what has been a struggling return game.

Arthur Rinderknech has never been the best return player on this surface, but those numbers have taken a significant dip this season and it should be an opportunity for Casper Ruud to progress without too much fuss.

In the previous four matches, Casper Ruud has held 95% of the service games played against Arthur Rinderknech, while also breaking in 30% of return games played. If he can get close to those numbers again, Ruud should be able to cover what looks to be a potentially awkward handicap on paper against a dangerous server.

MY PICKS: Tomas Machac - 2.5 Games @ 1.72 Bet365 (1 Unit)

Casper Ruud - 2.5 Games @ 1.72 Bet Victor (1 Unit)

2025 Season: 121-98, + 11.33 Units (270 Units Staked, + 4.19% Yield)

Canadian Masters Tennis Picks 2025 (Thursday 7th August)

So we finally make it through a strange scheduling format at the Canadian Masters with two matches left at Montreal/Toronto.

Both Finals have been scheduled to be played on Thursday with the WTA Montreal one going up about an hour before the ATP Toronto Final is set to head out onto the court.

We will have a surprising winner of the first of two Masters events played ahead of the US Open, but the majority of the big names and top contenders at the final Grand Slam will already be in Cincinnati preparing for a Masters event that has First Round matches beginning on Thursday.

It has been a solid tournament for the Tennis Picks, but the expectation is that the first of the Cincinnati Masters selections will be when the Second Round begins on Sunday.

Naomi Osaka - 2.5 games v Victoria Mboko: There is no doubting the talent that Naomi Osaka has displayed on a tennis court in her career and the potential of Victoria Mboko is exciting for her team and Canadian tennis in general, but they are still considered surprising Finalists in Montreal.

It has been a huge tournament for the pair of the players and a strong conclusion would offer a big boost to the World Rankings, which can be crucial in helping a player build forward.

Naomi Osaka has pushed into the Seeding spots for the US Open, but a win for Victoria Mboko would see her crack the top 30 of the World Rankings.

She was perhaps a little fortunate to beat Elena Rybakina in the Semi Final considering the former Wimbledon Champion served for the match on two occasions in the final set. A Match Point was also missed, and Rybakina will feel that she blew the match as much as Victoria Mboko was able to will her way through to win it.

The teenager spent a long time on the court, which could be a factor with no rest day between the Semi Final and Final, while there was also some issues with the wrist that could compromise Victoria Mboko's chances of winning a massive title.

The crowd support could be a big confidence booster for Victoria Mboko and these are emotions that she has to use if she is going to earn the upset.

However, it will also mean fending off a Naomi Osaka playing about as well as she has since returning to the Tour. Earlier this year she won a title for the first time on her return, albeit at a much lower level than this, and Osaka could be a real threat at the US Open if she is able to secure a Masters trophy ahead of a tournament she has won twice before.

The serve is always a big weapon for Naomi Osaka, but she has really impressed with her returning in Montreal and that could be key for her if Victoria Mboko is not able to improve on her numbers from the match against Elena Rybakina. The younger player did manage to get a lot of first serves in play, but she was only winning 57% of the points behind that shot and Osaka is offering up plenty on the return, which feels like a big edge for her in the match.

All credit has to be given to Victoria Mboko for the fight and character she has shown, but needing almost three hours on the court on Wednesday should show up during this Final.

It would be a surprise if Mboko does not have some big moments, as she has had throughout this Masters tournament, but Naomi Osaka should be able to use her big serve and aggressive groundstrokes to win the biggest title since the Australian Open in 2021.

MY PICKS: Naomi Osaka - 2.5 Games @ 1.91 William Hill (1 Unit)

Weekly Update: 14-6, + 5.65 Units (20 Units Staked, + 28.25% Yield)

Canadian Masters Tennis Picks 2025 (Wednesday 6th August)

Plenty of people have come out and criticised the new format being used by the Canadian and Cincinnati Masters with the extended schedule causing some problems.

While we have yet to have a conclusion to the two tournaments being run north of the border, the Cincinnati Masters First Round will begin on Thursday, which is the same day the Canadian Finals have been scheduled to be played.

Traditionalists will be baffled by a Thursday Final for the tournaments in Canada, but they will be pretty unhappy that the Cincinnati Masters is set to be concluded on a Monday, which is less than a week before the US Open begins.

The Tours are likely going to make some adjustments with the events, but the back to back nature of the two Masters ahead of the final Grand Slam means needing more space in the calendar. At least those events earlier in the season at Indian Wells, Miami, Madrid and Rome are all in a part of the schedule where they can begin on Thursday and have the traditional Sunday finish, but the Canadian Masters is played right after a big event in Washington and there has already been some overlap with that tournament without the pre-weekend start.

Fans are not that happy, but players are also aggrieved with the scheduling and so it has to be assumed something will be done to appease everybody, including the Masters events that want to sell extra sessions.

The Grand Slams have done the same with the First Round now beginning on a Sunday at all but Wimbledon, while the Night Session approach of the other three Slams also means they can make that extra revenue. Maybe in the years ahead Wimbledon will be following suit, especially if they do finally begin work on the ground extension that was given approval by the courts in the UK, and that will be another blow to what traditionalists have become used to seeing on the Tour.

It has been a solid week for the Tennis Picks at the Canadian Masters, but there are still six matches to be played before the Tour can all move onto Cincinnati.

There are three selections from the Semi Finals that have all been scheduled for Wednesday and those can be read below.

Alexander Zverev - 2.5 games v Karen Khachanov: In a tournament that was missing the likes of Jannik Sinner, Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic, the field will have arrived in Toronto with the belief that a deep run could be possible. Those three players will go into most tournaments as the favourites to win the title so the absence is a big boost to others, although that may have increased the pressure on the Seeded players involved.

That may have been the case for someone like Alexander Zverev who had such a disappointing Wimbledon, but who has always been able to make a big impact at the US Open.

He came close to winning the French Open last year, but Alexander Zverev's biggest miss feels like the US Open in 2020 when leading 2-0 in sets and also serving for the title in the Fifth Set. Playing on the hard courts have been a comfortable experience for the top Seed and his numbers over the last couple of years means he has to head to New York City as a genuine contender.

The performances here in Toronto have been very strong and dumping out the defending Champion after dropping the first set will have given Alexander Zverev confidence. It is the second time he has won a match in Toronto having lost a first set tie-breaker, but Zverev looks a player performing with a lot more belief than even a month ago and that has shown up in the strong finishes to those matches.

Karen Khachanov is the Semi Final opponent and the World Number 16 deserves plenty of respect as a hard court player, even if 2025 had been disappointing prior to his run here. He had been just 5-7 in hard court matches before the four wins at this Masters event, but Karen Khachanov had won 65% of his hard court matches in the previous two seasons and is someone who loves playing on the surface.

With a big serve, Khachanov is able to build plenty of pressure on the hard courts, and an aggressive style means he will look to get on the front foot on the return.

His numbers have been very good in Toronto with 71% of his service points being won and Karen Khachanov will know he needs to serve well to try and keep a lid on Alexander Zverev.

It is the lower Ranked player who has found a bit more joy out of the returning numbers, but Karen Khachanov has seen those declining in each of the four wins produced in the tournament run. He was tested by Alex Michelsen in the Quarter Final win and now arguably faces the toughest serve he will have seen in this event.

Alexander Zverev does have the upper hand in the head to head having beaten Karen Khachanov in five of seven meetings on the Tour.

That includes two hard court wins in North America in 2024 in matches where Zverev had a significant edge as far as the serving numbers go as he comfortably dismissed Karen Khachanov both times. Add in the fact that the latter has tended to struggle when facing higher Ranked opponents on the surface, despite the win over Casper Ruud earlier in the tournament, and you have to believe Alexander Zverev can get the better of the World Number 16 in two tight, competitive sets.

Elena Rybakina - 3.5 games v Victoria Mboko: It has been a really strong season for Victoria Mboko as she continues her development as a professional tennis player with a huge amount of expectation on her shoulders. The 18 year old has won a lot of matches and reached a career high World Ranking of Number 85 in the lead up to a big event in her home country, but even the biggest advocate of Mboko could not have been prepared for the tournament she has put together.

An upset of Coco Gauff will have made headlines, but Victoria Mboko has refused to allow that victory to overwhelm her and she has won two more matches to make it through to the Semi Final in Montreal.

She has already climbed into the top 50 of the provisional World Rankings and now Victoria Mboko takes aim at reaching her biggest Final in her young career.

That would mean overturning a result from Washington when she was beaten by Elena Rybakina and this looks a big challenge considering how well the former Wimbledon Champion is playing right now.

As mentioned previously this week, Elena Rybakina has been struggling on the Tour as off-court issues have regularly been making the headlines instead of her tennis. However, she has looked much more comfortable back on the hard courts over the last month and Elena Rybakina has been in very strong form here in Montreal, while also perhaps benefiting from the fact that Victoria Mboko will have made the majority of the headlines.

Both players will feel they can dominate behind a big first serve, while it is the younger player who has perhaps impressed most with her return game.

In saying that, it was Elena Rybakina who was the stronger of the two players in Washington and she was able to make many more inroads into the Victoria Mboko serve compared with the other way around.

This week the home support will make it that much tougher for Elena Rybakina, but she has a very strong game for the hard courts and the expectation is that she can frank the form with another win over the youngster. In that match in Washington, it was Elena Rybakina who managed to protect the second serve much more effectively compared with Mboko and that may be the case again in this Semi Final with the former World Number 3 also having the advantages of being much more experienced at the latter stages of these big tournaments.

Victoria Mboko will have learned plenty out of that defeat in the previous tournament, and she is playing with a lot of confidence. She will have her moments, but the feeling is that Elena Rybakina may have a few more as she looks to put a big tournament in the books ahead of the US Open.

Naomi Osaka - 1.5 games v Clara Tauson: Both of these players earned dominant Quarter Final wins on Tuesday and so there will be no excuses for Naomi Osaka and Clara Tauson when they have to play again on Wednesday.

The performances throughout the runs in Montreal have been very impressive, although you have to perhaps say the wins that Clara Tauson has produced have been superior to the ones that Naomi Osaka has on the board.

Beating two of the three Grand Slam Champions of 2025 will give Tauson so much confidence and she will feel she is serving well enough in these conditions to try and shorten the points against a dangerous player standing on the other side of the net.

Naomi Osaka has some very strong wins on the record, but she has not faced the likes of Madison Keys or Iga Swiatek and that has to be a potential factor. Crushing Elina Svitolina in the manner she did on Tuesday would have gotten the attention and Naomi Osaka is set to be Seeded at the US Open, which is important to allow her to work her way into that Grand Slam.

Much like her opponent, Naomi Osaka has been using the serve to contain the threats posed from the other side of the net and this has the makings of a close match.

Earlier this year, it was Clara Tauson who will hold the win over Naomi Osaka in the Auckland Final, but the latter withdrew from that match after winning the first set. The numbers really were heavily skewed in favour of Osaka in that match and so she will certainly enter the court with a lot of belief that her game is going to match up well with Clara Tauson's.

The expectation is that both players are going to have plenty of success behind the serve, but Naomi Osaka looks to be playing with a lot of confidence. Her numbers at the event look similar to Clara Tauson's, but Osaka may not make the errors that ended up costing Madison Keys in the Quarter Final defeat to the Dane.

The first set will be important, and Naomi Osaka could be tough to peg back if she is able to get in front.

Clara Tauson is going to be playing at a career high World Ranking from next week and has to be respected, but a big hitting match may end up just slipping away from her at the end.

MY PICKS: Alexander Zverev - 2.5 Games @ 1.72 Bet365 (1 Unit)

Elena Rybakina - 3.5 Games @ 1.85 Bet Victor (1 Unit)

Naomi Osaka - 1.5 Games @ 1.66 Sky Bet (1 Unit)

Weekly Update: 13-4, + 6.99 Units (17 Units Staked, + 41.12% Yield)

Canadian Masters Tennis Picks 2025 (Tuesday 5th August)

Appreciating the positives of the tournament has to be the right approach for these pages, but back to back days having players in winning positions only to have the opponent withdraw mid-match is a blow.

The numbers would have been very, very good if both Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Marta Kostyuk had completed their matches, even from a tough position, but that is just the way it goes.

Fortunately the selections around those Picks have come in as winners and that has eased the frustration- those retirements hurt a lot more when they have left just losing selections, meaning a dip in the numbers rather than just missing out on more additions.

The Semi Final lineup at both events in Montreal and Toronto will be completed on Tuesday as we fast approach the rare Thursday Final.

On the same day, the First Round at the next Masters event in Cincinnati will have begun, while those making the Final in the Canadian Masters are expected to be in action over the weekend. It is far from ideal, but the positives is that there is momentum behind those still involved this side of the North American border and the US Open is now two and a half weeks from getting underway.

Both Men's Quarter Final matches look difficult to pick on Tuesday, but the underdogs may show a bit of bite in the Women's tournament in Montreal.

Naomi Osaka + 2.5 games v Elina Svitolina: There is no doubt that Naomi Osaka would have recognised how tough her return to the Tour would be, but over eighteen months have passed and some will perhaps be disappointed by the fact she is lingering on the edges of the top 50 in the World Rankings.

That will change thanks to her run to the Quarter Final of the Canadian Masters with Osaka provisionally at around World Number 34, but the focus will be on trying to win a first title on the hard courts since winning the Australian Open in 2021.

Four Grand Slams have been secured, but Naomi Osaka has not made the second week of a Major since returning and a lot of her career has felt like 'all or nothing'. For example, Naomi Osaka has not made the Quarter Final at any Grand Slam that she has not gone on to win.

Her Quarter Final opponent, Elina Svitolina, may serve as something of an inspiration as to what is possible for a mother returning to the Tour. While Osaka has struggled for consistency, Elina Svitolina is the World Number 13 and a player who has reached the Quarter Final or better in half of the ten Grand Slam events played since returning to action.

The run to the last eight in Montreal will not improve the World Ranking, but winning the title here would push Elina Svitolina back into the top ten and give her a lot of confidence in her bid to win a maiden Grand Slam title at the upcoming US Open.

She has been in solid form in her three wins and beating Amanda Anisimova in straight sets will provide a boost.

Naomi Osaka has had to start a little earlier and so has won four matches to reach the Quarter Final, while her own performances have been very solid.

The key is going to be to serve as well as possible and try and avoid getting drawn into the longer rallies where Elina Svitolina's movement can help turn defence into attack very quickly. You also have to assume that Naomi Osaka is going to lose the majority of longer rallies and so it is key to get on the front foot and dictate the terms of this match.

That was the case when Naomi Osaka beat Elina Svitolina in Miami last year, although it was a competitive match with very little separating them on the day. It was the Osaka serve that delivered the advantages in favour of the former World Number 1 and she has been playing well enough to win a set, which may in turn be enough to cover as the underdog, even if ultimately it is the higher Ranked player who finds a way to reach the Semi Final.

Clara Tauson v Madison Keys: The history books will only state who won a Grand Slam title and the manner will long be forgotten, but it is pretty clear that Madison Keys is still operating on pretty fine margins on the hard courts. Back in Melbourne, she won a number of very close matches that could easily have swung away from her, but the American is very comfortable on the hard courts and has won another title outside of the Australian Open, as well as reaching the Quarter Final and Semi Final at Masters level events.

With that in mind, Madison Keys will be playing with plenty of confidence even if her last two wins here in Montreal have been far from convincing.

She has needed three sets in the last two Rounds to overcome Caty McNally and Karolina Muchova, and the concern for fans of Madison Keys is that she is not looking like a player peaking towards the end of the tournament.

At the Australian Open, Madison Keys was pretty steady with her performances even if there were some very close wins in her run to a surprising Grand Slam success. However, the numbers have dipped in each match played in Montreal and now Madison Keys has to try and hold off a confident youngster who just beat the Wimbledon Champion in the Fourth Round.

Clara Tauson has long been seen as a player with a huge amount of potential and she is set to improve on her career best World Ranking mark of Number 19, which was set in July.

She has just toughed out a win over Iga Swiatek, which will give Clara Tauson a lot of confidence after crushing her first two opponents without much resistance. The 22 year old won the title in Auckland in the build towards the Australian Open, but it has been a season where Clara Tauson may have expected more from herself on this surface, at least before she arrived in Montreal.

Having an impact at one of the big Masters events prior to the US Open beginning will really help Clara Tauson and the first serve can be a particularly strong weapon for her on the hard courts.

We have seen that in her three wins this week, but Clara Tauson has perhaps impressed even more with the way she has been seeing the ball on the return. Facing the Madison Keys first serve will be challenging, but Tauson may believe that she can be plenty aggressive against the second and her performances suggest she is a real threat to pull the upset.

That was the case when the pair met earlier in the year in Auckland and it was Clara Tauson who protected her second serve with much more success compared with the American.

Playing after an upset can be tough for players on the Tour, but Clara Tauson is experienced enough and this has the makings of a competitive Quarter Final. The underdog is perhaps been underestimated and Clara Tauson has every chance of securing a second outright win over Madison Keys.

MY PICKS: Naomi Osaka + 2.5 Games @ 1.83 William Hill (1 Unit)

Clara Tauson @ 2.10 William Hill (1 Unit)

Weekly Update: 11-4, + 5.06 Units (15 Units Staked, + 33.73% Yield)

Canadian Masters Tennis Picks 2025 (Monday 4th August)

After the setback on Saturday, Sunday proved to be a bounce back day for the Tennis Picks and the Canadian Masters are in a decent position to end on a positive and with momentum to take into the two big tournaments to be played in August.

The Quarter Finals will begin in Toronto and Montreal on Monday and the remaining four matches will be played on Tuesday as we fast approach the end of the tournaments here and the beginning of Cincinnati. The midweek Finals are still feeling awkward, both to players and fans, but there is a big prize on the line and that has to be the focus for the players still involved.

Alexander Zverev - 3.5 games v Alexei Popyrin: The serve is a big weapon for Alexei Popyrin and he has found plenty of consistency from out of this shot on the hard courts. In recent years he has averaged winning around 66% of the points played behind the serve on a regular basis, but the Australian had put some strong results on the board in 2024 because he had shown plenty of improvement on the return of serve.

However, that has not been the case this season with Popyrin breaking in just 11% of return games played and that is a massive reason he has gone from winning twenty-one hard court matches last season compared with just two wins from ten hard court matches prior to the Canadian Masters winning.

In just a few days, Alexei Popyrin has won more matches on the surface than he has for the entirety of the season and it will give him confidence with the US Open fast approaching.

He has fought back to beat Daniil Medvedev and Holger Rune in consecutive Rounds and there will be encouragement from the amount of Break Points that have been created in the deserved wins.

Alexei Popyrin is also the defending Champion in Canada, albeit in a tournament that was played in Montreal rather than Toronto, and that has clearly offered him some belief that has taken him through to the Quarter Final.

He has yet to earn a win over Alexander Zverev on the Tour, although the two hard court losses were several years ago when Alexei Popyrin was still building as a professional player. The last match was on clay at the Paris Olympics last year and that is a surface on which Alexander Zverev would be considered a significant favourite.

Even then, Alexander Zverev has been putting together some very solid hard court numbers over the last two seasons and he is a genuine threat to have a deep run at the US Open. The serve is a big weapon, but the top Seed here in Canada has been much more consistent when it comes to the return and that should give him the edge over Alexei Popyrin.

The handicap line is a tough one with Alexander Zverev potentially needing at least two more breaks of serve compared with Alexei Popyrin, but the former has been playing well all year on the hard courts and that should give him the advantage. There will be times when Popyrin is pretty dominant on the serve, but Alexander Zverev can keep plenty of scoreboard pressure on him and that should see him find a way to win and cover.

Elena Rybakina - 4.5 games v Marta Kostyuk: This is a very big line for any Quarter Final match, but the power of Elena Rybakina can see her come through with a solid win against Marta Kostyuk.

If the latter is able to serve well, she can put some pressure on Elena Rybakina, but Marta Kostyuk's second serve continues to be the issue.

She is also not the strongest of return players when it comes to matches on the hard courts and both of those aspects of her tennis take a significant dip when only considering Marta Kostyuk matches against those Ranked higher than herself.

Earlier this season, Kostyuk suffered pretty comfortable defeats to Qinwen Zheng and Jessica Pegula and it may be tough for her to stick with Elena Rybakina, who continues to serve extremely well.

Confidence, or lack of confidence, has been an issue for Elena Rybakina, but she has looked good in the last couple of tournaments and that can only bode well for the World Number 12 at the upcoming US Open. She also showed plenty of character to come from a set behind to beat Dayana Yastremska in the Fourth Round and that is a victory that will do Elena Rybakina the world of good.

In the victories produced in Montreal, Elena Rybakina has looked to be in the more convincing form of the two players and she has also beaten Marta Kostyuk in their last two meetings on the Tour. One of those was a routine victory at the US Open in 2023 and it does feel like the higher Ranked player is going to be in a position to move through to the Semi Final behind another solid looking win.

MY PICKS: Alexander Zverev - 3.5 Games @ 2.00 Sky Bet (1 Unit)

Elena Rybakina - 4.5 Games @ 2.05 Bet Victor (1 Unit)

Weekly Update: 10-4, + 4.06 Units (14 Units Staked, + 29% Yield)

Canadian Masters Tennis Picks 2025 (Sunday 3rd August)

The Quarter Final lineup at the Canadian Masters will be confirmed at the end of the Sunday action and there were a couple of upsets on Saturday that will have made the leading contenders a little more focused.

It looks a difficult day from which to make Picks, but there are two matches on the Men's side of the tournament in Toronto that seem to fit the bill.

Alex De Minaur - 3.5 games v Frances Tiafoe: This is the time of the season when Frances Tiafoe has tended to flourish with strong runs in his home Grand Slam the highlight.

He also reached the Final at the Cincinnati Masters in 2024, although Frances Tiafoe has not had a big impact at the Canadian Masters with some early exits in the last couple of years. It looked like being another opening Round defeat earlier in the event, although Tiafoe showed his character to rally, while following up with another victory that needed all three sets to be played.

Now he has to take on Washington Champion Alex De Minaur who has benefited from a Walkover in the Third Round.

This should mean the Australian is fresh having played through to the weekend in Washington and he has only needed to play a single match here in Toronto to take his place in the Fourth Round. It has been a really solid season for Alex De Minuar on the hard courts and he is getting closer to surpassing the career best World Ranking mark of Number 6 which was set thirteen months ago.

With nothing to defend in terms of Ranking points in Canada and Cincinnati, Alex De Minaur can play with some freedom and he continues to operate as a player that tends to beat those he is expected to beat, but perhaps still looking to find a way to get closer to the likes of Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz.

The World Number 8 is getting plenty out of an improving serve, and Alex De Minaur remains a very dangerous return player.

These players have not met on the Tour since October 2022 so there will be some learning to be done on the court with both Tiafoe and De Minaur stronger than they were when last facing off on an indoor court at the Paris Masters.

Frances Tiafoe is going to have to serve well to try and keep Alex De Minaur contained, but there is a big difference in the way they have gone about their return games and the successes that they have had.

He is better than the sum of his parts, but Frances Tiafoe continues to operate at very fine margins and someone playing at the level of Alex De Minaur may have too much about him. As long as the higher Ranked player continues to return as well as he has been, he can wear down Tiafoe in a tournament where the latter has not had the same type of successes as Cincinnati and New York City.

Andrey Rublev v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: One Washington Finalist can force their way through to the Quarter Final of the Canadian Masters, but it may be tougher for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to work his way past Andrey Rublev.

After playing so well in Washington and arguably deserving to win the title, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has been very good in winning two matches in Toronto. The form is hard to ignore and he is at a peak career World Ranking inside the top 20, although it feels like the Spaniard has operated at a higher level than that.

It is the third Final lost on the hard courts in 2025, but the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina numbers have not exactly leapt off the page.

The serve is sometimes a vulnerability on the hard courts, but the Spaniard is a capable returner and that does give him chances.

Andrey Rublev has fallen out of the top ten in the World Rankings and he has a 13-9 record on the hard courts in 2025, although he has been a dominant winner to keep the numbers at a decent level. He has won two good matches in Toronto, but there have been plenty of disappointing losses over the course of the season as Andrey Rublev has tried to turn his form around, at least from a consistency point of view.

His serve can be very productive on the hard courts and that is going to be important to try and keep the opponent under the cosh.

He has also broken in 20% of return games played on the hard courts this season and that makes Andrey Rublev dangerous against an opponent he had beaten five straight times before losing to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won their last match on the clay courts of Barcelona earlier this season.

They have been competitive matches between the players, but the Rublev serve could be key with a few more cheaper points that can be earned. This can make the difference in what should be another close match and Andrey Rublev can come through as the narrow underdog in this Fourth Round encounter.

MY PICKS: Alex De Minaur - 3.5 Games @ 1.72 Bet365 (1 Unit)

Andrey Rublev @ 2.10 Bet365 (1 Unit)

Weekly Update: 9-4, + 3.34 Units (13 Units Staked, + 25.69% Yield)

Canadian Masters Tennis Picks 2025 (Saturday 2nd August)

The Canadian Masters continues through the weekend with Fourth Round action in Toronto and Montreal.

There are some good matches scheduled for Saturday and there are three selections made, which can be read below.

With the majority of the Tennis Picks from Friday being played in the evening in Canada, the weekly totals will be updated and placed in this thread once they have all been concluded.

Casper Ruud v Karen Khachanov: It was not a surprising decision to see Casper Ruud miss the entirety of the grass court season after suffering an injury issue at the French Open. He has been rehabbing for some time now and the Norwegian has returned to the Tour with two solid wins here in Toronto as he has moved through to the Fourth Round.

Casper Ruud will feel his tennis is well suited to the hard courts and he has had plenty of successes at the US Open in the past.

However, he has been set as the underdog in this match against Karen Khachanov and that is something of a surprise.

Of course you have to acknowledge the fact that Casper Ruud has been out of action for some time, but he should have gotten his legs back under him having put two wins on the board. Karen Khachanov has been playing pretty well himself and he did have a solid showing at Wimbledon, which will have boosted the confidence, but the overall hard courts record is just 7-7 for the season.

It has been a particular struggle for the World Number 16 when facing opponents who are Ranked higher than himself.

He has lost all four hard court matches in that spot this season and Karen Khachanov is just 2-8 in those matches over the last twelve months, which is something he is likely going to have to battle against. The serve has been put under pressure by the fact that Khachanov has really struggled with his return against the higher Ranked opponents faced and Casper Ruud will feel he can exploit that fact.

In two previous matches on the Tour, Casper Ruud has been much the better player although the last of those came at the US Open in 2022. Casper Ruud beat Karen Khachanov in the Semi Final of that Grand Slam, and he has been serving well enough in his two wins at the Canadian Masters to be able to edge through this contest.

Marta Kostyuk - 1.5 games v McCartney Kessler: Both of these players have had to dig in and work hard to move through to the Fourth Round in Montreal, but having a day of rest between matches should help.

There are similarities in the performances that Marta Kostyuk and McCartney Kessler have been able to produce on the hard courts and that should lead to a competitive match.

It is McCartney Kessler who has won a title on the surface earlier this season, and she also reached the Final in Austin, but the most recent hard court results have perhaps been a little disappointing. That makes the two wins in this tournament feel important and she will have the confidence to take on an opponent who beat her convincingly at the US Open last year.

Marta Kostyuk has really been struggling for consistency on the hard courts and she has only reached the Quarter Final in one tournament in 2025.

The second serve has been a vulnerability and that is something that McCartney Kessler has to look to attack and try and build the pressure on the World Number 28.

However, the Kostyk first serve seems to have a bigger impact compared with the American's same delivery and it may give the higher Ranked player a few more cheaper points.

She has the slightly superior returning numbers too and Marta Kostyuk may end up getting better of the match, even if she needs three sets to move through.

Elena Rybakina - 4.5 games v Dayana Yastremska: There are still plenty of wins being produced by Elena Rybakina, but she has dropped out of the top ten in the World Rankings. Off court issues have been affecting her for several months and that has really not helped Elena Rybakina to consistently challenge the very best players on the Tour.

Over the coming weeks, Elena Rybakina has a really good chance to reverse the drop in the World Ranking with very few points to defend and she is already doing a good job of that here in Montreal.

Two solid wins have been earned by the World Number 12 and she has been playing at a pretty consistent level on the hard courts, although Semi Final defeats have been a feature of her season on this surface. Underwhelming showings at Indian Wells and Miami would have hurt too, but there is every chance that Elena Rybakina will make it through to the Quarter Final here.

Dayana Yastremska will have plenty to say about that, although she has not been as convincing in her two wins compared with her opponent.

In both victories, the Ukrainian has actually allowed more Break Points to be created against her serve and that can be tough to sustain if she wants to keep winning matches.

At her best, Dayana Yastremska can be an effective server and she will need to do that if she is going to challenge Elena Rybakina. The latter is not always at her best on the return of serve on the hard courts and it has long felt like an area of her tennis that can be improved, but Elena Rybakina can build plenty of scoreboard pressure with her own serve.

That could be key to the outcome of this match as Rybakina looks to beat this opponent for the second time on the Tour.

Earlier this season, Elena Rybakina beat Dayana Yastremska at the Australian Open and it was a relatively comfortable win too. She had been the much stronger server in that match and created almost three times as many Break Points as she faced and the feeling is that Rybakina can do something similar here to edge past the handicap mark set.

MY PICKS: Casper Ruud @ 2.10 Bet Victor (1 Unit)

Marta Kostyuk - 1.5 Games @ 1.87 Bet Victor (1 Unit)

Elena Rybakina - 4.5 Games @ 1.91 William Hill (1 Unit)

Weekly Update: 8-2, + 4.47 Units (10 Units Staked, + 47% Yield)