After taking a few days off from the Tennis Picks at the end of Wimbledon it has proven to be a pretty good decision. The last two days have returned a 5-2 record from the seven selections made from Bastad and Newport and is going to prove to be a winning week to follow the successful Wimbledon.
On Saturday we move into the Semi Final matches at the five events being played this week, but I have only been focusing on the ATP events so far this week. That won't change in the final couple of days of the week before the Tour moves on to a number of new stops on Monday when I will be looking to produce another positive week of results to add to the season totals.
Keeping in mind I am only focusing on the three ATP events this week and the fact we are down to the Semi Final, it should not be a big surprise that options are perhaps limited for Saturday. In fact only a single match fit into the criteria to be one of the Picks made this week and you can read that below.
I have also updated the weekly totals following the 3-1 record on Friday.
Marcel Granollers - 2.5 games v Alexander Bublik: Neither of these players had a really strong grass court season over the last month, but their run in Newport is one that they will both appreciate. Both Marcel Granollers and Alexander Bublik have entered the top 100 of the World Rankings, but the key for them here is winning this event which could take them close to a position where they could enter Masters events without the need to Qualify.
That does mean there is plenty on the line for both and it is Marcel Granollers who has impressed the most and looks worthy of backing here.
The Spaniard has been playing the superior tennis on the grass courts over the last couple of years and his performances at this tournament over the last week have been very impressive. Marcel Granollers has a serve that can be very effective on the grass courts and so far he has held all service games played in this tournament. In fact he has only faced break points in one of his three matches played and it has allowed Granollers to free his arms when it comes to the return of serve.
He has been an effective returner anyway, but Granollers has been even more impressive so far this week. After winning 84% of points behind serve, Granollers has also managed to win 46% of points played on the opponent's serve and that should give him plenty of confidence to take into this match.
I am not suggesting Alexander Bublik has not been playing well, but he has needed to win all three of his matches in three sets and Bublik has come from behind in each of his last two wins. That will give him confidence for sure, but Bublik is only holding 78% of his service games played in Newport and I do think that is a slight concern if Granollers maintains his level.
Alexander Bublik has also broken in 27% of return games played this week compared with Granollers' 40% and I do think the latter deserves the edge in this one. You would think Marcel Granollers is going to come down from the pretty amazing numbers he has produced so far this week, but I do think his overall performances on the grass should give him the edge in the match and one that I believe warrants backing the Spaniard to cover the number here.
MY PICKS: Marcel Granollers - 2.5 Games @ 1.83 Bet365 (2 Units)
Weekly Update: 5-2, + 6.02 Units (14 Units Staked, + 43% Yield)
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