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Thursday, 11 April 2013

Tennis Picks 2013 (April 11th)

The tennis tournaments at Casablanca and Houston continue this week and I will continue making picks where I see any value.

For some reason, the layers are not putting up prices for the tournament in Poland, or limiting the markets at the very least and I am not entirely sure why. Oh well, I won't be losing any sleep over that and will just focus on what is out there.

Martin Klizan - 2.5 games v Filippo Volandri: I have picked Martin Klizan as a potential outsider to win the tournament in Casablanca this week, and I do think he can see off the veteran Filippo Volandri as long as his confidence isn't dented from a poor month or so on the Tour.

Klizan certainly has the clay court pedigree and recorded two wins over Volandri last season on this surface so he certainly won't be intimidated by the match up. However, it does have to be taken into consideration that Volandri has won four matches here so will be much more familiar with the court conditions and could have an edge in the match.

There is also a chance that Klizan is forced to go to three sets to win this match, but I do think he is capable of doing it with a 6-3, 4-6, 6-4 win and I like the Number 3 seed to make it into the Second Round.

Sam Querrey - 3.5 games v Rhyne Williams: I am a little surprised that Sam Querrey isn't favoured by at least another game in this one, unless the layers believe the beating he took by Novak Djokovic in the Davis Cup last Sunday is playing on his mind.

Querrey is the American Number 1, which shows how far that country has dropped in terms of performers, but he is still likely to be too good for his compatriot Rhyne Williams. Neither player has a lot of clay court pedigree, but Querrey did win a Challenger event last season on this surface against players of a similar level to Williams.

I think the courts here in Houston do play faster than traditional European clay courts and that should favour the Querrey big serve and I do think he can come through with a 6-3, 6-4 win.

MY PICKS: Martin Klizan - 2.5 Games @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
Sam Querrey - 3.5 Games @ 2.14 Pinnacle (1 Unit)

Weekly Update: 1-1, + 0.25 (2 Units Staked, + 12.5% Yield)

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