College Football Week 13 Picks 2012

It has been a tough season, as I say every week, but the last couple of weeks has at least seen a small profit develop, although again teams have left points on the board and cost me.

This is the final week of the regular season for many of the College teams up and down the nation, but these are the picks I'll go with before the start of the Championship Games next weekend.

Happy Thanksgiving to all those celebrating.


Northern Illinois Huskies @ Eastern Michigan Eagles Pick: It is a big spread, but I like the Northern Illinois Huskies to cover for the following reasons:

First, the Huskies have won their last 3 at Eastern Michigan while covering the spread and have recorded some huge wins including a 68 point win last time they played here.

Second, the Huskies have a lot of momentum and will want to complete the sweep of the MAC in Conference play ahead of the Championship Game next weekend.

Third, the Eagles are just 5-9 against the spread as the home underdog since Ron English took over as Head Coach.


Marshall Thundering Herd @ East Carolina Pirates Pick: I'll back the home favourite to win the game and cover the spread for the following reasons:

First, East Carolina have dominated Marshall at home, winning 6 in a row by an average of 20 points per game.

Second, the Pirates are also a decent home favourite going 5-3 against the spread, compared with Marshall who are 5-7 as the road underdog.


Buffalo Bulls @ Bowling Green Falcons Pick: I'll back the Bowling Green Falcons for the following reasons to cover the spread:

First, I think the Bowling Green Defense has the definite edge in this contest and they should be able to slow down the Bulls enough to win this game and cover the spread.

Second, the Falcons did lose any hopes of winning the MAC East with a home loss last week, but they will still want to get some momentum ahead of their Bowl game that they should be involved with.

Third, Bowling Green have been very strong as the favourite this season and should be able to overcome Buffalo as long as their minds haven't wandered after the loss last week.


LSU Tigers @ Arkansas Razorbacks Pick: I will back the LSU Tigers to win and cover the spread for the following reasons:

First, Arkansas have never recovered from the Bobby Petrino scandal before the season began and they have played like a team that is looking forward to the end of the season from day one. That's not good against a LSU team that will be focused on reaching double-digit wins again.

Second, the Tigers should have enough turnovers to pull away from the Razorbacks and I think their Special Teams could also have a big impact in the game.

Third, LSU are usually a solid road favourite, going 6-2 against the spread in that spot over the last 3 seasons.


Indiana Hoosiers @ Purdue Boilermakers Pick: I'll back the Purdue Boilermakers to win and cover the spread for the following reasons:

First, I think this will be a high-scoring game, but I'll be looking for Purdue to win the turnover battle and secure the win by a touchdown at least.

Second, Purdue have been pretty dominant in the recent series and won't be under different pressure having beat Indiana to become Bowl eligible last season.

Third, the Boilermakers are also in revenge mode having lost here the last time they played one another, and had previously beaten Indiana comfortably in 4 straight home games.


Kentucky Wildcats @ Tennessee Volunteers Pick: I said a few weeks ago that Derek Dooley wouldn't be long for the Tennessee Head Coach role and that was confirmed last week. I still like the Tennessee Volunteers to win this game and cover the spread for the following reasons:

First, Tennessee have been a big disappointment this season but I do think they are the better team here and should be able to do enough at home to win by pulling away late.

Second, Tennessee are also in a revenge spot having lost in Lexington last season and they had covered in 4 straight games in this series before that.

Third, Kentucky are an awful road underdog, going 2-10 against the spread under Joker Phillips when in that spot.


Florida Gators @ Florida State Seminoles Pick: I'll back the Florida State Seminoles to win and cover the spread for the following reasons:

First, Florida State have blown out the Florida Gators two seasons in a row and I think they will have more focus here as the Gators think about missing their chance of winning the SEC East.

Second, the Seminoles are better on both sides of the ball and should make enough big plays to cover the spread in a winning performance.

Third, Florida are only 1-4 against the spread as the road underdog over the last three seasons.


Wisconsin Badgers @ Penn State Nittany Lions Pick: I'll take the points in this one with the Wisconsin Badgers for the following reasons:

First, Wisconsin will want to pick up some momentum ahead of the Big Ten Championship Game next week and so they should be fully focused against a rival.

Second, the Badgers have fallen short against the best teams in the Big Ten, but I think they match up well against the Nittany Lions and may just be able to win this outright.


South Carolina Gamecocks @ Clemson Tigers Pick: I'll take the Clemson Tigers to win this game and cover the spread for the following reasons:

First, the match up seems to favour the Tigers more than South Carolina and I think Tajh Boyd makes the big plays that lead to the victory.

Second, Clemson have been playing the better football of the two teams and will be focused on the game with the ACC Championship Game not in their future this season.

Third, the Tigers have also been exceptional at home in the last two seasons and I think that will also make the difference in this game.





MY PICKS: Northern Illinois Huskies - 20.5 Points @ 1.92 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)
East Carolina Pirates - 6.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
Bowling Green Falcons - 9.5 Points @ 1.92 Bet Victor (1 Unit)
LSU Tigers - 12 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
Purdue Boilermakers - 5.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
Tennessee Volunteers - 12.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
Florida State Seminoles - 7 Points @ 1.92 Bet Victor (1 Unit)
Wisconsin Badgers + 2 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
Clemson Tigers - 3.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)