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Saturday, 13 August 2011

Tennis Picks August 13th

After a horrendous start to the week and looking like I was going to struggle to a heavy loss, things turned around yesterday as all 5 picks came in as winners.

I really felt I deserved that change in fortune after having a few really close losses earlier in the week that added up to my struggles. Now I am back in profit for the daily picks with the Semi Finals tonight and the Finals tomorrow from the events in Montreal and Toronto.

On to the Picks:

Sam Stosur vs Agnieska Radwanska: I am going to back the Australian in this one to come through as the underdog.

Stosur has played well in her last 3 matches after struggling in Round 1, and I really think she has an excellent chance of making the Final. She is one of the few players on the WTA Tour that plays with a lot of heavy spin on her shots and that may make life difficult for a defensive player like Radwanska.

The other issue is the amount of matches Radwanska has had to play recently and fatigue must be an issue. Unlike a 2 week Grand Slam, the Pole has had very little rest after coming in from the West Coast of America on Monday following a win in San Diego.

This will eventually tell on Radwanska, and I think it is Stosur who will take advantage.


Mardy Fish - 2.5 games vs Janko Tipsarevic: This may look a risky play after Mardy Fish decided to lose his mind when serving in the 2nd set against Stanislas Wawrinka yesterday, but I think he has the edge over Tipsarevic on the hard courts of North America.

Janko Tipsarevic is a very good player, but still is very inconsistent when following strong performances with very poor ones. His serve is effective on the faster surfaces, but I think Fish attacking the net will eventually pay dividends and allow the American to move through in 2 sets.

The first set could be a tight affair before Fish takes complete control, and the fact he has won their last 3 meetings on different surfaces should give the American additional confidence and reach yet another Masters Final on North American soil.


Jo-Wilfried Tsonga + 4.5 games vs Novak Djokovic: Jo-Wilfried Tsonga is playing some of the best stuff in his career over the last couple of months and has transferred his form from Wimbledon onto the hard courts here in Montreal.

He will receive a lot of support from the French-speaking residents of this city and I think he is playing well enough to at least pose problems for Djokovic.

What can I say about the Serb that hasn't been said already this season? He has lifted his level to such a high standard and to lose just 1 match all season in this period of Men's tennis is something very very special.

In saying that, I think Tsonga has the game to give anyone problems, and if he is hitting as clean as he has been this week, I really feel the Frenchman will give Djokovic his biggest test of the tournament this week.


MY PICKS: Sam Stosur @ 2.20 Sky Bet (1 Unit)
Mardy Fish - 2.5 games @ 2.00 Pinnacle (2 Units)
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga + 4.5 games @ 1.91 Pinnacle (1 Unit)




WEEKLY UPDATE: + 2.65 Units

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