Wimbledon Day 10 Picks (July 5th 2012)

It is the Semi Finals from the Women's tournament today and I am going to make the following two picks:

Agnieszka Radwanska v Angelique Kerber: I know Agnieszka Radwanska had a long Quarter Final before coming through against Maria Kirilenko, but I am a little surprised that she is the underdog in this match against Angelique Kerber, especially considering how close the latter also came to being knocked out at the Quarter Final stage.

The one area the German definitely has the edge is in the power department, while both have solid defensive skills and good movement.

However, despite holding that edge, I still think Kerber should not be as short as she is at the moment and that is the reason I am taking Radwanska.

Both have won 2 of the previous 4 meetings between the players, while we have seen the last three matches all go into a third set showing how close these players are to one another.

I just think Radwanska may have overcome a big mental hurdle just to reach this Semi Final and she might be a little too tough for Kerber who should really have been beaten by Sabine Lisicki in the last Round.


Serena Williams - 2.5 games v Victoria Azarenka: Victoria Azarenka has barely been pushed in this tournament so far, but this looks like a challenge that may be beyond her as I don't think she can match the power that Serena Williams will be providing from one side of the court.

The American put in her best performance in the last Round as she dismissed the challenge of the defending Champion Petra Kvitova and I think Williams will be too strong behind her serve and groundstrokes and that will lead to more pressure on Azarenka to hold onto her own service games.

Williams has won the last five meetings between the players, including a comfortable 6-2, 6-3 win at the Quarter Final stage of Wimbledon back in 2009.

She has also won the last three meetings within the last 12 months, and all of those have been comfortable wins for Williams. She has the better grass court pedigree and I think Williams has put in her best performance of the tournament last time out and will likely build on that.

I expect Azarenka will do her best to try and keep up with Williams, but the scoreboard should provide too much pressure and I expect the American will go through in this one.


MY PICKS: Agnieszka Radwanska @ 2.38 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
Serena Williams - 2.5 games @ 1.85 Pinnacle (2 Units)


Wimbledon Update: 16-16, + 1.90 Units (63 Units Staked)