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Wednesday, 25 February 2015

Tennis Picks 2015 (February 25th)

The tournaments on Wednesday are structured in such a way that the markets are not ready for the matches in Dubai, while I am not convinced of anything in Doha for the matches that have been set.

With the events in Acapulco and Buenos Aires behind in terms of a time zone compared with the United Kingdom, it does mean that I will put up my tennis picks from Dubai first thing in the morning and then follow picks from the other tournaments, if I have any, around lunch time.

After looking through the matches that were being played, I was tempted to make picks from a couple of matches in Dubai and Doha, but decided against it because I wasn't totally convinced. Sometimes it is better to take a step back and keep the powder clean instead of backing a match that you just don't totally believe in and that was the case from the earlier tournaments.

Even the later events have some tempting matches that I could see the other side of the coin so I decided against those too and the only picks I have come from a couple of matches scheduled in Acapulco.

Kevin Anderson - 3.5 games v Steve Johnson: This is the fifth time Kevin Anderson and Steve Johnson have met on the main Tour since the beginning of last season and it is the South African who has got the better of the previous four matches. After losing their first match, Anderson has won three in a row which includes two wins in 2015 and I think he will be too strong for Johnson again.

A quick look at their last three matches shows that Anderson does get a lot more joy against the Johnson serve and as long as he can fight through the rare moments of being under pressure on serve, he should be a comfortable winner. The Johnson second serve is one that can be attacked, while scoreboard pressure keeps the American under a mental cloud where he knows the importance of losing serve and how that will affect his chances of getting back into the match.

The conditions haven't been great in Acapulco with a lot of wind in the area, but I think the Anderson serve will offer up more cheap points of the two and that can prove to be the key to a 64 64 win for the big South African.

Caroline Garcia - 3.5 games v Bethanie Mattek-Sands: I personally don't think Caroline Garcia will ever fulfil the Andy Murray prediction of becoming the Number 1 player in the World Rankings, but she has the ability to reach the top 10 and from there who knows?

The inconsistencies in her game have prevented Garcia from really moving higher up the Rankings than her current position of 30, while matches against the likes of Bethanie Mattek-Sands have to be won if she is to really fulfil her potential.

That is not disrespecting Mattek-Sands who is a gritty competitor, but the American just doesn't really have the quality to match up against the best players on the Tour. There are times she can put it all together and have a deep run in a tournament, but the scheduling to move from the clay courts to the hard courts doesn't make much sense to me.

It is interesting to note that a little under twelve months ago would have seen Mattek-Sands a big favourite in this match up, but Garcia saw her off at Indian Wells and I expect her recent form to back that up. It might even be a similar score with a 75, 63 win for Garcia in this Second Round match.

MY PICKS: Kevin Anderson - 3.5 Games @ 2.00 Bet365 (2 Units)
Caroline Garcia - 3.5 Games @ 1,92 Bet365 (2 Units)

Weekly Update: 7-2, + 9.32 Units (18 Units Staked, + 51.78% Yield)

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