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Sunday, 2 June 2013

French Open Day 8 Picks 2013 (June 2nd)

My flight from Paris back to London was delayed this evening so I actually got back home at least a couple of hours after I would have been expecting. Despite the end of the trip being as it was, the company was brilliant and it was fascinating spending some time in the French capital.

The late return to England means I haven't been able to write too much today, although here are my picks for Day 8 at Roland Garros.

David Ferrer - 6.5 games v Kevin Anderson: It has been a very good tournament for Kevin Anderson, but one that may be coming to an end against a player that will not let him win a lot of cheap points during the course of the match.

The clay courts should definitely favour David Ferrer and I wouldn't be surprised if he matches his straight sets victory over Anderson like the one he recorded at the US Open last season. I think the big serve of Anderson will give him a chance, while Ferrer can be broken simply because he won't win a lot of points easily behind serve.

However, the slower surface should mean that Anderson is also forced to work hard to win his service games and that is an area where Ferrer will certainly exceed.

Nicolas Almagro - 6.5 games v Tommy Robredo: It has only been a couple of days since Tommy Robredo beat Gael Monfils in five sets and it will be interesting to see what kind of shape he is in for this Fourth Round match against Nicolas Almagro.

Robredo needed to come back from 2-0 down in sets for the second match in succession and there is every chance that he will be a little too fatigued to really compete in this one. While other players receive the attention, Nicolas Almagro has quietly come through the draw with little difficulty and he has plenty of experience on the clay courts and will surely make life very tough for his older compatriot.

It does look a big spread, but Almagro has won all 5 previous meetings with Robredo and is certainly going to be the fresher of the two. The last two matches could take their toll on Robredo in this match and may give Almagro the chance to come through with a 64, 64, 63 win.

Serena Williams - 7.5 games v Roberta Vinci: It is hard to oppose Serena Williams in her current form as she is not just winning matches, but absolutely obliterating opponents of the court. The American looks very focused in winning her second French Open title and it is hard to see any player in the Women's draw to stop Williams winning this tournament.

The next player to try is Roberta Vinci, but the Italian's weapons won't really cut it against Serena if the World Number 1 is on her game. Vinci uses variations to confuse her opponents, but she is likely to play into Williams' hands as she should give Serena time to unwind on her shots.

Serena's serve makes it tougher to break her and Williams has not lost more than 4 games in any of her last 8 matches. There is every chance she makes that nine in a row with a 63 61 win.

MY PICKS: David Ferrer - 6.5 Games @ 2.00 Paddy Power (2 Units)
Nivolas Almagro - 6.5 Games @ 1.92 Paddy Power (2 Units)
Serena Williams - 7.5 Games @ 1.83 Pinnacle (2 Units)

French Open Update: 11-8, + 5.02 Units (36 Units Staked, + 13.94% Yield)

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