It is the end of the season today as teams play their Championship Games while other schools finish their regular season in the hope that they will be playing in a Bowl Game in the coming six weeks.
These are my picks from the final week of the regular season.
Oklahoma State Cowboys @ Baylor Bears Pick: I am going to back the Cowboys to cover the spread in an entertaining game for the following reasons:
First, the Oklahoma State Cowboys have dominated the recent series, winning 6 in a row by 32 points per game.
Second, the Cowboys look the better team on both sides of the ball although I am expecting a lot of points in the game. I just feel they will make more stops when it is all said and done.
Third, the Cowboys are 11-2 against the spread as the road favourite in the last few seasons.
Kansas Jayhawks @ West Virginia Mountaineers Pick: I'll take West Virginia to end a disappointing season on a high ahead of their Bowl Game and back them to cover the spread for the following reasons:
First, I fully expect the Mountaineers to move the chains all day and score plenty of points and I don't believe Kansas will be able to keep up despite the porous Defense that West Virginia have.
Second, Kansas have struggled all season and don't exactly get up for being the road underdog as they are 2-7-1 against the spread in that spot since the beginning of last season.
Third, the Mountaineers do usually finish their home season on a high; they are 11-3 straight up in that spot and I just think they overmatch the Jayhawks in this one.
Louisiana Ragin Cajuns @ Florida Atlantic Owls Pick: I like the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns, not just because of their great name, but for the following reasons:
First, Louisiana don't have the best record against the Owls, but they do look the better units on both sides of the ball tonight and that should help them just about pull away at the end of the game.
Second, there is also an advantage for the Ragin Cajuns at the Quarter Back position and that should see them win by more than a touchdown.
Third, I expect Louisiana to try and build some momentum ahead of their Bowl Game and I think they will be a little too strong for Florida Atlantic in this Conference game.
Cincinnati Bearcats @ Connecticut Huskies Pick: I will back the home underdog to at least keep this game close for the following reasons:
First, Connecticut may be 2-6 in this series, but they have blown out Cincinnati in 2 games in a row.
Second, this game does mean more to the home team as they can become Bowl eligible with a win, while the Bearcats can't win the Big East now and have already won enough games to be invited to a post-season game.
Third, Connecticut do match up well with Cincinnati on the field and it looks like this is going to be a close game throughout which makes the points very handy.
Fourth, the Huskies are 13-2-1 against the spread as a home underdog in the last few seasons.
Georgia Bulldogs v Alabama Crimson Tide Pick: This is the SEC Championship Game and the winner is likely to be playing for the National Championship in January. I think Alabama will win the game, but I like the Georgia Bulldogs to cover the spread with the points for the following reasons:
First, I like Aaron Murray more than AJ McCarron and I think he can make enough plays to help the Bulldogs keep this close in what is a closely matched game.
Second, the Bulldogs should be the fresher team with Alabama having to negotiate a tougher schedule through the regular season.
Third, Alabama are just 1-3 against the spread in their last 4 games while Georgia are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games and seem to have the momentum behind them.
Pittsburgh Panthers @ South Florida Bulls Pick: I like the Pittsburgh Panthers in this game to cover the spread for the following reasons:
First, the Bulls have to be disappointed and a little flat in what has been a disappointing season and they are missing their big time starter BJ Daniels at Quarter Back.
Second, the Panthers have won 4 in a row in the series by 17 points per game and it is hard to know how South Florida keep up in this one without their star player.
Third, Pittsburgh are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games, while South Florida are 1-4-1 in their last 6.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets v Florida State Seminoles Pick: This is the ACC Championship Game and I am going to back the Florida State Seminoles to win the game and cover the spread for the following reasons:
First, Florida State's Defense has been strong on the ground and will be upset with the 244 yards they gave up to the Florida Gators last weekend and I think they will have some success against the triple option run by Georgia Tech and that could make all the difference.
Second, the Seminoles are the much better team as they are in this game on merit, while the Georgia Tech team got in because Miami and North Carolina are ineligible this season.
Third, Florida State are 11-1 against the spread in their last 12 games on a neutral field while Georgia Tech are 2-7 against the spread in that situation.
Nebraska Cornhuskers v Wisconsin Badgers Pick: This is the Big Ten Championship Game and I think it is worth backing Wisconsin with the points to cover the spread for the following reasons:
First, Wisconsin pushed Nebraska all the way on the road in the regular season and I think they are playing better than the 3 losses from 4 would suggest. The Badgers have lost all of those games in overtime which shows how close they have been.
Second, both teams are really well matched and both Defensive units will feel they are better than the Offenses they have faced and that could lead to a low-scoring game where even 3 points looks very big.
MY PICKS: Oklahoma State Cowboys - 4.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
West Virginia Mountaineers - 20 Points @ 1.92 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)
Louisiana Ragin Cajuns - 8.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
Connecticut Huskies + 5 Points @ 1.92 Bet Victor (1 Unit)
Georgia Bulldogs + 7.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
Pittsburgh Panthers - 7 Points @ 1.92 William Hill (1 Unit)
Florida State Seminoles - 14 Points @ 1.92 William Hill (1 Unit)
Wisconsin Badgers + 3 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
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