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Thursday 28 June 2012

Wimbledon Day 4 Picks (June 28th 2012)

It was a pretty ugly day for the picks yesterday, although it was more down to the poor performances of players that gave up winning positions before faltering.

Stanislas Wawrinka and Ernests Gulbis were the biggest culprits as both threw away 2-1 set leads and were beaten in the final set by throwing in a poor service game. Richard Gasquet then compounded matters by breaking serve five times, but still not getting the cover and it has been a poor day all around.

These things happen in a Grand Slam event and it is all about bouncing back correctly and that is what I will look to do with Day 4 Picks:


Sara Errani - 4.5 games v Anne Keothavong: I like the chances of the French Open Runner Up in this match against one of the remaining home hopes left in Anne Keothavong.

There is always a little more pressure on the Brits to perform here at Wimbledon and Keothavong has regularly struggled to deal with that in the past and I think this could be her downfall again.

Errani will force the British player to hit more shots than she may like and that lack of consistency may let Keothavong down as she will likely have to hit one more winner on occasions when she would have won the point against other opponents.

The players are 1-1 on the head to head, but it was Errani who took the last match on a grass court in Hertogenbosch back in 2008 and I believe the Italian is a better player since then.


Tamira Paszek - 4.5 games v Alize Cornet: Tamira Paszek is very comfortable on the grass courts and, as long as she hasn't been celebrating her surprise win over Caroline Wozniacki with too much vigour, I would think she can take care of Alize Cornet in this Second Round match.

Paszek has played a lot of tennis recently after winning the title at Eastbourne just last Saturday but wins over Daniele Hantuchova, Tsventana Pironkova, Marion Bartoli and Angelique Kerber last week as well as Wozniacki here should have given her plenty of confidence she can get through to the Third Round.

On the other hand, Cornet is having a very good overall season after struggling for consistency over the last three seasons, but she hasn't enjoyed much on the grass courts. The Frenchwoman had actually lost NINE matches in a row on grass before her win in the First Round and she has never been beyond the Second Round here at Wimbledon.

They have split their two previous meetings, but this surface should favour Paszek and I think she can get through in straight sets in this one.


Jo-Wilfried Tsonga - 6.5 games v Guillermo Garcia-Lopez: Guillermo Garcia-Lopez is one of the few Spaniards that prefers the faster surfaces to the slower clay courts associated with their country, but this looks too big a test for him to overcome.

Jo-Wilfried Tsonga removed the doubts about his finger with an impressive win over Lleyton Hewitt in the First Round and he clearly loves playing on the grass courts. This is a tournament Tsonga really feels he can make an impact in with the way he plays the game and his confidence has only increased after a great showing at the French Open on his least favoured surface.

While Tsonga was essentially strolling to a First Round win, Garcia-Lopez was taken into a fifth set and eventually prevailed 10-8 so fatigue could play a part.

The fact that Tsonga is 4-1 up in the head to head strengthens his case and three of those wins have come fairly easily although there was one match that needed two tie-breakers to separate the players.

I don't expect that in this match and will be looking for a straight-forward 6-3, 6-4, 6-4 win for Tsonga.


MY PICKS: Radek Stepanek - 4.5 games @ 2.00 Paddy Power (2 Units) To be completed 6-2, 5-6
Sara Errani - 4.5 games @ 2.00 Bet365 (2 Units)
Tamira Paszek - 4.5 games @ 2.00 Pinnacle (2 Units)
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga - 6.5 games @ 1.83 Paddy Power (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 5-7, - 1.94 Units (23 Units Staked)

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