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Showing posts with label 2013-14. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2013-14. Show all posts
Friday, 25 April 2014
United Corner- It Just Wasn't Meant to be for David Moyes (April 25th 2014)
United Corner- It Just Wasn't Meant to be for David Moyes (April 25th 2014)
The David Moyes era at Old Trafford was officially brought to a close just ten months after he first walked through the door as Manchester United manager and it seems the over-riding feeling is of joy from the majority of the fans.
That is an understandable reaction considering the fall from grace made by United during the course of the season as they failed to really make a concerted effort to retain the Premier League title they won by eleven points last season.
Even with that in mind, I wasn't one of these 'experts' that had tipped Manchester United to challenge for the League title simply because of the margin they won the League by the year before- it was clear to most match-going Reds that the squad did need some big improvements, but that was the first failure made by the club under Moyes last summer.
While I expected United to slip off the top of the table, the belief at the start of the season was that there would be enough to see the side finish in the top four, so being a position where even that aim is unachievable with four games left to play was never going to be acceptable. However, I still believed that the manager needed to be given a chance and I was always prepared, no matter what happened this season, to give him two full seasons before I made a judgement on him.
There have been mistakes made by Moyes and he almost admitted to some of those with his statement offering the line that he 'is always learning' from the experiences. That was never going to cut it at Manchester United where the manager needed to have more faith in his own ability to do the job and it does make me wonder if Moyes ever really got to grip with what was required.
He wasn't helped last summer with a bumbling approach to the transfer market that would have been better overseen by Alan Partridge- the fact that Ed Woodward has shifted the focus on his own mistakes by using Moyes as a fall guy is embarrassing, particularly with the leak of the sacking on Easter Monday likely to have come from the new Chief Executive in all but name.
Signing Marouane Fellaini was under-whelming considering some of the names that Manchester United were linked with, while the fee was a disaster considering the Belgian midfielder could have been purchased earlier in the window for four million less than eventually agreed with Everton.
David Moyes also made the mistake of being a touch critical of a squad that had won the League the moment he walked into the club with some of the statements made about the standard bound to rub players up the wrong way. That was exasperated by the training methods that hadn't sit well with the squad and it was clear he had lost the support of key players as soon as Rio Ferdinand took to Twitter with 'veiled' digs at the manager.
His backing of Wayne Rooney, which some fans would have agreed with, seems to have been far too over the top where the striker was dictating potential transfer targets and having an increasing influence on Moyes. That was a stark contrast to how Sir Alex Ferguson dismissed Rooney's suggestions to buy Mesut Ozil in 2010 and lost Moyes the command of the dressing room, a big no no when dealing with the egos of a title winning squad that United possess.
The worst aspect of the manager reign was the post-match, pre-match interviews of a manager that seemingly forgot he was managing one of the biggest clubs in the world.
Repeated talk of 'playing well' and being 'unlucky' grated on some fans when it was clear we were not watching the same game, but using words like 'hope' before a home game against Newcastle United had everyone scratching their heads and wondering if Mike Ashley had signed the Bayern Munich starting eleven in the days leading up to the game without anyone noticing.
And any suggestion of Manchester United being an 'underdog' when Liverpool were visiting Old Trafford didn't exactly set the fire burning in a terrible performance on the pitch. Another home loss where Moyes pointed to Manchester City, not United, being the benchmark of the standard required in the Premier League was just bothersome in the meek way United surrendered on the pitch.
The fatal error from Moyes, even accounting for all those above, was the lack of a cohesive playing style that the fans could relate to- I am convinced that he would have been given time if United had been playing a swash-buckling style where they didn't simply run out of ideas the second they fell behind in a match. David Moyes was at his most comfortable when the fans accepted the tactics employed against Bayern Munich to try and contain the reigning European Champions, but those defensive schemes in games against West Brom, Fulham and Stoke City were never going to be good enough.
Buying Juan Mata looked a very good move, but playing him out of position was a travesty and the lack of a clear tactical plan may have been the downfall for the manager. Moyes has been accused of being too cautious and perhaps being in charge of a team like Everton, where finishing in the top seven every season was a success, is more in line with how he wants to approach games.
Manchester United expect to beat the likes of Liverpool, Chelsea and Manchester City... David Moyes just didn't want to lose those matches.
All of this may seem that I am being critical of a manager that I said I would give a chance to for at least a couple of seasons before I made my opinion on him- I still would have given the man another transfer window and evaluated the success in six months time.
This isn't out of blind-faith or because I want to show off 'Top Red' status, but simply because I believe the job at Manchester United was not going to be one that could be settled into immediately.
Moyes had been identifying the weaknesses in the squad and was being linked with the right players to start making the changes he wished to see. The midfield was quickly seen as the area he wanted to improve, although I do wish he hadn't panicked and bought Fellaini without really considering what he wanted to do with him.
Luke Shaw seems to have been persuaded to join United over his favourite club Chelsea and Moyes apparently had a scouting system in place that had impressed some of the big-wigs at the club.
Manchester United had been getting linked to some of the talent required in the areas they are needed which suggests that Moyes had an idea of what had to be done to change our fortunes on the field, but all the sub-standard performances and losing support in the board room and the dressing room ended any chance of extending his time in charge.
At the end of the day, United have to be comfortable with the manager they are willing to back heavily in the transfer market as I simply don't believe the owners are going to be investing in too many big windows into the club judging by past performance. That means the investment has to be right and the club have to be sure which manager gets the chance to do that.
I respect that, but I don't respect the way the owners and Ed Woodward in particular decided to go about their dispensing of Moyes- for all the mistakes that the manager had made, and for all those who don't believe that he was the right man for the top job, Moyes seems to be a nice enough guy that deserved to be treated with dignity and respect.
Those two elements were the last things afforded to him with the rumours about his demise spreading through Easter Monday and United's denials that they were in the process of removing him at that point is an outright lie. Fanzines like Red Issue and Red News have both been making it clear for weeks that there was a big change in feeling towards Moyes and suggestions that he was going to be leaving definitely came from within the club to the journalists after the loss at Everton.
As despicable and slimy as the likes of Woodward and the Glazers are, the players also should not be afforded the luxury of hiding behind the Moyes dismissal. Despite what they thought of the manager, their lacklustre displays in defeats to Manchester City and Liverpool is just as unforgivable as anything Moyes did and many of them should not be wearing the shirt for United again.
Moyes is certainly not going to be forgiving those players if his statement thanking everyone but noticeably ignoring the players is anything to go by and I don't blame him. For all the tactics and complaints about the way Moyes prepared for games, I have utter disdain for the way some of the players conducted themselves on and off the field.
So where do United go from here? I am not at all convinced with the idea of the 'Class of 92' taking over in a committee role, but that doesn't look a long-term plan with the job being linked to some of the bigger names in football.
Louis Van Gaal looks the obvious choice and while I have never been his biggest fan, the idea of someone with the discipline to come in and shape that squad and a man with the strength of character he has is very appealing. He has plenty of trophies behind his name, but the majority of those have come in the last century and that is the main reason I am not bouncing off the walls in anticipation of his arrival.
Personally I would look to Carlo Ancelotti, although trying to get him out of the Spanish capital might be nigh on impossible if he leads Real Madrid to the Champions League success they have craved for over a decade.
Even if it is Van Gaal, a manager I don't have a lot of time for, he needs to be given the chance to build the squad to his satisfaction and that means not being in this same position in twelve months time. If Manchester United are out of the top four again, the pressure will be on the owners who haven't accounted for the club being out of the European elite for too many years, but Van Gaal, or whoever is allowed to spend the money being spoken about, should be allowed to make the necessary changes that may not produce results for a couple of seasons.
Patience might have to be the key for the supporters, but I have faith they will have that with the match-going Reds who were behind Moyes until the very end. That should make it easier for the new manager, especially if they employ an attacking style that shows signs of the improvement that fans were looking for from the Moyes team selections as each week passed by.
Ten months is not enough time to really have a positive impact on a club and that is sadly going to be David Moyes' legacy at Old Trafford when we look back on his time at the club. There just won't be anything that people will look back on and remember was set in place by Moyes and I do feel sorry for him that he wasn't given a full chance.
He can also take some of the blame for that as he lost the dressing room and the performances highlighted that- it also showed a team that might not be willing to learn under Moyes and that was always going to shorten his time at Old Trafford.
For years it has been said that the Manchester United job would be a great one for the manager following the manager that replaced Sir Alex Ferguson.
The first part of that statement has come true with David Moyes being the victim, but it remains to be seen if the new manager, whoever that is, can really get the team back on track as soon as the fans would like it to be.
Monday, 3 March 2014
NBA Picks March 2014
This has been one of the weirdest NBA seasons I have seen, not in terms of the action but I always seemed to be one step behind with my picks. The frustration began to build and I figured it was better to take a watching brief and try and get a handle on the picks before I got back to making them.
January proved to be very difficult, while I then decided I would take February off so teams can get through the All-Star Game and also the trade deadline before I would make more picks. I have felt I am getting things right over the last week or so and hopefully that will kick-start what has been a poor season to this point.
March usually represents the real push towards the Play Offs and teams begin to try and build some momentum towards the post-season. We have seen the Miami Heat playing what has been their best basketball of the season since returning from the All-Star Game and I think that just highlights the change in mindset that teams have.
Play Off places and seedings are all to be determined over the next six weeks and that means teams are less likely to take 'games off', while the trade deadline passing means players know they are virtually set where they are until the summer.
The Western Conference also remains the more competitive of the two in the NBA, but I also feel the Miami Heat are showing the reasons why they are the favourites to win their third consecutive NBA Championship. I don't think there are too many teams that will fancy beating the Heat in a best of seven series from either Conference, although I think the Indiana Pacers made some moves ahead of the trade deadline to think they are the most likely to be able to knock off Miami.
At the end of this month, I think a lot of the Play Off picture will be made clearer in both Conferences, especially which teams are in line to grab home court advantage through the First Round and we will also begin to see the route teams will need to take to reach the NBA Finals.
March 3rd
Chicago Bulls @ Brooklyn Nets Pick: The Chicago Bulls are as healthy as they are going to be this season and have been in top form but it won't be easy to see off the Brooklyn Nets who have also turned things around and could get back to 0.500 for the first time since November.
It could be an important game in terms of seedings in the Eastern Conference too, but I do like the Bulls to keep this competitive and will take those points on offer against a team they have played well against over the last twelve months.
Utah Jazz @ Milwaukee Bucks Pick: It will be interesting to see what kind of motivation Utah can bring into this game having only fallen short against the best team in the Eastern Conference and now facing the worst team in the NBA.
Utah have been competitive in recent weeks, while Milwaukee are still trying to find their identity after moving a number of pieces of their rotation ahead of the trade deadline. They shouldn't be favoured to beat any team in the NBA and I will back Utah to grab the W in this one.
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Pick: This hasn't been a good place for Minnesota to visit in recent years, but the injury hit Denver Nuggets will not be in a more vulnerable state than they are at the moment. The teams have been trending in opposite directions in recent games and I think a healthy Timberwolves team will prove too good.
March 4th
If there is one thing I can't stand, it's when you have factors that cannot be accounted for taking over and destroying a pick. I was already a little miffed by Chicago's season high 27 turnovers, but the way Minnesota blew their lead over the Denver Nuggets was even worse.
The Timberwolves were up 21 with around 7 minutes left to play, but losing that lead was only one terrible bounce that the pick received. Minnesota missed 5 free throws in the final 90 seconds which would have given them an easy cover, while it was still to get worse.
They then allow Denver to hit 4 three pointers in the last 25 seconds, but the defensive mistakes to let that happen were poor and it was just the ultimate joke that they only won by 4 points. You just can't account for that, especially with the home commentators even describing their disbelief at the way the game ended.
It feels like that was my season encompassed in one game with leads being blown a common theme earlier in the season. Hopefully that is as bad as this month will get and I get a couple of lucky bounces my way in the next four weeks.
Miami Heat @ Houston Rockets Pick: The total points looks on the high side in this game, but Houston are capable of getting hot from outside the three point arc and play at such a speed that it would be a surprise if both teams don't crack 100 points each.
The over is actually 6-1 in the last 7 games in the series between these teams in Houston and I think the winner is too close to call. I will look for both teams to play a high-scoring game in this one.
Philadelphia 76ers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pick: The point spread looks huge, but Philadelphia have taken some crushing losses at the LA Clippers and Golden State Warriors in recent games to suggest the Oklahoma City Thunder have a chance to cover it.
I can't be sure, although I do think the total points of 219.5 is too high for the game as the Thunder can clamp down defensively and at least restrict the 76ers to prevent that number being surpassed.
New Orleans Pelicans @ LA Lakers Pick: The Lakers are not a team I really want to be backing, especially coming off an emotional win at Portland last night and there is a chance they have a let down in this one. However, New Orleans have been playing terribly in recent games and can't be trusted much either.
A little fatigue and mental let down may prevent the Lakers scoring freely in this one, while the Pelicans have struggled mightily with their offense over their 8 game losing run. With that in mind, the 210.5 total points looks too high and I will go for this one being a low-scoring game.
March 5th
New York Knicks @ Minnesota Timberwolves Pick: After blowing a huge lead in a poor fashion, the Minnesota Timberwolves would have been happy to escape Colorado with another win to end their road trip 4-1. There is still a lot of work to do to get back into the Play Off mix, but they have 4 games in a row they should be winning.
The first is against the New York Knicks who have been struggling for form and would have to dig deep to keep this competitive through the game.
Dallas Mavericks @ Denver Nuggets Pick: I still don't know how Denver got so close in their last game against the Minnesota Timberwolves and they will need Ty Lawson to be as hot as he was in the second half to win this game.
That won't be easy against a Dallas team that have played well in recent weeks and who have covered the spread in 6 straight visits to Denver.
Atlanta Hawks @ Portland Trail Blazers Pick: A terrible home loss to the LA Lakers aside, Portland have still been playing well enough to see off the Atlanta Hawks who are suffering through injuries which should be exposed by the likes of Robin Lopez.
March 6th
It hasn't been a great start to the month with the picks, but the one thing that I picked up on Wednesday which was extremely cool was this story.
I am a huge Tupac Shakur fan, always have been, so that was cool to see in Boston even if it is going to be 18 years since he passed (18 years, wow, that's just nuts).
Miami Heat @ San Antonio Spurs Pick: The Heat suffered a tough loss at Houston a couple of nights ago and they have stunk up the joint when playing in San Antonio during the regular season. However, Miami have played well on the road against teams with winning records, going 9-4 against the spread in that situation and I like the points in this one.
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Phoenix Suns Pick: The Thunder have begun to find their rhythm after initially struggling with the returning Russell Westbrook and I also feel Phoenix are having a hard time maintaining their standard from the season.
The Thunder are 9-4 against the spread on the road against teams with winning records, while they are 6-1 against the spread in the last 7 in the series and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 in Phoenix.
LA Clippers @ LA Lakers Pick: There are three clear reasons why I like the Clippers to cover against their city rivals the Lakers: 1) The Clippers are in much better form, while the Lakers are leaking points alarmingly defensively; 2) The Clippers are 15-10 against the spread against teams with losing records; 3) The Clippers are 5-1 against the spread in the last 6 against the Lakers.
March 7th
I have to move on, but can only be a touch peeved that yet another team this week has blown a big lead with the opponent having a 'miracle' comeback. There are at least three games that have ended in terrible situations that have turned winners into losers and that is having a real impact on the month totals.
Brooklyn Nets @ Boston Celtics Pick: The drama of the returning Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett (latter is questionable) should be taken out of the game as they played here in January. Brooklyn have been in strong form, are playing well and should prove too strong for the Celtics, even with this line looking suspiciously low in my opinion.
Milwaukee Bucks @ New Orleans Pelicans Pick: Beating the LA Lakers has at least snapped the negative momentum New Orleans have been riding and they should be too good for the poor Milwaukee Bucks who are desperately clinging onto the worst record in the NBA. The Pelicans have beaten Milwaukee twice this season by at least 14 points per game.
Indiana Pacers @ Houston Rockets Pick: They have the best record in the NBA since the turn of the year and have beaten one of the top two teams in the Eastern Conference here already this week. Houston have been on a roll and Indiana have just hit the buffers both physically and mentally, which is not a good sign six weeks out of the Play Offs.
Atlanta Hawks @ Golden State Warriors Pick: The Golden State Warriors are trying to get themselves moving up the Western Conference seedings and take on the Hawks who have been struggling through injuries. Atlanta were blown out at Portland in their last game and may still be short of Paul Millsap for this game so I expect the Warriors to win this one, especially as they are 6-3 against the spread when asked to cover 9 points or more this season.
March 8th
Utah Jazz @ Philadelphia 76ers Pick: They have stunk up the place in recent weeks and many are tipping them not to win another game, but I believe Philadelphia won't get a better chance than this one. The Jazz have lost 5 in a row on this road trip and will be returning home after this one so may lack the effort required to win by more than 7 points.
New York Knicks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pick: It was a strong defensive effort that helped the Knicks win their second game in a row, but that has been the exception this season and I expect them to be tested by Cleveland.
The Cavaliers haven't played well of late, but this is a chance to get back in the right direction, although I feel the game is likely to be high-scoring with both teams capable of surpassing triple digits as a team.
Washington Wizards @ Milwaukee Bucks Pick: The Milwaukee Bucks put in a huge effort last night but fell short and could struggle to regain the physical well-being against a potent Washington team.
The Wizards have played well, especially on the road agains teams with losing records, and will be tough to stop if they maintain their three point shooting.
March 9th
I don't like conspiracy theories about games being fixed in the NBA, despite the history of the League where the strangest of things happen down the stretch, but I can't help but feel totally sick with the end of the Washington game... Forget the fact they were up 28 in the first half, the last 10 seconds of the game showed the Bucks had no intention to do anything but make sure they lost by fewer than 8 points.
Why else would the coach foul with 5 seconds left and a 9 point deficit? Why would he then run a play for an easy lay up instead of trying to score a three and why no more fouls? That is not even counting the 'lane violation' call from the referees that prevent the Wizards going up 10 with those 5 seconds left on the clock.
It makes no sense to foul in a game where you have no intention to at least try and make the game close with that little time on the clock and stinks frankly.
Miami Heat @ Chicago Bulls Pick: The Bulls have played hard all season and can't be under-estimated, but I don't think the Heat are going to lose three in a row. It should be close and competitive but LeBron James could make some big plays late to help the Heat cover.
Oklahoma City Thunder @ LA Lakers Pick: A horrific season for the Lakers saw them lose by a franchise record 48 points last time they played here and they have had to play plenty of basketball this week.
With the offensive power Oklahoma City have, it is going to be tough for the Lakers to keep this close in my opinion.
March 18th
I took a few days off from the NBA Picks as it felt my head was addled by the Washington game at Milwaukee and I just didn't feel comfortable making picks with those bad thoughts running through me.
There is now only a month of the regular season left and most will be enjoying their Fantasy Basketball Play Offs (including myself who made it through to all three Play Offs in the Leagues I am in).
Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavalier Pick: It is a large spread at a time when teams are perhaps beginning to focus on the Play Offs, but the Cleveland Cavaliers are short-handed for this one. Missing Kyrie Irving is huge for the home team, while the Heat should be focused as they keep tracking the Indiana Pacers.
Washington Wizards @ Sacramento Kings Pick: Coming off a long road trip may be tough for Sacramento, while the Kings could also be looking ahead to the big game with San Antonio in three days time and may not be fully focused on Washington.
Sacramento can score plenty of points, but the Wizards are in good form themselves and can close on Chicago with an important win in California.
March 19th
Bored of saying how annoying it was to see a team blow a chance to win late in the game, but just can't seem to avoid these pathetic losses... Washington just needed to hit their free throws and the game was won yesterday, but failed to put away 3/4 down the stretch and then lost in overtime.
Miami Heat @ Boston Celtics Pick: The Heat couldn't stop Cleveland for much of the game yesterday which allowed the Cavaliers to keep the game close. The second of back to back games is always tough, but Boston will have to reverse recent poor shooting from the field to keep this one close.
Charlotte Bobcats @ Brooklyn Nets Pick: Brooklyn have played so well at home and have enough motivation to try and close on the top four teams in the Eastern Conference. The Bobcats won't roll over for them, but Brooklyn have defended too well at home to think they won't cover.
MY PICKS: 03/03 Chicago Bulls + 3.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
03/03 Utah Jazz @ 2.05 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
03/03 Minnesota Timberwolves - 5.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
04/03 Houston Rockets-Miami Heat Over 210 Points @ 1.92 Coral (1 Unit)
04/03 Oklahoma City Thunder-Philadelphia 76ers Under 219.5 Points @ 1.92 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
04/03 LA Lakers-New Orleans Pelicans Under 210.5 Points @ 1.92 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
05/03 Minnesota Timberwolves - 8.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
05/03 Dallas Mavericks - 4.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
05/03 Portland Trail Blazers - 8 Points @ 1.92 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
06/03 Miami Heat + 3.5 Points @ 1.92 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)
06/03 Oklahoma City Thunder - 6 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
06/03 LA Clippers - 11 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
07/03 Boston Celtics - 4 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
07/03 New Orleans Pelicans - 7.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
07/03 Houston Rockets - 4 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
07/03 Golden State Warriors - 9.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
08/03 Philadelphia 76ers + 7 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
08/03 Cleveland Cavaliers-New York Knicks Over 201.5 Total Points @ 1.95 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)
08/03 Washington Wizards - 7.5 Points @ 1.92 Coral (1 Unit)
09/03 Miami Heat - 4.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
09/03 Oklahoma City Thunder - 12.5 Points @ 1.92 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
18/03 Miami Heat - 10 Points @ 1.92 Bet Victor (1 Unit)
18/03 Washington Wizards - 1.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
19/03 Miami Heat - 6.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
19/03 Brooklyn Nets - 6 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
March Update: 7-16, - 9.36 Units
January Final: 2-11, - 9.08 Units
December 2013 Final: 8-11, - 3.42 Units
November 2013 Final: 8-7-1, + 0.82 Units
October 2013 Final: 0-4, - 4 Units
Season 2014: 18-33-1, - 15.68 Units
Final Season 2013: 105-93-3, + 10.49 Units
Final Season 2012: 79-53-1, + 27.48 Units
January proved to be very difficult, while I then decided I would take February off so teams can get through the All-Star Game and also the trade deadline before I would make more picks. I have felt I am getting things right over the last week or so and hopefully that will kick-start what has been a poor season to this point.
March usually represents the real push towards the Play Offs and teams begin to try and build some momentum towards the post-season. We have seen the Miami Heat playing what has been their best basketball of the season since returning from the All-Star Game and I think that just highlights the change in mindset that teams have.
Play Off places and seedings are all to be determined over the next six weeks and that means teams are less likely to take 'games off', while the trade deadline passing means players know they are virtually set where they are until the summer.
The Western Conference also remains the more competitive of the two in the NBA, but I also feel the Miami Heat are showing the reasons why they are the favourites to win their third consecutive NBA Championship. I don't think there are too many teams that will fancy beating the Heat in a best of seven series from either Conference, although I think the Indiana Pacers made some moves ahead of the trade deadline to think they are the most likely to be able to knock off Miami.
At the end of this month, I think a lot of the Play Off picture will be made clearer in both Conferences, especially which teams are in line to grab home court advantage through the First Round and we will also begin to see the route teams will need to take to reach the NBA Finals.
March 3rd
Chicago Bulls @ Brooklyn Nets Pick: The Chicago Bulls are as healthy as they are going to be this season and have been in top form but it won't be easy to see off the Brooklyn Nets who have also turned things around and could get back to 0.500 for the first time since November.
It could be an important game in terms of seedings in the Eastern Conference too, but I do like the Bulls to keep this competitive and will take those points on offer against a team they have played well against over the last twelve months.
Utah Jazz @ Milwaukee Bucks Pick: It will be interesting to see what kind of motivation Utah can bring into this game having only fallen short against the best team in the Eastern Conference and now facing the worst team in the NBA.
Utah have been competitive in recent weeks, while Milwaukee are still trying to find their identity after moving a number of pieces of their rotation ahead of the trade deadline. They shouldn't be favoured to beat any team in the NBA and I will back Utah to grab the W in this one.
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Pick: This hasn't been a good place for Minnesota to visit in recent years, but the injury hit Denver Nuggets will not be in a more vulnerable state than they are at the moment. The teams have been trending in opposite directions in recent games and I think a healthy Timberwolves team will prove too good.
March 4th
If there is one thing I can't stand, it's when you have factors that cannot be accounted for taking over and destroying a pick. I was already a little miffed by Chicago's season high 27 turnovers, but the way Minnesota blew their lead over the Denver Nuggets was even worse.
The Timberwolves were up 21 with around 7 minutes left to play, but losing that lead was only one terrible bounce that the pick received. Minnesota missed 5 free throws in the final 90 seconds which would have given them an easy cover, while it was still to get worse.
They then allow Denver to hit 4 three pointers in the last 25 seconds, but the defensive mistakes to let that happen were poor and it was just the ultimate joke that they only won by 4 points. You just can't account for that, especially with the home commentators even describing their disbelief at the way the game ended.
It feels like that was my season encompassed in one game with leads being blown a common theme earlier in the season. Hopefully that is as bad as this month will get and I get a couple of lucky bounces my way in the next four weeks.
Miami Heat @ Houston Rockets Pick: The total points looks on the high side in this game, but Houston are capable of getting hot from outside the three point arc and play at such a speed that it would be a surprise if both teams don't crack 100 points each.
The over is actually 6-1 in the last 7 games in the series between these teams in Houston and I think the winner is too close to call. I will look for both teams to play a high-scoring game in this one.
Philadelphia 76ers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pick: The point spread looks huge, but Philadelphia have taken some crushing losses at the LA Clippers and Golden State Warriors in recent games to suggest the Oklahoma City Thunder have a chance to cover it.
I can't be sure, although I do think the total points of 219.5 is too high for the game as the Thunder can clamp down defensively and at least restrict the 76ers to prevent that number being surpassed.
New Orleans Pelicans @ LA Lakers Pick: The Lakers are not a team I really want to be backing, especially coming off an emotional win at Portland last night and there is a chance they have a let down in this one. However, New Orleans have been playing terribly in recent games and can't be trusted much either.
A little fatigue and mental let down may prevent the Lakers scoring freely in this one, while the Pelicans have struggled mightily with their offense over their 8 game losing run. With that in mind, the 210.5 total points looks too high and I will go for this one being a low-scoring game.
March 5th
New York Knicks @ Minnesota Timberwolves Pick: After blowing a huge lead in a poor fashion, the Minnesota Timberwolves would have been happy to escape Colorado with another win to end their road trip 4-1. There is still a lot of work to do to get back into the Play Off mix, but they have 4 games in a row they should be winning.
The first is against the New York Knicks who have been struggling for form and would have to dig deep to keep this competitive through the game.
Dallas Mavericks @ Denver Nuggets Pick: I still don't know how Denver got so close in their last game against the Minnesota Timberwolves and they will need Ty Lawson to be as hot as he was in the second half to win this game.
That won't be easy against a Dallas team that have played well in recent weeks and who have covered the spread in 6 straight visits to Denver.
Atlanta Hawks @ Portland Trail Blazers Pick: A terrible home loss to the LA Lakers aside, Portland have still been playing well enough to see off the Atlanta Hawks who are suffering through injuries which should be exposed by the likes of Robin Lopez.
March 6th
It hasn't been a great start to the month with the picks, but the one thing that I picked up on Wednesday which was extremely cool was this story.
I am a huge Tupac Shakur fan, always have been, so that was cool to see in Boston even if it is going to be 18 years since he passed (18 years, wow, that's just nuts).
Miami Heat @ San Antonio Spurs Pick: The Heat suffered a tough loss at Houston a couple of nights ago and they have stunk up the joint when playing in San Antonio during the regular season. However, Miami have played well on the road against teams with winning records, going 9-4 against the spread in that situation and I like the points in this one.
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Phoenix Suns Pick: The Thunder have begun to find their rhythm after initially struggling with the returning Russell Westbrook and I also feel Phoenix are having a hard time maintaining their standard from the season.
The Thunder are 9-4 against the spread on the road against teams with winning records, while they are 6-1 against the spread in the last 7 in the series and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 in Phoenix.
LA Clippers @ LA Lakers Pick: There are three clear reasons why I like the Clippers to cover against their city rivals the Lakers: 1) The Clippers are in much better form, while the Lakers are leaking points alarmingly defensively; 2) The Clippers are 15-10 against the spread against teams with losing records; 3) The Clippers are 5-1 against the spread in the last 6 against the Lakers.
March 7th
I have to move on, but can only be a touch peeved that yet another team this week has blown a big lead with the opponent having a 'miracle' comeback. There are at least three games that have ended in terrible situations that have turned winners into losers and that is having a real impact on the month totals.
Brooklyn Nets @ Boston Celtics Pick: The drama of the returning Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett (latter is questionable) should be taken out of the game as they played here in January. Brooklyn have been in strong form, are playing well and should prove too strong for the Celtics, even with this line looking suspiciously low in my opinion.
Milwaukee Bucks @ New Orleans Pelicans Pick: Beating the LA Lakers has at least snapped the negative momentum New Orleans have been riding and they should be too good for the poor Milwaukee Bucks who are desperately clinging onto the worst record in the NBA. The Pelicans have beaten Milwaukee twice this season by at least 14 points per game.
Indiana Pacers @ Houston Rockets Pick: They have the best record in the NBA since the turn of the year and have beaten one of the top two teams in the Eastern Conference here already this week. Houston have been on a roll and Indiana have just hit the buffers both physically and mentally, which is not a good sign six weeks out of the Play Offs.
Atlanta Hawks @ Golden State Warriors Pick: The Golden State Warriors are trying to get themselves moving up the Western Conference seedings and take on the Hawks who have been struggling through injuries. Atlanta were blown out at Portland in their last game and may still be short of Paul Millsap for this game so I expect the Warriors to win this one, especially as they are 6-3 against the spread when asked to cover 9 points or more this season.
March 8th
Utah Jazz @ Philadelphia 76ers Pick: They have stunk up the place in recent weeks and many are tipping them not to win another game, but I believe Philadelphia won't get a better chance than this one. The Jazz have lost 5 in a row on this road trip and will be returning home after this one so may lack the effort required to win by more than 7 points.
New York Knicks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pick: It was a strong defensive effort that helped the Knicks win their second game in a row, but that has been the exception this season and I expect them to be tested by Cleveland.
The Cavaliers haven't played well of late, but this is a chance to get back in the right direction, although I feel the game is likely to be high-scoring with both teams capable of surpassing triple digits as a team.
Washington Wizards @ Milwaukee Bucks Pick: The Milwaukee Bucks put in a huge effort last night but fell short and could struggle to regain the physical well-being against a potent Washington team.
The Wizards have played well, especially on the road agains teams with losing records, and will be tough to stop if they maintain their three point shooting.
March 9th
I don't like conspiracy theories about games being fixed in the NBA, despite the history of the League where the strangest of things happen down the stretch, but I can't help but feel totally sick with the end of the Washington game... Forget the fact they were up 28 in the first half, the last 10 seconds of the game showed the Bucks had no intention to do anything but make sure they lost by fewer than 8 points.
Why else would the coach foul with 5 seconds left and a 9 point deficit? Why would he then run a play for an easy lay up instead of trying to score a three and why no more fouls? That is not even counting the 'lane violation' call from the referees that prevent the Wizards going up 10 with those 5 seconds left on the clock.
It makes no sense to foul in a game where you have no intention to at least try and make the game close with that little time on the clock and stinks frankly.
Miami Heat @ Chicago Bulls Pick: The Bulls have played hard all season and can't be under-estimated, but I don't think the Heat are going to lose three in a row. It should be close and competitive but LeBron James could make some big plays late to help the Heat cover.
Oklahoma City Thunder @ LA Lakers Pick: A horrific season for the Lakers saw them lose by a franchise record 48 points last time they played here and they have had to play plenty of basketball this week.
With the offensive power Oklahoma City have, it is going to be tough for the Lakers to keep this close in my opinion.
March 18th
I took a few days off from the NBA Picks as it felt my head was addled by the Washington game at Milwaukee and I just didn't feel comfortable making picks with those bad thoughts running through me.
There is now only a month of the regular season left and most will be enjoying their Fantasy Basketball Play Offs (including myself who made it through to all three Play Offs in the Leagues I am in).
Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavalier Pick: It is a large spread at a time when teams are perhaps beginning to focus on the Play Offs, but the Cleveland Cavaliers are short-handed for this one. Missing Kyrie Irving is huge for the home team, while the Heat should be focused as they keep tracking the Indiana Pacers.
Washington Wizards @ Sacramento Kings Pick: Coming off a long road trip may be tough for Sacramento, while the Kings could also be looking ahead to the big game with San Antonio in three days time and may not be fully focused on Washington.
Sacramento can score plenty of points, but the Wizards are in good form themselves and can close on Chicago with an important win in California.
March 19th
Bored of saying how annoying it was to see a team blow a chance to win late in the game, but just can't seem to avoid these pathetic losses... Washington just needed to hit their free throws and the game was won yesterday, but failed to put away 3/4 down the stretch and then lost in overtime.
Miami Heat @ Boston Celtics Pick: The Heat couldn't stop Cleveland for much of the game yesterday which allowed the Cavaliers to keep the game close. The second of back to back games is always tough, but Boston will have to reverse recent poor shooting from the field to keep this one close.
Charlotte Bobcats @ Brooklyn Nets Pick: Brooklyn have played so well at home and have enough motivation to try and close on the top four teams in the Eastern Conference. The Bobcats won't roll over for them, but Brooklyn have defended too well at home to think they won't cover.
MY PICKS: 03/03 Chicago Bulls + 3.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
03/03 Utah Jazz @ 2.05 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
03/03 Minnesota Timberwolves - 5.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
04/03 Houston Rockets-Miami Heat Over 210 Points @ 1.92 Coral (1 Unit)
04/03 Oklahoma City Thunder-Philadelphia 76ers Under 219.5 Points @ 1.92 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
04/03 LA Lakers-New Orleans Pelicans Under 210.5 Points @ 1.92 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
05/03 Minnesota Timberwolves - 8.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
05/03 Dallas Mavericks - 4.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
05/03 Portland Trail Blazers - 8 Points @ 1.92 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
06/03 Miami Heat + 3.5 Points @ 1.92 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)
06/03 Oklahoma City Thunder - 6 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
06/03 LA Clippers - 11 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
07/03 Boston Celtics - 4 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
07/03 New Orleans Pelicans - 7.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
07/03 Houston Rockets - 4 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
07/03 Golden State Warriors - 9.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
08/03 Philadelphia 76ers + 7 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
08/03 Cleveland Cavaliers-New York Knicks Over 201.5 Total Points @ 1.95 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)
08/03 Washington Wizards - 7.5 Points @ 1.92 Coral (1 Unit)
09/03 Miami Heat - 4.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
09/03 Oklahoma City Thunder - 12.5 Points @ 1.92 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
18/03 Miami Heat - 10 Points @ 1.92 Bet Victor (1 Unit)
18/03 Washington Wizards - 1.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
19/03 Miami Heat - 6.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
19/03 Brooklyn Nets - 6 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
March Update: 7-16, - 9.36 Units
January Final: 2-11, - 9.08 Units
December 2013 Final: 8-11, - 3.42 Units
November 2013 Final: 8-7-1, + 0.82 Units
October 2013 Final: 0-4, - 4 Units
Season 2014: 18-33-1, - 15.68 Units
Final Season 2013: 105-93-3, + 10.49 Units
Final Season 2012: 79-53-1, + 27.48 Units
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Thursday, 2 January 2014
NBA Picks January 2014
It has been a strange couple of months in the NBA season with teams already talking about tanking to improve their position for the next draft, while injuries to star players throughout the League have made it a disappointing start for the fans that spend so much to see their teams play.
The likes of Derrick Rose and Al Horford are lost for the season, while Russell Westbrook and Kobe Bryant will be missing significant time. The loss of Bryant hurt the Lakers, but their whole rotation has been ripped apart by injuries and there are suggestions that they are going to blow up this season by trading away Pau Gasol to prevent cap issues.
We usually have to wait until the All-Star Game before teams really get into Play Off mode, but some are already looking beyond that to next season.
While the season has been tough for the fans to digest, my first couple of months of picks have also fallen down and December proved to be another tough month. Some of those were bad picks, but I hope to get a better lock on the games going forward as we enter 2014.
January 2nd
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pick: The New York Knicks have been so bad this season and San Antonio are unlikely to lose focus in this one despite having a big game against the LA Clippers next on deck. Carmelo Anthony may be a little rusty and the Spurs could build a big win behind hot three point shooting which they are capable of, especially against the Knicks defense which has struggled from that range.
Memphis Grizzlies @ Phoenix Suns Pick: Phoenix are coming off a hugely important win for their own confidence and I am hoping that doesn't lead to over-confidence in this game. The Suns have been playing some very good basketball over the last two months and look a team that can make the Play Offs and I think they avenge their loss to Memphis from last month.
January 15th
I needed to take a few days off from the NBA as I haven't really got a good handle of the way teams are approaching games in the early part of the season, but I have been keeping tabs on those games. Taking a mini-break during the course of the season has helped in the last two years that I have been making picks on the NBA here, so I hope to have the same type of resurgence in this one.
Miami Heat @ Washington Wizards Pick: The Miami Heat have had four days to think about their last two losses, but that has also meant their rotation is healthier in time for this game. The Heat visited the White House on Tuesday and the reigning Champions are now 4-0 against the spread after that visit.
With the Wizards struggling at home and LeBron James' numbers being questioned, I expect a big performance from Miami in this one.
Toronto Raptors @ Boston Celtics Pick: Boston have been struggling in recent games and there is every chance they could be looking ahead to the return of Rajon Rondo in this game that could keep their focus from Toronto. The Raptors have a poor record here, but have been playing well over the last month and I expect them to be too strong for the Celtics.
Memphis Grizzlies @ Milwaukee Bucks Pick: My biggest concern in this game is that Memphis are coming off an important win over the Oklahoma City Thunder last night, but they know they have to keep winning if they are to get back into the post-season in the Western Conference. Milwaukee are struggling for points and those aren't easier to come by in this game so I look for the Grizzlies to come through with a cover.
January 16th
Atlanta Hawks v Brooklyn Nets Pick: You can't always tell how a team will react to playing abroad in what is a special game in front of a different country. However, Brooklyn have a decent record against Atlanta in recent games against them, while the favourite is 11-5 against the spread in games played outside of North America.
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Houston Rockets Pick: The Rockets had to come back from a big hole to beat New Orleans last night so there is an aspect of tiredness that could creep in to their game. However, Houston have been playing with more confidence than Oklahoma City and I like them to get a measure of revenge for the blow out earlier this season and win this one.
January 19th
I was absolutely stunned by the collapse of the Houston Rockets in their loss on Thursday night with the second worst second half scoring output in the history of the NBA. That kind of summed up the poor luck I have had so far with a couple of teams missing the cover by half a point and then epic collapses taking place all over the shop.
LA Lakers @ Toronto Raptors Pick: The Toronto Raptors have been playing some decent basketball of late and they should be too strong for the LA Lakers in this early game, especially with this being the middle of games against the Celtics and the Bulls for the Lakers.
Denver Nuggets @ Phoenix Suns Pick: There has been a slide in form since Eric Bledsoe has been missing for the Phoenix Suns, but they have beaten Denver twice already this season, while the Nuggets are just 4-10 against the spread in Phoenix. The home court advantage may prove enough for Phoenix to sneak the win.
January 21st
Boston Celtics @ Miami Heat Pick: It has been a long road trip for the Heat, but I do think the green shirts of Boston will at least see them pick up their game in this one. Dwyane Wade returning will only help, but they need to improve their defensive effort to cover this spread.
Portland Trail Blazers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pick: It was a bad defeat for Portland yesterday, but they have shown they are capable of winning road games against the best teams with wins at Dallas and San Antonio during this road trip. They may be able to keep this close against an Oklahoma City Thunder team that is possibly looking ahead to a road game at the Spurs tomorrow night.
January 25th
Atlanta Hawks @ Milwaukee Bucks Pick: They may be the worst team in the NBA, by some distance too, but the Milwaukee Bucks are rarely in a position like this where they can earn back to back wins at home. Milwaukee have struggled but Atlanta are short-handed and may struggle to get up for the worst team with players looking to regain health and I will take the points.
Washington Wizards @ Utah Jazz Pick: The layers may be putting too much stock in the fact that Washington had to play last night and Utah have had a few days to get ready for this game as I don't understand why the Wizards are the underdog. If they keep up their defensive intensity, I think Washington win this one.
MY PICKS: 02/01 San Antonio Spurs - 11.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
02/01 Phoenix Suns - 5.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
15/01 Miami Heat - 6 Points @ 2.00 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
15/01 Toronto Raptors - 4 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
15/01 Memphis Grizzlies - 5.5 Points @ 1.92 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)
16/01 Brooklyn Nets - 2 Points @ 1.95 Bet Fred (1 Unit)
16/01 Houston Rockets - 2 Points @ 1.92 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
19/01 Toronto Raptors - 9 Points @ 1.92 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)
19/01 Phoenix Suns -1 Point @ 1.97 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
21/01 Miami Heat - 9.5 Points @ 1.92 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
21/01 Portland Trail Blazers + 6.5 Points @ 2.00 Bet Victor (1 Unit)
25/01 Milwaukee Bucks + 2.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
25/01 Washington Wizards @ 2.05 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
January Update: 2-9, - 7.08 Units
December 2013 Final: 8-11, - 3.42 Units
November 2013 Final: 8-7-1, + 0.82 Units
October 2013 Final: 0-4, - 4 Units
Season 2014: 16-22-1, - 6.60 Units
Final Season 2013: 105-93-3, + 10.49 Units
Final Season 2012: 79-53-1, + 27.48 Units
The likes of Derrick Rose and Al Horford are lost for the season, while Russell Westbrook and Kobe Bryant will be missing significant time. The loss of Bryant hurt the Lakers, but their whole rotation has been ripped apart by injuries and there are suggestions that they are going to blow up this season by trading away Pau Gasol to prevent cap issues.
We usually have to wait until the All-Star Game before teams really get into Play Off mode, but some are already looking beyond that to next season.
While the season has been tough for the fans to digest, my first couple of months of picks have also fallen down and December proved to be another tough month. Some of those were bad picks, but I hope to get a better lock on the games going forward as we enter 2014.
January 2nd
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pick: The New York Knicks have been so bad this season and San Antonio are unlikely to lose focus in this one despite having a big game against the LA Clippers next on deck. Carmelo Anthony may be a little rusty and the Spurs could build a big win behind hot three point shooting which they are capable of, especially against the Knicks defense which has struggled from that range.
Memphis Grizzlies @ Phoenix Suns Pick: Phoenix are coming off a hugely important win for their own confidence and I am hoping that doesn't lead to over-confidence in this game. The Suns have been playing some very good basketball over the last two months and look a team that can make the Play Offs and I think they avenge their loss to Memphis from last month.
January 15th
I needed to take a few days off from the NBA as I haven't really got a good handle of the way teams are approaching games in the early part of the season, but I have been keeping tabs on those games. Taking a mini-break during the course of the season has helped in the last two years that I have been making picks on the NBA here, so I hope to have the same type of resurgence in this one.
Miami Heat @ Washington Wizards Pick: The Miami Heat have had four days to think about their last two losses, but that has also meant their rotation is healthier in time for this game. The Heat visited the White House on Tuesday and the reigning Champions are now 4-0 against the spread after that visit.
With the Wizards struggling at home and LeBron James' numbers being questioned, I expect a big performance from Miami in this one.
Toronto Raptors @ Boston Celtics Pick: Boston have been struggling in recent games and there is every chance they could be looking ahead to the return of Rajon Rondo in this game that could keep their focus from Toronto. The Raptors have a poor record here, but have been playing well over the last month and I expect them to be too strong for the Celtics.
Memphis Grizzlies @ Milwaukee Bucks Pick: My biggest concern in this game is that Memphis are coming off an important win over the Oklahoma City Thunder last night, but they know they have to keep winning if they are to get back into the post-season in the Western Conference. Milwaukee are struggling for points and those aren't easier to come by in this game so I look for the Grizzlies to come through with a cover.
January 16th
Atlanta Hawks v Brooklyn Nets Pick: You can't always tell how a team will react to playing abroad in what is a special game in front of a different country. However, Brooklyn have a decent record against Atlanta in recent games against them, while the favourite is 11-5 against the spread in games played outside of North America.
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Houston Rockets Pick: The Rockets had to come back from a big hole to beat New Orleans last night so there is an aspect of tiredness that could creep in to their game. However, Houston have been playing with more confidence than Oklahoma City and I like them to get a measure of revenge for the blow out earlier this season and win this one.
January 19th
I was absolutely stunned by the collapse of the Houston Rockets in their loss on Thursday night with the second worst second half scoring output in the history of the NBA. That kind of summed up the poor luck I have had so far with a couple of teams missing the cover by half a point and then epic collapses taking place all over the shop.
LA Lakers @ Toronto Raptors Pick: The Toronto Raptors have been playing some decent basketball of late and they should be too strong for the LA Lakers in this early game, especially with this being the middle of games against the Celtics and the Bulls for the Lakers.
Denver Nuggets @ Phoenix Suns Pick: There has been a slide in form since Eric Bledsoe has been missing for the Phoenix Suns, but they have beaten Denver twice already this season, while the Nuggets are just 4-10 against the spread in Phoenix. The home court advantage may prove enough for Phoenix to sneak the win.
January 21st
Boston Celtics @ Miami Heat Pick: It has been a long road trip for the Heat, but I do think the green shirts of Boston will at least see them pick up their game in this one. Dwyane Wade returning will only help, but they need to improve their defensive effort to cover this spread.
Portland Trail Blazers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pick: It was a bad defeat for Portland yesterday, but they have shown they are capable of winning road games against the best teams with wins at Dallas and San Antonio during this road trip. They may be able to keep this close against an Oklahoma City Thunder team that is possibly looking ahead to a road game at the Spurs tomorrow night.
January 25th
Atlanta Hawks @ Milwaukee Bucks Pick: They may be the worst team in the NBA, by some distance too, but the Milwaukee Bucks are rarely in a position like this where they can earn back to back wins at home. Milwaukee have struggled but Atlanta are short-handed and may struggle to get up for the worst team with players looking to regain health and I will take the points.
Washington Wizards @ Utah Jazz Pick: The layers may be putting too much stock in the fact that Washington had to play last night and Utah have had a few days to get ready for this game as I don't understand why the Wizards are the underdog. If they keep up their defensive intensity, I think Washington win this one.
MY PICKS: 02/01 San Antonio Spurs - 11.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
02/01 Phoenix Suns - 5.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
15/01 Miami Heat - 6 Points @ 2.00 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
15/01 Toronto Raptors - 4 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
15/01 Memphis Grizzlies - 5.5 Points @ 1.92 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)
16/01 Brooklyn Nets - 2 Points @ 1.95 Bet Fred (1 Unit)
16/01 Houston Rockets - 2 Points @ 1.92 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
19/01 Toronto Raptors - 9 Points @ 1.92 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)
19/01 Phoenix Suns -1 Point @ 1.97 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
21/01 Miami Heat - 9.5 Points @ 1.92 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
21/01 Portland Trail Blazers + 6.5 Points @ 2.00 Bet Victor (1 Unit)
25/01 Milwaukee Bucks + 2.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
25/01 Washington Wizards @ 2.05 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
January Update: 2-9, - 7.08 Units
December 2013 Final: 8-11, - 3.42 Units
November 2013 Final: 8-7-1, + 0.82 Units
October 2013 Final: 0-4, - 4 Units
Season 2014: 16-22-1, - 6.60 Units
Final Season 2013: 105-93-3, + 10.49 Units
Final Season 2012: 79-53-1, + 27.48 Units
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Tuesday, 12 November 2013
NBA Picks November 2013
There are times during the regular season, which is long enough, when you have to take a step back and take stock of the picks made and figure out what has gone wrong, especially when going on a poor run. That was the situation for me at the end of October as the first four picks went down, but two of those were down to ridiculous late efforts and collapses from teams and I decided to let the season settle down somewhat.
Indiana failed to cover my first pick by allowing a three pointer with time running out, while the Knicks somehow blew a huge 25 point lead against Milwaukee and won by 7 points when they were being asked to cover 8... In both games, the losing team decided not to foul down the stretch and send Indiana/New York to the foul line either so they were a couple of bad breaks.
To be honest, the first week of November was filled with erratic games too and so I took a watching brief, but like I said above, the hope is that the season will settle down now and teams can get on with the tough months ahead.
Teams have also had surprising starts with Miami already having 3 losses and the New York Knicks starting off 2-4. The Western Conference looks the more competitive of the two, while the LA Lakers will be desperately hoping that Kobe Bryant can return in the near future to spark what could be a terrible season for the franchise.
November 12th
Washington Wizards @ Dallas Mavericks Pick: I wouldn't at all be surprised if both of these teams combined for over 200 points in this game as both have certainly been better in the opposition half of the court than they have when it comes to Defensive unity.
Of the two, Dallas at least have something to build on when it comes to the Defensive side of the court after their performance against Milwaukee. They are also facing a team that might be a little down after blowing a definite win on Sunday night at Oklahoma City and I like Dallas to cover.
November 13th
Charlotte Bobcats @ Boston Celtics Pick: The momentum is all with Boston heading into this game and I do think they are capable of making it 5 in a row against a Charlotte team that is still trying to find their identity on Offense.
Boston have found a good formula with Avery Bradley and Jordan Crawford in the back-court and I like the Celtics to cover.
New York Knicks @ Atlanta Hawks Pick: The New York Knicks have struggled since Tyson Chandler was injured and also have a big game on national television tomorrow so they look in a bad spot here.
The fact that are playing a team with a front-court as big as Atlanta's won't help the Knicks and second chances to score should be dominated by the Hawks. I expect them to dominate the boards and I think the Hawks cover in this one.
November 14th
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Golden State Warriors Pick: Oklahoma City haven't shown much Defense in their last three games, and that could be exposed by the Warriors who have been blowing teams out in front of their own fans.
The Thunder will need some scoring from Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook to make this a game and we could see the total points surpassed.
November 15th
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Pick: It is never easy facing Denver in the altitude of Colorado, but the Timberwolves are scoring a lot of points and are playing very well over the last week.
The spread just looks too low here and I think Minnesota win and cover.
San Antonio Spurs @ Utah Jazz Pick: San Antonio have been playing some of the best basketball in the Western Conference and they have won 3 in a row by wide margins.
They should be able to roll against the struggling Utah Jazz including 3 blow outs in a row before their win over New Orleans. I expect the Spurs can go into their extended break after this game with continued momentum behind them.
November 19th
It has summed up the early season that I would pick Atlanta to beat the Knicks and they play like crap and lose, but two days later blow out the same team on the road. More late backdoor covers haven't helped my early mood when it comes to the NBA so far this season.
Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat Pick: The Miami Heat have begun to turn up the, errr, Heat on the Defensive side of the court and LeBron James is playing at a monster level. I guess he doesn't want to talk about his future by giving the media something else to write about and I like Miami to win and cover if they maintain the Defensive effort of recent games.
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Washington Wizards Pick: About the only time Minnesota have failed to cover in recent games was when I picked them, but hopefully that hex is broken on Tuesday night. The Timberwolves have been wiping teams out with an Offensive output that is hard to match, although I hope they remain focused with a big game against the LA Clippers tomorrow night.
November 20th
Indiana Pacers @ New York Knicks Pick: The New York Knicks have been playing really badly and they need a big improvement to match the Indiana Pacers in this one. Indiana have had a few days to recover from the loss to the Bulls and will want to put on a bigger effort in this one and I like them to win this one and cover.
Miami Heat @ Orlando Magic Pick: The NBA has had some strange results in the opening month of the season, including a number of teams blowing huge leads. However, the Miami Heat have been picking up the form that we have come to know of them and I think they can cover again tonight.
I have respect for Orlando in the way this young team gives their all in every game, but the Heat are rolling at the moment.
November 22nd
Cleveland Cavaliers @ New Orleans Pelicans Pick: The New Orleans Pelicans have a big game in a few days time at the San Antonio Spurs, but have been scoring a lot of points since Ryan Anderson returned to health. They should be too strong for Cleveland who are on a short road trip at two Western Conference teams and I like them to cover the points.
November 25th
Chicago Bulls @ Utah Jazz Pick: It was confirmed that Derrick Rose is going to miss the rest of the season and while they play a team that completely sucks in Utah, the Chicago Bulls might not be ready to win a game as favourite here. It's the last game in the West before a couple of road games against Eastern Conference teams and I'll take the points with Utah.
New York Knicks @ Portland Trail Blazers Pick: One of the most disappointing teams in the first month of the season are the New York Knicks and I have to keep fading a team that is still missing the likes of Raymond Felton and Tyson Chandler.
Portland will be missing Mo Williams through suspension, but this is a team on a roll and I would be surprised if they don't win this one handily.
November 26th
LA Lakers @ Washington Wizards Pick: The LA Lakers have a mini-road trip to the East coast through Thanksgiving, which opens up with this game in Washington. The Wizards have been playing well, but are struggling Defensively and that is an area where the Lakers can at least make this competitive so I will take the points.
November 27th
Chicago Bulls @ Detroit Pistons Pick: The loss of Derrick Rose is huge for this Chicago team that also has lost the depth that made them competitive last season. They won't tank the season, but they may need the Thanksgiving break between games to make the adjustments to the Offense without their star Point Guard.
With Detroit finally winning back to back games, the Pistons may have the confidence to dominate the boards and win this game while covering the spread.
New York Knicks @ LA Clippers Pick: Injuries are hurting New York and their Offense has struggled for consistency which doesn't bode well for them against a team like the Clippers that can score a lot of points. Usually I would steer clear of such a big spread, but New York are struggling badly from beyond the three point range and I think the Clippers crush them in a track meet.
MY PICKS: 12/11 Dallas Mavericks - 5.5 Points @ 1.92 Bet Victor (1 Unit)
13/11 Boston Celtics - 5.5 Points @ 1.95 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)
13/11 Atlanta Hawks - 4 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
14/11 Golden State Warriors-Oklahoma City Thunder Over 208 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
15/11 Minnesota Timberwolves - 2 Points @ 1.92 Bet Fred (1 Unit)
15/11 San Antonio Spurs - 10 Points @ 1.92 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
19/11 Miami Heat - 9.5 Points @ 2.05 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
19/11 Minnesota Timberwolves - 4 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
20/11 Indiana Pacers - 6.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
20/11 Miami Heat - 7.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
22/11 New Orleans Pelicans - 6.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
25/11 Utah Jazz + 4.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
25/11 Portland Trail Blazers - 7 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
26/11 LA Lakers + 5 Points @ 2.05 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
27/11 Detroit Pistons - 3 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
27/11 LA Clippers - 9.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
November 2013 Update: 8-7-1, + 0.82 Units
October 2013 Final: 0-4, - 4 Units
Final Season 2013: 105-93-3, + 10.49 Units
Final Season 2012: 79-53-1, + 27.48 Units
Indiana failed to cover my first pick by allowing a three pointer with time running out, while the Knicks somehow blew a huge 25 point lead against Milwaukee and won by 7 points when they were being asked to cover 8... In both games, the losing team decided not to foul down the stretch and send Indiana/New York to the foul line either so they were a couple of bad breaks.
To be honest, the first week of November was filled with erratic games too and so I took a watching brief, but like I said above, the hope is that the season will settle down now and teams can get on with the tough months ahead.
Teams have also had surprising starts with Miami already having 3 losses and the New York Knicks starting off 2-4. The Western Conference looks the more competitive of the two, while the LA Lakers will be desperately hoping that Kobe Bryant can return in the near future to spark what could be a terrible season for the franchise.
November 12th
Washington Wizards @ Dallas Mavericks Pick: I wouldn't at all be surprised if both of these teams combined for over 200 points in this game as both have certainly been better in the opposition half of the court than they have when it comes to Defensive unity.
Of the two, Dallas at least have something to build on when it comes to the Defensive side of the court after their performance against Milwaukee. They are also facing a team that might be a little down after blowing a definite win on Sunday night at Oklahoma City and I like Dallas to cover.
November 13th
Charlotte Bobcats @ Boston Celtics Pick: The momentum is all with Boston heading into this game and I do think they are capable of making it 5 in a row against a Charlotte team that is still trying to find their identity on Offense.
Boston have found a good formula with Avery Bradley and Jordan Crawford in the back-court and I like the Celtics to cover.
New York Knicks @ Atlanta Hawks Pick: The New York Knicks have struggled since Tyson Chandler was injured and also have a big game on national television tomorrow so they look in a bad spot here.
The fact that are playing a team with a front-court as big as Atlanta's won't help the Knicks and second chances to score should be dominated by the Hawks. I expect them to dominate the boards and I think the Hawks cover in this one.
November 14th
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Golden State Warriors Pick: Oklahoma City haven't shown much Defense in their last three games, and that could be exposed by the Warriors who have been blowing teams out in front of their own fans.
The Thunder will need some scoring from Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook to make this a game and we could see the total points surpassed.
November 15th
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Pick: It is never easy facing Denver in the altitude of Colorado, but the Timberwolves are scoring a lot of points and are playing very well over the last week.
The spread just looks too low here and I think Minnesota win and cover.
San Antonio Spurs @ Utah Jazz Pick: San Antonio have been playing some of the best basketball in the Western Conference and they have won 3 in a row by wide margins.
They should be able to roll against the struggling Utah Jazz including 3 blow outs in a row before their win over New Orleans. I expect the Spurs can go into their extended break after this game with continued momentum behind them.
November 19th
It has summed up the early season that I would pick Atlanta to beat the Knicks and they play like crap and lose, but two days later blow out the same team on the road. More late backdoor covers haven't helped my early mood when it comes to the NBA so far this season.
Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat Pick: The Miami Heat have begun to turn up the, errr, Heat on the Defensive side of the court and LeBron James is playing at a monster level. I guess he doesn't want to talk about his future by giving the media something else to write about and I like Miami to win and cover if they maintain the Defensive effort of recent games.
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Washington Wizards Pick: About the only time Minnesota have failed to cover in recent games was when I picked them, but hopefully that hex is broken on Tuesday night. The Timberwolves have been wiping teams out with an Offensive output that is hard to match, although I hope they remain focused with a big game against the LA Clippers tomorrow night.
November 20th
Indiana Pacers @ New York Knicks Pick: The New York Knicks have been playing really badly and they need a big improvement to match the Indiana Pacers in this one. Indiana have had a few days to recover from the loss to the Bulls and will want to put on a bigger effort in this one and I like them to win this one and cover.
Miami Heat @ Orlando Magic Pick: The NBA has had some strange results in the opening month of the season, including a number of teams blowing huge leads. However, the Miami Heat have been picking up the form that we have come to know of them and I think they can cover again tonight.
I have respect for Orlando in the way this young team gives their all in every game, but the Heat are rolling at the moment.
November 22nd
Cleveland Cavaliers @ New Orleans Pelicans Pick: The New Orleans Pelicans have a big game in a few days time at the San Antonio Spurs, but have been scoring a lot of points since Ryan Anderson returned to health. They should be too strong for Cleveland who are on a short road trip at two Western Conference teams and I like them to cover the points.
November 25th
Chicago Bulls @ Utah Jazz Pick: It was confirmed that Derrick Rose is going to miss the rest of the season and while they play a team that completely sucks in Utah, the Chicago Bulls might not be ready to win a game as favourite here. It's the last game in the West before a couple of road games against Eastern Conference teams and I'll take the points with Utah.
New York Knicks @ Portland Trail Blazers Pick: One of the most disappointing teams in the first month of the season are the New York Knicks and I have to keep fading a team that is still missing the likes of Raymond Felton and Tyson Chandler.
Portland will be missing Mo Williams through suspension, but this is a team on a roll and I would be surprised if they don't win this one handily.
November 26th
LA Lakers @ Washington Wizards Pick: The LA Lakers have a mini-road trip to the East coast through Thanksgiving, which opens up with this game in Washington. The Wizards have been playing well, but are struggling Defensively and that is an area where the Lakers can at least make this competitive so I will take the points.
November 27th
Chicago Bulls @ Detroit Pistons Pick: The loss of Derrick Rose is huge for this Chicago team that also has lost the depth that made them competitive last season. They won't tank the season, but they may need the Thanksgiving break between games to make the adjustments to the Offense without their star Point Guard.
With Detroit finally winning back to back games, the Pistons may have the confidence to dominate the boards and win this game while covering the spread.
New York Knicks @ LA Clippers Pick: Injuries are hurting New York and their Offense has struggled for consistency which doesn't bode well for them against a team like the Clippers that can score a lot of points. Usually I would steer clear of such a big spread, but New York are struggling badly from beyond the three point range and I think the Clippers crush them in a track meet.
MY PICKS: 12/11 Dallas Mavericks - 5.5 Points @ 1.92 Bet Victor (1 Unit)
13/11 Boston Celtics - 5.5 Points @ 1.95 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)
13/11 Atlanta Hawks - 4 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
14/11 Golden State Warriors-Oklahoma City Thunder Over 208 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
15/11 Minnesota Timberwolves - 2 Points @ 1.92 Bet Fred (1 Unit)
15/11 San Antonio Spurs - 10 Points @ 1.92 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
19/11 Miami Heat - 9.5 Points @ 2.05 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
19/11 Minnesota Timberwolves - 4 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
20/11 Indiana Pacers - 6.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
20/11 Miami Heat - 7.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
22/11 New Orleans Pelicans - 6.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
25/11 Utah Jazz + 4.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
25/11 Portland Trail Blazers - 7 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
26/11 LA Lakers + 5 Points @ 2.05 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
27/11 Detroit Pistons - 3 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
27/11 LA Clippers - 9.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
November 2013 Update: 8-7-1, + 0.82 Units
October 2013 Final: 0-4, - 4 Units
Final Season 2013: 105-93-3, + 10.49 Units
Final Season 2012: 79-53-1, + 27.48 Units
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Tuesday, 29 October 2013
NBA Picks October 2013
Is it really time for a new NBA season? Time really has crept up on me, but the coming Halloween season is usually the indication that the basketball is ready to tip off all over again.
It is a big year for the Miami Heat who are looking for a three-peat following their Game 7 win over the San Antonio Spurs in June, but the Eastern Conference is loaded with potential rivals and even getting to the NBA Finals is going to be a big test for the Heat.
The Heat certainly still look the team to beat, but the Indiana Pacers have improved in the off-season and will remember how close they came to beating the Heat in the Eastern Conference Finals last season. The Chicago Bulls and Brooklyn Nets are improved and will go close, while the New York Knicks may have lost ground in this Conference.
How the Heat play may have a lot to do with whether LeBron James opts out of his contract at the end of the season and the Decision part 2 gets to be played out in the off-season... That storyline is likely to remain at the forefront of the NBA throughout the season, especially if Dwyane Wade struggles as he did in the Play Offs last season.
The Western Conference also looks strange with the LA Lakers not looking in a position to be competitive for an appearance in the NBA Finals- at the moment, the LA Clippers, Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs look the teams to beat in the West, although injuries can quickly change things as they did for the Thunder when they lost Russell Westbrook in the Play Offs last season.
Whatever happens, this should be another fascinating nine months on the long and winding road to the NBA Finals.
Picks from October games will all be placed in this thread and I will then have new threads for each month going forward. The last two seasons have produced winning records for the picks, but things can quickly change in the NBA and hopefully I have stayed on top as much as possible.
October 29th
Orlando Magic @ Indiana Pacers Pick: The Indiana Pacers won't generate the same kind of media coverage as the big market teams in the NBA, but they have built a roster that is going to go very close to winning it all this season.
They have made good moves in Free Agency by picking up players that can spread the floor and hit three pointers in Chris Copeland and CJ Watson, while the imminent return of Danny Granger will give them more scoring options.
Indiana could do with a little bit more scoring, especially when they come across the best teams in the Eastern Conference, but they remain amongst the best defensive teams in the NBA.
It should be a tough game for Orlando to get going against Indiana, although the Magic should be more competitive this season. The problem is they are going against such a tough defense that I am not sure how they can score enough points to keep up with the Pacers in this one.
The Pacers have dominated recent games against Orlando and I like them to cover this one.
LA Clippers @ LA Lakers Pick: There was a definite shift in strength between these teams last seaosn and the off-season moves seem to have backed up the LA Clippers as being the team to beat in Los Angeles this season too.
Of course, the Clippers want to achieve more than underline their position as the dominant team in this big market City, and that means having a deep Play Off run. Bringing in Doc Rivers will help the team as he has the authority of winning a Championship as a Head Coach and the Clippers do look good.
I am expecting them to make a positive start to the new season against a LA Lakers team that is missing Kobe Bryant. With Steve Nash being a little hobbled, I would expect Chris Paul to dominate this game as he did in the four games last year and I do think the Clippers can make a statement to the rest of the NBA in this one.
It isn't the surprise it would have been a couple of years ago, but the Clippers should open the season with a win and a cover of the biggest spread they would have seen against the Lakers in a long time.
October 30th
It wasn't a great start to the season for the picks, although being moosed in the first game of the season truly sucks.
Milwaukee Bucks @ New York Knicks Pick: There are some doubts surrounding the New York Knicks this season, especially after Carmelo Anthony suggested he will opt out of his contract to test the market in the next off-season. However, this is still a roster that will be looking to compete with the Miami Heat for the Eastern Conference title, even if they do look short of the very best in the Conference.
They should get off to a good start in the refurbished Madison Square Garden against a Milwaukee Bucks team that has changed a lot from last season. Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis have moved on, and injuries are affecting the Bucks heading into the opening game of the season.
New York have dominated the recent games in the series and I think it will be tough for the Bucks to keep up with their limited roster in this game.
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Utah Jazz Pick: Russell Westbrook is still not back for the Oklahoma City Thunder, although his return looks ahead of schedule, but that shouldn't stop the Thunder from winning their opening game of the season.
I know playing in Utah is always tough, but this is a young Jazz team that is going through a transition and the Thunder still have Kevin Durant who is capable of blowing open any game. I don't believe the Jazz have the defensive quality to slow down Durant and this Offense and that should prove to be too much pressure for their own Offense to keep up.
The Thunder have won 4 of their last 6 at Utah, including on their most recent visit, and I like them to cover.
MY PICKS: 29/10 Indiana Pacers - 12 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
29/10 LA Clippers - 8.5 Points @ 1.92 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
30/10 New York Knicks - 8 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
30/10 Oklahoma City Thunder - 6 Points @ 1.92 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)
October 2013: 0-4, - 4 Units
Final Season 2013: 105-93-3, + 10.49 Units
Final Season 2012: 79-53-1, + 27.48 Units
It is a big year for the Miami Heat who are looking for a three-peat following their Game 7 win over the San Antonio Spurs in June, but the Eastern Conference is loaded with potential rivals and even getting to the NBA Finals is going to be a big test for the Heat.
The Heat certainly still look the team to beat, but the Indiana Pacers have improved in the off-season and will remember how close they came to beating the Heat in the Eastern Conference Finals last season. The Chicago Bulls and Brooklyn Nets are improved and will go close, while the New York Knicks may have lost ground in this Conference.
How the Heat play may have a lot to do with whether LeBron James opts out of his contract at the end of the season and the Decision part 2 gets to be played out in the off-season... That storyline is likely to remain at the forefront of the NBA throughout the season, especially if Dwyane Wade struggles as he did in the Play Offs last season.
The Western Conference also looks strange with the LA Lakers not looking in a position to be competitive for an appearance in the NBA Finals- at the moment, the LA Clippers, Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs look the teams to beat in the West, although injuries can quickly change things as they did for the Thunder when they lost Russell Westbrook in the Play Offs last season.
Whatever happens, this should be another fascinating nine months on the long and winding road to the NBA Finals.
Picks from October games will all be placed in this thread and I will then have new threads for each month going forward. The last two seasons have produced winning records for the picks, but things can quickly change in the NBA and hopefully I have stayed on top as much as possible.
October 29th
Orlando Magic @ Indiana Pacers Pick: The Indiana Pacers won't generate the same kind of media coverage as the big market teams in the NBA, but they have built a roster that is going to go very close to winning it all this season.
They have made good moves in Free Agency by picking up players that can spread the floor and hit three pointers in Chris Copeland and CJ Watson, while the imminent return of Danny Granger will give them more scoring options.
Indiana could do with a little bit more scoring, especially when they come across the best teams in the Eastern Conference, but they remain amongst the best defensive teams in the NBA.
It should be a tough game for Orlando to get going against Indiana, although the Magic should be more competitive this season. The problem is they are going against such a tough defense that I am not sure how they can score enough points to keep up with the Pacers in this one.
The Pacers have dominated recent games against Orlando and I like them to cover this one.
LA Clippers @ LA Lakers Pick: There was a definite shift in strength between these teams last seaosn and the off-season moves seem to have backed up the LA Clippers as being the team to beat in Los Angeles this season too.
Of course, the Clippers want to achieve more than underline their position as the dominant team in this big market City, and that means having a deep Play Off run. Bringing in Doc Rivers will help the team as he has the authority of winning a Championship as a Head Coach and the Clippers do look good.
I am expecting them to make a positive start to the new season against a LA Lakers team that is missing Kobe Bryant. With Steve Nash being a little hobbled, I would expect Chris Paul to dominate this game as he did in the four games last year and I do think the Clippers can make a statement to the rest of the NBA in this one.
It isn't the surprise it would have been a couple of years ago, but the Clippers should open the season with a win and a cover of the biggest spread they would have seen against the Lakers in a long time.
October 30th
It wasn't a great start to the season for the picks, although being moosed in the first game of the season truly sucks.
Milwaukee Bucks @ New York Knicks Pick: There are some doubts surrounding the New York Knicks this season, especially after Carmelo Anthony suggested he will opt out of his contract to test the market in the next off-season. However, this is still a roster that will be looking to compete with the Miami Heat for the Eastern Conference title, even if they do look short of the very best in the Conference.
They should get off to a good start in the refurbished Madison Square Garden against a Milwaukee Bucks team that has changed a lot from last season. Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis have moved on, and injuries are affecting the Bucks heading into the opening game of the season.
New York have dominated the recent games in the series and I think it will be tough for the Bucks to keep up with their limited roster in this game.
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Utah Jazz Pick: Russell Westbrook is still not back for the Oklahoma City Thunder, although his return looks ahead of schedule, but that shouldn't stop the Thunder from winning their opening game of the season.
I know playing in Utah is always tough, but this is a young Jazz team that is going through a transition and the Thunder still have Kevin Durant who is capable of blowing open any game. I don't believe the Jazz have the defensive quality to slow down Durant and this Offense and that should prove to be too much pressure for their own Offense to keep up.
The Thunder have won 4 of their last 6 at Utah, including on their most recent visit, and I like them to cover.
MY PICKS: 29/10 Indiana Pacers - 12 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
29/10 LA Clippers - 8.5 Points @ 1.92 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
30/10 New York Knicks - 8 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (1 Unit)
30/10 Oklahoma City Thunder - 6 Points @ 1.92 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)
October 2013: 0-4, - 4 Units
Final Season 2013: 105-93-3, + 10.49 Units
Final Season 2012: 79-53-1, + 27.48 Units
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