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Sunday, 20 November 2016

ATP World Tour Finals Tennis Picks 2016 (November 20th)

The ATP World Tour Finals has reach the Final match of the week and the 2016 season aside from the Davis Cup Final which is played next week.

It isn't just the Final that is being played on Sunday but the winner of the Novak Djokovic and Andy Murray match will also end the year as World Number 1 so there is plenty on the line that can also be a momentum builder for the start of the 2017 season.

The off-season is not that long in tennis when you think the first tournaments of the 2017 season are scheduled for just seven weeks time from Monday. We are a little over two months away from the first Grand Slam of the 2017 season which is absolutely crazy to think about, but there are still a few big matches left in 2016.

Novak Djokovic - 2.5 games v Andy Murray: The ATP World Tour Finals comes to an end on Sunday and it is the Final that most would have wanted. The top two players in the World Rankings go up against one another with the trophy and the World Number 1 Ranking on the line.

Novak Djokovic and Andy Murray have won all four matches played so far this week, but I think it is hard to ignore the amount of tennis that Murray has had to play compared with Djokovic. The long winning run does mean Murray is going to believe he can dig deep enough to come through in the Final, but he has twice had to go over three hours to win his matches and yesterday's Semi Final victory over Milos Raonic came close to four hours on court.

Compare that with Djokovic who lost just two games on his way to crushing Kei Nishikori and the former World Number 1 has to be a lot fresher. I do think Djokovic has not been at his very best this week, but his level could be good enough if Murray is fatiguing and I think the Serb has to feel he can outlast Murray much like he has throughout his career.

Matches between Djokovic and Murray have been competitive, but tiredness didn't help Murray when beaten in four sets by Djokovic in their last meeting at the French Open. I can see the first set being very competitive, but Murray will find it tough to continue finding the strength to win the long rallies these two tend to play against one another. At that point I think Djokovic will take control of the match and come through with a 75, 63 win.

MY PICKS: Novak Djokovic - 2.5 Games @ 1.73 Paddy Power (2 Units)

Weekly Update: 7-7, + 0.18 Units (28 Units Staked, + 0% Yield)

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