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Showing posts with label NBA Semi Finals. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NBA Semi Finals. Show all posts

Sunday, 5 May 2013

NBA Play Offs Conference Semi Finals 2013

It has been a tough First Round for a lot of the teams and there have a couple of surprise teams that have made it through to the Conference Semi Finals, mainly the Golden State Warriors who shocked the Denver Nuggets.

However, the main contenders are all in the Semi Finals from the Miami Heat through to the Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs, although injuries have certainly changed the landscape in the Western Conference.

While the Heat are still the overwhelming favourites to win the Eastern Conference, the loss of Russell Westbrook looks too tough for the Thunder to overcome, especially in the face of a very tough Semi Final against the Memphis Grizzlies. The new favourites in the Western Conference are the San Antonio Spurs who seem to have a roster full of experience and also one with a lot of depth and shooters that can take games away from opponents.


You can see my picks from the NBA Semi Finals series here





Miami Heat (1) v Chicago Bulls (5)

There is nothing bad you can say about the Chicago Bulls who showed all the guts and heart you would want to see in the Play Offs to knock off the Brooklyn Nets in the First Round, but now the level of competition certainly increases.

Chicago are not scared of playing the Miami Heat and I think the latter will also be relishing going up against a rival that snapped the 27 game winning run in the regular season.

I would be surprised if the Bulls are swept in this series, despite the obvious difference in talent and the fact that Chicago are fighting through injuries and illness at the moment. The Bulls have shown they can compete with the Heat, even without Derrick Rose, but this is the time of the season that Miami tend to go into overdrive.

Miami will not take their eye off the ball with this Chicago team and that focus should see them come through fairly comfortably.

Prediction: Miami Heat in 5 games





New York Knicks (2) v Indiana Pacers (3)

This was the tough series that everyone expected to see in the Semi Finals and both the New York Knicks and the Indiana Pacers have come through tough First Round series to reach here.

The rivalry brings back memories of Reggie Miller and Spike Lee getting into it at Madison Square Garden and this looks like another smash-mouth series that we will be seeing.

New York definitely have the better talent and can get things going a little more consistently offensively, but the Pacers have a solid defense and are going to be tough to score upon. I would be very surprised if this series has a lot of high-scoring games if I am honest.

They were closely matched in the regular season with home court advantage proven to be critical in the regular season as both won their games at home. I think that will be the case in this series too and I think the Miami Heat could be rubbing their hands together as this has all the hallmarks of a physical series that could take a lot out of the team that progresses to the Eastern Conference Finals.

Prediction: New York Knicks in 6 or 7 physical games.




Oklahoma City Thunder (1) v Memphis Grizzlies (5)

The loss of Russell Westbrook has shown that the Oklahoma City Thunder are very much reliant on his athletic ability to make plays and this series could be edged by the lower seeded Memphis Grizzlies.

Memphis will make this physical, but unlike the Clippers in the First Round, Oklahoma City have the size to take care of themselves. I think the match up with Memphis suits the Thunder, although they do need to get some offensive production from someone other than Kevin Durant, particularly in the Fourth Quarter.

The Grizzlies will feel they can get something going as they have won games in this Arena in recent games here, but the match up isn't the greatest for them.

It will be a lot of tough, physical play involved and there is no love lost between the teams, but it is hard to separate them. I just have a sneaky feeling that the Grizzlies are ready to put down a surprise on the Thunder here and physically out match them to take the series.

Prediction: Memphis Grizzlies in 6 tough games.



San Antonio Spurs (2) v Golden State Warriors (6)

The San Antonio Spurs swept the LA Lakers in the First Round and that has enabled them to give sufficient rest to the likes of Tim Duncan, Manu Ginobili and Tony Parker, while I think they will be satisfied that they are playing the Golden State Warriors in the Semi Finals.

It was a very good series for the Warrior against the Denver Nuggets to surprise the Number 3 seed in the Western Conference, but the Spurs is a tougher team with a lot of experience.

The regular season saw the teams split four games with all of the wins coming by the home team, but the Spurs are just about as healthy as they have been all season. The experience that the Spurs have should see them back into the Western Conference Finals to get some redemption for last season, but I don't think the Warriors will go away.

However, I do think the added experience and veteran presence in the San Antonio ranks will see them win a game 6 on the road and move through to the Finals in the West.

Prediction: San Antonio Spurs in 6 games.

Saturday, 12 May 2012

NBA Play Off Semi Final Picks

I am going to use this post to collate my picks from the Semi Finals of the NBA Play Offs which will begin on Saturday 12th May.

My views on the series as a whole can be found here

May 12th
Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Preview (http://goonersguide.com/basketball-pick-14228-Philadelphia-76ers-at-Boston-Celtics.htm)

May 13th
Indiana Pacers @ Miami Heat Preview (http://goonersguide.com/basketball-pick-14242-Indiana-Pacers-at-Miami-Heat.htm)

May 14th
Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Preview (http://goonersguide.com/basketball-pick-14252-Philadelphia-76ers-at-Boston-Celtics.htm)

LA Lakers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Preview (http://goonersguide.com/basketball-pick-14251-LA-Lakers-at-Oklahoma-City.htm)

May 15th
Indiana Pacers @ Miami Heat Preview (http://goonersguide.com/basketball-pick-14263-Indiana-Pacers-at-Miami-Heat.htm)

LA Clippers @ San Antonio Spurs Preview (http://goonersguide.com/basketball-pick-14265-LA-Clippers-at-San-Antonio-Spurs.htm)

May 16th
Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers Preview (http://goonersguide.com/basketball-pick-14274-Boston-Celtics-at-Philadelphia-76ers.htm)

LA Lakers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Preview (http://goonersguide.com/basketball-pick-14277-LA-Lakers-at-Oklahoma-City.htm)

May 17th
Miami Heat @ Indiana Pacers Preview (http://www.goonersguide.com/basketball-pick-14284-Miami-Heat-at-Indiana-Pacers.htm)

LA Clippers @ San Antonio Spurs Preview (http://www.goonersguide.com/basketball-pick-14285-LA-Clippers-at-San-Antonio-Spurs.htm)

May 18th
I have to say that after watching the Miami Heat in game 3 at the Indiana Pacers, all the jokes surrounding Chris Bosh's place in the team will be put into storage for good. His absence looks like being a series turning point, although the surprisingly bad game from Dwyane Wade was more than a disappointment.


Game 4 of that series is on Sunday night, and that is an absolutely huge game for the Heat with question marks arising as to what will happen to the roster and management if they are knocked out of the Play Offs.




Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers Preview (http://goonersguide.com/basketball-pick-14290-Boston-Celtics-at-Philadelphia-76ers.htm)

May 19th
San Antonio Spurs @ LA Clippers Preview (http://goonersguide.com/basketball-pick-14302-San-Antonio-Spurs-at-LA-Clippers.htm)

Oklahoma City Thunder @ LA Lakers Preview (http://goonersguide.com/basketball-pick-14314-Oklahoma-City-at-LA-Lakers.htm)

May 20th
Miami Heat @ Indiana Pacers Preview (http://goonersguide.com/basketball-pick-14319-Miami-Heat-at-Indiana-Pacers.htm)

San Antonio Spurs @ LA Clippers Preview (http://goonersguide.com/basketball-pick-14320-San-Antonio-Spurs-at-LA-Clippers.htm)

May 21st
Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Preview (http://goonersguide.com/basketball-pick-14321-Philadelphia-76ers-at-Boston-Celtics.htm)

LA Lakers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Preview (http://goonersguide.com/basketball-pick-14322-LA-Lakers-at-Oklahoma-City.htm)

May 22nd
Indiana Pacers @ Miami Heat Preview (http://goonersguide.com/basketball-pick-14328-Indiana-Pacers-at-Miami-Heat.htm)

May 23rd
Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers Preview (http://goonersguide.com/basketball-pick-14333-Boston-Celtics-at-Philadelphia-76ers.htm)

May 24th
Miami Heat @ Indiana Pacers Preview (http://goonersguide.com/basketball-pick-14338-Miami-Heat-at-Indiana-Pacers.htm)

May 26th
Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Preview (http://goonersguide.com/basketball-pick-14347-Philadelphia-76ers-at-Boston-Celtics.htm)


MY PICKS: 12/05 Boston Celtics - 5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (2 Units)
13/05 Indiana Pacers + 8.5 Points @ 1.92 Ladbrokes (2 Units)
14/05 Boston Celtics - 4 Points @ 1.92 Bet Victor (2 Units)
14/05 Oklahoma City Thunder - 7.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (2 Units)
15/05 Miami Heat-Indiana Pacers Under 185.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (2 Units)
15/05 San Antonio Spurs - 11.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (2 Units)
16/05 Philadelphia 76ers-Boston Celtics Over 172 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (2 Units)
16/05 LA Lakers + 8 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (2 Units)
17/05 Miami Heat - 1.5 Points @ 1.92 Bet Victor (2 Units)
17/05 San Antonio Spurs-LA Clippers Over 194 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (2 Units)
18/05 Philadelphia 76ers-Boston Celtics Over 174 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (2 Units)
19/05 LA Clippers + 5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (2 Units)
19/05 LA Lakers-Oklahoma City Thunder Over 188.5 Points @ 1.95 188Bet (2 Units)
20/05 Miami Heat - 1.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (2 Units)
20/05 San Antonio Spurs - 7.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (2 Units)
21/05 Boston Celtics-Philadelphia 76ers Over 173.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (2 Units)
21/05 LA Lakers + 8 Points @ 1.92 Ladbrokes (2 Units)
22/05 Indiana Pacers + 6.5 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (2 Units)
23/05 Philadelphia 76ers-Boston Celtics Over 175.5 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (2 Units)
24/05 Miami Heat - 3 Points @ 2.00 Pinnacle (2 Units)
26/05 Boston Celtics-Philadelphia 76ers Over 170 Points @ 1.95 Pinnacle (2 Units)


Semi Final Pick Update: 10-10, - 0.40 Units


First Round Final: 17-8, + 16.68 Units

Friday, 11 May 2012

NBA Play Offs Semi Final Preview

At the time of writing, we are still to see which two Semi Final line ups we are going to get in the Western Conference, but I think the long nature of the Clippers-Grizzlies and the Lakers-Nuggets definitely gives the edge to the San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder who both swept through the First Round and have had plenty of rest, while also having home court advantage.

The Eastern Conference saw the demise of the Chicago Bulls in the most awful of circumstances as Derrick Rose was injured in the first game of their series with the Philadelphia 76ers. The only positive I can take is that the medical advances means an ACL injury like the one Rose suffered is not the destructive force of old and I have full faith the best Point Guard in the NBA will be back to his best after a long, arduous recovery.

Rose seems to have the character to really focus, work hard and the will to get back to being the very best he can- I might not know him personally, but you can see what Rose is all about from his on court demeanour and the way he conducts himself with the press.

With the Bulls out, it looks like the path has really opened up for the Miami Heat to at least get back to the NBA Finals. I was a little surprised to hear them saying that this season is a successful one even if they don't win the NBA title, but that is so far wrong it is ridiculous- the Heat need to win this year to take away all the angst from 'The Decision', otherwise there could be some major work going on in South Beach in the off-season, starting with Eric Spoelstra as the Head Coach.


Eastern Conference Semi Finals








Miami Heat (2) v Indiana Pacers (3)

This was the series that most people would have expected as both the Miami Heat and the Indiana Pacers came through in five games in the First Round. That is where the agreements will end, as many are then split down the middle as to whether this is a tough series for Miami or another walkover.

Most will still agree that this is going to be a Miami series win (personally I can't see any team in the Eastern Conference that wins a best out of seven game series against the Heat now that the Bulls are done), but the manner could be all important.

You just know Indiana want to make this a tough, physical series- Miami were expecting that and saying as much after game five was concluded against the New York Knicks, while Frank Vogel has fired the first shots for the Pacers by calling the Heat the 'biggest floppers in the League' and also putting some pressure on the officials by openly wandering what kind of series they are going to allow.

The likes of Roy Hibbert and David West will cause big problems in Miami's interior, while the Pacers also have the perimeter shooters that the Heat have generally struggled to defend all season. The three point has been particularly problematic to defend for Miami and that is an area the Pacers will look to exploit by banging the ball down the middle with their bigs and kicking it out to the likes of Danny Granger, Darren Collison and Paul George.

Indiana's biggest problem is that they don't always shoot well from the field and that is going to be magnified against one of the best defensive teams in the League... Then they have to deal with LeBron James and Dwyane Wade on the offensive side of the court.

Miami won the season series 3-1, blowing out the Pacers in the first two games before recording a close win in Miami and losing in Indiana by 15 points (the last of those was on a back-to-back play).

Prediction: Not going to be easy, but I think the Heat pull it out in 6 games.












Boston Celtics (4) v Philadelphia 76ers (8)

The Philadelphia 76ers are the biggest surprise at this stage of the Play Offs (writing before game seven of the series between the LA Lakers and the Denver Nuggets), but they still have a lot to prove with murmurings of them being 'lucky' to face a Chicago Bulls team that missed Derrick Rose after game one and was also missing Joakim Noah for the last three games.

Both of these teams needed six games to knock off the Atlanta Hawks and the Bulls, and this series is bound to be fascinating as both are Atlantic Division rivals.

Boston looked good at times in their series with the Hawks, but they have been dealing with injuries and fatigue is also an issue for the Big Three. Paul Pierce played through an injury on Thursday night as they closed out the Atlanta Hawks, but he won't have much time to rest with this game set for Saturday to open the Semi Finals.

Ray Allen at least is back in the fold, but Kevin Garnett had to put in a huge shift and tiredness could indeed be a major factor. This is where the Philadelphia 76ers need to try and steal home court advantage as the first two games of the series are scheduled for Saturday and Monday.

I just don't know how much belief the 76ers have that they can get through this series, but they can at least point to the fact that they have won 2 of the 3 games the teams played in the regular season. However, I think the Celtics have too much talent and too many game changers that can score quickly when the going gets tough.

When I look at Philadelphia, I don't know who is going to take a game by the scruff of the neck when they are struggling, while they are far too hot and cold from the field. The 'eye test' says they struggled to beat a Bulls team missing not one, but two key components and I think they will do well to extend the Celtics in this one.

Prediction: Philadelphia need to get one of the first two games scheduled in Boston, else they could be given gentleman's sweep out of the Play Offs- if games one and two are split, Boston in 6, if not, Boston in 5.


Western Conference Semi Finals





San Antonio Spurs (1) v LA Clippers (5)


The San Antonio Spurs are well rested, playing some of the best basketball in the NBA and have home court advantage in this series... Can I make a case for the LA Clippers to spring a surprise in this one? Errr, no!

I think the Spurs have the depth in their rotation that is going to make them extremely tough to beat by any team, and I think the banged up Clippers will see this as a bridge too far in their first post-season since 2006.

The real question should be how far the Clippers can push the Spurs ahead of their Western Conference Finals appearance and I think they are good enough to get to game 6 before going down. I might not think they are going to win 4 of the 7 needed to go through, but I don't want to underestimate a team that has Chris Paul playing the way he has been.

I was impressed with the manner they out-gutted the Memphis Grizzlies in the First Round, but the scoring potential of this Spurs team looks too high and I just think they are likely to be far too strong with their experience.

Prediction: Can't see beyond the San Antonio Spurs here, but I am going to respect the Clippers enough to think it may get to game 6 before the series is decided.











Oklahoma City Thunder (2) v LA Lakers (3)


These two teams have reached the Semi Final stage of the Western Conference Play Offs in contrasting fashion. The Oklahoma City Thunder will be well rested following their sweep of the defending Champion Dallas Mavericks in the First Round, while the LA Lakers just scrambled over the line in a seven game series with the Denver Nuggets.

The Lakers are the older team, but more experienced, although it is going to be interesting to see how they cope with the schedule that has them down to play the Thunder 5 times in the space of 8 days. They will also not have home court advantage in a series that is likely to be played with a lot of emotion after their last regular season meeting when Metta World Peace decided to lay out James Harden with a vicious elbow to the back of his head.

Denver did show Oklahoma City that the Lakers struggle with their defence in transition and I think the likes of Harden, Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant are going to cause a multitude of problems for Kobe Bryant and his team.

It took a magnificent shooting night from Steve Blake and Metta World Peace to help the Lakers over the line in game seven against the Nuggets and that is not something that is likely to happen too often. Pau Gasol and Andrew Bynum also cannot afford the sloppy games they had in the First Round series and I think the Thunder are ready to make a big statement of their intentions in the Western Conference this season.

The condensed schedule is unlikely to help the Lakers and I think the Thunder will progress to the Western Conference Finals

Prediction: After watching plenty of these teams in the First Round, I think the Thunder will be too strong and get through in 6 games