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NFL Week 11 Picks 2024 (Thursday 14th November-Monday 18th November)

It was the week that I had been fearing for a while, but in each of the last few weeks I have mentioned that continuing to produce winning e...

Thursday, 14 December 2023

NFL Week 15 Picks 2023 (December 14-18)

With four weeks left of the regular season, it is no surprise that tensions are ramping up as teams jockey for places in the post-season.

There is also some focus missing as teams and players begin to think of what is to come in January and, hopefully, February, but that can be dangerous as the Miami Dolphins found out on Monday Night Football.

Despite leading by 14 points with time ticking down in the Fourth Quarter, the team found a way to lose to the Tennessee Titans and all of a sudden the Number 1 Seed looks a long way away. So far away in fact that the Dolphins are perhaps actually looking behind them at the Buffalo Bills who are just two games behind in the Division race with four games to play, including a Week 18 game between the AFC East rivals.

The way the results were churned out in Week 14 has made the Wild Card Race rev up in both Conferences, while we also have the likes of the Jacksonville Jaguars, Philadelphia Eagles and, most surprisingly, the Kansas City Chiefs dragged back into Divisional chases too having all lost.

Week 15 will begin to clear a few more situations up and there are some big, big games on deck.

Most notable looks to be the Dallas Cowboys visiting the Buffalo Bills, but the two primetime games to close the schedule also have plenty riding on them.

It's that time of the season where every win matters that much more and every loss makes it feel like the PlayOffs are being pushed past the horizon.


I have been placing a top five Ranking in recent weeks and after Week 14, the following five teams make the list:

1) San Francisco 49ers (10-3): another loss for the Eagles has given the 49ers the inside track to the Number 1 Seed in the NFC and they have the schedule to secure that ahead of whichever teams wins the NFC East. That will make them favourites to reach another Super Bowl under Head Coach Kyle Shanahan.

2) Baltimore Ravens (10-3): after Miami were beaten on Monday Night Football, the Ravens are the only team in the AFC to have secured ten regular season wins going into Week 15. They rallied late to overcome the Los Angeles Rams, but the Ravens have a chance to prove how good they are with four tough games remaining.

3) Dallas Cowboys (10-3): earlier in the season the Cowboys could not be placed in the top five as they had not beaten a good team, but they have done that in the last two weeks. Most impressive was the dismantling of the Philadelphia Eagles last week, but winning the NFC East will not be easy considering games the two leaders have left.

4) Philadelphia Eagles (10-3): it has been a tough run of games for the Eagles, but the schedule softens now. Losses to the 49ers and Cowboys could have a mental impact in the post-season, but Philadelphia are still the favourites to win the NFC East, which would mean hosting two PlayOff games.

5) Detroit Lions (9-4): they would have dropped out of my top five if any of Miami, Kansas City or Jacksonville had won, but the Lions just about cling on. The defeat to the Chicago Bears will be a concern for fans hoping to see a deep PlayOff run, but the Lions are set for a top three Seed in the NFC, even if they are wearing down towards the end of the season.


A bad loss to the Tennessee Titans keeps the Miami Dolphins out of the top five and there will be a real concern about some of the injuries that were picked up in that game. They need to get back on the horse very quickly and try and wrap up the AFC East Division at the very least, but the Dolphins are still a team that needs to 'prove' they are for real.

The Defensive unit let them down late on in the Monday Night Football loss and the Offense looked out of sync without Tyreek Hill for large stretches of the game and so there is work for Mike McDaniels.

Both Kansas City and Jacksonville also suffered disappointing losses- the former shot themselves in the foot again, while the latter look worn down and neither can be sure of winning their respective Divisions right now.

Out of the two, the Chiefs have more potential but we are still waiting for them to get things right and Patrick Mahomes is potentially set to face a PlayOff road game for the first time.

In the case of the Jaguars, the Defensive unit does not look good enough to produce a deep PlayOff run barring a huge performance from a banged up Trevor Lawrence and the Offensive unit.

These seven or eight teams still look the main contenders to win the Super Bowl, but we still feel there are plenty of twists and turns to come between now and mid-February and a lot of good Football too.


Thursday Night Football might look an important game on paper, but it really is lacking quality again this week and the oddsmakers have placed the line in a position that makes it tough to pick a side.

The winner between the Los Angeles Chargers and Las Vegas Raiders will still be in contention to fight out for a place in the post-season as a Wild Card team, but it really does not appeal from anything other than a watching angle.

Picks from Week 15 will be added to this thread after a solid Week 14, even with two poor selections from Monday Night Football.


Minnesota Vikings @ Cincinnati Bengals Pick: You can feel Christmas Day getting closer and closer when the NFL begins to shift the schedule and have games played on Thursday, Saturday, Sunday and Monday. That is the situation in Week 15 with three games to be played on Saturday with the first having big PlayOff implications in both Conferences.

The Minnesota Vikings (7-6) and Cincinnati Bengals (7-6) share the same record, but only the former would be involved in the PlayOffs if the season was to end today.

However, the Bengals have momentum having won back to back games and the absence of Joe Burrow has not been as devastating as many thought it might be for a team that would have been targeting a Super Bowl appearance for the second time in three years.

Jake Browning is not Joe Burrow, but he has been very important at Quarter Back and has led the Bengals to a road upset of the Jacksonville Jaguars and a strong home win over the Indianapolis Colts. Both could be important wins as far as the PlayOff tie-breakers go with four weeks of the regular season remaining, but Cincinnati also know a single loss could change the entire positive outlook.

There are six teams in the AFC with 7-6 records through fourteen weeks of the regular season,  but the Minnesota Vikings are one of just five teams with a winning record overall in the weaker looking NFC. However, the Vikings will know how quickly things can change for them with a defeat and so a decision has been made to replace Joshua Dobbs with Nick Mullens at Quarter Back.

It is not a surprising decision after an anaemic Offensive performance against the Las Vegas Raiders and it was only until Mullens was able to come in and set up a Field Goal drive that any points were scored on the day. The 3-0 win sounds more like a European Football score than a NFL one, but that should not disguise the fact that the Minnesota Vikings could offer more in this one against this Cincinnati Defensive unit.

Nick Mullens is experienced enough, although the Vikings will be without Alexander Mattison at Quarter Back. That leaves Ty Chandler as the main Running Back, but he should be able to at least offer the Vikings something on the ground, even if the Bengals have been pretty good at clamping down on the run in recent games.

All the Vikings will want to do is keep Nick Mullens in third and manageable spots and that should give the Quarter Back some time to make his plays in the passing game. There are holes in the Bengals Secondary, while the Vikings have had some positive news this week and that is Justin Jefferson looking like he will be able to suit up for the road team.

It should mean they are able to move the ball with a bit more consistency than what we saw last week and the Minnesota Vikings can have more Offensive success than produced against the Chicago Bears and Raiders in the last couple of games.

The really important part of the day for Nick Mullens and the Offensive unit is to avoid the turnovers that could cost Minnesota. Instead they have to be confident enough to want to lean on the Vikings Defensive unit that has been playing at a high level for much of the season and who are coming into this having shut out the Raiders to help their team win the game.

They will respect Jake Browning and what he has been able to do as a backup Quarter Back, but the Vikings can make things tougher for the inexperienced Bengals starter. For example, Minnesota's Defensive Line have been stout against the run all season so the Bengals cannot expect Joe Mixon or Chase Brown to have the kind of outings produced in the last couple of wins.

Both could be dangerous as pass catching Running Backs, but the key for Minnesota is to make sure Jake Browning has to beat them with his arm.

Placing Cincinnati in third and long spots will allow the Vikings to let their pass rushers get after Browning, while the Secondary have held up pretty well even as the Offensive unit have struggled. Jake Browning has played well and has a quality Receiving corps that have stepped up for him, but the Jaguars and Colts Secondaries have not played as well as the Minnesota one and so more drives are expected to stall.

Getting the hook with the points through the key number 3 would be ideal, but even with the Field Goal start, the Minnesota Vikings should be able to keep this one close. It was felt that the Colts could do so last week, but it is a surprise to see the Vikings actually receiving more points in this one with the oddsmakers perhaps expecting the public to be unable to ignore the Offensive performance from last week.

Defensively the Vikings can keep this one competitive and Nick Mullens may be able to exploit the Cincinnati Secondary better than Joshua Dobbs would have done. With Justin Jefferson available, the Vikings can do enough on both sides of the ball t make the points count.


Pittsburgh Steelers @ Indianapolis Colts Pick: Being able to oppose the public is the bonus of the first selection from Saturday and a similar position will be taken with the middle of the three games to be played.

This one involves the suddenly slumping Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6) visiting the Indianapolis Colts (7-6) as a small underdog and the public are simply not going to ignore such a small spread. After losing to the Arizona Cardinals and New England Patriots, most probably cannot understand why the Colts are such a small favourite to knock off the Steelers at home in this pivotal AFC clash.

Right now the teams sit as the Number 6 and Number 7 Seed in the AFC, but the losing team in Week 15 might find it is a long road back.

Prior to the loss to the Arizona Cardinals, Pittsburgh looked to be motoring towards the PlayOffs, but those back to back home losses to two of the poorer teams in the NFL are hard to ignore. However, Pittsburgh have had a bit more time to prepare for this one having last played on Thursday Night Football in Week 14, while the Colts had a four game winning run ended last time out.

TJ Watt is expected to be available for the Steelers and that is very important for them with the Defensive unit expected to be the key to any post-season appearance. They have been strong at the line of scrimmage, which is a feature of Pittsburgh Football, and Indianapolis will continue to miss Jonathan Taylor who is the best player on this side of the ball.

Zack Moss has stepped up, but the Offensive Line have not been at their best in recent games and the Steelers will certainly feel they are stout enough to make Gardner Minshew beat them.

The backup Quarter Back has not played badly, but is never that far away from a really poor mistake and that is tough to overcome for the Indianapolis Colts. He has done enough to help them put a four game winning run together that has brought the Colts back into contention in the Wild Card and Divisional race, but this is a tough Defensive unit to face and tougher still without much run support.

Gardner Minshew will likely face the TJ Watt pressure and the Steelers can rush his throws, which only helps the Pittsburgh Secondary.

Interceptions could play a part on this side of the ball, but, even without them, the Steelers Secondary will still believe they can stall drives and force Field Goals and Punts rather than Touchdowns.

This will shift the pressure onto the still struggling Offensive unit, which has not backed up the first performance after firing Matt Canada as Co-Ordinator. Losing Kenny Pickett at Quarter Back should not have seen a massive drop off, even if Mitchell Trubisky has proven to be a less than effective starting Quarter Back.

Grover Stewart was back last week for the Colts, but the Defensive Line are still giving up some big plays on the ground and that is important for the Steelers and their backup Quarter Back. Both Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren could have strong days on the ground and both will be key for Trubisky in the passing game to make sure the Steelers are not behind the chains.

Doing so should mean Mitchell Trubisky is well protected when he does step back to make throws down the field- he has a couple of solid Receiving options, even if the Pittsburgh Steelers have yet to really showcase them with their inconsistent Quarter Back play.

Avoiding turnovers will be key for the road underdog as they look for a big win to get back on track in the Conference and they can then look to their own Defense to make some big plays to give the Steelers a chance to win this one outright.

Mike Tomlin has heard some criticism, including from former Quarter Back Ben Roethlisberger, but has thrived when leading his team as the underdog. We may see more of that in Week 15 and taking the points on offer is the play with Pittsburgh expected to just edge out Indianapolis thanks to a big turnover or two from the Defensive unit.


Denver Broncos @ Detroit Lions Pick: Winning six of their last seven games after a miserable start to the season would not be quite good enough to take the Denver Broncos (7-6) into the PlayOffs if the season was to end today. Sean Payton will be glad to know there are still four games to play for the Broncos, who suddenly find themselves just a game behind the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC West, and who will believe three more wins should be enough to earn a post-season spot in the Wild Card places at the very least.

They will head into this inter-Conference game behind the big win over Divisional rivals the Los Angeles Chargers, and with a couple of good looking games to come. Winning here would be huge, but doing so will be far from easy for the Denver Broncos who enter the game as a significant underdog.

There has to be a reaction from the Detroit Lions (9-4) who have dropped two of their last three games, including a disappointing defeat to the Chicago Bears. That is the second loss to a Divisional rival, although the Lions remain firmly in control of the NFC North and will still have ambitions of a top two finish in the Conference Seeding.

Being back at home is a big help for the Lions and they will know the importance of trying to secure at least two home PlayOff games in their bid to reach the Super Bowl. Recent signs makes the Lions an outsider to do that, while they cannot afford to let the Minnesota Vikings back into the Divisional race with another loss this week and with two games to come against the Vikings.

Detroit will use a one-two punch at Running Back to try and ease the pressure on their Quarter Back with Jared Goff not playing the mistake-free Football of earlier this season. Both David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs are capable of breaking a big run or two on the ground and the Lions Offensive Line have still be cracking open some big lanes in their bid to establish the run.

After early struggles, the Denver Defensive Line have been better at stopping the run in recent games, but it will be tough on this fast, indoor track.

Moving the team into third and manageable spots will be the key for the Lions and it will also mean Jared Goff can just allow his Receivers to get into their routes when stepping back to throw. Easing the pass rush the Broncos have found in recent games is going to be very important, but establishing the run should do that and Goff can make some plays against an improving Denver Secondary.

While there will still be some difficult moments for the Lions Offensively, Head Coach Dan Campbell has to believe the Defensive unit can at least make it equally tough for Russell Wilson and the Broncos on the other side of the ball.

For starters, the Lions Defensive Line have been very good at clamping down on the run and so the Denver game plan may depend very much on Russell Wilson's arm with the veteran Quarter Back not as keen to run the ball as he once was. He is not as effective without that dual-threat, as seen in the last couple of years, while Wilson has been inconsistent throwing the ball as well as having some inconsistent performances from the Receivers.

As the season has progressed, the Lions Secondary have been banged up and Russell Wilson may have some success with Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy capable of making big plays. However, Wilson has been guilty of some poor decisions in the passing game and Interceptions are tough to overcome in December and January, which has to be a concern if the Broncos are relying on third and long spots to be converted.

Russell Wilson should have some time to make his plays, but the Lions can step up at home and they look in a good position to bounce back from a disappointing Week 14 loss.

The Lions are 7-4 against the spread after a loss since the beginning of last season and they are a perfect 3-0 against the spread in that spot in 2023. Playing at home has been very productive for Detroit, while the Denver Broncos are playing a third road game in succession and have to be looking forward to returning home where they host the New England Patriots and Los Angeles Chargers in the next two weeks.

While they are likely to be competitive for a while with a much more confident team, Detroit will eventually be able to wear down this Broncos team and the NFC North leaders can win and cover.


Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans Pick: Losing to the struggling New York Jets will have been a blown to their PlayOff aspirations, but a bigger issue out of that defeat is the injury suffered by CJ Stroud. He is yet to clear concussion protocol and looks almost certain to miss out for the Houston Texans (7-6) as they prepare to hit the road to face a Divisional rival.

It is also a Divisional rival that is coming in behind a big Monday Night Football win and the Tennessee Titans (5-8) are still looking like a team that wants to play spoiler for others. Even winning out is unlikely to be good enough to sneak into the PlayOffs, but the Titans pushed the Indianapolis Colts into Overtime before the win over the Miami Dolphins and they play the Texans twice in three weeks.

Davis Mills will be the likely starting Quarter Back for the Houston Texans and he did play against the Titans twice last season. That experience will help, but Mills is a big drop off from what we have seen from the rookie CJ Stroud, while it does not help that the Receiving corps is as banged up as it has been all season.

Tank Dell is already out, but Nico Collins joined him and that makes life that much tougher for Davis Mills to be productive and get the Texans back on track.

There is expected to be little support from the Offensive Line and Running Backs trying to impose themselves on a Titans Defensive Line that continues to clamp down on the run. All that does is shift more pressure on Davis Mills to make plays with backup Receivers, while playing behind a banged up Offensive Line that has allowed far too many Sacks with a more gifted athlete at Quarter Back.

One of those Sacks led to the concussion withdrawal of CJ Stroud last week and Davis Mills is expected to be harassed for much of the afternoon.

The Titans are not exactly a powerhouse Offensive unit that can be expected to keep the chains moving with consistency, but Will Levis and company have shown a bit more in the last couple of games. Much like the Texans, the feeling is that Tennessee are going to have to rely on the arm of Levis rather than the legs of Derrick Henry with the Texans playing the run effectively in recent outings.

However, unlike Tennessee, the Houston Secondary has been guilty of allowing some big plays and that was evident in the loss to the New York Jets with Zach Wilson back behind Center. Will Levis may not be under the same kind of duress as Davis Mills after Will Anderson Jr was ruled out for this game and that extra time may allow him to find DeAndre Hopkins down the field and ultimately put the Titans in a position to win and push the Texans back down to 0.500 for the season.

You do have to worry about the intensity that the Titans would have needed to beat the Miami Dolphins on Monday Night Football and whether that has sapped a bit of energy from them. Playing a rival from the AFC South will help motivate them, and the Titans have posted a winning record against the spread even when playing with rest disadvantage over the last couple of years.

The Titans have yet to cover in three Divisional games this season, but this looks a good opportunity for them. They can harass Davis Mills into a turnover or two and Will Levis and DeAndre Hopkins look to be on the same page again, which should lead to enough big plays for Tennessee to upset a Divisional rival and move a little closer to 0.500 for the season themselves, keeping the faintest of PlayOff hopes alive through another week.


Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers Pick: You have to be a little wary that this spread has not moved despite the Atlanta Falcons (6-7) being a very well backed public road favourite.

The home loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 14 means the Atlanta Falcons have dropped their lead of the NFC South and they are one of three teams within this Division with the same record. The loss suffered by the Minnesota Vikings on Saturday means the Wild Card race is very much one that the Falcons are interested in, but they do end the season with three road games in four to finish off.

They simply cannot afford to lose to the outlier in the NFC South and that is the Carolina Panthers (1-12) who are on course to hand over the Number 1 Draft Pick to the Chicago Bears. In a difficult season, the Panthers are the only NFC team playing in Week 15 that is officially eliminated from the post-season, and they have now lost six in a row since the only win of the season.

Frank Reich has been fired as Head Coach, but there are a lot of issues to be resolved Offensively and that starts and ends with what to do with Bryce Young. Overlooking CJ Stroud to make Young the Number 1 Pick in the Draft looks a poor decision right now, although Bryce Young may feel that he is not given the same kind of support as Stroud.

That may be a little bit of a whinge though, even if Bryce Young is going to be expecting better support in the years ahead if he is going to be the Carolina franchise Quarter Back as the Panthers hope.

In this game, Bryce Young is going to have to showcase that he can make plays in the passing game with the Atlanta Defensive Line proving to be pretty stout up front.

They will be looking to game plan the run away from the Panthers and see if Bryce Young can make quicker decisions behind his shaky Offensive Line. The Falcons may not have the fiercest of pass rushes, but they should be able to get to Bryce Young and rush his throws, which has been a problem for the rookie all season and potentially going to lead to mistakes.

Running the ball will also be a challenge for the Atlanta Falcons against an improved Carolina Defensive Line, although they should not forget to give Bijan Robinson the carries his talent deserves. The Running Back will play hard and hit the holes, while he is also more than a capable pass-catching option coming out of the backfield and Atlanta will go as far as Robinson can.

The Falcons can also have a bit more faith in their Quarter Back to make the plays needed with Desmond Ridder back behind Center having lost his job midway through the regular season. The key for Atlanta is to not force Ridder to feel like he needs to win the game himself, especially against a Carolina Secondary that has also stepped up to keep the team competitive even through the Offensive struggles.

Interceptions have been a big problem for Desmond Ridder, but the Falcons can try and control the clock and keep the Quarter Back in third and manageable by running the ball as they can. Even if they are not ripping off big gains, Atlanta will keep feeding the Running Backs and hope they can find something big, while Ridder should know he does not have to win the game, but has to make sure he does not lose it.

In reality it is hard to trust Atlanta in this spot seeing as they do not really blow any opponent out.

However, the Panthers have really been struggling Offensively and Bryce Young may have issues in moving the ball with any consistency against this Atlanta Defense. If that is the case, Atlanta should do just enough to cover this spread and make sure they remain in contention for a PlayOff spot via a Division win or a Wild Card place.


New York Giants @ New Orleans Saints Pick: After a miserable start to the season and with Daniel Jones officially out for the season, the New York Giants (5-8) looked like a team that may already have begun to think about 2024.

Tommy DeVito came in as backup to Jones, and had a pretty miserable couple of games, but he has found some festive magic in Gotham and somehow the rookie Quarter Back has led the Giants to three wins in a row. After Minnesota Vikings were beaten, the New York Giants have every chance to move to within one game of the current Number 6 Seed in the NFC and fans will be thinking about the post-season having reached the Divisional Round last season.

It still feels like a long shot for the Giants who have to face the Philadelphia Eagles twice and have this tough road game at the New Orleans Saints (6-7) before those big Divisional games.

The Saints crushed the Carolina Panthers to join the Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers on a 6-7 record and they can join the Vikings at 7-7 in the Wild Card race. They will need to avoid looking ahead to Week 16 when the Saints have been scheduled to play on Thursday Night Football, while New Orleans have to face both of those aforementioned Divisional rivals before the end of the regular season.

Derek Carr has been inconsistent at Quarter Back as he has continued to deal with injuries that have knocked him out of games, but not kept Carr sidelined. Some New Orleans fans feel that Jameis Winston would be the better option behind Center, but the Saints are sticking with Carr.

This is not a game in which they will want Derek Carr to be slinging the ball around, but the Saints will hope he can give them a bit more than he did in the win over the Carolina Panthers. That perhaps said more about the Panthers than it did about the Saints, while they will have to respect the fact that they are facing a Giants team that have performed with some confidence.

The Secondary have certainly stepped up, although Derek Carr should have time to throw the ball, and the bigger threat is clearly going to come from Alvin Kamara and the running game. As well as the Giants have done to win three in a row, they have really had some issues stopping the run and that could show up inside the SuperDome.

However, the Giants have to believe they are playing well enough Defensively to at least keep the team competitive and that will allow New York to have a game plan that has worked well for Tommy DeVito at Quarter Back.

Effectively it is leaning on Saquon Barkley and the Offensive Line and also allowing DeVito to move out of the pocket and scramble up the field. The Giants have been picking up some big plays on the ground during their winning run and New Orleans have had something of a weakness when it comes to stopping the run and that should see New York keep this one competitive.

They can control the clock and frustrate the Saints, while also protecting Tommy DeVito from having to put this game on his shoulders.

He will play his part, but the Giants do not want DeVito to have to throw too many times and this is a game in which the Offensive game plan should be simple.

With teams being able to run the ball very well against the Saints, the Secondary have had decent numbers. However, that may have something to do with teams looking to pound the rock against them, while it is important in this one to ease any pass rush pressure that may be generated against Tommy DeVito.

Playing on a Sunday after a big performance on Monday Night Football is going to be tough, but the Giants are helped by the fact that the Saints are back out in a few days time and could be looking ahead.

New Orleans are also 1-4 against the spread as a home favourite this season, although they covered in that spot in Week 14, and it looks like the Giants are the right side in this one.


Washington Commanders @ Los Angeles Rams Pick: It feels a lot longer than a couple of seasons since the Los Angeles Rams (6-7) won the Super Bowl in their own Stadium. Head Coach Sean McVay has considered leaving the role and moving into the commentator's booth, but he has to be proud he has stuck around the Rams are in the mix for the Wild Card places as they look to return to the post-season.

Things might have looked much more rosy if the Rams had been able to hold onto their lead over the Baltimore Ravens in Week 14 and make it four wins in a row, but they continue to play hard.

Los Angeles could not have asked for much more out of the remaining schedule, but they also cannot overlook any opponent knowing one more loss might make it difficult for them to earn the Wild Card berth they are chasing. They do have a Thursday Night Football game coming up that could have a big impact on those Seedings, but the Rams will also know that the game coming up will feel a lot less important if they were to lose to the Washington Commanders (4-9).

The latter are coming out of a Bye Week, but have a lame duck Head Coach in Ron Rivera and even winning their remaining four games is unlikely to prevent a change in Washington.

Injury has ruled out Brian Robinson, which is a blow for the Commanders and Ron Rivera has made it clear that all he wants is his players to act professional and come in and do a hard job.

Even without Robinson, the Washington Commanders will be trying to establish the run against a Rams Defensive Line which has allowed 4.7 yards per carry in their last three games. Establishing the run will just ease the pressure on Sam Howell at Quarter Back and, perhaps more importantly, it will slow down the Rams pass rush that will have success against this Commanders Offensive Line if the road team is in obvious passing situations.

Sam Howell will find some spaces to exploit in the Rams Secondary and Washington do have some solid Receivers that can help the Quarter Back keep the chains moving. The key for Howell is to avoid the turnovers that have blighted his recent performances, but he should be able to put together a decent game in this one, especially out of the Bye Week with more time to formulate a game plan.

A bigger test for the Commanders is going to be trying to find a way to slow down Matthew Stafford and the Los Angeles Rams Offensive unit.

The home team should be able to do what they like on this side of the ball- the Commanders Defensive Line have not been able to stop the run going into the Bye Week, while they have lost some key pass rushers which makes it hard to believe that Washington are going to get the better of this Rams Offensive Line.

Being in front of the chains opens things up for Stafford and the passing game and the Rams have a couple of playmakers in the Receiving positions that should hurt this Commanders Secondary.

Matthew Stafford is avoiding the big mistakes that Sam Howell has been guilty of making and that could be key to the outcome of this game. Washington should score a fair few points too, but those extra possessions are likely to land in favour of the Los Angeles Rams, which should give them the opportunity to not only win, but to cover this spread.

Three blow out losses in a row should give Washington some motivation to avoid another, but the Los Angeles Rams are on track to make the post-season and can secure a good win before hosting Thursday Night Football in Week 16.

MY PICKS: Minnesota Vikings + 3.5 Points @ 1.87 Bet Victor (1 Unit)
Pittsburgh Steelers + 1.5 Points @ 1.92 Bet Victor (1 Unit)
Detroit Lions - 4.5 Points @ 1.91 Bet365 (1 Unit)
Tennessee Titans - 3.5 Points @ 1.92 Bet Victor (1 Unit)
Atlanta Falcons - 3 Points @ 1.95 Coral (1 Unit)
New York Giants + 5.5 Points @ 1.91 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
Los Angeles Rams - 6.5 Points @ 1.91 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
San Francisco 49ers - 11.5 Points @ 1.91 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
Baltimore Ravens - 3.5 Points @ 2.00 Sky Bet (1 Unit)

Week 14: 5-3, + 1.58 Units (8 Units Staked, + 19.75% Yield)
Week 13: 2-2, - 1.18 Units (5 Units Staked, - 23.60% Yield)
Week 12: 6-1, + 5.23 Units (8 Units Staked, + 65.38% Yield)
Week 11: 5-2, + 2.54 Units (7 Units Staked, + 36.29% Yield)
Week 10: 3-5, - 2.35 Units (8 Units Staked, - 29.38% Yield)
Week 9: 3-2, + 0.82 Units (5 Units Staked, + 16.40% Yield)
Week 8: 2-2-1, - 0.18 Units (5 Units Staked, - 3.60% Yield)
Week 7: 3-2, + 0.82 Units (5 Units Staked, + 16.40% Yield)
Week 6: 4-3, + 0.56 Units (7 Units Staked, + 8% Yield)
Week 5: 4-3-1, + 2.46 Units (10 Units Staked, + 24.60% Yield)
Week 4: 3-5, - 2.35 Units (8 Units Staked, - 29.38% Yield)
Week 3: 4-4, + 0.43 Units (9 Units Staked, + 4.78% Yield)
Week 2: 3-4-2, - 1.36 Units (12 Units Staked, - 11.33% Yield)
Week 1: 5-2, + 2.51 Units (7 Units Staked, + 35.86% Yield)

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