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Saturday, 7 September 2019

US Open Day 13 Picks 2019- Women's Final (September 7th)

Two more winners from the Men's Semi Final matches that were played on Friday means this is going to be a winning tournament, although it has not fully made up for the past four weeks just yet.

I have to be happy with the 2019 season which has backed up the 2018 one with plenty more winners in the book and a healthy return. Having two more winners from the Finals to be played this weekend would be the perfect way to round things off before I have a few days off from the Tennis Picks.

First up is the Women's Final on Saturday and you can see my selection as well as the updated US Open totals below.

Serena Wiliams - 4.5 games v Bianca Andreescu: The Final of the women's tournament is taking place on Saturday and it is a rematch of the shortened Toronto Final from last month. On that day youngster Bianca Andreescu took the title home ahead of Serena Williams who was forced to call it a day after just four games were played, but the veteran looks much healthier now and the accumulation of the tournament certainly gives her the edge.

Where Serena Williams has barely been pushed and dismissed the challenge of her last two opponents for the loss of just five games, Bianca Andreescu has had to dig deep with back to back matches that have gone over two hours.

There was a lot of emotion put into the win over Belinda Bencic as Andreescu came back from 2-5 down in the second set, one in which she trailed by a double break twice. Winning five games in a row will give the youngster plenty of confidence to take into the match, but there is also the possibility that all of this tennis is going to add up and affect the Canadian in what is the biggest match of her career.

Her numbers over the last twelve months suggests Andreescu is anything but an easy touch and the two big titles won in Indian Wells and Toronto shows this is a player for the big occasion. That has to be factored in here and Serena Williams has lost her last three Grand Slam Finals as she bids to get up to twenty-four so I do think she has to be dealing with some nerves too.

Ultimately I do think Serena Williams is going to be the fresher of the players even with a day of rest between matches and I think that is going to be a big issue for Bianca Andreescu to deal with. Over the course of the tournament Williams has played at a higher level and while I respect the battling nature of the young Canadian, I do think she is going to perhaps be a little fatigued after some tough matches and having to play for the third time in four days.

The return has been a key factor for Andreescu who managed to work the big points very well in her Semi Final win over Belinda Bencic, but Williams is serving fantastically at the moment and that should keep the Canadian under the cosh. Ultimately Andreescu is going to have to have a huge serving day to really compete in my opinion, especially with the fatigue aspect that has to be in play.

I can imagine Andreescu lays it all on the line early and gives Serena Williams some real problems with her movement and ability to blunt some of the power, but the longer the match goes the more fatigue could be the difference by the end.

It is a big number when you think of the levels Andreescu has produced, but I think this is the right time for Williams. Her levels over the last three Rounds have been very, very good and if she serves as she has been I think only nerves will hold her back.

I don't think that will be the case once the match goes on and I think it will be more evident that Bianca Andreescu doesn't have a lot left which should see Williams win and cover in the Final.

MY PICKS: Serena Williams - 4.5 Games @ 2.10 Bet Fred (2 Units)

US Open Update: 27-17, + 10.68 Units (88 Units Staked, + 12.14% Yield)

1 comment:

  1. 19 year old Bianca Andreescu becomes first Canadian, be it male or female to win a Grand Slam singles title; Serena Williams remains one short of Margaret Court’s all-time haul of 24 majors.
    Watch the Video @ Video: Bianca Andreescu defeats Serena Williams to win US Open women’s singles title