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Wednesday, 30 March 2011

Who will win the Premier League?

This is a follow up to the post last week trying to predict who will be relegated from the top flight in England this season. With a few days to go until the final furlong is run in the title race, I thought this would be the perfect time to finish the predictions and see if there is any value left in any markets.

Without further ado,

Manchester United, 63 points
West Ham United (A)- a tough fixture for United with injury worries, bad away form and playing against a team who are fighting for their lives. May have to settle for 1 point

Fulham (H)- I expect Mark Hughes to make life difficult for his former club, but United are too strong at Old Trafford, even with the Champions League games with Chelsea on either side of this game, 3 points

Newcastle (A)- again I worry about United's away form, but they do have a strong record at St James' Park and I expect a reaction from the FA Cup Semi Final with Manchester City regardless of the result, 3 points

Everton (H)- a really tough home fixture, but Everton are a little toothless up front so close home win, 3 points

Arsenal (A)- this game could come between a potential Champions League Semi Final, which may make it harder. United do have a good record in this part of London, 1 point

Chelsea (H)- Chelsea seem to have an edge over United in recent games, and could become only the 2nd team to pick up something from Old Trafford, 1 point

Blackburn (A)- a local derby that was the beginning of the end of United's title challenge last season when the game ended 0-0 here. United learn from their mistakes against a potentially relegated rival, 3 points

Blackpool (H)- I would take it now if someone said United have to win this game to win the title for a record 19th time. Entertaining 3 points

Manchester United = 81 points


Arsenal, 58 points
Blackburn (H)- the potential loss of Robin Van Persie will effect the side in the long term, but not for this game, 3 points

Blackpool (A)- much like Arsenal are made for Barcelona's style of football, Blackpool are made for Arsenal's,  3 points

Liverpool (H)- could be a tougher assignment for Arsenal than it may look at first glance, especially with Andy Carroll, Luiz Suarez and Steven Gerrard in the away line up and a surprise drop of 2 points,  1 point

Tottenham (A)- Spurs may only be playing for a top 4 berth by now, and have enough matchwinners to hurt Arsenal as proven in their last 2 League games against one another, 0 points

Bolton (A)- Bolton play good football under Owen Coyle, but the players may be thinking about a FA Cup Final by now, 3 points

Manchester United (H)- 1 point, see United

Stoke (A)- Tony Pulis has no love lost for Arsene Wenger and fires up his side to end the Gunners' title challenge, 1 point

Aston Villa (H)- Arsenal are far too good for a Villa side who have players looking forward to holidays and perhaps moves away from Villa Park in the Summer, 3 points

Fulham (A)- Fulham can make life difficult for any sides at home, and Arsenal have had a tough season, 1 point

Arsenal = 74 points


Chelsea, 54 points
Stoke (A)- Chelsea make a few changes to their line up with the game against Manchester United in mind, but still have enough to match the physicality of Stoke and pick up 3 points

Wigan (H)- Chelsea still have work to do at Old Trafford in the 2nd leg of the Champions League QF, but are too strong for Wigan, 3 points

West Brom (A)- the home side make things difficult, but Chelsea have momentum behind them and pick up yet another 3 points

Birmingham (H)- the home side start believing they can retain the title and grab another 3 points

West Ham (H)- it has to be another 3 points

Tottenham (H)- this game could come between a Semi Final meeting with Inter/Schalke in the Champions League, and Spurs cause a surprise, 1 point

Manchester United (A)- 1 point, see United

Newcastle (H)- Chelsea are too strong again, 3 points

Everton (A)- the title is gone, but Chelsea can still finish above Arsenal with a win. They get 1 point and look to West London rivals Fulham to help out. Now on to Wembley for the Champions League Final with Barcelona

Chelsea = 75 points


Manchester City, 53 points
Sunderland (H)- the two weeks International break helps bring some bodies back and the away side is struggling, 3 points

Liverpool (A)- Liverpool have outside chances of making it to the Champions League place with a win. Roberto Mancini sets his side out to be difficult to beat and grab 1 point

Blackburn (A)- North West Derby a week after the FA Cup Semi Final with United... Tough spot for City, 1 point

West Ham (H)- Carlos Tevez haunts his former club, 3 points

Everton (A)- the home side give City a lot of problems and take the win, 0 points

Tottenham (H)- same scenario as last season as City play NOT TO LOSE rather than win and this comes back to bite them, 0 points

Stoke (H)- Stoke have nothing left to play for, and could have just enjoyed the FA Cup Final, 3 points

Bolton (A)- Bolton's season is over but the home fans demand the best against their North West Rivals, 1 point

Manchester City = 65 points


Tottenham, 49 points
Wigan (A)- Spurs are looking ahead to the Real Madrid game on Tuesday and take their eyes of the ball, 1 point

Stoke (H)- its a difficult game, especially with the 2nd leg with Real Madrid to come on Wednesday at White Hart Lane, but Spurs do enough for 3 points

Arsenal (H), 3 points, see Arsenal

West Brom (H)- the Baggies concede too many goals and are punished here, 3 points

Chelsea (A)- 1 point, see Chelsea

Blackpool (H)- Spurs dont miss the chances they did at Bloomfield Road, 3 points

Manchester City (A)- 3 points, see City

Liverpool (A)- Spurs put in so much effort at City, but cant repeat the trick here as the players are feeling a little tired, 0 points

Birmingham (H)- a week off to refresh, and one final push to try and grab a Champions League spot, 3 points

Tottenham = 69 points


Liverpool, 45 points
West Brom (A)- the surprise return of Steven Gerrard and the lively front two of Luiz Suarez and Andy Carroll  lead to 3 points

Manchester City (H)- 1 point, see City

Arsenal (A)- 1 point, see Arsenal

Birmingham (H)- the Reds have too much in front of the Kop, 3 points

Newcastle (H)- Andy Carroll sends his former club closer to the trapdoor, 3 points

Fulham (A)- Fulham are still fighting for their lives and have enough to take 1 point

Tottenham (H)- 3 points, see Tottenham

Aston Villa (A)- Villa are safe and not focused, Kenny Dalglish just wants his side to give the owners something to think about when they discuss money on his permanent contract, 3 points

Liverpool = 63 points


I would be over the moon if this was to happen as it would mean my beloved Manchester United would be Champions for a record 19th time, while the likes of City and Liverpool remained out of the Champions League.

Don't get me wrong, I genuinely picked the results independently without adding up to make sure City and Liverpool failed and United won the title. I dont have a crystal ball so could be way off, and I have not factored in injuries that could hurt teams (Rooney out for the season, Bale/Van der Vaart, Van Persie, etc).

However, the only pick I will make from this is 1 Unit on Tottenham to finish in the top 4.

Tottenham Hotspur to finish in top 4 @ 3.75 Bet365 (1 Unit)


Let us all hope for an exciting 7 weeks to end this topsy-turvy season!

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