Timea Babos - 3.5 games v Ana Bogdan: It does seem strange to be writing about a Semi Final in a tennis tournament for a Thursday, but that is the case in Florianopolis where the organisers want to conclude the event before the Olympic Games tennis tournament begins on Saturday.
The first Semi Final is between Ana Bogdan and Timea Babos and the latter is a significant favourite in the match. I can't argue with that and I do think Babos can get the better of Bogdan on a hard court with the momentum she has built up through the week.
Bogdan spends the majority of her time playing clay court events and this is only the second hard court event she has played this week. However the Romanian has to be respected having played some solid tennis in Stanford before heading to Florianopolis where she beat the Number 1 Seed Jelena Jankovic and is yet to drop a set this week.
However this isn't a player that has had a lot of success at this level on this surface and Babos has played well enough to think she will have her successes in this one. She has a solid serve, even if it wasn't at its best on Wednesday, and Babos has enjoyed some really strong runs on the hard courts at the main Tour level over the last twelve months.
She can battle past Bogdan in this one with a 64, 64 scoreline taking Babos through to the Friday Final.
Monica Puig - 1.5 games v Irina-Camelia Begu: The second Semi Final in Florianopolis at least has a real look of a WTA Semi Final at this level. Both Monica Puig and Irina-Camelia Begu have been in fine form through this week against opponents that have been overmatched, but my lean is towards the favourite.
Out of the two players, Monica Puig has looked much more steady and she has been serving well. Puig has only been broken twice this week and has won at least 69% of the points behind serve in each match which should mean she can put some pressure on Begu in this match.
That pressure will increase if Begu is perhaps not serving as well as she could. Begu has been broken six times this week and twice has lost 41% of the points behind serve and Puig has the game to keep that going and create chances to break serve in this match.
It was Begu who won a very close match against Puig when they played on the clay courts in Charleston, but I do think the latter is a stronger hard court player. It has been feast or famine for Begu on the hard courts in 2016, but Puig has shown a little more consistency while I do think her serving has been in a superior place this week which can give her the edge in this match.
I wouldn't be surprised if it is close, but I am looking for Puig to produce the goods at the big moments and work her way to a 63, 36, 64 win.
Timea Babos - 3.5 Games @ 1.80 William Hill (2 Units)
Monica Puig - 1.5 Games @ 1.91 Bet365 (2 Units)
Weekly Update: 6-2, + 8.60 Units (16 Units Staked, + 53.75% Yield)