I thought Friday was going to produce a ridiculous losing pick after Roberto Bautista Agut managed to go from 7-5, 5-0 all the way to 7-5, 6-7... Fortunately he regathered his thoughts in time for the third set which he dominated to eventually come through against Victor Troicki, but it is a shame he wasted unnecessary energy when having the match firmly in control in the middle of the second set.
That means there is a chance to finish off this week in a positive manner ahead of the US Open beginning on Monday as both Finals in New Haven and Winston Salem are played on Saturday.
Roberto Bautista Agut - 3.5 games v Pablo Carreno Busta: This has been a strong week for both of these Spanish players, although perhaps it is more surprising coming from Pablo Carreno Busta. Prior to the tournament in Winston Salem, Carreno Busta has not shown a lot of consistency on the hard courts although his wins have not exactly been against the elite of the Tour.
Aside from the victory over Pablo Cuevas, Carreno Busta would likely have felt comfortable in the other matches he has had. I am surprised he went in as the underdog against John Millman, but I think that also says a lot about where the layers are expecting his hard court abilities to be.
This is the most difficult match he would have faced this week as Roberto Bautista Agut comes in with plenty of wins and confidence behind him through 2016. He has needed three sets in three of his four matches to reach this Final, but Bautista Agut looked confident and holds the mental edge with three wins from four previous matches against Carreno Busta.
They did play an incredibly tight match at the US Open last year, but I think Bautista Agut can battle to another title in 2016 behind a relatively straight forward 64, 64 win this time around.
MY PICKS: Roberto Bautista Agut - 3.5 Games @ 1.91 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Weekly Update: 6-6, - 1.64 Units (24 Units Staked, - 6.83% Yield)
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