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Tuesday 4 September 2012

US Open Day 9 Picks (September 4th)

It has been a pretty poor last few days for the picks as a big profit has dwindled away- most of those have been my own fault for making bad picks so I can't complain except at my poor judgement.

The only positive going is the fact that Roger Federer and Serena Williams are making their way through the draw as my outright picks.


David Ferrer - 5.5 games v Richard Gasquet: Richard Gasquet has been playing well in his last couple of hard court tournaments, reaching the Final in Toronto and he has made comfortable progress through the draw here.

However, he is now facing David Ferrer, a player that has beaten him in 7 of their 8 previous matches, and who has won the last 9 sets the two have played against one another.

Ferrer showed some toughness to knock off Lleyton Hewitt in the last Round and he will be full of confidence in this match. He will show his usual level of consistency and you just have to think Gasquet is going to have to be more aggressive if he is going to make this a close match, and that is something he hasn't always felt comfortable doing.

They met in the Australian Open earlier this year and Ferrer won 6-4, 6-4, 6-1... It might be something similar today.


Juan Martin Del Potro win 3-1 in sets v Andy Roddick: Andy Roddick may just be playing his final ever professional match tonight under the lights against another former US Open Champion.

Juan Martin Del Potro had some question marks surrounding his fitness before this tournament began, but he has quietly made his way through the draw to this Fourth Round match and he has the big game that will give Roddick plenty of problems.

I don't expect the American will go down without a fight and he has been playing enough good tennis to think he will win a set against Del Potro, but overall the Argentinian is just too big off the ground and should be able to come through and end Roddick's career on the biggest tennis stadium in the World.


Victoria Azarenka - 5.5 games v Sam Stosur: It seems strange to back against the defending US Open Champion with such a big spread, but Victoria Azarenka has absolutely dominated Sam Stosur in their previous meetings and there isn't much to suggest it won't be the same again in this one.

Azarenka is 6-0 against Stosur and she hasn't lost a set against the Australian in those matches. Just to highlight the dominance, Azarenka has lost just ELEVEN games in the last four matches between the two players as she is stronger once the ball is in play.

The World Number 1 will get enough balls back in play off the Stosur serve and she has a clear edge when it comes to the backhand battle, while she is much more consistent off the ground.

A 6-4, 6-2 win is on the cards as far as I can foresee.


MY PICKS: David Ferrer - 5.5 games @ 2.00 Paddy Power (2 Units)
Juan Martin Del Potro win 3-1 in sets @ 4.00 Sporting Bet (1 Unit)
Victoria Azarenka - 5.5 games @ 2.05 Bet Victor (2 Units)

US Open Update: 10-11, + 0.16 Units (39 Units Staked)

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