NFL Week 5 Picks 2024 (Thursday 3rd October-Monday 7th October)

Last week was a true bounce back one for the NFL Picks after the first losing week of the season.

It has been a tough week to get my thoughts down before the Thursday Night Football game between the Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

We should be in a more usual mode for next week and hopefully that will be after another solid week of selections.

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets Pick: The International Series has already grown in 2024 with a game played in Brazil, but the NFL are set to expand that over the coming years. More announcements could be made relatively soon as the first of three London games is played in Week 5 of the season.

All of the talk when this game was announced was about seeing Aaron Rodgers and the New York Jets (2-2), but the excitement around the Minnesota Vikings (4-0) heading to the Great Britain Capital was tempered as soon as Kirk Cousins was traded away.

Things feel much different in Week 5 with the Vikings unbeaten and leading the tough looking NFC North, while the Jets have work to do.

Aaron Rodgers was not happy with himself after the loss to the Denver Broncos as a big favourite last Sunday, but the comments made by Head Coach Robert Saleh have been making the headlines. He did not seem that happy with the way the Offensive unit was run, and there have been some reports of tension between Head Coach and Quarter Back before that defeat.

It was a miserable day all around for the Jets as they scored just 9 points at home, but reinforcements will arrive if Rodgers has his way. The team are leading the way when it comes to trading for Davante Adams, but for now the Jets will have flown over to London looking for a much better all around performance.

That may be a tough ask for Aaron Rodgers and his team-mates considering the level being produced by the Vikings on the Defensive side of the ball. The Quarter Back has not really found a great rhythm or chemistry with his Receivers right now and so it may not be easy for the Jets to attack the Minnesota Secondary that has given up plenty of yards as teams have tried to find a way back into games.

While there have been plenty of yards allowed, Minnesota's team have forced Interceptions too and turnovers will be key to the outcome of this game. Aaron Rodgers has historically not given away too much when facing the Vikings in his time with the Green Bay Packers, but he was under immense duress every time he stepped back to throw the ball against Denver and pressure is going to be all around him in this one in obvious passing situations.

Leaning on the running game will still likely be the plan for the Jets, but this has been the real strength of the Minnesota Defensive unit so it may be tough for Breece Hall to have a big impact on the ground. Instead the Jets may look to scheme the Running Back into positions where he can take quick throws from Aaron Rodgers and try and turn them into big gains with Rodgers not expected to be playing behind an Offensive Line that could give him time to allow routes to develop.

You have to expect more than Week 4 from the Jets, but the conditions in London look mixed and it may be tough for New York to really improve. Aaron Rodgers is likely going to make some plays, but it's never easy behind an Offensive Line resembling a turnstile and so it could be another tough day for a 40 year old who took plenty of big hits last week.

Sacks might play a big part in this game on the other side of the ball too considering the pressure the Jets can generate and the recent problems the Vikings have had in pass protection. However, Sam Darnold will be heading into this 'revenge' game knowing that his running attack is likely going to put the Vikings in a much stronger position than what is expected from the New York Jets.

The Minnesota Offensive Line will have been encouraged by what Denver were able to do against the Jets last week and they have a more competent Quarter Back who will be given more respect than Bo Nix was afforded. Despite the lack of passing yards from Nix, Denver won the game behind a strong run and Aaron Jones could pick up from where the Broncos left off.

Keeping Sam Darnold in front of the chains has been key to the early successes the Quarter Back has had and he has been able to spread the ball around to some talented playmakers. There are some solid Defensive Backs that will need to be pointed out when the Vikings are setting to throw, but Darnold has to believe his Receivers will win out and his decision making has been absolutely right so far.

It should allow Minnesota to keep the chains ticking over and the Vikings may just maintain their perfect covering record in London.

Full focus can be on this game with a Bye Week coming up, while Aaron Rodgers has yet to remind the fans to 'relax'. Things might just have to get a little worse for the Jets before there are signs of getting better and Minnesota might get the better of the former Green Bay Packer, much to the delight of their fans from both sides of the pond.

The expectation is that this will be a competitive game thanks to the abilities of both Defensive units, but Minnesota's rushing attack could prove to be the difference maker on the day.

Carolina Panthers @ Chicago Bears Pick: There are always going to be comparisons between the top Quarter Backs taken in the NFL Draft and it is no surprise some talking heads are already suggesting the Chicago Bears (2-2) might regret picking Caleb Williams over Jayden Daniels. You won't hear that from the organisation though considering the improvements they feel they are seeing from their rookie behind Center and the win over the Los Angeles Rams was perhaps Williams' best performance of this young season.

The Bears were favourites to beat the Los Angeles Rams at Soldier Field in Week 4 and they are favourites again before heading to London for a meeting with the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Next up is the Carolina Panthers (1-3), a team that have looked rejuvenated with a veteran at Quarter Back- much like the Bears, they spent a lot of time wondering whether picking Bryce Young over CJ Stroud was a mistake and ultimately it looks like a miss from the Panthers with Young benched and Stroud operating like one of the top players in the position.

Two more losses with Bryce Young behind Center meant a change was necessary and this is now Andy Dalton's team.

Offensively the Panthers have certainly looked more capable with Dalton at Quarter Back and that will give them an opportunity to spring the upset. With someone capable of throwing the ball with better success than Bryce Young managed, the Offensive Line have been able to offer Andy Dalton enough protection and they have also opened up some big running lanes.

Chuba Hubbard has taken advantage and he should have some success on the ground against this solid Bears Defensive Line. This is key for the Panthers as they look to manage the game and remain in front of the chains at all times, and it will also slow down any Chicago pass rush which did rattle Matthew Stafford.

The Rams Quarter Back still made some big time throws against this Bears Secondary and Andy Dalton should have a decent game when stepping back to throw. Avoiding Interceptions will be key for Dalton and the Panthers, but if he can play a clean game, the Panthers should be able to move the ball and the 60 points scored in the last two games is a number they can build upon.

Chicago snapped a two game losing run with their victory over the Rams in Week 4 and they saw some life from a struggling running game, and that was a huge benefit for their young Quarter Back. It took a bit of time for D'Andre Swift to get going in that victory, but the Running Back ended up having his most productive game of the season.

There will be a chance to back that performance up with another solid outing against this Panthers Defensive Line and that will be encouraging for Caleb Williams. The Offensive Line have not played as well as they would have liked this season, but they could be aided by some downhill running and staying in front of the chains will mean they do not have to protect Williams for too long.

Even if Caleb Williams needs time, the Panthers pass rush may not be able to take full advantage of the Chicago Offensive Line problems. Instead the Panthers will look to the Secondary to stay with some of the solid Receivers that Chicago have and will also be looking to tempt Williams into an errant throw or two.

You have to credit the Bears for covering as the favourite on two out of two occasions this season, but the distraction of playing in London next week is a factor. The improvements made by the Panthers in the last couple of games, especially Offensively, could see them keep this close and the play is taking the points with the road team.

Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals Pick: In recent years, the Baltimore Ravens (2-2) and Cincinnati Bengals (1-3) have combined to dominate the AFC North and games between these Divisional rivals have been hugely important to the final standings.

This season the Pittsburgh Steelers may have something to say about top spot in the Division, but there is still a feeling that the Ravens and Bengals are amongst the top teams in the entire League.

It has been tough for the Bengals early in the season and it was hugely important for them to beat the Carolina Panthers and earn their first win of the season. Questions have begun to be asked about Joe Burrow and Head Coach Zac Taylor, but they can only be answered by how they play on the field and Cincinnati have to be massively motivated by being set as the home underdog.

There will be a feeling that the Bengals can build momentum if they are able to upset the odds and win this game with the likes of the New York Giants and Cleveland Browns to come. However, winning this game is going to be anything but easy and especially not against a Baltimore team that have won back to back games and just blown out the Buffalo Bills in a prime time spot.

Much will depend on the Cincinnati Offensive Line on this side of the ball as they look to try and establish the run and avoid the team becoming predictable or one-dimensional. Running the ball against the Baltimore Ravens has been a huge challenge for all of their opponents this season though and it feels like a tough spot for the Bengals to have much more success.

Ultimately the game will lean on Joe Burrow at Quarter Back and some talented Wide Receivers.

This Ravens Secondary may not be as strong as previous versions, but the pass rush is very effective and that can cover up some of the holes that Quarter Backs would love to exploit. If the Bengals are in third and long spots, that pressure could still make an impact on the game and help to stall drives, although you also have to expect some solid numbers from Burrow and the passing game.

Pass rush can slow down drives, but the Ravens will also feel they can control the clock and keep the Cincinnati Offensive unit sitting on the sidelines for an extended period.

Some thought Derrick Henry was perhaps not the player he once was with the Tennessee Titans, but he has been producing big time Football for the Baltimore Ravens and could pick up from where he left off in Week 4. There is no doubting the power and quality of Henry, but playing alongside Lamar Jackson feels unfair to Defensive Lines and the Cincinnati Bengals will struggle to contain the tandem on the ground.

Everything good that Baltimore will do Offensively begins with the powerful running game and the Ravens should have plenty of success. It also means Lamar Jackson has time when he has been asked to throw the ball and being in front of the chains means the Quarter Back has been able to avoid costly mistakes, which is also important in a tight game like this one.

This should be a competitive and fun game for fans to watch, especially for the neutrals, and something of a back and forth contest. The ability of the Ravens to run the ball should be a key difference and they have won three of the last four regular season games between these Divisional rivals, although Cincinnati do hold a PlayOff win over Baltimore in that time too.

The Ravens had lost three in a row in Cincinnati before getting the better of them last season and Baltimore can ride the momentum gained over the last two weeks to an important win and the chance to move above 0.500 for the first time this season.

Cleveland Browns @ Washington Commanders Pick: If you had said at the start of the season that one of these teams would have a 3-1 record and the other 1-3, it is almost certain you would have predicted the wrong team to be holding that mark ahead of this Week 5 non-Conference game.

The Cleveland Browns (1-3) have been a huge disappointment so far in 2024 and they are playing in a very tough Division. On the other side, the Washington Commanders (3-1) have bounced back from a Week 1 defeat and won three in a row to move to the top of the NFC East and Jayden Daniels has performed at a high level to have people wondering if he should not have been the Number 1 Overall Draft Pick rather than Caleb Williams.

One Quarter Back is playing on his rookie deal, but that is far from the case for Deshaun Watson and the Cleveland Browns. A lot of money and Draft Picks were invested into Watson when trading for him to take over as Quarter Back in Cleveland, but he has not been able to return to the form he had showed in his time with the Houston Texans.

It really does not make things easy when the Offensive Line is banged up and with Nick Chubb yet to return from a devastating injury. Even then, more has been expected from Watson at Quarter Back and there is no doubt that more will be needed if big decisions are to be avoided in the off-season.

The Offensive unit have struggled, but this game could be a chance for Cleveland to have a bit more success running the ball, which is all so important for them. Injuries have made it difficult for consistency, but the Commanders Defensive Line have not been clamping down on the run and so there is an opportunity for Cleveland to allow Watson to play in third and manageable situations.

Deshaun Watson has not really found any consistency in his passing, but being in front of the chains will help, even if that help is having a bit more time. He has been under a lot of pressure early in the season and the Commanders will bring the heat up front to rush the Cleveland Quarter Back.

This should give Washington the chance to at least slow the Cleveland Offensive unit and give the ball to Jayden Daniels in his bid to continue to impress.

Brian Robinson Jr is a potential big miss for the Washington Commanders having begun the season so well at Running Back, but Austin Ekeler is a capable replacement. With a dual-threat Quarter Back, the Commanders Offensive Line should be able to establish the run against this struggling Browns rushing Defense and that will help the rookie Jayden Daniels no end.

Credit has to be given to the Browns Defensive unit for keeping the team competitive since the Week 1 blowout to the Dallas Cowboys, but it will be tough to stop the Commanders if they continue to run the ball as effectively as they have been. For starters it should ease some of the pass rush and Jayden Daniels has shown an efficiency when throwing the ball, and that has impressed considering he has played just four NFL games.

Playing at that level will make it tough for the Browns and Washington look like they can keep the good times rolling through another week. The situation is different for both teams with the Cleveland Browns having been favoured while losing and the Washington Commanders coming through as the underdog in each of their last two victories.

Expectations can do funny things to players and teams, but the ability to run the ball like the Commanders have done will give them a slight edge and Jayden Daniels may just outplay Deshaun Watson.

MY PICKS: Minnesota Vikings - 2.5 Points @ 1.91 Bet Victor (1 Unit)

Carolina Panthers + 4 Points @ 1.91 William Hill (1 Unit)

Baltimore Ravens - 2 Points @ 1.91 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)

Washington Commanders - 3 Points @ 1.91 Bet365 (1 Unit)

Green Bay Packers - 3 Points @ 1.91 William Hill (1 Unit)

Pittsburgh Steelers - 2.5 Points @ 1.87 Paddy Power (1 Unit)

Week 4: 6-2, + 3.45 Units (8 Units Staked, + 43.13% Yield)

Week 3: 3-3, - 0.23 Units (6 Units Staked, - 3.83% Yield)

Week 2: 4-2, + 1.62 Units (6 Units Staked, + 27% Yield)

Week 1: 5-2, + 2.67 Units (7 Units Staked, + 38.14% Yield)

NFL Week 5 Picks 2019 (October 3-7)

For many teams a quarter of the regular season has been played and that means we are into the Bye Weeks with a couple more out of action in Week 5.

It is good news for Miami Dolphins fans as this is the first week we can enjoy knowing the team won't be losing, but the hope is that a few teams can earn their first wins of the season to just clear up what looks to be a real battle for the Number 1 Pick in the Draft.


This has been something of a busy week which means I am going to focus on the Week 5 Picks in this thread. Week 4 was a bad one for the public and I didn't have a much better week for the NFL Picks which means a disappointing first quarter of the season that has resulted in three losing weeks from four.

I expect much better than to be perfectly frank and that will have to begin this week. The totals could have been a lot worse considering there have been three losing weeks in four played, and that is about the only positive I can think of right now.

I didn't have a selection from a difficult looking Thursday Night Football game so the first selections will come from the Sunday offerings.


New England Patriots @ Washington Redskins Pick: The Week 4 win over the Buffalo Bills saw the New England Patriots Offensive unit struggle to get to grips with the Defense they faced, but at the end of the day they moved to 4-0 and 3-0 in the AFC East. Tom Brady admitted he was still frustrated with the lack of success the Patriots had with the ball in their hands, but they should have a much better day when heading to the nation's capital to take on a struggling Washington Redskins team.

Washington have a perfect record, but the kind of perfect record that no team wants as they were dropped to 0-4 with a heavy road defeat at the New York Giants. Case Keenum struggled and injury looks to have gotten the better of him which means Colt McCoy is going to be given the keys to the Offensive unit with Dwayne Haskins simply not ready.

McCoy is very comfortable in the system run by Jay Gruden, but you do have to wonder how much time the Head Coach is going to get. The Bye Week is some time away which is the time when the change is most likely going to be made, but there have been times when Gruden has looked almost lost on the sidelines.

In Week 6 the Redskins will be going into a game with the Miami Dolphins that can begin to separate those teams chasing the Number 1 overall Pick in the next NFL Draft, but the focus has to be on the Super Bowl Champions. Despite having Colt McCoy at Quarter Back, this looks a very difficult day for the Redskins to have a lot of success on the Offensive side of the ball especially when you consider how well the New England Patriots have been playing Defensively.

It all begins up front for the Patriots who have been able to shut down the run and that does not bode well for an unhappy Adrian Peterson. The Running Back has not been happy with the amount of touches he is being given, but the Offensive Line have been unable to open anything up front and Colt McCoy may find himself in third and long situations far too much on the day.

Chris Thompson could help as a pass catching safety blanket coming out of the backfield, but it looks a tough day to move the chains. The Patriots Secondary have been making it a 'no fly zone' for Quarter Backs and the Offensive Line concerns for the Redskins will be highlighted by a strong New England pass rush who made the difference in the win over Buffalo last week.

With the Redskins likely to be struggling when they have the ball, New England should win the field position battle and I do think Brady and company are going to want to show a lot better than they did Offensively in the win over Buffalo. It should be an overall more comfortable game for the Patriots and I do think they are going to be able to move the chains through Sony Michel and Brady's arm.

One area the Patriots will want to improve is running the ball and they should have joy establishing the run against this Washington Defensive Line which has been worn down in games. It will just make things a little more straight-forward for Tom Brady who will have an added weapon in Benjamin Watson returning this week having been suspended for four games to open the 2019 season.

I don't think Watson will have a big impact in this game, but the Tight End will have to be respected by Washington and the only thing that is potentially going to slow down the Patriots is any complacency which comes with playing a non-Conference opponent.

Backing a double digit road favourite is not ideal, but New England are the far superior team and I do think Washington are being Coached by a 'lame duck' Head Coach. The Redskins have suffered three straight double digit defeats and have progressively got worse in each passing week.

Colt McCoy is a steady Quarter Back, but I am not sure he is going to have a very productive day against this New England Defensive unit and a couple of turnovers in favour of the visitors should just see them pull away for a big win.


Oakland Raiders v Chicago Bears Pick: For the second season in a row the Oakland Raiders will be playing a regular season game in London and they arrived in the United Kingdom a few days early to get used to the new time zone. The Raiders head into Week 5 with a 2-2 record having upset the Indianapolis Colts on the road, but they are going to be faced with a fierce Chicago Bears Defensive unit led by Khalil Mack and his thirst to remind the Raiders what they traded away ahead of the 2018 season.

Mack and the Bears Defense are going to have to step up for Chicago as they look to move to 4-1 ahead of their Bye Week having recovered from a surprising Week 1 defeat to the Green Bay Packers. It was the Defense which stepped up and dominated the Minnesota Vikings in Week 4 after Mitchell Trubisky was knocked out of the game and the Quarter Back is going to be missing this week too.

Chase Daniels might not be a player that is going to ever be a full time starter at Quarter Back, but he is a very competent backup and showed he can come and perform in relief when starting two games in 2018. Last week Daniels did enough to keep the chains moving against a very tough Vikings Defensive unit, and this week he should be involved in a more comfortable match up against the Raiders Defense who lost leader Vontaze Burfict for the season after yet another late hit on a defenceless opponent.

For all the qualities Burfict has, he is a dirty player and the suspension is nothing but deserved. However it has gutted some of the leadership the Raiders have on this side of the ball and I do think it will give the Bears a chance to move the chains with some consistency even with a backup Quarter Back.

David Montgomery and Tarik Cohen have yet to impress from the Running Back position for the Bears, but both could have an impact with a big piece missing for Oakland at Linebacker. They will be looking to put Chase Daniels in third and manageable spots and I also think both could have an impact coming out of the backfield as pass catchers, which should give Chicago the chance to exploit the struggling Oakland Secondary.

In saying that, the biggest factor for the Chicago Bears on the day will be the play of the Defense which will be looking to shut down the Raiders and also allow Khalil Mack to pin his ears back and disrupt this game. I do think it is a difficult match up for the Oakland Raiders who can't expect to have a lot of joy running the ball which means Derek Carr having to step back and make throws from third and long spots.

Derek Carr is capable of getting the ball out of his hands quickly, but even then he has been under pressure behind this Offensive Line. The Chicago pass rush has been on fire through the first quarter of the season and I do think they are going to make it very difficult for Oakland to move the chains in this one which will give the Bears the chance to head back to the United States with a win and a cover.

The Raiders have been blown out in their last couple of international games in 2017 and 2018 and I do think they will find it difficult to see them scoring enough points to stay with the Chicago Bears. Chase Daniels instead of Mitchell Trubisky may not be the kind of downgrade you may expect, especially not with the way Trubisky started 2019, and I will look for the Bears to make the plays to cover the spread.


New York Jets @ Philadelphia Eagles Pick: Coming out of the Bye Week with a 0-3 record is not what the New York Jets would have expected considering the kind of investment they made in the off-season. It has been an issue compounded by the injury to not only Sam Darnold, but also his backup Quarter Back Trevor Siemian and this is another week in which it looks like Luke Falk will be starting.

The big signing of Le'Veon Bell has not worked out for the Jets as planned and moving the ball at 3 yards per carry on the ground is only putting more pressure on whoever is going to Quarter Back the team. The Jets and Bell can't expect to have a lot of room up front against the Philadelphia Eagles who remain stout on the Defensive Line and will be trying to force Falk, the most likely starting Quarter Back, to earn his stripes through the air.

There is an opportunity for Falk because there are a number of injuries in the Philadelphia Secondary, but exploiting those won't be easy for a Quarter Back who is not ready for this level. The Jets have averaged just 130 passing yards per game and the Offensive Line have struggled to protect whichever Quarter Back has started.

It may be a cleaner pocket for Falk on Sunday because the Eagles have struggled to get to the Quarter Back, which is a real surprise considering the obvious talent they have on the Defensive Line. However, keeping the Jets in third and long and then pinning the ears back to get after Luke Falk should be a productive play for the Eagles and one that can set them up for a big win against an Offensively challenged opponent.

After a big win at the Green Bay Packers to get back to 2-2, the Philadelphia Eagles can't afford to drop the momentum they picked up. CJ Moseley's absence for the New York Jets has to be music to the ears of Carson Wentz and the entire Offensive unit as the Jets Defensive unit have struggled without him and I do think the Eagles can continue putting a strong showing together on the Offensive side of the ball.

There is still some room for improvement for the Eagles who would love to find a way to run the ball more effectively than they have done. That improvement is unlikely to be seen this week as clamping down on Running Backs is something the Jets have been good at doing, but Carson Wentz will be confident he can make the plays through the air that helps his team pull away for a comfortable win.

Carson Wentz was very good in the win over the Green Bay Packers and he is throwing in a Secondary that has been struggling. Having a few extra days of rest from Week 4 to Week 5 should be key for the Wide Receivers to make sure they are a little healthier and having those weapons back will be huge for Wentz and the passing game in this one.

New York's Secondary have given up almost 300 passing yards per game and I do think the Eagles will see their Quarter Back have a very good day to help them pull clear of a big spread. The spot is not ideal in the schedule with this being the easiest game during a five game stretch, but the Eagles are on the road for the other four and playing at home should see them motivated enough.

The Eagles have not been a good team to back against the spread at home, but this looks an ideal chance for them to cover the number. The public money seems to be with the New York Jets which is a bonus and I am going to look for Philadelphia to produce a big win.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints Pick: Both the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the New Orleans Saints are heading into Week 5 of the 2019 NFL season off upset wins. The Saints at least get the chance to stay at home in Week 5, but the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have to travel for the second of back to back road games after upsetting the Los Angeles Rams in California last time out.

Things could have looked all the more smoother for the Buccaneers if they had not seen their Kicker miss a game winning Field Goal against the New York Giants in Week 3. Even then they are only a game behind the New Orleans Saints in the NFC South and a win on the road in the SuperDome will really put the cat amongst the pigeons for the Buccaneers.

That would mean Tampa Bay are 2-0 within the Division and the underdog must feel they have a big opportunity with the Saints continuing to have to do without Drew Brees at Quarter Back. It is not easy to back Jameis Winston to follow up a big performance with another, but Bruce Arians seems to be working for the Quarter Back and he won't want to put him on a leash in this one.

Ronald Jones and the Running Back committee being used by the Buccaneers have yet to really find some consistency which would bring balance to this Tampa Bay Offensive unit. Jones has showed flashes of talent, but he won't have an easy day running against the New Orleans Defensive Line which has just doubled down on their strength up front in recent games and who clamped down on Ezekiel Elliot in Week 4.

Every single member of the New Orleans Defensive unit had a huge showing in the Week 4 win over Dallas, but they are going to be challenged again in this one. Replicating that effort on Sunday Night Football will be difficult and the Saints Secondary has not been playing anywhere near that level in the opening weeks of the season to make me think it is an exception rather than the rule for them at the moment.

Jameis Winston is likely going to have to be careful about the Saints pass rush with little support expected on the ground, but he has Receivers like Mike Evans and Chris Godwin who can have very big games for them. As long as Winston can buy himself some time, I do think the Buccaneers can have success moving the chains through the air and Godwin in particularly could be huge playing in the slot where he destroyed the Los Angeles Rams.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers should be able to keep the points ticking over and that is going to put pressure on Teddy Bridgewater to offer more than he has in his first two weeks starting in place of Drew Brees. Last week four Field Goals were enough for the Saints to win the game, and in Seattle Bridgewater was helped by the Special Teams plays, but even the Quarter Back himself has admitted he needs to do more if New Orleans are going to be successful.

There is going to be some pressure on Bridgewater because he can't really expect the Saints to establish much of a run in support of him. Alvin Kamara might be one of the best Running Backs in the NFL, but the Saints are averaging 4.5 yards per carry and now face a Buccaneers Defensive Line that put the clamps on Todd Gurley last week and have been very strong up front throughout 2019.

If Drew Brees was playing you might not worry about a lack of a rushing Offense, but that is not the case in Week 5. Teddy Bridgewater needs to find a way to find some consistency through the air, but the Saints are not a team with a host of Receiving talent outside of Michael Thomas and Kamara coming out of the backfield. Bridgewater is taking on a Tampa Bay Secondary which has seen massive holes open up, but I am not sure this Quarter Bak can exploit those.

He should be able to make enough plays to keep the chains moving, but I am not sure it is enough to have Bridgewater favoured by a Field Goal to win this game. The intimidation of playing in the SuperDome is not an excuse for Tampa Bay who won here last season with Drew Brees Quarter Backing the home team, and the Saints are just 1-5 against the spread in their last six at home.

Tampa Bay have shown some fight on the road and I do think having the full 3 points in this one is key. Backing the underdog who have every chance of winning outright is my play.

MY PICKS: New England Patriots - 16.5 Points @ 1.91 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Chicago Bears - 6 Points @ 1.95 Bet365 (2 Units)
Philadelphia Eagles - 14 Points @ 1.91 Bet365 (2 Units)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers + 3.5 Points @ 1.86 Ladbrokes (2 Units)
Houston Texans - 4 Points @ 1.91 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Baltimore Ravens - 3.5 Points @ 2.00 William Hill (2 Units)
Los Angeles Chargers - 5.5 Points @ 1.91 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Green Bay Packers + 3.5 Points @ 1.91 Sky Bet (2 Units)
Kansas City Chiefs - 10.5 Points @ 2.00 Sky Bet (2 Units)

Week 4: 3-6, - 6.54 Units (18 Units Staked, - 36.33% Yield)
Week 3: 5-2, + 3.28 Units (12 Units Staked, + 27.33% Yield)
Week 2: 3-4, - 2.70 Units (14 Units Staked, - 19.29% Yield)
Week 1: 4-4, + 0.16 Units (15 Units Staked, + 1.07% Yield)


Season 2019: 15-106, - 5.80 Units (59 Units Staked, - 9.83% Yield)