I said in the Saturday thread for the Tennis Picks that this has been a good week already and that was underlined with two more winners yesterday.
The other Pick ended with a retirement after David Goffin suffered a really unfortunate injury in his Semi Final against Grigor Dimitrov. An attempted volley ricocheted off the racquet and into Goffin's eye and it was not surprise that the Belgian player decided to pull out at that moment.
However both Petra Kvitova and Dominic Thiem returned as winners and it has made a strong week possible, one that I needed just to restore some belief in the numbers. To be fair the numbers have been great indicators, but I just hadn't had a lot of luck earlier in the 2018 season and at the end of the 2017 season and so this week is one that I feel I have deserved.
On Sunday the Finals of the four tournaments played this week will be played before we move on to five new tournaments on Monday.
Roger Federer - 3.5 games v Grigor Dimitrov: The new World Number 1 will be looking to underline his status in that position by winning the title in Rotterdam on Sunday and Roger Federer is a strong favourite to do that. He won't have things completely his own way against Grigor Dimitrov, but Federer is playing at a very high level at the moment and I am not sure 'Baby Fed' will be able to stay with him.
The service numbers have been impressive from both players, although Dimitrov was being put under a lot of pressure by David Goffin in the Semi Final before injury ended that match unexpectedly.
Dimitrov should have success behind his serve, but I think Federer's return numbers have been more impressive so far in 2018 and that is going to be the difference between these two players on Sunday.
Ultimately I would expect Federer to create a few more break point opportunities with his returns of serve proving to be a little more effective of the two players. I don't doubt Dimitrov will be able to cause a few problems of his own, but I think the Federer serve has been working very well and can get Federer out of a few tough spots.
Matches between Federer and Dimitrov can be close and the latter has shown he can raise his performances against the best players. However I think Federer may open the door for success with a late break in the first set and then go on from there to record a fairly routine win while covering this number of games.
MY PICKS: Roger Federer - 3.5 Games @ 2.00 Paddy Power (2 Units)
Weekly Update: 16-6, + 17.22 Units (44 Units Staked, + 39.14% Yield)
Showing posts with label Grigor Dimitrov. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Grigor Dimitrov. Show all posts
Sunday, 18 February 2018
Monday, 4 July 2011
Outright Tennis Picks July 4th-10th
The week after a Grand Slam can be disappointing, but it is particularly the case when the Davis Cup is scheduled at the end of the week.
That means almost all of the top ATP players are busy, while most of the big names will not return to action until the US Summer Swing kicks off at the end of the month.
However, we do have a tournament taking place this week, the last grass court event on the main tour this season, as some players decide to play at in Newport.
I don't think I will be making too many picks on the individual days, but I did think I would look at the draw and see if there was an outright price that could interest me.
John Isner is the Number 1 seed after he was given a Wild Card to enter the tournament. He took the place of the reigning Champion, Mardy Fish, who is in action in the Davis Cup tie against Spain and Isner will look to reverse some history.
In the 35 years of this event, the Number 1 seed has NEVER won the tournament- therefore prices of 4.00 look a little short to me.
Previous winners have not exactly been a 'whose who' list of tennis players and so looking beyond the Number 1 seed could pay dividends.
I am also going to rule out the Number 2 seed, Grigor Dimitrov, as it may be hard to repeat his efforts from Wimbledon when he pushed Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in 4 tough sets. He is in a tough section of the draw with Ivo Karlovic being a possible 2nd Round opponent.
While I accept this is a tough section, I believe the man to follow for the tournament could come out of this part of the draw... Dudi Sela.
The Israeli player has not really hit the heights that some thought he might when he beat Fernando Gonzalez in a 5 set Davis Cup match, and he has only reached 1 Final in his career and is yet to pick up a title.
However, Sela won a pre-Wimbledon Challenger tournament on the grass courts of Nottingham, beating the likes of Jeremy Chardy and Bernard Tomic along the way.
He had won 16 matches in a row, mainly on the Challenger Tour, before losing to Gilles Simon in the 2nd Round at Wimbledon in 3 tight sets.
Sela begins with a Qualifier before facing the winner of Michael Berrer-Tommy Haas. Usually I would favour Haas to beat Sela, but he has recently returned to the Tour following an injury and Sela may upset the odds in that one.
A potential Quarter Final with Dimitrov would be tough, but Sela has a win over the talented Bulgarian from last season.
If Sela can reach the Semi Final stage, his recent run of wins, even though they were on the Challenger Tour, may give him the mental edge to move on and win the tournament.
OUTRIGHT PICK: Dudi Sela @ 21.0 William Hill (0.5 Units E/W) E/W is top 2 places, 1/2 odds
That means almost all of the top ATP players are busy, while most of the big names will not return to action until the US Summer Swing kicks off at the end of the month.
However, we do have a tournament taking place this week, the last grass court event on the main tour this season, as some players decide to play at in Newport.
I don't think I will be making too many picks on the individual days, but I did think I would look at the draw and see if there was an outright price that could interest me.
John Isner is the Number 1 seed after he was given a Wild Card to enter the tournament. He took the place of the reigning Champion, Mardy Fish, who is in action in the Davis Cup tie against Spain and Isner will look to reverse some history.
In the 35 years of this event, the Number 1 seed has NEVER won the tournament- therefore prices of 4.00 look a little short to me.
Previous winners have not exactly been a 'whose who' list of tennis players and so looking beyond the Number 1 seed could pay dividends.
I am also going to rule out the Number 2 seed, Grigor Dimitrov, as it may be hard to repeat his efforts from Wimbledon when he pushed Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in 4 tough sets. He is in a tough section of the draw with Ivo Karlovic being a possible 2nd Round opponent.
While I accept this is a tough section, I believe the man to follow for the tournament could come out of this part of the draw... Dudi Sela.
The Israeli player has not really hit the heights that some thought he might when he beat Fernando Gonzalez in a 5 set Davis Cup match, and he has only reached 1 Final in his career and is yet to pick up a title.
However, Sela won a pre-Wimbledon Challenger tournament on the grass courts of Nottingham, beating the likes of Jeremy Chardy and Bernard Tomic along the way.
He had won 16 matches in a row, mainly on the Challenger Tour, before losing to Gilles Simon in the 2nd Round at Wimbledon in 3 tight sets.
Sela begins with a Qualifier before facing the winner of Michael Berrer-Tommy Haas. Usually I would favour Haas to beat Sela, but he has recently returned to the Tour following an injury and Sela may upset the odds in that one.
A potential Quarter Final with Dimitrov would be tough, but Sela has a win over the talented Bulgarian from last season.
If Sela can reach the Semi Final stage, his recent run of wins, even though they were on the Challenger Tour, may give him the mental edge to move on and win the tournament.
OUTRIGHT PICK: Dudi Sela @ 21.0 William Hill (0.5 Units E/W) E/W is top 2 places, 1/2 odds
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