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Wimbledon Tennis Day 12 Picks 2025 (Friday 11th July)

The Ladies Final has been set and you could argue that both Finalists are something of a surprise- Amanda Anisimova has shown some form on t...

Tuesday, 8 July 2025

Wimbledon Tennis Day 10 Picks 2025 (Wednesday 9th July)

The big news that everyone is waiting to hear is all about the Jannik Sinner elbow ahead of Day 10 at Wimbledon.

He looked to be on course for a Fourth Round exit before the most ill-timed of injuries suffered by Grigor Dimitrov, but Jannik Sinner had been worrying about his elbow after a very early fall. Despite admitting that the fall did not seem to be a big deal, Sinner also mentioned that he could feel an issue when serving or hitting a forehand and a MRI was scheduled for Tuesday.

At the time of writing, the only indication about his health is cancelling a practice session he had set for the day and there has to be some serious doubt about whether he can participate in the Quarter Final against Ben Shelton.

His withdrawal would be a blow for those on Court One on Wednesday, but the other three Quarter Final matches will make for good viewing for those watching back home. In a tournament filled with upsets, it may not be the wisest decision to back favourites, but the Picks below all lean that way and you can read the reasoning as to why further on down.


Mirra Andreeva - 3.5 games v Belinda Bencic: Losing both matches played on the grass in 2024 and beginning this year's short stint on the surface with two defeats in three matches may have just given Mirra Andreeva pause for thought. However, it has to be remembered that she reached the Fourth Round on debut at Wimbledon having coming through the Qualifiers and the youngster is Coached by a former Champion at this event.

She lost a couple of tight matches last year and there is no doubting the talent of Mirra Andreeva and what she is likely to achieve in the sport. There have been moments where you have to be reminded that she is a teenager and an inexperience has been seen in some of the defeats she has suffered in recent weeks.

Despite that, Mirra Andreeva enters Wimbledon as the World Number 7 and she is set to improve that regardless of how the tournament ends. However, the Ladies draw has opened up through the opening four Rounds and there has to be some real belief that a maiden Grand Slam title could be secured here, especially if Andreeva can maintain current levels of form.

All eight sets have been won on her way to a first Quarter Final in SW19 and only one of those sets has seen an opponent win more than three games. Mirra Andreeva has been returning so well and putting an extreme amount of pressure on opponents, while her serve is very effective for an 18 year old.

The youngster will need all of that if she is going to get the better of Belinda Bencic, a player who has long enjoyed playing on the grass even if the results have not always been there at Wimbledon. She has made the Fourth Round three times previously, but this is the first time Belinda Bencic has made the Quarter Final with all of her previous experiences of making this Round coming in New York City at the US Open.

Belinda Bencic is going to return to the top 30 of the World Rankings at the end of the tournament, which should mean a Seeding spot when the US Open is played later in the year, and it may have done her some good at being pushed in the previous Rounds.

While it has been largely comfortable for Mirra Andreeva, Belinda Bencic won't panic if things go against her early on and that is due to the fact she has won a couple of matches in three sets. Even the straight sets win in the Fourth Round was a challenge for the Swiss player, but there will be some pressure on Bencic to serve more effectively than she has in the last three Rounds.

Anything else could mean Mirra Andreeva is able to get on the front foot and her experience of reaching a Quarter Final and a Semi Final at the French Open may mean the young player is able to cope with the occasion better than most 18 year olds could do.

Belinda Bencic is likely going to be highly motivated by the challenge, but there have been one or two signs that she may have peaked already and Mirra Andreeva's strong form can see her through to her first Semi Final here.


Iga Swiatek - 3.5 games v Liudmila Samsonova: If this match was being played on another surface, you would have to make Iga Swiatek a massive favourite to get the better of Liudmila Samsonova.

Not only has she won all four previous matches against this opponent, but Iga Swiatek has not even faced a Break Point in the last three wins, including in the Fourth Round at the US Open last year.

However, this is a Quarter Final at Wimbledon and the grass courts on which Iga Swiatek has not always felt her most comfortable, even with a decent career record on the surface. This is just the second time she has reached the last eight at Wimbledon, but the former World Number 1 has plenty of Grand Slam experience and that could be very important in what is a remaining eight players where very few have the know-how to win at the business end of a major.

Plenty of respect will be given to Liudmila Samsonova, a player that has won multiple titles on the grass and who has rolled through the first four Rounds at Wimbledon this year. The Fourth Round win was a bit more challenging, but Samsonova has been looking really strong in the opening three wins and has a game that is well suited to the surface.

Inexperience may be an obstacle here with Liudmila Samsonova only reaching the second week of a Grand Slam four times before and never making it beyond the Fourth Round. Her Wimbledon record has perhaps not reflected the capabilities on a grass court and the World Number 19 will also have the mental challenge of facing an opponent that has given her very little encouragement in the last three meetings.

The service numbers have dipped in the last couple of wins, which will be concerning for Liudmila Samsonova, and that could be a problem with Iga Swiatek serving as well as she has been throughout this tournament.

You do have to feel that the World Number 4 is going to be pretty comfortable having contained any threat that Liudmila Samsonova brings onto the court in their most recent meetings. Serving well will allow Iga Swiatek to go on the attack against the Samsonova serve and the belief is that she can reach her maiden Semi Final at Wimbledon with a good, strong win when all is said and done.


Novak Djokovic - 7.5 games v Flavio Cobolli: There have been plenty of upsets and surprising runs in the Ladies tournament at Wimbledon in 2025, but there have been one or two names that have arrived in the last eight of the Men's event that would have surprised too.

One of those is Flavio Cobolli, despite being a Seed, and the young Italian has made it through to the second week of any Grand Slam for the first time. He then got the better of an experienced player in Marin Cilic in the Fourth Round to reach the Quarter Final and that meant plenty of emotions were on display from his father and brother.

Jannik Sinner may be the poster boy of Italian tennis and there have been players like Jasmine Paolini and Matteo Berrettini who have had considerable successes, and that will be a source of inspiration for Flavio Cobolli. Some have suggested that Cobolli has not always focused on his tennis, but he looks to be locked in now and he is at a career best World Ranking with more to come next Monday.

The key for the younger player is to make sure he focuses on his own tennis- there has to be some improvement in the service numbers if Flavio Cobolli is going to earn the upset and it is so important not to be overawed by taking on a seven time Wimbledon Champion and someone who has won twenty-four Majors.

Flavio Cobolli does know Novak Djokovic and will have practiced with him (and his son), but it is a different experience in a competitive environment on a show court, having not played on Centre or Court One before. In their sole previous meeting last year on the hard courts of Shanghai, the Italian managed to win just three games and the mental battle is going to be just as important as anything happening on the court.

The World Number 24 has served well in the tournament, but it should be noted that half of the four wins have been against players Ranked outside of the top 200 and one of the other wins was against veteran Marin Cilic.

Facing Novak Djokovic at Wimbledon is a very different challenge, even if the seven time Champion was not at his very best in the win over Alex De Minaur in the Fourth Round. The Serb was not that comfortable in the conditions nor with the movement and defensive capabilities of De Minaur, but Novak Djokovic should be much happier on Wednesday in warmer and what is forecasted to be much calmer conditions.

The serve was not working nearly as well as Novak Djokovic would have hoped, but the first three Rounds showed he is still very capable behind that shot.

You cannot expect Djokovic to come out as poorly as he did in the last Round, especially with the whole day being more to his liking in terms of the wind. He will be looking to put the Italian under pressure with his own return and if Novak Djokovic is serving back at the level we have seen through the first three Rounds, he should be able to contain much of the threat from the other side of the net.

The match up may be a bit more to Novak Djokovic's liking with Flavio Cobolli looking to hit the ball with more power compared with Alex De Minaur, but that also means likely to make more errors against the best defensive player of all time.

Covering this mark will not be easy for Novak Djokovic, but it is a huge test for an inexperienced opponent and that could see Flavio Cobolli fall away in at least one of the sets played. He will likely enjoy moments of success with the big game he can bring onto the court, but Djokovic has seen most of what his opponent will look to do and he can find the solutions to move through with some relative comfort.

MY PICKS: Mirra Andreeva - 3.5 Games @ 1.91 William Hill (2 Units)
Iga Swiatek - 3.5 Games @ 1.80 Bet365 (2 Units)
Novak Djokovic - 7.5 Games @ 2.10 Bet365 (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 2-0, + 3.06 Units (4 Units Staked, + 76.50% Yield)

1 comment:

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