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Sunday, 11 September 2016

US Open Tennis Day 14 Pick- Men's Final 2016 (September 11th)

Before we get on with the pick, I have to say I can't believe it has been fifteen years since 9/11 which is a remarkable length of time.

None of the heroes of that day in New York City will ever be forgotten and I imagine there will be some huge moments of reflection ahead of the sporting events on Sunday.

Angelique Kerber has won the women's title in Flushing Meadows to underline her position as the new World Number 1 with two Grand Slam titles under her belt in 2016. I am not going to call it a changing of the guard at the top of the WTA, but Kerber will likely be a lot closer to the favouritism that Serena Williams has in any event they both enter and looks to be the player to beat in the WTA Championships in a few weeks time.

The picks from the US Open have had a decent return already but one more winner could help put a serious dent in the season totals to perhaps give 2016 the strong ending I have wanted after a poor first six months.

Stan Wawrinka + 4.5 games v Novak Djokovic: The doubts about Novak Djokovic continue to linger after he once again had to call the trainer in his win over Gael Monfils in the Semi Final on Friday. Djokovic is either pulling the wool over the eyes of every player on the Tour by asking for the trainer to keep himself looking vulnerable, or he is clearly not at 100% which means Stan Wawrinka has every chance of upsetting the odds for the third time he has reached a Grand Slam Final.

Wawrinka brings in the confidence of having won 10 Finals in a row and he did beat Novak Djokovic at the French Open last year in the Final. I am a little concerned that Wawrinka has spent a lot more time on the court than Djokovic on the way through to the Final, but the day of rest between matches should mean that is not a concern.

He should have a better level than Djokovic in terms of what he can produce on the field and I think it is very important that Wawrinka has beaten him in big Grand Slam matches. That means Wawrinka is not feeling overawed by the challenge in front of him and I think he can win this match outright let alone with the games in hand.

I have a lot of respect for Djokovic, but I think this is the first player he has faced who will believe he can win the match from the second he walks onto the court. I don't think either Jo-Wilfried Tsonga or Gael Monfils really believed that and that saw them give Djokovic a lead and make the climb to the top of the mountain feel that much bigger.

Djokovic won't give up the chance for a third Grand Slam title in 2016 easily, but my gut feeling is that Stan Wawrinka will dig deep enough to keep this very competitive and perhaps win his third Grand Slam title. I will back Wawrinka with the games in this one.

MY PICKS: Stan Wawrinka + 4.5 Games @ 1.91 Bet Fred (2 Units)

US Open Update: 40-37, + 11.84 Units (146 Units Staked, + 8.11% Yield)

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