Wimbledon Tennis Day 11 Picks 2025 (Thursday 10th July)

Four days remain at Wimbledon in 2025 and that means we are down to the last eight players at the tournament as the third Grand Slam of the season draws to a close.

By the end of Thursday, we will have the Ladies Final and the next Champion will be a step closer to achieving their aim.

Both favourites are rightly favoured in the Semi Final matches to be played on Day 11, although conditions are going to be far from easy with the temperature soaring in London.

Aryna Sabalenka - 3.5 games v Amanda Anisimova: The Quarter Final proved to be a very exhausting occasion for Aryna Sabalenka, both mentally and physically, but she remains a part of the Wimbledon draw. After the win over Laura Siegemund, the World Number 1 admitted her thoughts had turned to leaving another Grand Slam without the trophy as the lower Ranked player's style bamboozled Sabalenka.

There were a lot of spins and slices, a change of rhythm between points and just the all-around grass court tennis style that so few play with these days.

Allowing her frustration to build, Aryna Sabalenka showed plenty of character and resolve to eventually come through in almost three hours on the court and the day of rest between the Quarter Final and Semi Final will do her good.

You can guarantee that Amanda Anisimova will emphasise with the Belarusian having reached the Final at Queen's Club last month before being beaten by veteran Tatjana Maria and all of the grass court nous that the older player had. That has not stopped Amanda Anisimova from building her confidence on this surface and a strong run through to the Semi Final will have added to her belief.

This is also a match up that Amanda Anisimova has enjoyed- she has won five of the eight previous matches against Aryna Sabalenka, although the World Number 1 will point out that three of the last four have been won by herself. That includes revenge wins over the American at the Australian Open in 2024 and French Open in 2025 having lost at both of those Slams to Amanda Anisimova in 2019.

Aryna Sabalenka will appreciate that she will enjoy this match up much more than the Quarter Final in that she is going to be opposed by someone who will want to hit through the ball as much as she will herself. That should mean an 'easier' rhythm to understand, although Sabalenka will be well aware of the threat that Amanda Anisimova will bring onto the court.

Both are going to be well aware of the importance of serving well- on what is expected to be a hot day, the ball is going to be tough to deal with if the server is playing at a top level.

The consistent serving at the tournament has been with Anisimova, but there is little doubt that the higher level can come from Aryna Sabalenka and that is where the World Number 1 may prove to have an edge. She has not always looked at her most convincing this year at Wimbledon, but Sabalenka has shown plenty of character to come through difficult moments and she may also be a bit more battle-hardened having had a tougher pathway into the Semi Final.

When they met at Roland Garros last month, Amanda Anisimova was being given a couple more games on the handicap and she was able to cover, despite a straight sets defeat. This time the spread looks a bit more manageable for Aryna Sabalenka to win and cover, just as long as the top Seed can deal with the nerves and tension she has displayed at the business end of Slams throughout her career.

A first Wimbledon Final will mean a lot to Aryna Sabalenka and she can win a big-hitting Semi Final.

Iga Swiatek - 4.5 games v Belinda Bencic: The second Semi Final in the Ladies tournament is the one occasion in this Grand Slam where players are actually scheduled to play on back to back days.

Both winners came through in straight sets on Wednesday, which will help, although there was a slight concern about Belinda Bencic's health having called for the trainer towards the end of the second set.

However, it is the Wimbledon Semi Final and that is going to mean the adrenaline will be used to push Bencic through.

A bigger test may be the opponent standing on the other side of the net, even if Iga Swiatek is playing in her first Wimbledon Semi Final too.

The Quarter Final win over Liudmila Samsonova was another solid one for Swiatek, although she will know that she needs to improve her serving having faced ten Break Points in that win. She saved eight of those, but Iga Swiatek had been much more dominant behind serve before that victory and she will look for that to be a big weapon for her against Belinda Bencic.

In previous meetings between the players, the Iga Swiatek serve has been a big advantage for her, although Belinda Bencic has shown her own qualities behind that shot. It was the key to getting past youngster Mirra Andreeva and the Swiss player is going to be well aware of the importance of trying to keep the former World Number 1 under the pump.

Playing on the grass should help, but Belinda Bencic is going to need to be healthy and it is important to note that Iga Swiatek has beaten her here at Wimbledon before.

That was in July 2023 and it will give the multiple time Grand Slam Champion a little more belief in her ability to make it through to a maiden Wimbledon Final. It is Iga Swiatek who has dominated the break points in recent matches against Belinda Bencic and she has been playing well enough to put the pressure on the World Number 35 if there is any lingering injury concern.

Matches between the pair have been competitive, but it is Iga Swiatek who is playing at a good enough level to work her way through to the Final behind a solid win.

MY PICKS: Aryna Sabalenka - 3.5 Games @ 1.80 Bet365 (2 Units)

Iga Swiatek - 4.5 Games @ 2.10 Sky Bet (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 3-2, + 0.66 Units (10 Units Staked, + 6.60% Yield)

Wimbledon Tennis Day 11 Picks 2023 (July 13th)

Anyone who knows even a little about tennis will know there are times when the very small margins can make a big difference in the way the final scoreboard looks.

Unfortunately the third Grand Slam of the season has been a big disappointment for the Tennis Picks, but it really has been an event when those poor margins have been at play.

Day 10 seemed to be making the points when Madison Keys somehow blew her 4-2, 40/0 lead in the second set on serve and ultimately meant my overs selection went down in flames when looking on course to be a winning pick.

Backing that up was Carlos Alcaraz missing a cover by a single game despite the fact he won seventeen more points than Holger Rune having dominated the last two sets and not even making it through to that many Break Points from a number of 0/30, 15/30 positions on the return. He won by a five game margin despite the point difference usually meaning at least two more games on the scoreboard in the best of five setting.

To further the point, Matteo Berrettini beat Alexander Zverev by a five game margin on Saturday after winning three more points and of course I was on the wrong end of that selection too.

You have to be downbeat about a poor Grand Slam set of results, but making sweeping changes is not the plan when those results have literally been one or two points away from being in a much stronger position.

I've accepted this will not be the tournament where the results are as I would have liked, but a strong end to the event is still something I will be searching for before the grass court season comes to an end for all intents and purposes.

Elina Svitolina-Marketa Vondrousova over 5.5 match breaks: The top half of the Ladies draw at Wimbledon looked pretty open with a vulnerable looking World Number 1 and the two main rivals to win the title being placed in the other half. This looked to have given a number of the Seeds in this half a real opportunity in their bid to reach a Grand Slam Final, but, surprisingly, it is two unseeded players who have worked their way into the Semi Final.

More fans will be familiar with Elina Svitolina, but Marketa Vondrousova is the Semi Finalist who has previously played at a Grand Slam Final when reaching the French Open Final.

Injuries have been a problem for Marketa Vondrousova in recent years, but she looks well on the way back to the kind of level she was once producing. The 24 year old is a threat with a left handed serve, but there had not been a lot of form on the grass to believe Marketa Vondrousova was ready to make her big comeback at Wimbledon rather than on the other surfaces that are used on the Tour.

The margins have been tight in her last couple of wins over Marie Bouzkova and Jessica Pegula, especially in the Quarter Final against the latter. The Czech player had to save a Break Point which would have given Jessica Pegula a 5-1 lead in the deciding set, but Marketa Vondrousova managed to do that and that sparked a five game run to the winning line and another Grand Slam Semi Final.

Elina Svitolina has a lot more late Grand Slam experience as she prepares to play her third Slam Semi Final, but it is hard to ignore the fact she has yet to reach a major Final. The crowd are firmly behind Svitolina, who is representing Ukraine and who has only recently returned to the Tour after becoming a mother, and it has inspired Svitolina in two tough wins over Victoria Azarenka and Iga Swiatek.

She has had to spend a lot of time on the court in those wins, but Svitolina's level has been impressive and the day off between matches will have helped just in terms of preparation and recovery from the Quarter Final win.

The former World Number 3 has looked to be in stronger mental shape in this tournament having regularly collapsed in the biggest matches she has played at the Grand Slams previously. The serve has been an important weapon, and Svitolina is playing with an aggression that has been effective on the grass courts.

It will be important to stay on top of that against a strong return player like Marketa Vondrousova- she has needed that as the Vondrousova serve has not been as consistent with nine breaks in the last two matches.

Breaks of serve have been common for Marketa Vondrousova though and this has the makings of a tight, competitive battle that could potentially go all the way to a deciding set. There are likely to be swings in the momentum with both players capable of breaking serve and it feels like a match that may see a number of those.

Marketa Vondrousova has won the last two matches between the players in straight sets, but there were four and six breaks of serve in those out of fifteen and sixteen games played. Both ended in straight sets wins, but Elina Svitolina created plenty of Break Points too and she looks to be in better form on the return here at Wimbledon.

Both players have broken at least three times in each match won on their way to the Semi Final- there have been at least seven breaks of serve in the last four matches played by Elina Svitolina and Marketa Vondrousova combined at this tournament and this could be another match with a number of those going against serve.

Aryna Sabalenka - 2.5 games v Ons Jabeur: Being in the same half of the draw as the defending Champion means this is the only match at the Wimbledon tournament that is officially scheduled to have players come out and play on consecutive days.

Talking about the defending Champion, Ons Jabeur was able to end the Elena Rybakina reign in the Quarter Final as she came from a set behind to earn a measure of revenge for losing the Final to the same player twelve months ago. Beating the World Number 3 will have given Ons Jabeur a huge boost, but she has to now face the World Number 2 and favourite to win the Wimbledon title on Saturday.

Playing three sets is not ideal in the Quarter Final, but it was not a taxing match for Ons Jabeur who was out on the court for a few minutes shy of two hours. Her serve proved to be a difference maker on the day as the World Number 6 broke late in the second set and was able to cruise through the third set in her win over Rybakina.

Ons Jabeur broke serve five times, although Elena Rybakina will have some regret about the chances that she missed in the middle of the second set to really take control. Ons Jabeur will be encouraged by the way she was able to make Rybakina play and her skills and rhythm breaking tennis is going to be crucial in this Semi Final as she looks to get the better of Aryna Sabalenka.

Two years ago Aryna Sabalenka lost a very close Semi Final at Wimbledon to Karolina Pliskova, but winning the Australian Open back in January has felt like the moment where her career can really take off. The disappointing French Open Semi Final defeat to Karolina Muchova, a match it looked like had been won deep into the third set, will bother Aryna Sabalenka and she still has to prove she can handle these occasions consistently, despite the title win in Melbourne.

Winning Wimbledon will be the main focus, but Aryna Sabalenka will finish the tournament as the new World Number 1 if she can make the Final and that will be a bit more pressure to deal with.

Reaching five Grand Slam Semi Finals in the last seven majors played shows the consistency that Aryna Sabalenka has taken onto the court, but there is a downside- beginning with the defeat at Wimbledon in 2021, Sabalenka has lost four of the previous five Semi Final matches at Grand Slams. She broke through at Melbourne and then won the title, but the loss to Muchova in Paris means all of those defeats have also been in third set deciders.

It has to be a worry when facing a battler like Ons Jabeur who reached the Final at Wimbledon and the US Open last year having previously never been beyond the Quarter Final at a Grand Slam. Wins over Petra Kvitova and Elena Rybakina, two former Wimbledon Champions, has to have given Ons Jabeur a lot of belief that she can go one step further and win a major title, but the lower Ranked player will be hoping the rain stays away and this does not become an indoor match, which would favour Sabalenka.

The favourite will have a slight mental advantage having won the last three matches against Ons Jabeur, although their meeting at the WTA Finals at the end of the 2022 season was a very close one. Prior to that, Aryna Sabalenka had produced dominant wins over Jabeur on a hard court and at Wimbledon in 2021, but the win at the WTA Finals might be the most important if this Semi Final gets into a nervy decider.

You have to expect Ons Jabeur to play the kind of tennis where she will want to neutralise the Aryna Sabalenka power and try and change the rhythms and tempo as much as possible. If she continues to serve as well as she has in her last two matches on the numbers, she will make it tough for Sablenka, but also has to expect this to be the toughest returner Ons Jabeur has faced at Wimbledon this year.

Aryna Sabalenka looks to have found a strong all around level in her tennis over the last couple of matches and the play is that she will do enough to beat this Semi Final opponent in two tough sets.

MY PICKS: Elina Svitolina-Marketa Vondrousova Over 5.5 Breaks @ 1.72 Coral (2 Units)

Aryna Sabalenka - 2.5 Games @ 2.00 Paddy Power (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 54-54, - 12.42 Units (216 Units Staked, - 5.75% Yield)

Australian Open Tennis Day 11 Picks 2022 (January 27th)

The Grand Slams all try and have unique approaches to the way they organise their tournaments.

Wimbledon has long had 'Middle Sunday' free from play and that has meant they have had the best single day of tennis you will see when the entire Fourth Round is played on Manic Monday. This tradition will end in 2022 as they look to become a Slam much more in line with the others.

The French Open will still be the only Grand Slam that will begin play on Sunday, but they have added a Night Session alongside the Australian Open and US Open to maximise profits. A not so impressive move is having two separate sessions for the Men's Semi Final.

For a long time the US Open put together 'Super Saturday'- it was a day when the Women's Final and two Men's Semi Final matches were played, but the second of the Men's Semi Final winners were long seen as being unfortunate to not have any time to prepare for the Sunday Final and it meant a change in the format.

This year the Australian Open will be changing- the Women's Semi Finals are both played on Thursday in the Night Session and both Men's Semi Final matches have been scheduled to be played on Friday. In previous years one of the Semi Finals were played on Thursday along with the Women's Semi Finals and that gave the winner a slight edge when it came to preparation for the Final.

The hope is that this will make the field a little more level and it is also gives the Ladies a chance to take the full limelight at the business end of the Australian Open.

Ashleigh Barty - 4.5 games v Madison Keys: If she is feeling the pressure, the tennis being produced by Ashleigh Barty is covering up any tension as she moves a step closer to becoming the first Australian to win the home Grand Slam since Christine O'Neil in 1978.

You couldn't even say that Ashleigh Barty started slowly in her Quarter Final win over Jessica Pegula, but the first five games were about as competitive as the match got as she rolled past her opponent in straight sets. Once again a player failed to win games against the World Number 1 and I do think Ashleigh Barty is looking the clear favourite to win the title here.

In saying that, Madison Keys may be the biggest threat left to Ashleigh Barty in the draw and that is the Semi Final opponent she is going to be facing on Thursday. The American has admitted that 2021 was a very difficult year for her, but Madison Keys was ready to give her team all the credit for helping her overcome some of the burden and allow her to play some of her best tennis this month.

Her numbers were really poor on the hard courts in 2021, but Madison Keys has opened the 2022 season with an 11-1 record and won a title in preparing for the Australian Open. She has dropped a single set at Melbourne Park and the crushing wins over Paula Badosa and Barbora Krejcikova are very impressive, although Madison Keys may feel she is going to have to be even better when facing the home favourite.

It can be argued that Ashleigh Barty has taken over from Naomi Osaka as the best player in the world on this surface and winning the Grand Slam will mean she holds two of the four. That will underline her position as the Number 1 Ranked player and I do think Ashleigh Barty is performing at a level that will be very difficult to contain.

Madison Keys has really been returning very well at the Australian Open, and her service numbers have been very strong, but both are not quite to where Ashleigh Barty has been at. And as well as Madison Keys has been playing, I expect Barty to put her under a lot more pressure than anyone else she has faced at the Australian Open.

You can't ignore the fact that Ashleigh Barty has enjoyed a pretty kind draw to the Semi Final, but her results have backed up how 'easy' she has found things. I can't rule out the fact that the Madison Keys serve could take the racquet out of the hands of the favourite, but Ashleigh Barty is a confident player and her variety may also give her an edge in this Semi Final.

It is the American who won the first meeting between the players back in 2017, but Ashleigh Barty won the last two, although both of those came in 2019. In those wins, Ashleigh Barty had a real edge on the return and I think she is going to have too much for Madison Keys in this match, even if the underdog will try and ease some pressure on herself by feeling she has already overachieved by reaching the Semi Final.

I am expecting a big-hitting match, but the steadiness and quality of Ashleigh Barty should be enough to see her book her place in the Australian Open Final on Saturday.

Danielle Collins v Iga Swiatek: The two contrasting manners of the Quarter Final wins may not mean a lot if these players were to have a day off between matches as they do through much of the Grand Slam.

However, the second Women's Semi Final is between two players who have played on Day 10 and are asked to be back out on court on Day 11 of the tournament. Danielle Collins made short work of Alize Cornet, but Iga Swiatek needed more than three hours to beat Kaia Kanepi and you have to believe that is a factor.

It is the second match in a row that the Polish player has needed to come from a set down and you have to wonder if the accumulated fatigue will wear her down. Iga Swiatek has also been trending in the wrong direction when it comes to her performances at the Australian Open with the numbers being a touch worse in each passing Round of the tournament.

She did play the big points pretty well in her win over Kaia Kanepi, but it was a tense match and I do wonder if Iga Swiatek is going to be able to cope with the pressure that will be exerted from the other side of the net. While Danielle Collins is known for being an emotional player, I think she is someone who has utter belief in her own game and the serve has proven to be a big weapon for her.

Moving through the Quarter Final without using too much physical or mental energy is really important at this stage of any Grand Slam tournament and I do think her numbers on return have been impressive enough to believe the American can reach her first Grand Slam Final. Surprise winners have been part of the Women's game in recent Slams and Danielle Collins may feel she can add her name to the list, although it will be a test for Collins having to deal with a new experience.

Danielle Collins looks to be in a more consistent place with her tennis and I think that is going to be the key in this second Semi Final. She looks a good shot as the outsider in this match and especially if Iga Swiatek has been worn down mentally and physically from the matches played on Day 10.

MY PICKS: Ashleigh Barty - 4.5 Games @ 1.85 Coral (2 Units)

Danielle Collins @ 2.40 Bet Victor (2 Units)

Wimbledon Tennis Day 10 Picks 2021 (July 8th)

The Euro 2020 Finals and the run the England national team have been on has made it more difficult to write out longer posts for the last few days at Wimbledon.

Other aspects of my personal life have been busier too, but I have had time to research the selections for the Women's Semi Finals which are played on Wednesday. Expect a longer post for Thursday's Men's Semi Finals and for the two Finals to be played over the weekend.

MY PICKS: Angelique Kerber + 3.5 Games @ 

Karolina Pliskova-Aryna Sabalenka Over 21.5 Games @ 1.80 Bet365 (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 60-48, + 11.38 Units (216 Units Staked, + 5.27% Yield)

Wimbledon Tennis Day 11 Picks 2016 (July 7th)

The Ladies Semi Finals are played back to back on Centre Court on Thursday and I think everyone will be hoping that we get a chance to see the Williams Sisters play for the title one more time.

Well I think a lot of the media and fans would love to see it for the easy narrative it produces, although I remain unconvinced that Venus and Serena are as loved by the Centre Court attendees which is very easily dominated by white, middle to upper class people.

The BBC had a very interesting article which mentioned that subject, much to my surprise, despite it being something that I have suggested many times in the past. Tennis remains a sport that is played by a majority of caucasian performers and so seeing someone like Serena Williams and Venus Williams dominate to the extent they have at SW19 is not something that the fans attending can truly relate to.

I've been to Wimbledon and I can tell you first hand that you don't see too many non-white fans at the event so it isn't a surprise to me that Serena Williams doesn't have the same love that Roger Federer gets at the event. There are other factors than purely the racial element, but it definitely plays a part.

I do think Venus Williams will receive her support because of the underdog story and her recovery from a serious illness to get back to this Round at Wimbledon and she faces a tough opponent in Australian Open Champion Angelique Kerber. For Serena Williams it will likely be another day where her opponent, in this case Elena Vesnina, will receive the majority of loud applause whenever she wins a point in their Semi Final although I don't think Serena cares too much either way.


Angelique Kerber-Venus Williams over 21.5 games: There were a few ways I looked to get involved in this Semi Final and I considered the match going at least three sets as well as Venus Williams on the game handicap before settling for this pick. The last two matches between Venus Williams and Angelique Kerber have both lasted at least three sets, while Kerber has only covered this number of games in two of their previous five matches despite being favourite in the last four matches.

These two players have met once before on the grass back in 2012 during the Olympic Games and it was Kerber who won that match 76, 76, although Venus Williams will feel hard done by. Things have changed since that last match on grass with Kerber the Australian Open Champion and playing some of her best tennis of 2016 since beating Venus' sister Serena in that Final in Melbourne.

In saying that, she is playing an opponent in Venus Williams who is very good on the grass and reached the Fourth Round here last year before finding Serena Williams too good. Venus has a serve that can pressurise opponents on this surface, but Kerber's defences have to be admired and she will extract mistakes out of someone who has been broken more than expected on this surface during the course of the tournament.

On the other hand I think Kerber's serve can be attacked and I am expecting Venus Williams to have her successes on the return game and it has to be remembered that it has taken the last two eventual winners to beat Williams here at Wimbledon in 2014 and 2015. Venus Williams might have to overcome some physical issues having played a lot of tennis over the last few days, but I would be surprised if this is a straight-forward win for either player.

Competitive games and potential tie-breakers are in play here as is the chance of seeing at least three sets. Therefore backing this Semi Final to go over the total games set in that market looks the play.


Serena Williams - 5.5 games v Elena Vesnina: The big question for Serena Williams is can she break her run of three Grand Slams in a row without a title win and then equal Steffi Graf's 22 Single Slam titles this week? She can't have too many complaints with her opponents in the Quarter Final and now the Semi Final and I expect most will look for Serena Williams to be playing in the Final on Saturday.

So how quickly will she beat Elena Vesnina in this Semi Final? That might sound disrespectful to the Russian who is playing in her first Grand Slam Semi Final, but Vesnina has to be feeling the amount of tennis she has played over the two weeks at Wimbledon.

Vesnina is still involved in both Doubles and Mixed Doubles tournaments and she has been on court in the Singles for considerably more time than Serena Williams and that all adds up. The serving has been very strong but Vesnina is going to be tested on that aspect of her game more than at any other time this week as she will be facing an opponent with significant power and who will look to aggressively hit the ball back especially on any second serves that she will see.

Matches between them in the past have been one-sided towards Serena Williams, but Vesnina might be the most confident she has ever been before facing the World Number 1. If she serves well and hangs in early this could be an awkward match for Serena Williams, but the latter has been in very strong form and her own serve has been working very effectively under the recent conditions.

The key for this is Serena taking advantage of the Vesnina nerves, which there will be despite her success as a Doubles player. If she can make a fast start, Serena Williams should be able to dictate this match and I like her to come through with a 62, 64 win.

MY PICKS: Angelique Kerber-Venus Williams Over 21.5 Games @ 2.00 Paddy Power (2 Units)
Serena Williams - 5.5 Games @ 1.73 Sky Bet (2 Units)

Wimbledon Update: 41-34, + 12.70 Units (148 Units Staked, + 8.58% Yield)